Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 19 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2019, Brighton 0 2 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   85  +57      11.89    94.84    11.91    94.75     2.03    64.48    52.25   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   83  +64       5.06    76.57     3.61    94.14     2.57    71.25    47.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   67  +30       1.87    58.39    -2.30    76.74     2.59    34.64     0.00     0.00    54.37    83.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   66  +26       5.82    76.23     1.38    75.85     2.84    30.79     0.00     0.00    34.41    70.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   66  +21       4.34    69.84    -2.19    73.16     2.49    23.58     0.00     0.00     5.18    22.09   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   64  +19       2.70    62.81    -6.16    73.12     2.74    22.60     0.00     0.00     6.04    23.30   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   47   +1      -0.76    46.52     0.61    50.89     2.40    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -1       6.06    76.85     6.92    53.41     2.72    -2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   46   +2      -1.82    41.64     1.59    50.89     2.49     0.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   46   -1       5.86    76.77     9.19    53.33     2.87    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   42  -10       0.99    55.61     1.41    46.61     2.48   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -12       0.70    53.90     1.90    46.08     2.51   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   39   -6      -3.20    35.52     2.27    44.29     2.54    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          34   39  -18      -0.53    48.23    -5.23    41.79     2.19   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   38  -11      -2.79    37.18    -1.57    43.17     2.50   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      33   36  -15      -2.12    39.97    -2.02    43.10     2.87   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Brighton         33   33  -21      -1.46    43.50    -3.17    36.46     2.33   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.36R    0.00  
Cardiff          34   31  -33       0.92    56.07    -3.80    34.13     2.19   -37.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.46R    0.00  
Fulham           34   20  -44      -7.46    15.81    -5.82    24.26     2.47   -46.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.73  
Huddersfield     34   14  -48      -9.55     7.11    -8.51    16.23     1.93   -53.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.27  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, Birmingham 2 2 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         43   87  +34      14.69    92.94    13.25    91.45     2.24    34.52    86.08    98.19   100.00    98.60P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   82  +32      10.26    84.78    12.90    87.03     2.20    33.41     9.84    63.45   100.00    73.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   82  +26      13.40    91.08    11.60    86.50     2.29    26.54     4.08    37.15   100.00    51.48P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       43   76  +26       0.54    51.74     0.42    81.44     2.18    28.25     0.00     1.20   100.00    31.12P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     43   72  +21      -0.21    49.05     0.74    76.91     2.25    22.20     0.00     0.00    98.75    23.99P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   43   67   +9      -0.31    48.93    -3.21    72.07     2.21    10.37     0.00     0.00    45.69    11.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    42   66   +9       4.45    67.47     3.24    71.26     2.64     8.67     0.00     0.00    33.39     5.70P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   64   +9      -1.65    43.53    -2.96    69.87     2.61     9.59     0.00     0.00    21.50     4.64P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   60   +5      -2.43    40.53     0.05    64.06     2.26     4.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            43   60   +1      -0.40    48.42    -0.38    63.92     2.27     0.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   60   -3       1.50    56.57    -2.09    64.41     2.24    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         42   59   +2      -3.63    36.16    -5.38    65.25     2.66     3.13     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   57   +2       0.69    53.22     6.34    61.71     2.20     2.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      43   56   +4       2.23    59.47    12.01    60.23     2.26     4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       43   56   -6      -0.42    48.99    -1.47    60.38     2.15    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   55   +8      -8.99    18.58     0.67    60.06     2.29     9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           43   52   -7      -7.40    23.03    -8.10    55.97     2.24    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   48  -16      -2.36    41.23    -1.83    51.16     2.14   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Reading         43   45  -16      -4.26    33.58    -0.58    48.28     2.14   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Wigan           43   45  -16      -9.15    17.65    -8.81    49.20     2.26   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Millwall        42   43  -13      -9.08    17.56    -4.74    47.66     2.52   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.13R    0.00  
Rotherham       43   40  -27      -2.75    39.70     0.32    42.83     2.03   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.18R    0.00  
Bolton          43   32  -45      -3.00    37.34    -7.76    34.23     1.91   -47.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.30  
Ipswich         43   28  -39     -14.81     4.65   -14.25    30.69     2.03   -41.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.70  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                42   87  +44      10.08    84.66    14.64    94.71     2.54    47.33    82.46    94.84   100.00    96.51P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             43   85  +38       4.81    68.14     6.26    90.62     2.22    40.17     7.08    46.92   100.00    66.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           42   83  +35       4.82    68.63     3.66    89.79     2.67    36.93     5.81    32.37   100.00    55.53P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           42   83  +32      12.93    90.31    13.31    89.63     2.58    33.68     4.65    25.81   100.00    44.23P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             43   79  +23       9.23    82.12     7.33    84.61     2.23    25.22     0.00     0.06   100.00    21.96P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            43   69  +17       4.13    65.87     8.36    74.03     2.27    18.33     0.00     0.00    86.64    13.22P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         42   65   +9       1.67    56.59     0.73    70.33     2.64     8.69     0.00     0.00    11.50     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             43   64   +3       7.38    76.78     5.89    67.41     2.15     2.01     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   60  +11      -4.73    32.49     2.54    63.91     2.28    10.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            43   59   +1       0.24    51.22     0.81    62.86     2.19     0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   57   +7      -3.09    38.00     3.32    62.50     2.62     7.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   56   -5      -1.03    46.24    -1.97    59.28     2.17    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   51  -12      -1.99    42.90    -2.11    54.55     2.22   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   50   -3      -6.28    26.46     0.68    53.82     2.19    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   50   -7      -7.36    22.98    -5.01    54.51     2.25    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -18       1.39    56.60    -1.72    51.81     2.41   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.23R    0.00  
Rochdale             43   48  -31       0.87    54.37   -11.19    51.12     2.15   -32.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.74R    0.00  
Wycombe              43   47  -13      -1.38    45.46     3.64    51.05     2.27   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.23R    0.00  
Plymouth             43   47  -18      -3.89    35.37    -5.20    50.62     2.21   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.07R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           43   46  -24      -7.50    22.75   -15.12    49.82     2.20   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.39R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   45  -22      -1.73    43.56    -4.98    48.23     2.10   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.41R    0.74  
Southend             43   44  -14      -9.78    16.20    -5.91    47.59     2.22   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.38R    0.29  
Walsall              43   43  -24      -4.92    31.20    -6.83    46.36     2.20   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.43R    2.37  
Bradford             43   36  -29     -11.49    11.49   -11.12    40.02     2.26   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.60  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     43   84  +34      10.23    84.84    12.19    89.20     2.26    35.55    99.57   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        43   76  +31       1.64    56.28     8.74    80.36     2.21    31.40     0.38    76.08   100.00    84.56P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   75  +23       0.41    51.33    -0.20    80.00     2.23    24.28     0.05    61.90   100.00    75.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             43   74  +24       1.20    54.30     2.95    79.28     2.25    25.72     0.00    56.99   100.00    71.73P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   71  +15       7.94    78.30     8.89    74.76     2.23    14.50     0.00     2.61    98.96    23.29P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   70  +21       7.88    78.44    16.30    74.59     2.26    21.68     0.00     2.42    98.26    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           43   65  +10      -1.33    44.88    -0.82    69.10     2.27    10.01     0.00     0.00    35.68     8.50P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   64   +4       1.92    57.79    -0.42    68.90     2.27     5.16     0.00     0.00    26.45     5.33P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   63   +7      -0.56    47.93     0.18    66.82     2.21     6.59     0.00     0.00     7.43     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        43   63   +1       3.67    64.44     0.47    66.91     2.20     0.74     0.00     0.00     7.25     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   42   63   -3       8.62    81.08     1.84    68.30     2.63    -3.25     0.00     0.00    18.05     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   61   +3      -1.66    43.48    -2.43    65.99     2.27     4.30     0.00     0.00     3.37     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   59  +12      -8.53    19.87    -2.61    64.86     2.65    12.56     0.00     0.00     4.51     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            43   59   +1       1.45    56.22     3.21    62.85     2.24     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   57   +0      -4.83    32.48    -4.15    60.85     2.17    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       43   54   -6      -1.15    46.08     0.17    57.82     2.25    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   50  -13       0.88    54.41     0.39    53.82     2.24   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     43   49  -17      -0.79    47.45    -3.39    52.77     2.21   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        43   47  -15      -4.47    32.66    -5.30    50.24     2.03   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        43   47  -21      -0.08    50.42    -3.16    50.89     2.24   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    43   46  -24      -3.51    36.40   -10.85    49.89     2.20   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield     43   39  -27      -1.74    43.46     1.71    42.53     2.19   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.27R   10.72  
Yeovil           43   37  -25      -9.07    16.83    -6.11    40.17     2.15   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.69R   41.38  
Notts_County     43   37  -35     -11.11    12.23   -17.60    40.51     2.19   -35.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.01R   47.90  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 19 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      44   87  +38       9.48    82.79    12.77    90.77     1.72    39.64    84.92   100.00    89.51P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       44   85  +34      11.67    87.03    14.47    88.03     1.87    34.41    11.46   100.00    34.30P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     44   84  +30      15.42    93.41    17.61    86.64     1.84    29.88     3.62   100.00    23.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   81  +19      13.10    90.72     7.61    84.06     1.81    19.48     0.00   100.00    22.91P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          44   78  +32       2.00    57.58     8.44    81.17     1.81    32.60     0.00   100.00    29.30P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     44   71  +20       4.64    66.97    10.93    73.66     1.82    19.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          44   70   -3      12.54    89.30     1.32    72.98     1.84    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   67  +19      -1.40    44.77     6.90    70.16     1.86    19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   66   +8       1.65    56.59     1.55    68.85     1.84     8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      44   64   -2       4.17    66.14    -1.71    67.21     1.80    -1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   58   -2       0.64    53.15     1.57    60.57     1.79    -2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       44   56   +3     -11.33    13.51    -7.61    59.37     1.83     3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            44   56   -5      -3.96    35.11    -4.15    58.41     1.81    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         44   56   -6      -1.98    42.60    -2.96    58.41     1.80    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             44   56   -7      -7.19    24.34   -12.00    59.21     1.87    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          44   55   -4      -6.38    26.56    -6.01    58.09     1.85    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     44   54  -10      -6.35    27.09   -10.28    56.54     1.81   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            44   53   -2      -1.58    44.07     4.31    55.01     1.66    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       44   51  -11      -6.37    26.35    -7.64    53.52     1.79   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         44   51  -25       2.68    61.67    -7.05    53.08     1.76   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    44   40  -18      -8.14    21.48     2.63    42.35     1.81   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Aldershot          44   38  -33     -11.35    11.88   -18.13    41.00     1.86   -32.61     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.29  
Braintree_Town     44   37  -32      -3.86    35.09    -1.27    38.53     1.57   -34.04     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    3.36  
Maidstone_United   44   33  -43      -6.48    24.25   -11.31    35.06     1.71   -44.01     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.35