Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 17 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2019, Brighton 0 2 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 34 85 +57 11.90 94.81 12.03 94.74 2.02 64.44 52.43 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 33 83 +64 5.16 77.08 3.88 94.12 2.57 71.20 47.57 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 33 67 +30 1.82 58.34 -2.44 76.77 2.59 34.69 0.00 0.00 54.87 83.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 66 +26 5.86 76.28 1.39 75.86 2.82 30.79 0.00 0.00 34.18 70.88 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 34 66 +21 4.42 70.33 -2.09 73.16 2.49 23.56 0.00 0.00 5.06 22.08 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 33 64 +19 2.75 62.54 -6.04 73.12 2.72 22.61 0.00 0.00 5.89 23.05 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 34 47 +1 -0.60 47.60 0.91 50.85 2.39 -2.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 33 47 -1 5.83 76.08 6.47 53.41 2.72 -2.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 46 +2 -1.70 42.28 1.71 50.88 2.48 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 33 46 -1 5.72 76.31 8.91 53.37 2.88 -0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 34 42 -10 1.00 55.47 1.45 46.62 2.48 -11.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 34 41 -12 0.65 53.63 1.76 46.08 2.52 -12.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 34 39 -6 -3.14 35.67 2.40 44.29 2.55 -6.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 34 39 -18 -0.67 47.44 -5.45 41.81 2.18 -22.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Newcastle 34 38 -11 -2.86 37.03 -1.66 43.19 2.50 -11.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Southampton 33 36 -15 -1.93 41.26 -1.68 43.06 2.86 -14.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Brighton 33 33 -21 -1.52 43.42 -3.26 36.49 2.33 -26.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.92R 0.00 Cardiff 34 31 -33 0.96 56.24 -3.71 34.11 2.20 -37.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.89R 0.00 Fulham 34 20 -44 -7.63 15.49 -6.19 24.30 2.50 -46.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.65 Huddersfield 34 14 -48 -9.50 7.31 -8.39 16.22 1.91 -53.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.35Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 April 2019, Wigan 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 42 86 +34 15.32 94.10 13.59 92.44 2.60 35.47 84.85 97.89 100.00 98.35P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 42 82 +27 14.47 93.11 12.12 88.51 2.64 28.47 12.05 71.17 100.00 77.99P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 42 79 +30 9.51 83.54 12.28 85.92 2.55 32.16 3.10 30.39 100.00 48.90P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 42 73 +25 -0.70 47.00 0.13 80.50 2.52 28.33 0.00 0.54 99.93 31.61P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 42 69 +19 -0.71 47.18 0.44 75.83 2.59 21.00 0.00 0.00 95.08 22.38P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 41 65 +9 5.03 70.03 3.60 72.25 2.95 9.57 0.00 0.00 50.22 8.63P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 42 64 +8 -1.17 45.38 -3.17 70.74 2.55 9.78 0.00 0.00 26.50 6.23P 0.00 0.00 Derby 41 63 +9 -1.08 45.75 -2.55 70.25 2.94 9.61 0.00 0.00 27.19 5.72P 0.00 0.00 Hull 42 60 +2 0.42 52.13 -0.43 64.70 2.56 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 42 59 -3 1.65 57.07 -2.57 64.23 2.54 -3.46 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 42 57 +4 1.02 54.52 6.72 62.57 2.50 4.12 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Preston 42 57 +1 -2.26 41.22 -1.22 63.02 2.58 1.74 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 41 56 +1 -4.25 33.79 -4.87 64.33 2.95 3.21 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 42 55 +4 2.67 61.31 12.05 60.57 2.63 4.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 42 54 +8 -8.76 18.97 0.52 60.44 2.65 9.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 42 53 -7 -1.68 43.62 -1.90 58.59 2.53 -7.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 42 52 -6 -6.38 25.89 -7.51 56.96 2.55 -6.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 42 48 -15 -1.37 44.90 -1.44 52.68 2.54 -16.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Reading 42 44 -16 -4.07 33.94 -0.79 48.08 2.44 -18.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.94R 0.00 Millwall 41 42 -13 -9.00 17.17 -5.24 48.08 2.87 -14.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.15R 0.00 Wigan 42 42 -17 -10.47 14.45 -9.36 46.98 2.56 -17.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.45R 0.00 Rotherham 42 40 -26 -1.99 42.53 -0.01 43.49 2.30 -29.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.45R 0.00 Bolton 42 32 -43 -2.55 39.59 -7.30 35.02 2.25 -46.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 17.34 Ipswich 42 28 -35 -15.15 4.17 -13.08 31.50 2.34 -38.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 82.66League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 42 87 +44 10.08 84.35 14.57 94.69 2.54 47.31 87.61 97.21 100.00 98.12P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 42 82 +37 3.96 64.77 6.43 89.54 2.58 39.95 5.66 47.09 100.00 65.75P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 41 80 +33 4.30 66.57 3.31 88.54 3.00 35.51 3.98 29.75 100.00 52.78P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 41 80 +31 11.47 87.83 12.64 88.02 2.92 32.70 2.60 21.38 100.00 39.90P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 42 79 +24 10.40 85.33 8.06 86.25 2.58 26.62 0.14 4.57 100.00 27.22P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 42 69 +19 4.28 66.68 8.47 75.06 2.60 19.78 0.00 0.00 88.21 14.37P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 41 64 +9 2.22 58.91 0.94 70.61 2.97 8.54 0.00 0.00 10.82 1.70P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 42 61 +1 6.58 74.88 5.16 65.99 2.53 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 42 60 +12 -3.95 34.97 2.67 65.32 2.64 11.76 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 42 58 +1 0.58 52.83 0.83 63.25 2.56 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 41 56 +7 -2.60 39.85 3.52 62.99 2.96 7.19 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 42 53 -6 -2.63 39.82 -2.94 57.41 2.52 -7.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 42 50 -6 -6.74 25.02 -5.14 55.33 2.55 -6.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 42 49 -3 -5.72 28.22 1.03 54.29 2.56 -3.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66R 0.00 Gillingham 42 48 -14 -2.72 39.67 -2.85 52.98 2.59 -14.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.22R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 42 48 -18 1.24 56.26 -1.97 51.80 2.42 -20.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.98R 0.00 Wycombe 42 47 -12 -0.65 48.08 3.77 52.41 2.63 -12.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.71R 0.00 Plymouth 42 47 -16 -3.36 37.49 -4.58 51.91 2.58 -16.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.31R 0.01 Scunthorpe 42 45 -24 -7.28 22.97 -15.18 50.15 2.60 -24.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.43R 0.81 Rochdale 42 45 -32 -0.08 50.46 -10.98 49.52 2.53 -33.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.71R 0.67 AFC_Wimbledon 42 44 -22 -1.52 44.51 -5.18 48.47 2.47 -23.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.55R 2.36 Southend 42 43 -14 -9.20 17.40 -5.53 47.96 2.60 -14.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.57R 1.60 Walsall 42 42 -24 -4.24 33.33 -6.44 46.73 2.61 -25.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.35R 7.00 Bradford 42 36 -27 -11.11 12.02 -10.64 41.20 2.60 -27.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.46R 87.54League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Bury 2 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 42 84 +35 11.27 87.50 12.67 90.70 2.65 36.75 99.57 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bury 42 74 +26 1.89 57.27 3.92 80.88 2.62 28.08 0.34 80.35 100.00 86.55P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 42 73 +27 1.85 57.19 7.45 79.39 2.55 28.33 0.07 60.96 100.00 73.98P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 42 72 +22 -0.42 47.86 -0.06 78.76 2.60 23.84 0.02 44.71 99.99 63.84P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 42 71 +16 8.92 81.20 9.36 76.36 2.61 15.82 0.00 12.77 99.55 31.26P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 42 67 +20 6.56 74.85 15.88 72.67 2.60 20.28 0.00 1.14 89.19 18.55P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 42 65 +12 -0.14 49.47 0.95 71.14 2.61 12.98 0.00 0.06 71.19 17.41P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 42 61 +3 0.14 50.85 -1.55 67.19 2.64 4.04 0.00 0.00 10.53 2.16P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 42 60 +6 -1.58 43.94 0.09 65.63 2.57 6.20 0.00 0.00 3.94 0.80P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 42 60 +3 -1.21 45.41 -2.26 66.49 2.65 4.48 0.00 0.00 6.84 1.47P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 42 60 -2 3.26 63.44 -0.76 65.15 2.57 -2.41 0.00 0.00 2.89 0.51P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 41 60 -5 7.71 79.00 0.92 66.30 2.92 -5.80 0.00 0.00 7.29 1.10P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 41 58 +12 -8.33 20.21 -2.94 65.41 2.98 12.83 0.00 0.00 8.55 2.36P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 42 56 -1 0.65 53.11 2.52 61.65 2.61 -0.76 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 42 54 -2 -5.16 30.74 -4.33 59.79 2.52 -1.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 42 53 -6 -0.90 46.71 0.12 58.06 2.63 -6.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 42 50 -12 1.61 57.64 0.64 54.75 2.55 -12.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 42 47 -12 -4.22 33.51 -3.95 51.69 2.43 -13.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 42 47 -17 -0.46 48.95 -2.01 51.68 2.51 -18.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 42 46 -19 -1.97 42.64 -4.73 50.52 2.50 -20.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 42 45 -24 -3.34 36.77 -10.93 50.10 2.57 -24.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.54R 0.01 Macclesfield 42 39 -25 -1.63 44.28 1.46 43.38 2.50 -26.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.69R 13.48 Yeovil 42 37 -23 -8.49 18.33 -5.16 41.17 2.49 -24.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.20R 40.48 Notts_County 42 37 -34 -10.16 14.29 -17.29 41.50 2.52 -35.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.42R 46.03National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Aldershot 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 43 84 +36 8.79 81.30 12.16 89.60 2.16 38.33 80.10 100.00 86.27P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 43 82 +33 10.96 85.66 14.96 86.53 2.30 33.61 14.08 100.00 36.25P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 43 81 +28 14.42 92.44 16.49 85.06 2.28 27.94 5.67 100.00 25.17P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 43 78 +18 11.92 89.05 7.30 82.69 2.22 18.86 0.15 98.89 23.25P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 43 75 +31 1.06 54.02 8.41 79.90 2.23 32.11 0.00 94.30 27.68P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 43 71 +22 5.13 68.73 11.57 74.65 2.22 21.31 0.00 4.43 1.00P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 43 70 -1 13.07 90.39 2.04 74.18 2.25 -0.87 0.00 2.37 0.38P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 43 66 +19 -0.95 46.31 7.04 70.86 2.29 20.10 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 43 64 -1 4.63 67.84 -2.04 68.28 2.19 -0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 43 63 +7 0.35 51.64 1.07 67.22 2.26 7.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 43 57 -2 0.86 54.12 1.38 61.04 2.24 -2.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 43 56 +4 -10.52 15.15 -7.42 60.70 2.26 4.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 43 56 -3 -3.43 36.92 -3.45 59.78 2.27 -3.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 43 56 -6 -6.48 25.89 -11.83 60.24 2.24 -5.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 43 53 -1 -0.43 48.84 5.05 56.17 2.08 -2.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 43 53 -7 -3.08 38.37 -3.17 56.93 2.23 -7.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 43 52 -6 -7.22 23.46 -6.80 56.67 2.27 -5.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 43 51 -10 -5.62 28.66 -7.57 54.71 2.20 -10.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 43 51 -11 -7.45 23.08 -10.49 55.23 2.24 -10.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidenhead 43 50 -25 3.25 64.00 -6.76 53.32 2.19 -26.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 43 39 -18 -7.68 22.58 2.55 42.37 2.22 -19.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.03 Aldershot 43 38 -32 -10.65 12.83 -17.97 42.03 2.25 -32.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.62 Braintree_Town 43 34 -34 -4.69 31.87 -1.79 36.72 2.04 -36.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 44.01 Maidstone_United 43 33 -41 -5.93 25.84 -10.72 36.59 2.19 -41.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 55.34