Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 22 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Chelsea 2 2 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 35 88 +59 12.20 95.07 11.87 95.31 1.73 64.68 47.24 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_City 34 86 +65 6.12 81.29 4.12 95.13 2.22 71.20 52.76 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 34 67 +29 1.05 54.18 -2.23 75.97 2.32 34.62 0.00 0.00 72.73 92.17 100.00 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 35 67 +21 3.40 65.37 -2.95 71.93 2.21 22.27 0.00 0.00 4.12 25.58 100.00 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 34 66 +25 4.26 69.33 0.17 73.61 2.56 28.36 0.00 0.00 20.19 63.71 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 34 64 +15 2.53 61.55 -8.09 71.34 2.39 17.97 0.00 0.00 2.96 18.55 100.00 0.00 0.00
Everton 35 49 +6 -1.25 44.48 3.80 52.84 2.13 5.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Watford 34 49 +0 6.93 79.75 9.35 54.57 2.55 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Leicester 35 48 +1 -1.13 45.10 0.59 50.58 1.98 -1.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 34 48 -1 5.38 74.03 6.25 52.58 2.37 -2.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 35 43 -10 0.71 54.08 1.58 46.21 2.08 -11.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Crystal_Palace 35 42 -5 -1.45 43.71 3.60 46.71 2.30 -4.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Newcastle 35 41 -9 -1.94 41.19 -0.67 44.62 2.13 -9.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bournemouth 35 41 -13 -0.57 48.14 0.99 43.99 2.15 -14.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Burnley 35 40 -18 -0.68 47.32 -4.81 42.25 1.94 -21.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Southampton 34 36 -17 -2.48 38.91 -2.31 41.86 2.55 -16.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00
Brighton 34 34 -21 -1.55 43.34 -3.08 36.56 1.99 -26.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.06R 0.00
Cardiff 35 31 -35 0.51 53.95 -4.10 33.71 2.00 -37.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.82R 0.00
Fulham 35 23 -43 -5.92 22.79 -5.64 26.55 2.19 -43.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.01
Huddersfield 35 14 -49 -10.26 6.12 -8.45 15.33 1.50 -54.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.99
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aston_Villa 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Norwich 44 88 +34 14.18 91.97 13.00 91.09 1.81 34.51 75.13 99.89 100.00 99.91P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 44 85 +35 10.79 86.15 14.18 88.64 1.72 36.39 24.84 94.98 100.00 96.32P 0.00 0.00
Leeds_United 44 82 +24 12.96 90.29 11.00 85.24 1.86 24.72 0.03 5.14 100.00 27.14P 0.00 0.00
West_Brom 44 77 +26 0.07 49.99 0.34 80.69 1.70 27.70 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.89P 0.00 0.00
Aston_Villa 44 75 +22 0.78 52.72 0.88 77.91 1.87 22.26 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.77P 0.00 0.00
Derby 43 67 +11 -1.04 45.98 -2.40 70.90 2.26 10.69 0.00 0.00 47.01 10.41P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 44 67 +6 -0.28 48.70 -4.38 70.64 1.79 7.26 0.00 0.00 24.58 5.66P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 43 66 +7 3.98 65.78 2.64 69.99 2.27 6.82 0.00 0.00 26.04 4.47P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Wed 44 63 -1 2.16 58.85 -1.64 65.96 1.80 -0.68 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00
Swansea 43 62 +3 -2.43 40.85 -5.03 66.64 2.29 3.79 0.00 0.00 2.35 0.43P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 44 60 +5 1.17 54.92 7.45 63.46 1.77 6.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Preston 44 60 +3 -2.98 38.85 -0.73 62.70 1.82 2.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hull 44 60 -2 -0.81 47.21 -1.82 62.54 1.81 -2.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Birmingham 44 59 +6 2.75 61.48 12.44 61.86 1.83 6.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Blackburn 44 59 -4 0.08 50.74 -1.25 61.25 1.76 -4.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Brentford 44 58 +10 -8.09 21.54 1.59 61.58 1.85 11.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stoke 44 53 -7 -7.77 22.03 -8.10 55.59 1.80 -7.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Wigan 44 48 -14 -8.28 20.82 -8.00 50.77 1.81 -13.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
QPR 44 48 -18 -2.69 39.78 -2.23 50.33 1.78 -18.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reading 44 46 -16 -4.34 33.44 -0.26 48.25 1.72 -16.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00
Millwall 43 43 -14 -9.83 15.56 -4.89 46.92 2.22 -14.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.98R 0.00
Rotherham 44 40 -29 -3.16 38.03 0.22 41.48 1.53 -31.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.02R 0.00
Bolton 44 32 -47 -3.43 35.70 -8.34 33.53 1.57 -48.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 5.01
Ipswich 44 28 -40 -15.65 4.07 -14.67 29.58 1.57 -41.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 94.99
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Blackpool 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Luton 43 90 +47 10.22 84.74 15.24 95.83 2.17 49.60 91.14 98.20 100.00 98.73P 0.00 0.00
Barnsley 44 88 +41 5.15 69.02 7.39 91.75 1.79 42.42 4.61 58.19 100.00 73.57P 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 43 86 +33 13.81 91.61 13.26 90.86 2.22 34.11 3.66 30.20 100.00 47.17P 0.00 0.00
Sunderland 43 84 +35 4.42 66.79 3.67 89.16 2.28 36.55 0.59 13.42 100.00 42.81P 0.00 0.00
Charlton 44 82 +27 9.01 81.29 8.58 85.77 1.79 28.55 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.79P 0.00 0.00
Doncaster 43 69 +17 4.02 65.32 8.22 74.05 2.26 18.38 0.00 0.00 90.95 13.52P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 43 66 +9 1.39 55.66 0.86 70.20 2.27 9.09 0.00 0.00 8.75 1.39P 0.00 0.00
Coventry 44 64 +2 6.54 74.12 5.68 66.49 1.79 1.66 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.03P 0.00 0.00
Blackpool 44 62 +2 1.50 56.41 1.33 64.43 1.73 1.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 44 60 +10 -5.53 29.86 2.42 62.37 1.83 9.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 44 59 -4 0.03 50.45 -1.70 61.07 1.73 -5.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 43 57 +6 -4.03 34.77 2.95 61.20 2.25 6.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gillingham 44 52 -12 -2.35 41.48 -2.06 54.15 1.77 -12.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 44 51 -30 2.46 60.70 -10.38 53.07 1.72 -31.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 44 50 -4 -7.32 23.51 0.14 52.06 1.72 -4.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00
Shrewsbury 44 50 -8 -8.47 19.87 -5.48 52.97 1.82 -7.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00
Wycombe 44 50 -12 -0.36 49.49 3.64 52.55 1.83 -12.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.69R 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 43 48 -21 1.56 57.34 -2.24 50.94 2.08 -22.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.48R 0.00
Southend 44 47 -13 -8.34 20.57 -5.05 49.34 1.81 -13.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.24R 0.00
Plymouth 44 47 -21 -3.95 34.97 -6.08 49.81 1.87 -20.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.50R 0.00
Scunthorpe 44 46 -28 -7.27 23.56 -16.56 48.90 1.87 -27.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.41R 0.00
AFC_Wimbledon 43 45 -22 -1.80 43.22 -5.01 48.19 2.09 -23.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.76R 0.00
Walsall 44 43 -25 -5.79 28.13 -7.18 45.15 1.78 -25.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.52R 2.82
Bradford 44 37 -29 -12.17 10.48 -11.64 39.68 1.83 -29.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 97.18
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Bury 3 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Lincoln_City 44 85 +34 9.65 83.20 11.99 88.37 1.84 34.90 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00
Bury 44 77 +26 1.71 56.37 3.12 80.43 1.81 27.02 0.00 86.83 100.00 91.09P 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 44 76 +30 0.69 52.34 8.27 79.06 1.80 30.48 0.00 62.97 100.00 75.93P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 44 76 +23 0.05 49.99 -0.13 78.95 1.86 23.31 0.00 45.04 100.00 64.45P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 44 73 +22 8.87 80.66 16.45 75.75 1.85 22.03 0.00 3.75 100.00 24.37P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 44 72 +15 8.08 78.57 9.58 74.79 1.85 15.08 0.00 1.41 99.95 22.66P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 44 66 +10 -1.51 44.17 -0.49 68.74 1.84 10.00 0.00 0.00 42.49 10.02P 0.00 0.00
Colchester 44 64 +7 -1.11 45.71 -0.07 66.29 1.78 6.35 0.00 0.00 5.73 1.22P 0.00 0.00
Carlisle 44 64 +3 0.52 52.12 -1.42 67.43 1.84 4.01 0.00 0.00 12.87 2.55P 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 44 64 +1 3.33 63.19 0.52 66.57 1.75 0.76 0.00 0.00 4.38 0.84P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 43 64 -3 8.01 79.28 1.48 67.73 2.25 -3.52 0.00 0.00 18.27 2.64P 0.00 0.00
Oldham 43 62 +13 -7.41 23.64 -2.44 66.48 2.26 13.56 0.00 0.00 15.71 4.12P 0.00 0.00
Crewe 44 62 +2 2.55 60.47 3.56 64.85 1.85 2.15 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.10P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 44 61 +2 -2.82 39.13 -3.11 64.30 1.84 2.82 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00
Northampton 44 57 -2 -5.30 30.72 -4.74 59.90 1.77 -1.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cheltenham 44 54 -10 -1.03 46.44 -1.46 56.41 1.81 -10.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 44 53 -12 2.36 60.22 1.09 55.55 1.82 -12.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Morecambe 44 50 -17 -0.01 50.73 -1.51 52.59 1.82 -17.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 44 50 -17 -1.25 45.91 -3.49 52.17 1.76 -17.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Port_Vale 44 48 -15 -4.70 31.93 -5.07 50.52 1.71 -15.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 44 46 -25 -4.07 34.38 -10.67 48.90 1.84 -24.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 44 40 -27 -2.09 42.43 1.40 42.32 1.77 -27.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.68R 7.56
Yeovil 44 38 -25 -9.13 16.89 -5.62 40.04 1.74 -26.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.54R 42.04
Notts_County 44 38 -35 -11.15 12.47 -17.23 40.38 1.76 -35.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.77R 50.40
National League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aldershot 2 0 Havant_&_Wville; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Leyton_Orient 45 88 +38 9.16 81.63 12.89 90.30 1.11 39.48 99.49 100.00 99.66P 0.00 0.00
Salford_City 45 85 +33 10.90 84.56 14.46 86.56 1.31 33.27 0.50 100.00 26.18P 0.00 0.00
Solihull_Moors 45 85 +30 15.17 93.01 17.79 86.39 1.30 30.03 0.01 100.00 20.75P 0.00 0.00
AFC_Fylde 45 81 +33 3.31 62.49 9.01 82.91 1.25 33.75 0.00 100.00 30.92P 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 45 81 +18 12.07 88.45 7.02 82.57 1.30 18.28 0.00 100.00 22.48P 0.00 0.00
Harrogate_Town 45 74 +22 5.11 68.39 11.18 75.16 1.25 21.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eastleigh 45 73 -1 13.27 90.12 1.88 74.24 1.28 -1.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 45 67 +18 -2.29 41.37 6.57 68.41 1.32 18.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 45 66 +6 1.02 54.05 0.62 67.61 1.29 6.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sutton_United 45 65 -2 3.26 62.80 -2.48 66.21 1.28 -2.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Barrow 45 61 -1 1.92 57.82 1.98 62.10 1.23 -1.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Chesterfield 45 59 +4 -10.33 16.38 -7.52 60.68 1.30 4.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bromley 45 57 -5 -4.18 34.72 -4.02 58.33 1.31 -5.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Barnet 45 57 -7 -7.69 23.06 -12.17 58.59 1.31 -6.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 45 57 -9 -4.97 31.66 -9.75 58.52 1.31 -8.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Halifax 45 56 -1 -0.27 49.36 4.89 56.83 1.13 -1.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hartlepool 45 56 -7 -2.61 40.32 -2.94 57.17 1.27 -7.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dag_&_Red 45 55 -6 -7.08 24.70 -7.00 56.33 1.30 -6.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Boreham_Wood 45 51 -12 -7.00 24.68 -7.54 52.49 1.31 -11.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Maidenhead 45 51 -27 2.40 60.68 -7.50 52.06 1.24 -27.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Aldershot 45 41 -31 -10.47 14.27 -17.23 42.44 1.30 -30.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Havant_&_Wville 45 40 -20 -8.66 20.01 1.96 41.15 1.27 -20.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Braintree_Town 45 40 -30 -3.17 38.28 -0.85 40.52 0.96 -31.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00
Maidstone_United 45 34 -43 -6.84 23.60 -11.26 35.27 1.28 -43.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
