Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 24 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 April 2019, Man_Utd 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         35   89  +67       6.86    83.49     4.70    96.42     1.76    72.69    72.26   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   88  +59      12.28    95.24    12.08    95.28     1.75    64.61    27.74   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   70  +30       1.69    57.60    -2.60    76.50     2.06    33.82     0.00     0.00    91.16    98.10   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   67  +21       3.53    65.95    -2.91    71.96     2.22    22.30     0.00     0.00     4.13    42.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   66  +23       3.29    64.94    -1.00    71.81     2.18    25.70     0.00     0.00     4.32    44.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   64  +13       2.07    59.09    -8.54    70.29     2.04    16.45     0.00     0.00     0.39    14.08   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   51   +1       6.37    77.15     7.31    54.64     1.99    -0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   50   +0       6.25    77.22     8.87    53.87     2.17    -0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   49   +6      -1.25    44.33     3.76    52.86     2.12     5.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   48   +1      -1.15    44.75     0.64    50.58     1.98    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   43  -10       0.56    53.32     1.34    46.21     2.08   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   42   -5      -1.64    42.63     3.25    46.73     2.28    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   41   -9      -1.93    41.38    -0.65    44.60     2.13    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -13      -0.49    48.21     1.02    43.98     2.15   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   40  -18      -0.34    49.15    -4.29    42.23     1.92   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   37  -17      -2.55    38.50    -2.01    41.81     2.21   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         35   34  -22      -2.14    40.58    -2.85    36.20     1.80   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.61R    0.00  
Cardiff          35   31  -35       0.61    54.47    -4.01    33.70     2.01   -37.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.37R    0.00  
Fulham           35   23  -43      -5.86    22.88    -5.58    26.54     2.17   -43.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     35   14  -49     -10.27     5.96    -8.54    15.34     1.51   -54.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aston_Villa 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         44   88  +34      14.31    92.02    13.14    91.09     1.80    34.53    74.86    99.91   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   85  +35      10.63    85.66    13.96    88.65     1.72    36.42    25.12    94.91   100.00    96.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   82  +24      12.65    89.49    10.59    85.26     1.85    24.75     0.02     5.18   100.00    27.26P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       44   77  +26       0.21    50.42     0.60    80.68     1.70    27.68     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.51P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     44   75  +22       0.86    53.19     0.84    77.90     1.86    22.22     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   67  +11      -0.62    47.55    -1.86    70.87     2.25    10.67     0.00     0.00    46.68    10.21P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   67   +6      -0.41    48.54    -4.56    70.64     1.79     7.26     0.00     0.00    24.55     5.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   66   +7       3.99    65.83     2.62    70.00     2.28     6.83     0.00     0.00    26.28     4.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   63   -1       2.22    58.98    -1.53    65.94     1.79    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         43   62   +3      -2.42    40.93    -4.98    66.64     2.29     3.78     0.00     0.00     2.46     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   60   +5       1.18    55.12     7.50    63.47     1.76     6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   60   +3      -3.14    38.17    -0.96    62.70     1.82     2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            44   60   -2      -0.62    47.90    -1.53    62.55     1.82    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   59   +6       3.11    62.71    12.95    61.84     1.84     6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   59   -4       0.11    50.69    -1.18    61.25     1.76    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   58  +10      -8.19    21.23     1.39    61.60     1.83    11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           44   53   -7      -7.95    21.57    -8.32    55.57     1.80    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           44   48  -14      -8.48    20.30    -8.33    50.79     1.81   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   48  -18      -2.78    39.51    -2.28    50.34     1.80   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   46  -16      -4.29    33.61    -0.18    48.26     1.72   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        43   43  -14      -9.88    15.39    -4.97    46.93     2.23   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   40  -29      -3.46    36.82    -0.25    41.49     1.54   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.88R    0.00  
Bolton          44   32  -47      -3.16    36.54    -7.84    33.51     1.56   -48.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    4.90  
Ipswich         44   28  -40     -15.74     3.73   -14.84    29.58     1.57   -41.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.10  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 April 2019, Doncaster 1 2 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                44   91  +47       9.53    82.59    14.75    94.61     1.82    48.31    84.80    96.78   100.00    97.86P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             44   88  +41       5.11    69.20     7.28    91.73     1.80    42.41     7.54    58.63   100.00    74.12P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   86  +33      13.89    91.72    13.37    90.83     2.22    34.05     6.21    30.63   100.00    47.85P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           43   84  +35       4.37    66.39     3.61    89.15     2.29    36.56     1.45    13.95   100.00    42.99P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             44   82  +27       9.16    81.85     8.85    85.75     1.81    28.51     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.60P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            44   69  +16       2.80    60.70     7.50    72.09     1.86    16.49     0.00     0.00    77.99    11.48P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         43   66   +9       1.51    55.92     1.07    70.20     2.28     9.08     0.00     0.00    20.49     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             44   64   +2       6.43    74.11     5.56    66.51     1.79     1.70     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            44   62   +2       1.35    55.70     1.08    64.45     1.73     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   60  +10      -5.97    28.34     1.82    62.41     1.83     9.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -4       0.30    51.58    -1.35    61.08     1.73    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   57   +6      -4.03    34.50     3.00    61.22     2.26     6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   52  -12      -2.54    40.52    -2.43    54.16     1.77   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -20       2.92    62.38    -1.75    53.15     1.72   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Rochdale             44   51  -30       2.58    61.02   -10.18    53.07     1.73   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   50   -4      -7.15    23.96     0.43    52.07     1.73    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   50   -8      -8.46    19.86    -5.53    52.97     1.82    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Wycombe              44   50  -12      -0.30    49.63     3.69    52.53     1.82   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34R    0.00  
Southend             44   47  -13      -8.64    19.84    -5.47    49.35     1.81   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.41R    0.00  
Plymouth             44   47  -21      -3.76    35.58    -5.76    49.76     1.87   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.14R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   46  -22      -1.86    43.11    -4.39    48.62     1.82   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.07R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           44   46  -28      -7.33    23.24   -16.68    48.91     1.87   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.49R    0.00  
Walsall              44   43  -25      -5.78    28.07    -7.18    45.14     1.77   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.91R    2.83  
Bradford             44   37  -29     -11.97    10.82   -11.27    39.67     1.83   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.17  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Bury 3 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     44   85  +34       9.73    83.36    12.13    88.37     1.83    34.91   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   77  +26       1.33    54.74     2.59    80.44     1.80    27.02     0.00    87.04   100.00    91.34P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   76  +30       0.62    52.08     8.13    79.06     1.80    30.47     0.00    62.79   100.00    75.84P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   76  +23      -0.00    50.02    -0.27    78.95     1.85    23.31     0.00    45.12   100.00    64.80P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   73  +22       8.83    80.86    16.34    75.76     1.84    22.03     0.00     3.72   100.00    24.68P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15       7.95    78.10     9.47    74.80     1.86    15.09     0.00     1.33    99.96    22.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           44   66  +10      -1.34    44.68    -0.27    68.75     1.84    10.02     0.00     0.00    42.73     9.75P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   64   +7      -1.06    45.97     0.03    66.27     1.76     6.33     0.00     0.00     5.29     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   64   +3       0.78    53.22    -1.01    67.42     1.84     4.00     0.00     0.00    12.81     2.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        44   64   +1       3.42    63.42     0.66    66.59     1.76     0.78     0.00     0.00     4.47     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   43   64   -3       8.21    79.75     1.69    67.74     2.23    -3.51     0.00     0.00    18.18     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   62  +13      -7.30    23.66    -2.24    66.48     2.27    13.57     0.00     0.00    16.01     4.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            44   62   +2       2.49    60.17     3.39    64.83     1.85     2.15     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   61   +2      -2.80    39.26    -3.07    64.31     1.83     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   57   -2      -5.13    31.23    -4.49    59.89     1.77    -1.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   54  -10      -0.77    47.70    -1.04    56.39     1.81   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   53  -12       2.18    59.68     0.81    55.55     1.81   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        44   50  -17       0.15    51.47    -1.27    52.56     1.82   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     44   50  -17      -1.13    46.00    -3.23    52.17     1.76   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   48  -15      -4.81    31.45    -5.25    50.51     1.69   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    44   46  -25      -4.20    33.89   -10.81    48.91     1.84   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   40  -27      -2.18    41.90     1.23    42.32     1.75   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.54R    7.67  
Yeovil           44   38  -25      -9.30    16.41    -5.89    40.04     1.74   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.65R   41.68  
Notts_County     44   38  -35     -11.42    11.95   -17.64    40.39     1.76   -35.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.81R   50.65  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aldershot 2 0 Havant_&_Wville; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      45   88  +38       9.17    81.92    12.88    90.29     1.12    39.47    99.46   100.00    99.64P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       45   85  +33      10.98    84.68    14.61    86.56     1.31    33.27     0.53   100.00    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     45   85  +30      15.10    92.97    17.65    86.40     1.30    30.04     0.01   100.00    21.15P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          45   81  +33       3.47    62.92     9.28    82.91     1.25    33.75     0.00   100.00    30.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   81  +18      12.15    88.67     7.16    82.56     1.30    18.27     0.00   100.00    22.49P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     45   74  +22       5.29    68.67    11.46    75.16     1.25    21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          45   73   -1      13.43    90.40     2.16    74.24     1.28    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   67  +18      -2.27    41.50     6.59    68.41     1.31    18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   66   +6       1.19    54.85     0.84    67.62     1.29     6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      45   65   -2       3.24    62.79    -2.51    66.21     1.28    -2.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   61   -1       1.67    57.16     1.64    62.10     1.23    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       45   59   +4     -10.09    16.61    -7.21    60.67     1.30     4.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            45   57   -5      -4.38    33.82    -4.22    58.34     1.31    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             45   57   -7      -8.07    21.92   -12.64    58.61     1.31    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     45   57   -9      -4.98    31.57    -9.74    58.52     1.31    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            45   56   -1      -0.32    49.40     4.88    56.83     1.13    -1.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         45   56   -7      -2.49    40.77    -2.82    57.18     1.27    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          45   55   -6      -7.09    24.48    -7.09    56.33     1.29    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       45   51  -12      -7.00    24.57    -7.49    52.49     1.31   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         45   51  -27       2.28    60.06    -7.64    52.06     1.24   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   41  -31     -10.46    14.17   -17.30    42.45     1.29   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    45   40  -20      -8.76    19.82     1.74    41.14     1.27   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   40  -30      -3.28    37.99    -1.18    40.53     0.97   -31.47     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   45   34  -43      -6.68    23.93   -11.06    35.26     1.27   -43.14     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00