Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 April 2019, Arsenal 2 3 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        35   88  +59      12.27    95.21    11.96    95.31     1.73    64.71    47.12   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   86  +65       6.08    80.85     3.97    95.13     2.22    71.22    52.88   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   67  +29       0.91    53.85    -2.52    75.96     2.31    34.63     0.00     0.00    67.34    89.03   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   66  +25       4.19    69.00    -0.02    73.60     2.56    28.36     0.00     0.00    18.39    55.40   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   66  +21       4.33    69.83    -2.20    73.21     2.51    23.66     0.00     0.00    11.68    40.39   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   64  +15       2.59    61.77    -7.95    71.33     2.37    17.95     0.00     0.00     2.59    15.18   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   49   +6      -0.97    45.74     4.27    52.83     2.12     5.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   49   +0       6.86    79.72     9.25    54.57     2.55    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   48   +1      -0.99    45.64     0.91    50.57     1.99    -1.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   48   -1       5.52    74.69     6.49    52.56     2.37    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   43  -10       0.54    53.12     1.31    46.20     2.08   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   42   -5      -1.67    42.55     3.34    46.72     2.29    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   41   -9      -1.97    41.08    -0.62    44.62     2.15    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -13      -0.55    48.12     0.99    43.97     2.14   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          34   39  -18      -0.68    47.38    -5.52    41.80     2.18   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton      34   36  -17      -2.69    37.67    -2.66    41.93     2.56   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Brighton         34   34  -21      -1.72    42.42    -3.27    36.60     2.01   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.65R    0.00  
Cardiff          35   31  -35       0.71    55.05    -3.84    33.67     1.99   -37.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.23R    0.00  
Fulham           35   23  -43      -5.90    22.63    -5.56    26.59     2.17   -43.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     35   14  -49     -10.24     6.08    -8.32    15.32     1.51   -54.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, Birmingham 2 2 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         43   87  +34      14.52    92.75    12.96    91.48     2.26    34.57    86.10    98.17   100.00    98.60P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   82  +32      10.12    84.61    12.75    87.04     2.19    33.43     9.92    63.52   100.00    73.39P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   82  +26      13.46    90.97    11.72    86.50     2.28    26.55     3.98    37.27   100.00    51.58P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       43   76  +26       0.51    51.32     0.33    81.46     2.17    28.28     0.00     1.04   100.00    31.44P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     43   72  +21      -0.14    49.11     0.81    76.89     2.25    22.17     0.00     0.00    98.73    23.52P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   43   67   +9      -0.33    48.61    -3.17    72.07     2.21    10.36     0.00     0.00    45.66    10.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    42   66   +9       4.45    67.62     3.24    71.27     2.63     8.68     0.00     0.00    33.61     5.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   64   +9      -1.81    42.65    -3.17    69.89     2.61     9.62     0.00     0.00    21.37     4.60P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   60   +5      -2.73    39.51    -0.39    64.09     2.25     4.93     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            43   60   +1      -0.34    49.08    -0.27    63.90     2.27     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   60   -3       1.79    57.69    -1.77    64.37     2.24    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         42   59   +2      -3.34    37.42    -4.95    65.23     2.66     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   57   +2       0.65    53.05     6.23    61.69     2.19     2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      43   56   +4       2.26    59.63    12.07    60.25     2.27     4.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       43   56   -6      -0.27    49.41    -1.34    60.37     2.14    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   55   +8      -8.99    18.63     0.71    60.07     2.29     9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           43   52   -7      -7.33    23.22    -8.06    55.95     2.24    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   48  -16      -2.37    41.01    -1.88    51.17     2.14   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Reading         43   45  -16      -4.11    34.02    -0.28    48.26     2.14   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.00  
Wigan           43   45  -16      -9.15    17.87    -8.78    49.18     2.26   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Millwall        42   43  -13      -9.25    16.84    -5.07    47.69     2.51   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.07R    0.00  
Rotherham       43   40  -27      -2.77    39.56     0.39    42.82     2.03   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.27R    0.00  
Bolton          43   32  -45      -3.06    37.14    -7.84    34.24     1.93   -47.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.26  
Ipswich         43   28  -39     -14.77     4.86   -14.24    30.70     2.03   -41.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.74  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 3 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                43   90  +47      10.13    84.69    15.15    95.81     2.17    49.56    92.25    98.75   100.00    99.20P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             43   85  +38       4.88    68.52     6.43    90.59     2.23    40.14     2.74    44.52   100.00    64.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           42   83  +35       4.68    67.72     3.42    89.83     2.66    36.97     2.90    31.91   100.00    55.74P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           42   83  +32      12.93    90.15    13.37    89.63     2.59    33.69     2.11    24.77   100.00    43.15P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             43   79  +23       9.44    82.57     7.57    84.61     2.22    25.23     0.00     0.05   100.00    21.61P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            43   69  +17       3.99    65.28     8.19    74.04     2.27    18.36     0.00     0.00    86.35    13.38P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         42   65   +9       1.74    57.02     0.84    70.31     2.64     8.68     0.00     0.00    11.77     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             43   64   +3       7.20    76.33     5.64    67.43     2.17     2.03     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   60  +11      -4.50    33.17     2.88    63.90     2.27    10.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            43   59   +1       0.26    51.43     0.83    62.88     2.18     0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   57   +7      -3.01    38.47     3.41    62.51     2.62     7.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   56   -5      -1.09    46.11    -2.08    59.27     2.17    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   51  -12      -2.11    42.24    -2.34    54.55     2.22   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   50   -3      -6.23    26.81     0.86    53.84     2.19    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   50   -7      -7.50    22.62    -5.22    54.50     2.25    -6.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -21       1.52    57.03    -2.48    50.94     2.08   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.09R    0.00  
Rochdale             43   48  -31       1.15    55.56   -10.66    51.11     2.14   -32.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.83R    0.00  
Wycombe              43   47  -13      -1.67    44.07     3.29    51.08     2.27   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.61R    0.00  
Plymouth             43   47  -18      -3.82    35.38    -5.07    50.66     2.22   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.07R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           43   46  -24      -7.61    22.62   -15.25    49.82     2.21   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.23R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   45  -22      -1.79    43.36    -5.11    48.20     2.10   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.41R    0.72  
Southend             43   44  -14      -9.56    16.64    -5.55    47.56     2.23   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.78R    0.31  
Walsall              43   43  -24      -4.87    31.33    -6.75    46.35     2.19   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.91R    2.45  
Bradford             43   36  -29     -11.65    11.04   -11.36    40.04     2.26   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     43   84  +34      10.26    84.74    12.21    89.20     2.26    35.56    99.58   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   76  +31       1.67    56.55     8.74    80.37     2.23    31.41     0.39    76.21   100.00    84.71P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   75  +23       0.73    52.67     0.26    79.98     2.24    24.25     0.03    61.68   100.00    75.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             43   74  +24       1.25    54.43     3.04    79.25     2.25    25.70     0.00    56.87   100.00    71.65P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   71  +15       8.13    78.78     9.19    74.74     2.22    14.46     0.00     2.68    98.92    23.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   70  +21       7.67    77.82    16.01    74.59     2.26    21.69     0.00     2.56    98.29    23.43P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           43   65  +10      -1.19    45.22    -0.64    69.07     2.28     9.97     0.00     0.00    35.26     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   64   +4       1.63    56.48    -0.80    68.92     2.27     5.19     0.00     0.00    27.06     5.46P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   63   +7      -0.55    47.94     0.20    66.83     2.22     6.59     0.00     0.00     7.56     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        43   63   +1       3.85    65.01     0.79    66.92     2.20     0.74     0.00     0.00     7.32     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   42   63   -3       8.49    80.70     1.74    68.30     2.62    -3.23     0.00     0.00    17.87     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   61   +3      -1.75    43.29    -2.55    66.00     2.26     4.31     0.00     0.00     3.22     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   59  +12      -8.59    19.55    -2.72    64.87     2.64    12.56     0.00     0.00     4.43     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            43   59   +1       1.40    55.98     3.19    62.86     2.24     0.64     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   57   +0      -4.85    32.30    -4.22    60.85     2.17    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       43   54   -6      -1.15    45.89     0.14    57.83     2.26    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   50  -13       0.86    54.37     0.40    53.80     2.23   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     43   49  -17      -0.72    47.72    -3.22    52.81     2.23   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        43   47  -15      -4.67    31.85    -5.54    50.26     2.04   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        43   47  -21      -0.11    50.45    -3.24    50.88     2.25   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    43   46  -24      -3.44    36.60   -10.71    49.87     2.20   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield     43   39  -27      -1.94    43.12     1.31    42.55     2.20   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.88R   10.56  
Yeovil           43   37  -25      -9.13    16.93    -6.10    40.18     2.15   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.67R   41.41  
Notts_County     43   37  -35     -10.98    12.55   -17.50    40.49     2.18   -35.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.42R   48.03  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      44   87  +38       9.47    82.71    12.75    90.76     1.72    39.63    85.11   100.00    89.69P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       44   85  +34      11.94    87.01    14.84    88.02     1.86    34.40    11.20   100.00    34.08P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     44   84  +30      15.64    93.77    17.94    86.64     1.83    29.88     3.69   100.00    24.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   81  +19      13.08    90.59     7.64    84.07     1.80    19.51     0.00   100.00    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          44   78  +32       2.25    58.80     8.86    81.18     1.82    32.61     0.00   100.00    28.93P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     44   71  +20       4.64    66.93    10.95    73.65     1.82    19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          44   70   -3      12.40    88.96     1.07    72.99     1.84    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   67  +19      -1.31    44.73     7.01    70.12     1.87    19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   66   +8       1.64    56.62     1.54    68.85     1.83     8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      44   64   -2       3.94    65.50    -2.06    67.22     1.80    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   58   -2       0.38    52.08     1.18    60.58     1.80    -2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       44   56   +3     -11.59    12.99    -7.96    59.38     1.83     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            44   56   -5      -4.30    33.97    -4.67    58.44     1.82    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         44   56   -6      -1.82    43.22    -2.69    58.40     1.81    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             44   56   -7      -7.54    22.90   -12.46    59.21     1.86    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          44   55   -4      -6.08    27.58    -5.54    58.08     1.85    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     44   54  -10      -6.04    27.71    -9.83    56.52     1.81   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            44   53   -2      -1.33    45.08     4.69    55.01     1.66    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       44   51  -11      -6.31    26.34    -7.54    53.50     1.79   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         44   51  -25       2.79    62.09    -6.96    53.07     1.76   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    44   40  -18      -8.25    21.25     2.50    42.36     1.81   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot          44   38  -33     -11.29    11.80   -18.07    41.01     1.86   -32.60     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.22  
Braintree_Town     44   37  -32      -3.94    35.16    -1.36    38.55     1.58   -34.01     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.29  
Maidstone_United   44   33  -43      -6.76    23.41   -11.84    35.05     1.71   -44.01     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.49