Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2019, Bournemouth 0 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         34   86  +65       6.06    80.63     4.05    95.10     2.22    71.14    59.51   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   85  +57      11.81    94.67    11.83    94.73     2.04    64.45    40.49   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   67  +29       1.10    54.61    -2.22    76.00     2.31    34.67     0.00     0.00    47.07    79.51   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   66  +26       5.82    76.14     1.35    75.89     2.84    30.79     0.00     0.00    39.39    71.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   66  +21       4.21    69.25    -2.43    73.18     2.49    23.62     0.00     0.00     6.45    23.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   64  +19       2.71    62.58    -6.07    73.11     2.73    22.60     0.00     0.00     7.09    24.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   49   +0       6.91    79.94     9.33    54.56     2.54    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   48   +1      -1.13    45.05     0.73    50.54     1.99    -2.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   48   -1       5.34    73.92     6.25    52.56     2.37    -2.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   46   +2      -1.63    42.65     1.88    50.88     2.48     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   43  -10       0.70    54.12     1.60    46.20     2.06   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   41   -9      -2.08    40.76    -0.85    44.62     2.13    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -13      -0.61    47.87     0.87    44.03     2.16   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   39   -6      -3.16    35.52     2.33    44.31     2.54    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          34   39  -18      -0.61    47.67    -5.37    41.80     2.19   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Southampton      34   36  -17      -2.47    38.69    -2.29    41.87     2.57   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Brighton         34   34  -21      -1.52    43.18    -3.00    36.56     1.99   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.25R    0.00  
Cardiff          34   31  -33       0.91    55.90    -3.82    34.09     2.19   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.48R    0.00  
Fulham           35   23  -43      -5.94    22.52    -5.55    26.56     2.18   -43.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.01  
Huddersfield     35   14  -49     -10.37     6.04    -8.61    15.31     1.50   -54.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, Birmingham 2 2 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         43   87  +34      14.64    92.78    13.17    91.49     2.25    34.57    86.39    98.18   100.00    98.59P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   82  +32      10.20    84.75    12.80    87.04     2.19    33.41     9.69    63.21   100.00    72.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   82  +26      13.41    91.19    11.60    86.53     2.28    26.59     3.92    37.60   100.00    51.78P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       43   76  +26       0.68    52.36     0.62    81.43     2.17    28.23     0.00     1.01   100.00    31.25P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     43   72  +21       0.10    50.26     1.21    76.88     2.25    22.16     0.00     0.00    98.73    23.58P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   43   67   +9      -0.33    48.79    -3.21    72.08     2.21    10.37     0.00     0.00    46.07    11.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    42   66   +9       4.34    66.80     3.09    71.24     2.62     8.66     0.00     0.00    33.21     5.86P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   64   +9      -1.63    43.70    -2.88    69.87     2.61     9.62     0.00     0.00    21.30     4.76P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   60   +5      -2.39    40.71     0.08    64.08     2.25     4.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            43   60   +1      -0.57    48.08    -0.65    63.93     2.26     0.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   60   -3       1.50    56.46    -2.19    64.40     2.25    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         42   59   +2      -3.60    36.12    -5.35    65.26     2.67     3.12     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   57   +2       0.54    52.75     6.07    61.70     2.19     2.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      43   56   +4       2.29    59.73    12.10    60.24     2.27     4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       43   56   -6      -0.34    49.22    -1.40    60.35     2.15    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   55   +8      -8.91    18.95     0.77    60.04     2.29     9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           43   52   -7      -7.33    23.31    -8.01    55.92     2.24    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   48  -16      -2.29    41.38    -1.71    51.17     2.15   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Reading         43   45  -16      -4.33    33.19    -0.63    48.28     2.12   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.00  
Wigan           43   45  -16      -8.96    18.39    -8.54    49.17     2.26   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Millwall        42   43  -13      -9.41    16.23    -5.28    47.72     2.53   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.06R    0.00  
Rotherham       43   40  -27      -2.72    39.53     0.46    42.83     2.04   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.31R    0.00  
Bolton          43   32  -45      -2.99    37.24    -7.83    34.23     1.92   -47.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.19  
Ipswich         43   28  -39     -14.81     4.73   -14.27    30.67     2.02   -41.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.81  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 3 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                43   90  +47       9.95    83.97    14.90    95.81     2.17    49.55    92.30    98.66   100.00    99.07P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             43   85  +38       4.83    68.11     6.35    90.62     2.23    40.18     2.91    44.85   100.00    65.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           42   83  +35       4.82    68.37     3.66    89.81     2.68    36.97     2.69    31.94   100.00    55.51P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           42   83  +32      13.06    90.60    13.48    89.65     2.57    33.70     2.10    24.51   100.00    42.97P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             43   79  +23       9.62    83.06     7.86    84.58     2.22    25.18     0.00     0.04   100.00    21.83P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            43   69  +17       4.03    65.44     8.28    74.05     2.27    18.38     0.00     0.00    86.54    13.17P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         42   65   +9       1.84    57.31     1.00    70.32     2.63     8.66     0.00     0.00    11.42     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             43   64   +3       7.26    76.65     5.74    67.41     2.17     2.01     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   60  +11      -4.75    32.27     2.52    63.90     2.26    10.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            43   59   +1      -0.10    50.08     0.35    62.90     2.19     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   57   +7      -3.08    37.95     3.36    62.48     2.62     7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   56   -5      -1.22    45.85    -2.22    59.28     2.15    -6.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   51  -12      -1.98    42.69    -2.11    54.54     2.22   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   50   -3      -6.03    27.53     1.10    53.81     2.19    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   50   -7      -7.43    23.03    -5.22    54.52     2.25    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -21       1.82    58.27    -1.95    50.93     2.08   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.23R    0.00  
Rochdale             43   48  -31       1.02    55.16   -10.90    51.12     2.14   -32.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.87R    0.00  
Wycombe              43   47  -13      -1.71    43.86     3.12    51.08     2.27   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.83R    0.00  
Plymouth             43   47  -18      -3.70    35.91    -4.88    50.64     2.21   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.49R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           43   46  -24      -7.84    21.41   -15.54    49.84     2.22   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.94R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   45  -22      -1.92    42.70    -5.27    48.22     2.08   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.87R    0.72  
Southend             43   44  -14      -9.57    16.61    -5.61    47.59     2.23   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.65R    0.31  
Walsall              43   43  -24      -4.73    31.78    -6.57    46.34     2.20   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.99R    2.52  
Bradford             43   36  -29     -11.73    11.17   -11.43    40.03     2.26   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.45  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     43   84  +34      10.12    84.49    12.02    89.19     2.26    35.56    99.54   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   76  +31       1.60    56.04     8.71    80.38     2.21    31.41     0.40    76.20   100.00    84.99P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   75  +23       0.53    51.95    -0.04    79.99     2.23    24.28     0.06    62.02   100.00    76.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             43   74  +24       0.98    53.27     2.55    79.26     2.24    25.74     0.00    56.63   100.00    71.62P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   71  +15       8.00    78.31     8.96    74.75     2.23    14.46     0.00     2.66    98.86    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   70  +21       7.75    78.00    16.20    74.58     2.26    21.68     0.00     2.49    98.17    22.97P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           43   65  +10      -1.10    45.59    -0.48    69.08     2.27     9.98     0.00     0.00    35.06     8.24P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   64   +4       1.66    56.90    -0.79    68.91     2.29     5.19     0.00     0.00    26.67     5.21P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   63   +7      -0.60    47.87     0.15    66.83     2.21     6.59     0.00     0.00     7.44     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        43   63   +1       3.65    64.62     0.48    66.95     2.20     0.78     0.00     0.00     7.44     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   42   63   -3       8.27    80.53     1.38    68.34     2.62    -3.18     0.00     0.00    18.45     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   61   +3      -1.73    43.46    -2.58    66.01     2.27     4.32     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   59  +12      -8.20    20.85    -2.09    64.83     2.64    12.52     0.00     0.00     4.45     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            43   59   +1       1.29    55.67     3.01    62.85     2.24     0.64     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   57   +0      -4.90    31.63    -4.26    60.86     2.16    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       43   54   -6      -0.93    46.81     0.46    57.81     2.26    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   50  -13       0.93    54.76     0.46    53.82     2.24   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     43   49  -17      -0.80    47.39    -3.32    52.79     2.21   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        43   47  -15      -4.33    33.00    -5.03    50.23     2.04   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        43   47  -21      -0.09    50.57    -3.15    50.87     2.25   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    43   46  -24      -3.44    36.64   -10.77    49.88     2.20   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Macclesfield     43   39  -27      -1.95    43.00     1.26    42.54     2.20   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.74R   10.39  
Yeovil           43   37  -25      -8.97    16.99    -5.90    40.17     2.14   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.73R   41.28  
Notts_County     43   37  -35     -10.83    13.05   -17.23    40.48     2.17   -35.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.48R   48.33  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      44   87  +38       9.35    82.56    12.57    90.79     1.71    39.66    85.47   100.00    89.87P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       44   85  +34      11.98    87.20    14.97    88.00     1.87    34.39    10.98   100.00    33.72P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     44   84  +30      15.45    93.42    17.67    86.64     1.84    29.87     3.55   100.00    23.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   81  +19      13.10    90.64     7.64    84.09     1.81    19.51     0.00   100.00    23.45P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          44   78  +32       2.16    58.26     8.68    81.20     1.81    32.63     0.00   100.00    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     44   71  +20       4.77    67.53    11.21    73.65     1.82    19.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          44   70   -3      12.54    89.15     1.34    72.98     1.84    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   67  +19      -1.26    44.92     7.05    70.14     1.85    19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   66   +8       1.44    55.97     1.25    68.86     1.83     8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      44   64   -2       3.91    65.36    -2.11    67.22     1.80    -1.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   58   -2       0.59    52.78     1.44    60.58     1.80    -2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       44   56   +3     -11.34    13.50    -7.66    59.38     1.84     3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            44   56   -5      -3.96    35.38    -4.11    58.42     1.81    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         44   56   -6      -2.01    42.56    -2.99    58.40     1.81    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             44   56   -7      -7.28    24.04   -12.06    59.21     1.86    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          44   55   -4      -6.24    27.02    -5.82    58.08     1.85    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     44   54  -10      -6.26    27.14   -10.19    56.53     1.81   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            44   53   -2      -1.52    44.51     4.42    54.99     1.66    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       44   51  -11      -6.33    26.73    -7.57    53.51     1.79   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         44   51  -25       2.64    61.33    -7.13    53.08     1.75   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    44   40  -18      -8.05    21.66     2.79    42.34     1.82   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot          44   38  -33     -11.36    11.92   -18.19    41.02     1.85   -32.58     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.20  
Braintree_Town     44   37  -32      -4.18    34.03    -1.73    38.53     1.56   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.29  
Maidstone_United   44   33  -43      -6.55    24.27   -11.50    35.05     1.71   -44.02     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.50