Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 23 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 April 2019, Tottenham 1 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        35   88  +59      12.33    95.20    12.14    95.29     1.74    64.66    46.96   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   86  +65       6.06    80.55     4.09    95.14     2.21    71.19    53.04   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   70  +30       1.83    58.09    -2.40    76.50     2.07    33.80     0.00     0.00    78.93    95.50   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   67  +21       3.43    65.59    -3.03    71.94     2.21    22.28     0.00     0.00     2.76    24.23   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   66  +25       4.25    69.28     0.21    73.61     2.55    28.35     0.00     0.00    16.45    63.06   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   64  +15       2.61    61.70    -7.92    71.33     2.38    17.96     0.00     0.00     1.87    17.22   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   50   +0       6.34    77.59     9.03    53.89     2.17    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   49   +6      -1.29    44.13     3.78    52.86     2.13     5.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   48   +1      -1.13    45.02     0.65    50.57     1.99    -1.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   48   -1       5.38    74.33     6.17    52.58     2.37    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   43  -10       0.53    53.09     1.37    46.23     2.08   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   42   -5      -1.60    42.99     3.33    46.72     2.29    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   41   -9      -1.83    41.95    -0.57    44.60     2.13    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -13      -0.40    48.90     1.26    43.97     2.14   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   40  -18      -0.64    47.83    -4.77    42.25     1.94   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   37  -17      -2.78    37.33    -2.34    41.81     2.22   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         35   34  -22      -2.14    40.64    -2.80    36.20     1.80   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.23R    0.00  
Cardiff          35   31  -35       0.56    54.52    -4.02    33.67     1.99   -37.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.75R    0.00  
Fulham           35   23  -43      -5.91    22.69    -5.72    26.58     2.18   -43.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     35   14  -49     -10.25     6.11    -8.47    15.33     1.51   -54.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aston_Villa 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         44   88  +34      14.22    92.11    12.98    91.09     1.80    34.53    74.78    99.88   100.00    99.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   85  +35      10.77    85.74    14.15    88.67     1.72    36.43    25.20    94.76   100.00    96.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   82  +24      12.68    89.39    10.57    85.27     1.86    24.75     0.03     5.36   100.00    27.19P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       44   77  +26       0.03    49.94     0.23    80.68     1.70    27.68     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.65P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     44   75  +22       0.89    53.47     0.99    77.87     1.86    22.22     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.66P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   67  +11      -1.09    45.56    -2.58    70.90     2.28    10.69     0.00     0.00    46.95    10.54P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   67   +6      -0.24    48.89    -4.29    70.64     1.79     7.25     0.00     0.00    24.39     5.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   66   +7       4.10    66.38     2.83    69.99     2.27     6.82     0.00     0.00    26.13     4.50P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   63   -1       2.16    58.63    -1.54    65.94     1.82    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         43   62   +3      -2.46    40.75    -5.06    66.65     2.30     3.81     0.00     0.00     2.49     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   60   +5       1.17    55.19     7.51    63.47     1.77     6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   60   +3      -2.83    39.21    -0.50    62.69     1.82     2.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            44   60   -2      -0.63    47.91    -1.59    62.54     1.82    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   59   +6       3.29    63.34    13.19    61.84     1.84     6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   59   -4       0.26    51.48    -1.03    61.24     1.77    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   58  +10      -8.19    21.30     1.41    61.59     1.84    11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           44   53   -7      -7.70    22.57    -8.00    55.56     1.80    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           44   48  -14      -8.40    20.46    -8.18    50.78     1.82   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   48  -18      -2.91    39.19    -2.56    50.33     1.79   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   46  -16      -4.36    33.39    -0.22    48.28     1.72   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        43   43  -14      -9.84    15.56    -4.88    46.94     2.23   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   40  -29      -3.32    37.34    -0.03    41.48     1.53   -31.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.98R    0.00  
Bolton          44   32  -47      -3.58    34.82    -8.53    33.53     1.58   -48.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    4.83  
Ipswich         44   28  -40     -15.86     3.75   -14.87    29.58     1.57   -41.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.17  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 April 2019, Doncaster 1 2 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                44   91  +47       9.52    82.33    14.83    94.61     1.83    48.31    84.47    96.79   100.00    97.91P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             44   88  +41       4.95    68.24     7.05    91.75     1.80    42.41     7.70    59.03   100.00    74.47P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   86  +33      13.83    91.59    13.31    90.84     2.22    34.08     6.32    30.43   100.00    47.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           43   84  +35       4.53    67.15     3.90    89.16     2.29    36.54     1.51    13.74   100.00    42.83P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             44   82  +27       9.24    81.76     8.98    85.75     1.80    28.50     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.60P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            44   69  +16       2.82    60.99     7.50    72.09     1.86    16.50     0.00     0.00    78.29    11.52P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         43   66   +9       1.58    56.30     1.11    70.20     2.27     9.08     0.00     0.00    20.28     3.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             44   64   +2       6.45    74.00     5.59    66.51     1.80     1.69     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            44   62   +2       1.54    56.35     1.37    64.43     1.73     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   60  +10      -5.74    29.18     2.11    62.40     1.83     9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -4       0.14    51.14    -1.61    61.08     1.74    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   57   +6      -4.17    34.30     2.72    61.22     2.26     6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   52  -12      -2.33    41.39    -2.07    54.18     1.78   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -20       2.74    61.78    -2.00    53.15     1.73   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Rochdale             44   51  -30       2.55    60.92   -10.22    53.07     1.72   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   50   -4      -7.38    23.19     0.14    52.06     1.73    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   50   -8      -8.59    19.73    -5.77    52.98     1.82    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Wycombe              44   50  -12      -0.53    48.83     3.38    52.53     1.83   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Southend             44   47  -13      -8.36    20.68    -5.03    49.34     1.80   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.57R    0.00  
Plymouth             44   47  -21      -3.89    35.49    -6.06    49.77     1.86   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.94R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   46  -22      -1.90    43.04    -4.48    48.63     1.82   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.85R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           44   46  -28      -7.31    23.41   -16.61    48.90     1.87   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.72R    0.00  
Walsall              44   43  -25      -5.58    28.85    -6.84    45.14     1.78   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.86R    2.78  
Bradford             44   37  -29     -11.96    10.92   -11.29    39.65     1.83   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.22  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Bury 3 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     44   85  +34       9.62    83.13    11.88    88.38     1.84    34.91   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   77  +26       1.97    57.12     3.58    80.43     1.82    27.01     0.00    86.79   100.00    91.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   76  +30       0.60    52.19     8.06    79.07     1.79    30.49     0.00    63.19   100.00    76.23P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   76  +23       0.20    50.67     0.09    78.95     1.85    23.30     0.00    44.75   100.00    64.28P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   73  +22       8.82    80.89    16.39    75.76     1.86    22.03     0.00     3.88   100.00    24.92P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15       8.04    78.35     9.57    74.79     1.85    15.09     0.00     1.39    99.95    22.19P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           44   66  +10      -1.62    43.75    -0.71    68.74     1.85    10.01     0.00     0.00    42.67     9.79P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   64   +7      -1.02    46.25     0.06    66.26     1.76     6.32     0.00     0.00     5.41     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   64   +3       0.67    52.80    -1.26    67.43     1.84     4.01     0.00     0.00    12.62     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        44   64   +1       3.39    63.36     0.68    66.58     1.76     0.77     0.00     0.00     4.33     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   43   64   -3       7.69    78.09     0.98    67.76     2.24    -3.47     0.00     0.00    18.68     2.87P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   62  +13      -7.55    22.94    -2.63    66.48     2.27    13.55     0.00     0.00    15.74     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            44   62   +2       2.50    60.22     3.46    64.83     1.85     2.15     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   61   +2      -2.54    40.48    -2.76    64.31     1.85     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   57   -2      -5.39    30.30    -4.90    59.90     1.77    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   54  -10      -0.98    46.69    -1.41    56.40     1.82   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   53  -12       2.22    59.66     0.92    55.57     1.81   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        44   50  -17       0.16    51.30    -1.27    52.56     1.82   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     44   50  -17      -1.15    45.98    -3.30    52.16     1.75   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   48  -15      -4.57    32.43    -4.89    50.51     1.71   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    44   46  -25      -4.26    33.50   -10.88    48.92     1.84   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   40  -27      -2.12    42.19     1.30    42.33     1.76   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.18R    7.49  
Yeovil           44   38  -25      -9.27    16.89    -5.76    40.03     1.74   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.98R   41.89  
Notts_County     44   38  -35     -11.17    12.55   -17.19    40.37     1.76   -35.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.83R   50.62  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aldershot 2 0 Havant_&_Wville; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      45   88  +38       9.18    81.68    12.93    90.30     1.12    39.47    99.44   100.00    99.62P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       45   85  +33      11.16    85.28    14.79    86.55     1.31    33.26     0.55   100.00    25.55P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     45   85  +30      14.86    92.72    17.34    86.38     1.30    30.03     0.00   100.00    21.11P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          45   81  +33       3.27    62.00     8.94    82.91     1.25    33.75     0.00   100.00    31.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   81  +18      12.02    88.51     6.99    82.57     1.30    18.28     0.00   100.00    22.39P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     45   74  +22       5.47    69.34    11.68    75.15     1.25    21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          45   73   -1      13.12    89.84     1.67    74.25     1.28    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   67  +18      -2.55    40.03     6.15    68.41     1.31    18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   66   +6       1.23    54.86     0.89    67.60     1.29     6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      45   65   -2       3.51    63.60    -2.11    66.21     1.28    -2.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   61   -1       1.72    57.00     1.68    62.11     1.23    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       45   59   +4     -10.18    16.59    -7.31    60.69     1.30     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            45   57   -5      -4.36    34.14    -4.22    58.33     1.31    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             45   57   -7      -8.18    21.44   -12.79    58.61     1.31    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     45   57   -9      -4.79    32.09    -9.45    58.52     1.31    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            45   56   -1       0.14    51.14     5.39    56.83     1.13    -1.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         45   56   -7      -2.79    39.62    -3.19    57.19     1.28    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          45   55   -6      -7.12    24.38    -7.08    56.34     1.29    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       45   51  -12      -7.26    23.63    -7.80    52.48     1.31   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         45   51  -27       2.46    60.92    -7.32    52.05     1.23   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   41  -31     -10.55    13.96   -17.37    42.46     1.30   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    45   40  -20      -8.58    20.43     2.12    41.14     1.27   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   40  -30      -3.08    38.64    -0.84    40.52     0.96   -31.47     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   45   34  -43      -6.70    24.07   -11.08    35.26     1.28   -43.13     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00