Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 20 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2019, Bournemouth 0 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 34 86 +65 6.06 80.63 4.05 95.10 2.22 71.14 59.51 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 34 85 +57 11.81 94.67 11.83 94.73 2.04 64.45 40.49 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 34 67 +29 1.10 54.61 -2.22 76.00 2.31 34.67 0.00 0.00 47.07 79.51 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 66 +26 5.82 76.14 1.35 75.89 2.84 30.79 0.00 0.00 39.39 71.93 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 34 66 +21 4.21 69.25 -2.43 73.18 2.49 23.62 0.00 0.00 6.45 23.61 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 33 64 +19 2.71 62.58 -6.07 73.11 2.73 22.60 0.00 0.00 7.09 24.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 34 49 +0 6.91 79.94 9.33 54.56 2.54 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 35 48 +1 -1.13 45.05 0.73 50.54 1.99 -2.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 34 48 -1 5.34 73.92 6.25 52.56 2.37 -2.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 46 +2 -1.63 42.65 1.88 50.88 2.48 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 35 43 -10 0.70 54.12 1.60 46.20 2.06 -11.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 35 41 -9 -2.08 40.76 -0.85 44.62 2.13 -9.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 35 41 -13 -0.61 47.87 0.87 44.03 2.16 -14.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 34 39 -6 -3.16 35.52 2.33 44.31 2.54 -6.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 34 39 -18 -0.61 47.67 -5.37 41.80 2.19 -22.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Southampton 34 36 -17 -2.47 38.69 -2.29 41.87 2.57 -16.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Brighton 34 34 -21 -1.52 43.18 -3.00 36.56 1.99 -26.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.25R 0.00 Cardiff 34 31 -33 0.91 55.90 -3.82 34.09 2.19 -37.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.48R 0.00 Fulham 35 23 -43 -5.94 22.52 -5.55 26.56 2.18 -43.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.01 Huddersfield 35 14 -49 -10.37 6.04 -8.61 15.31 1.50 -54.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.99Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, Birmingham 2 2 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 43 87 +34 14.64 92.78 13.17 91.49 2.25 34.57 86.39 98.18 100.00 98.59P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 43 82 +32 10.20 84.75 12.80 87.04 2.19 33.41 9.69 63.21 100.00 72.88P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 43 82 +26 13.41 91.19 11.60 86.53 2.28 26.59 3.92 37.60 100.00 51.78P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 43 76 +26 0.68 52.36 0.62 81.43 2.17 28.23 0.00 1.01 100.00 31.25P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 43 72 +21 0.10 50.26 1.21 76.88 2.25 22.16 0.00 0.00 98.73 23.58P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 43 67 +9 -0.33 48.79 -3.21 72.08 2.21 10.37 0.00 0.00 46.07 11.14P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 42 66 +9 4.34 66.80 3.09 71.24 2.62 8.66 0.00 0.00 33.21 5.86P 0.00 0.00 Derby 42 64 +9 -1.63 43.70 -2.88 69.87 2.61 9.62 0.00 0.00 21.30 4.76P 0.00 0.00 Preston 43 60 +5 -2.39 40.71 0.08 64.08 2.25 4.91 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Hull 43 60 +1 -0.57 48.08 -0.65 63.93 2.26 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 43 60 -3 1.50 56.46 -2.19 64.40 2.25 -2.57 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 42 59 +2 -3.60 36.12 -5.35 65.26 2.67 3.12 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.15P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 43 57 +2 0.54 52.75 6.07 61.70 2.19 2.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 43 56 +4 2.29 59.73 12.10 60.24 2.27 4.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 43 56 -6 -0.34 49.22 -1.40 60.35 2.15 -5.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 43 55 +8 -8.91 18.95 0.77 60.04 2.29 9.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 43 52 -7 -7.33 23.31 -8.01 55.92 2.24 -7.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 43 48 -16 -2.29 41.38 -1.71 51.17 2.15 -17.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Reading 43 45 -16 -4.33 33.19 -0.63 48.28 2.12 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.62R 0.00 Wigan 43 45 -16 -8.96 18.39 -8.54 49.17 2.26 -15.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.98R 0.00 Millwall 42 43 -13 -9.41 16.23 -5.28 47.72 2.53 -14.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.06R 0.00 Rotherham 43 40 -27 -2.72 39.53 0.46 42.83 2.04 -29.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.31R 0.00 Bolton 43 32 -45 -2.99 37.24 -7.83 34.23 1.92 -47.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 13.19 Ipswich 43 28 -39 -14.81 4.73 -14.27 30.67 2.02 -41.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 86.81League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 3 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 43 90 +47 9.95 83.97 14.90 95.81 2.17 49.55 92.30 98.66 100.00 99.07P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 43 85 +38 4.83 68.11 6.35 90.62 2.23 40.18 2.91 44.85 100.00 65.35P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 42 83 +35 4.82 68.37 3.66 89.81 2.68 36.97 2.69 31.94 100.00 55.51P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 42 83 +32 13.06 90.60 13.48 89.65 2.57 33.70 2.10 24.51 100.00 42.97P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 43 79 +23 9.62 83.06 7.86 84.58 2.22 25.18 0.00 0.04 100.00 21.83P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 43 69 +17 4.03 65.44 8.28 74.05 2.27 18.38 0.00 0.00 86.54 13.17P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 42 65 +9 1.84 57.31 1.00 70.32 2.63 8.66 0.00 0.00 11.42 1.87P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 43 64 +3 7.26 76.65 5.74 67.41 2.17 2.01 0.00 0.00 1.99 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 43 60 +11 -4.75 32.27 2.52 63.90 2.26 10.66 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 43 59 +1 -0.10 50.08 0.35 62.90 2.19 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 42 57 +7 -3.08 37.95 3.36 62.48 2.62 7.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 43 56 -5 -1.22 45.85 -2.22 59.28 2.15 -6.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 43 51 -12 -1.98 42.69 -2.11 54.54 2.22 -12.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 43 50 -3 -6.03 27.53 1.10 53.81 2.19 -3.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Shrewsbury 43 50 -7 -7.43 23.03 -5.22 54.52 2.25 -6.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 43 48 -21 1.82 58.27 -1.95 50.93 2.08 -22.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.23R 0.00 Rochdale 43 48 -31 1.02 55.16 -10.90 51.12 2.14 -32.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.87R 0.00 Wycombe 43 47 -13 -1.71 43.86 3.12 51.08 2.27 -13.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.83R 0.00 Plymouth 43 47 -18 -3.70 35.91 -4.88 50.64 2.21 -18.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.49R 0.00 Scunthorpe 43 46 -24 -7.84 21.41 -15.54 49.84 2.22 -24.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.94R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 43 45 -22 -1.92 42.70 -5.27 48.22 2.08 -23.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.87R 0.72 Southend 43 44 -14 -9.57 16.61 -5.61 47.59 2.23 -14.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.65R 0.31 Walsall 43 43 -24 -4.73 31.78 -6.57 46.34 2.20 -25.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.99R 2.52 Bradford 43 36 -29 -11.73 11.17 -11.43 40.03 2.26 -29.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.45League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 43 84 +34 10.12 84.49 12.02 89.19 2.26 35.56 99.54 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 43 76 +31 1.60 56.04 8.71 80.38 2.21 31.41 0.40 76.20 100.00 84.99P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 43 75 +23 0.53 51.95 -0.04 79.99 2.23 24.28 0.06 62.02 100.00 76.05P 0.00 0.00 Bury 43 74 +24 0.98 53.27 2.55 79.26 2.24 25.74 0.00 56.63 100.00 71.62P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 43 71 +15 8.00 78.31 8.96 74.75 2.23 14.46 0.00 2.66 98.86 23.25P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 43 70 +21 7.75 78.00 16.20 74.58 2.26 21.68 0.00 2.49 98.17 22.97P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 43 65 +10 -1.10 45.59 -0.48 69.08 2.27 9.98 0.00 0.00 35.06 8.24P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 43 64 +4 1.66 56.90 -0.79 68.91 2.29 5.19 0.00 0.00 26.67 5.21P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 43 63 +7 -0.60 47.87 0.15 66.83 2.21 6.59 0.00 0.00 7.44 1.53P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 43 63 +1 3.65 64.62 0.48 66.95 2.20 0.78 0.00 0.00 7.44 1.29P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 42 63 -3 8.27 80.53 1.38 68.34 2.62 -3.18 0.00 0.00 18.45 2.93P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 43 61 +3 -1.73 43.46 -2.58 66.01 2.27 4.32 0.00 0.00 3.42 0.75P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 42 59 +12 -8.20 20.85 -2.09 64.83 2.64 12.52 0.00 0.00 4.45 1.16P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 43 59 +1 1.29 55.67 3.01 62.85 2.24 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 43 57 +0 -4.90 31.63 -4.26 60.86 2.16 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 43 54 -6 -0.93 46.81 0.46 57.81 2.26 -6.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 43 50 -13 0.93 54.76 0.46 53.82 2.24 -13.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 43 49 -17 -0.80 47.39 -3.32 52.79 2.21 -17.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 43 47 -15 -4.33 33.00 -5.03 50.23 2.04 -16.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 43 47 -21 -0.09 50.57 -3.15 50.87 2.25 -21.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 43 46 -24 -3.44 36.64 -10.77 49.88 2.20 -24.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Macclesfield 43 39 -27 -1.95 43.00 1.26 42.54 2.20 -27.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.74R 10.39 Yeovil 43 37 -25 -8.97 16.99 -5.90 40.17 2.14 -26.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.73R 41.28 Notts_County 43 37 -35 -10.83 13.05 -17.23 40.48 2.17 -35.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.48R 48.33National League (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 44 87 +38 9.35 82.56 12.57 90.79 1.71 39.66 85.47 100.00 89.87P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 44 85 +34 11.98 87.20 14.97 88.00 1.87 34.39 10.98 100.00 33.72P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 44 84 +30 15.45 93.42 17.67 86.64 1.84 29.87 3.55 100.00 23.64P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 44 81 +19 13.10 90.64 7.64 84.09 1.81 19.51 0.00 100.00 23.45P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 44 78 +32 2.16 58.26 8.68 81.20 1.81 32.63 0.00 100.00 29.32P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 44 71 +20 4.77 67.53 11.21 73.65 1.82 19.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 44 70 -3 12.54 89.15 1.34 72.98 1.84 -2.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 44 67 +19 -1.26 44.92 7.05 70.14 1.85 19.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 44 66 +8 1.44 55.97 1.25 68.86 1.83 8.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 44 64 -2 3.91 65.36 -2.11 67.22 1.80 -1.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 44 58 -2 0.59 52.78 1.44 60.58 1.80 -2.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 44 56 +3 -11.34 13.50 -7.66 59.38 1.84 3.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 44 56 -5 -3.96 35.38 -4.11 58.42 1.81 -5.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 44 56 -6 -2.01 42.56 -2.99 58.40 1.81 -6.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 44 56 -7 -7.28 24.04 -12.06 59.21 1.86 -6.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 44 55 -4 -6.24 27.02 -5.82 58.08 1.85 -3.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 44 54 -10 -6.26 27.14 -10.19 56.53 1.81 -10.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 44 53 -2 -1.52 44.51 4.42 54.99 1.66 -2.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 44 51 -11 -6.33 26.73 -7.57 53.51 1.79 -11.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidenhead 44 51 -25 2.64 61.33 -7.13 53.08 1.75 -25.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 44 40 -18 -8.05 21.66 2.79 42.34 1.82 -18.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Aldershot 44 38 -33 -11.36 11.92 -18.19 41.02 1.85 -32.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 1.20 Braintree_Town 44 37 -32 -4.18 34.03 -1.73 38.53 1.56 -34.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 3.29 Maidstone_United 44 33 -43 -6.55 24.27 -11.50 35.05 1.71 -44.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 95.50