Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 24 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 April 2019, Man_Utd 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 35 89 +67 6.86 83.49 4.70 96.42 1.76 72.69 72.26 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 35 88 +59 12.28 95.24 12.08 95.28 1.75 64.61 27.74 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 35 70 +30 1.69 57.60 -2.60 76.50 2.06 33.82 0.00 0.00 91.16 98.10 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 35 67 +21 3.53 65.95 -2.91 71.96 2.22 22.30 0.00 0.00 4.13 42.84 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 35 66 +23 3.29 64.94 -1.00 71.81 2.18 25.70 0.00 0.00 4.32 44.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 35 64 +13 2.07 59.09 -8.54 70.29 2.04 16.45 0.00 0.00 0.39 14.08 100.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 35 51 +1 6.37 77.15 7.31 54.64 1.99 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 35 50 +0 6.25 77.22 8.87 53.87 2.17 -0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 35 49 +6 -1.25 44.33 3.76 52.86 2.12 5.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 35 48 +1 -1.15 44.75 0.64 50.58 1.98 -1.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 35 43 -10 0.56 53.32 1.34 46.21 2.08 -11.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 42 -5 -1.64 42.63 3.25 46.73 2.28 -4.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 35 41 -9 -1.93 41.38 -0.65 44.60 2.13 -9.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 35 41 -13 -0.49 48.21 1.02 43.98 2.15 -14.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burnley 35 40 -18 -0.34 49.15 -4.29 42.23 1.92 -21.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 35 37 -17 -2.55 38.50 -2.01 41.81 2.21 -16.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Brighton 35 34 -22 -2.14 40.58 -2.85 36.20 1.80 -25.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.61R 0.00 Cardiff 35 31 -35 0.61 54.47 -4.01 33.70 2.01 -37.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.37R 0.00 Fulham 35 23 -43 -5.86 22.88 -5.58 26.54 2.17 -43.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 35 14 -49 -10.27 5.96 -8.54 15.34 1.51 -54.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aston_Villa 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 44 88 +34 14.31 92.02 13.14 91.09 1.80 34.53 74.86 99.91 100.00 99.92P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 44 85 +35 10.63 85.66 13.96 88.65 1.72 36.42 25.12 94.91 100.00 96.35P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 44 82 +24 12.65 89.49 10.59 85.26 1.85 24.75 0.02 5.18 100.00 27.26P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 44 77 +26 0.21 50.42 0.60 80.68 1.70 27.68 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.51P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 44 75 +22 0.86 53.19 0.84 77.90 1.86 22.22 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.84P 0.00 0.00 Derby 43 67 +11 -0.62 47.55 -1.86 70.87 2.25 10.67 0.00 0.00 46.68 10.21P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 44 67 +6 -0.41 48.54 -4.56 70.64 1.79 7.26 0.00 0.00 24.55 5.64P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 43 66 +7 3.99 65.83 2.62 70.00 2.28 6.83 0.00 0.00 26.28 4.71P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 44 63 -1 2.22 58.98 -1.53 65.94 1.79 -0.71 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 43 62 +3 -2.42 40.93 -4.98 66.64 2.29 3.78 0.00 0.00 2.46 0.56P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 44 60 +5 1.18 55.12 7.50 63.47 1.76 6.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 44 60 +3 -3.14 38.17 -0.96 62.70 1.82 2.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 44 60 -2 -0.62 47.90 -1.53 62.55 1.82 -2.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 44 59 +6 3.11 62.71 12.95 61.84 1.84 6.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 44 59 -4 0.11 50.69 -1.18 61.25 1.76 -4.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 44 58 +10 -8.19 21.23 1.39 61.60 1.83 11.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 44 53 -7 -7.95 21.57 -8.32 55.57 1.80 -7.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wigan 44 48 -14 -8.48 20.30 -8.33 50.79 1.81 -13.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 44 48 -18 -2.78 39.51 -2.28 50.34 1.80 -18.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 44 46 -16 -4.29 33.61 -0.18 48.26 1.72 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Millwall 43 43 -14 -9.88 15.39 -4.97 46.93 2.23 -14.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.12R 0.00 Rotherham 44 40 -29 -3.46 36.82 -0.25 41.49 1.54 -31.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.88R 0.00 Bolton 44 32 -47 -3.16 36.54 -7.84 33.51 1.56 -48.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 4.90 Ipswich 44 28 -40 -15.74 3.73 -14.84 29.58 1.57 -41.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 95.10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 April 2019, Doncaster 1 2 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 44 91 +47 9.53 82.59 14.75 94.61 1.82 48.31 84.80 96.78 100.00 97.86P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 44 88 +41 5.11 69.20 7.28 91.73 1.80 42.41 7.54 58.63 100.00 74.12P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 43 86 +33 13.89 91.72 13.37 90.83 2.22 34.05 6.21 30.63 100.00 47.85P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 43 84 +35 4.37 66.39 3.61 89.15 2.29 36.56 1.45 13.95 100.00 42.99P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 44 82 +27 9.16 81.85 8.85 85.75 1.81 28.51 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.60P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 44 69 +16 2.80 60.70 7.50 72.09 1.86 16.49 0.00 0.00 77.99 11.48P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 43 66 +9 1.51 55.92 1.07 70.20 2.28 9.08 0.00 0.00 20.49 2.94P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 44 64 +2 6.43 74.11 5.56 66.51 1.79 1.70 0.00 0.00 1.52 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 44 62 +2 1.35 55.70 1.08 64.45 1.73 1.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 44 60 +10 -5.97 28.34 1.82 62.41 1.83 9.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 44 59 -4 0.30 51.58 -1.35 61.08 1.73 -5.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 43 57 +6 -4.03 34.50 3.00 61.22 2.26 6.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 44 52 -12 -2.54 40.52 -2.43 54.16 1.77 -12.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 44 51 -20 2.92 62.38 -1.75 53.15 1.72 -20.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Rochdale 44 51 -30 2.58 61.02 -10.18 53.07 1.73 -31.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 44 50 -4 -7.15 23.96 0.43 52.07 1.73 -4.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Shrewsbury 44 50 -8 -8.46 19.86 -5.53 52.97 1.82 -7.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Wycombe 44 50 -12 -0.30 49.63 3.69 52.53 1.82 -12.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.34R 0.00 Southend 44 47 -13 -8.64 19.84 -5.47 49.35 1.81 -13.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.41R 0.00 Plymouth 44 47 -21 -3.76 35.58 -5.76 49.76 1.87 -20.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.14R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 44 46 -22 -1.86 43.11 -4.39 48.62 1.82 -22.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.07R 0.00 Scunthorpe 44 46 -28 -7.33 23.24 -16.68 48.91 1.87 -27.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.49R 0.00 Walsall 44 43 -25 -5.78 28.07 -7.18 45.14 1.77 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.91R 2.83 Bradford 44 37 -29 -11.97 10.82 -11.27 39.67 1.83 -29.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 97.17League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Bury 3 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 44 85 +34 9.73 83.36 12.13 88.37 1.83 34.91 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bury 44 77 +26 1.33 54.74 2.59 80.44 1.80 27.02 0.00 87.04 100.00 91.34P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 44 76 +30 0.62 52.08 8.13 79.06 1.80 30.47 0.00 62.79 100.00 75.84P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 44 76 +23 -0.00 50.02 -0.27 78.95 1.85 23.31 0.00 45.12 100.00 64.80P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 44 73 +22 8.83 80.86 16.34 75.76 1.84 22.03 0.00 3.72 100.00 24.68P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 44 72 +15 7.95 78.10 9.47 74.80 1.86 15.09 0.00 1.33 99.96 22.25P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 44 66 +10 -1.34 44.68 -0.27 68.75 1.84 10.02 0.00 0.00 42.73 9.75P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 44 64 +7 -1.06 45.97 0.03 66.27 1.76 6.33 0.00 0.00 5.29 1.08P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 44 64 +3 0.78 53.22 -1.01 67.42 1.84 4.00 0.00 0.00 12.81 2.42P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 44 64 +1 3.42 63.42 0.66 66.59 1.76 0.78 0.00 0.00 4.47 0.77P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 43 64 -3 8.21 79.75 1.69 67.74 2.23 -3.51 0.00 0.00 18.18 2.71P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 43 62 +13 -7.30 23.66 -2.24 66.48 2.27 13.57 0.00 0.00 16.01 4.27P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 44 62 +2 2.49 60.17 3.39 64.83 1.85 2.15 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 44 61 +2 -2.80 39.26 -3.07 64.31 1.83 2.85 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 44 57 -2 -5.13 31.23 -4.49 59.89 1.77 -1.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 44 54 -10 -0.77 47.70 -1.04 56.39 1.81 -10.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 44 53 -12 2.18 59.68 0.81 55.55 1.81 -12.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 44 50 -17 0.15 51.47 -1.27 52.56 1.82 -17.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 44 50 -17 -1.13 46.00 -3.23 52.17 1.76 -17.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 44 48 -15 -4.81 31.45 -5.25 50.51 1.69 -15.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 44 46 -25 -4.20 33.89 -10.81 48.91 1.84 -24.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 44 40 -27 -2.18 41.90 1.23 42.32 1.75 -27.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.54R 7.67 Yeovil 44 38 -25 -9.30 16.41 -5.89 40.04 1.74 -26.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.65R 41.68 Notts_County 44 38 -35 -11.42 11.95 -17.64 40.39 1.76 -35.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.81R 50.65National League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aldershot 2 0 Havant_&_Wville; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 45 88 +38 9.17 81.92 12.88 90.29 1.12 39.47 99.46 100.00 99.64P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 45 85 +33 10.98 84.68 14.61 86.56 1.31 33.27 0.53 100.00 26.07P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 45 85 +30 15.10 92.97 17.65 86.40 1.30 30.04 0.01 100.00 21.15P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 45 81 +33 3.47 62.92 9.28 82.91 1.25 33.75 0.00 100.00 30.65P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 45 81 +18 12.15 88.67 7.16 82.56 1.30 18.27 0.00 100.00 22.49P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 45 74 +22 5.29 68.67 11.46 75.16 1.25 21.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 45 73 -1 13.43 90.40 2.16 74.24 1.28 -1.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 45 67 +18 -2.27 41.50 6.59 68.41 1.31 18.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 45 66 +6 1.19 54.85 0.84 67.62 1.29 6.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 45 65 -2 3.24 62.79 -2.51 66.21 1.28 -2.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 45 61 -1 1.67 57.16 1.64 62.10 1.23 -1.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 45 59 +4 -10.09 16.61 -7.21 60.67 1.30 4.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 45 57 -5 -4.38 33.82 -4.22 58.34 1.31 -5.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 45 57 -7 -8.07 21.92 -12.64 58.61 1.31 -6.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 45 57 -9 -4.98 31.57 -9.74 58.52 1.31 -8.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 45 56 -1 -0.32 49.40 4.88 56.83 1.13 -1.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 45 56 -7 -2.49 40.77 -2.82 57.18 1.27 -7.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 45 55 -6 -7.09 24.48 -7.09 56.33 1.29 -6.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 45 51 -12 -7.00 24.57 -7.49 52.49 1.31 -11.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidenhead 45 51 -27 2.28 60.06 -7.64 52.06 1.24 -27.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 45 41 -31 -10.46 14.17 -17.30 42.45 1.29 -30.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 45 40 -20 -8.76 19.82 1.74 41.14 1.27 -20.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 45 40 -30 -3.28 37.99 -1.18 40.53 0.97 -31.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Maidstone_United 45 34 -43 -6.68 23.93 -11.06 35.26 1.27 -43.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00