Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 17 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2019, Brighton 0 2 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   85  +57      11.90    94.81    12.03    94.74     2.02    64.44    52.43   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   83  +64       5.16    77.08     3.88    94.12     2.57    71.20    47.57   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   67  +30       1.82    58.34    -2.44    76.77     2.59    34.69     0.00     0.00    54.87    83.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   66  +26       5.86    76.28     1.39    75.86     2.82    30.79     0.00     0.00    34.18    70.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   66  +21       4.42    70.33    -2.09    73.16     2.49    23.56     0.00     0.00     5.06    22.08   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   64  +19       2.75    62.54    -6.04    73.12     2.72    22.61     0.00     0.00     5.89    23.05   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   47   +1      -0.60    47.60     0.91    50.85     2.39    -2.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -1       5.83    76.08     6.47    53.41     2.72    -2.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   46   +2      -1.70    42.28     1.71    50.88     2.48     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   46   -1       5.72    76.31     8.91    53.37     2.88    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   42  -10       1.00    55.47     1.45    46.62     2.48   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -12       0.65    53.63     1.76    46.08     2.52   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   39   -6      -3.14    35.67     2.40    44.29     2.55    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          34   39  -18      -0.67    47.44    -5.45    41.81     2.18   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   38  -11      -2.86    37.03    -1.66    43.19     2.50   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      33   36  -15      -1.93    41.26    -1.68    43.06     2.86   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         33   33  -21      -1.52    43.42    -3.26    36.49     2.33   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.92R    0.00  
Cardiff          34   31  -33       0.96    56.24    -3.71    34.11     2.20   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.89R    0.00  
Fulham           34   20  -44      -7.63    15.49    -6.19    24.30     2.50   -46.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.65  
Huddersfield     34   14  -48      -9.50     7.31    -8.39    16.22     1.91   -53.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.35  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 April 2019, Wigan 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         42   86  +34      15.32    94.10    13.59    92.44     2.60    35.47    84.85    97.89   100.00    98.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   82  +27      14.47    93.11    12.12    88.51     2.64    28.47    12.05    71.17   100.00    77.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   79  +30       9.51    83.54    12.28    85.92     2.55    32.16     3.10    30.39   100.00    48.90P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       42   73  +25      -0.70    47.00     0.13    80.50     2.52    28.33     0.00     0.54    99.93    31.61P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     42   69  +19      -0.71    47.18     0.44    75.83     2.59    21.00     0.00     0.00    95.08    22.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   65   +9       5.03    70.03     3.60    72.25     2.95     9.57     0.00     0.00    50.22     8.63P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   64   +8      -1.17    45.38    -3.17    70.74     2.55     9.78     0.00     0.00    26.50     6.23P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   63   +9      -1.08    45.75    -2.55    70.25     2.94     9.61     0.00     0.00    27.19     5.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   60   +2       0.42    52.13    -0.43    64.70     2.56     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   59   -3       1.65    57.07    -2.57    64.23     2.54    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   57   +4       1.02    54.52     6.72    62.57     2.50     4.12     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   57   +1      -2.26    41.22    -1.22    63.02     2.58     1.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         41   56   +1      -4.25    33.79    -4.87    64.33     2.95     3.21     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      42   55   +4       2.67    61.31    12.05    60.57     2.63     4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   54   +8      -8.76    18.97     0.52    60.44     2.65     9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   53   -7      -1.68    43.62    -1.90    58.59     2.53    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           42   52   -6      -6.38    25.89    -7.51    56.96     2.55    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   48  -15      -1.37    44.90    -1.44    52.68     2.54   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Reading         42   44  -16      -4.07    33.94    -0.79    48.08     2.44   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.94R    0.00  
Millwall        41   42  -13      -9.00    17.17    -5.24    48.08     2.87   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.15R    0.00  
Wigan           42   42  -17     -10.47    14.45    -9.36    46.98     2.56   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.45R    0.00  
Rotherham       42   40  -26      -1.99    42.53    -0.01    43.49     2.30   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.45R    0.00  
Bolton          42   32  -43      -2.55    39.59    -7.30    35.02     2.25   -46.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   17.34  
Ipswich         42   28  -35     -15.15     4.17   -13.08    31.50     2.34   -38.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   82.66  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                42   87  +44      10.08    84.35    14.57    94.69     2.54    47.31    87.61    97.21   100.00    98.12P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             42   82  +37       3.96    64.77     6.43    89.54     2.58    39.95     5.66    47.09   100.00    65.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           41   80  +33       4.30    66.57     3.31    88.54     3.00    35.51     3.98    29.75   100.00    52.78P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           41   80  +31      11.47    87.83    12.64    88.02     2.92    32.70     2.60    21.38   100.00    39.90P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             42   79  +24      10.40    85.33     8.06    86.25     2.58    26.62     0.14     4.57   100.00    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            42   69  +19       4.28    66.68     8.47    75.06     2.60    19.78     0.00     0.00    88.21    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         41   64   +9       2.22    58.91     0.94    70.61     2.97     8.54     0.00     0.00    10.82     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             42   61   +1       6.58    74.88     5.16    65.99     2.53     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   60  +12      -3.95    34.97     2.67    65.32     2.64    11.76     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            42   58   +1       0.58    52.83     0.83    63.25     2.56     0.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   56   +7      -2.60    39.85     3.52    62.99     2.96     7.19     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   53   -6      -2.63    39.82    -2.94    57.41     2.52    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   50   -6      -6.74    25.02    -5.14    55.33     2.55    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   49   -3      -5.72    28.22     1.03    54.29     2.56    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Gillingham           42   48  -14      -2.72    39.67    -2.85    52.98     2.59   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.22R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -18       1.24    56.26    -1.97    51.80     2.42   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.98R    0.00  
Wycombe              42   47  -12      -0.65    48.08     3.77    52.41     2.63   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.71R    0.00  
Plymouth             42   47  -16      -3.36    37.49    -4.58    51.91     2.58   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.31R    0.01  
Scunthorpe           42   45  -24      -7.28    22.97   -15.18    50.15     2.60   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.43R    0.81  
Rochdale             42   45  -32      -0.08    50.46   -10.98    49.52     2.53   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.71R    0.67  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   44  -22      -1.52    44.51    -5.18    48.47     2.47   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.55R    2.36  
Southend             42   43  -14      -9.20    17.40    -5.53    47.96     2.60   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.57R    1.60  
Walsall              42   42  -24      -4.24    33.33    -6.44    46.73     2.61   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.35R    7.00  
Bradford             42   36  -27     -11.11    12.02   -10.64    41.20     2.60   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.46R   87.54  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Bury 2 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     42   84  +35      11.27    87.50    12.67    90.70     2.65    36.75    99.57   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   74  +26       1.89    57.27     3.92    80.88     2.62    28.08     0.34    80.35   100.00    86.55P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   73  +27       1.85    57.19     7.45    79.39     2.55    28.33     0.07    60.96   100.00    73.98P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   72  +22      -0.42    47.86    -0.06    78.76     2.60    23.84     0.02    44.71    99.99    63.84P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   71  +16       8.92    81.20     9.36    76.36     2.61    15.82     0.00    12.77    99.55    31.26P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   67  +20       6.56    74.85    15.88    72.67     2.60    20.28     0.00     1.14    89.19    18.55P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           42   65  +12      -0.14    49.47     0.95    71.14     2.61    12.98     0.00     0.06    71.19    17.41P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   61   +3       0.14    50.85    -1.55    67.19     2.64     4.04     0.00     0.00    10.53     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   60   +6      -1.58    43.94     0.09    65.63     2.57     6.20     0.00     0.00     3.94     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   60   +3      -1.21    45.41    -2.26    66.49     2.65     4.48     0.00     0.00     6.84     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        42   60   -2       3.26    63.44    -0.76    65.15     2.57    -2.41     0.00     0.00     2.89     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   41   60   -5       7.71    79.00     0.92    66.30     2.92    -5.80     0.00     0.00     7.29     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +12      -8.33    20.21    -2.94    65.41     2.98    12.83     0.00     0.00     8.55     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            42   56   -1       0.65    53.11     2.52    61.65     2.61    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   54   -2      -5.16    30.74    -4.33    59.79     2.52    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       42   53   -6      -0.90    46.71     0.12    58.06     2.63    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   50  -12       1.61    57.64     0.64    54.75     2.55   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        42   47  -12      -4.22    33.51    -3.95    51.69     2.43   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe        42   47  -17      -0.46    48.95    -2.01    51.68     2.51   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     42   46  -19      -1.97    42.64    -4.73    50.52     2.50   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    42   45  -24      -3.34    36.77   -10.93    50.10     2.57   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.01  
Macclesfield     42   39  -25      -1.63    44.28     1.46    43.38     2.50   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.69R   13.48  
Yeovil           42   37  -23      -8.49    18.33    -5.16    41.17     2.49   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.20R   40.48  
Notts_County     42   37  -34     -10.16    14.29   -17.29    41.50     2.52   -35.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.42R   46.03  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Aldershot 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      43   84  +36       8.79    81.30    12.16    89.60     2.16    38.33    80.10   100.00    86.27P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       43   82  +33      10.96    85.66    14.96    86.53     2.30    33.61    14.08   100.00    36.25P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     43   81  +28      14.42    92.44    16.49    85.06     2.28    27.94     5.67   100.00    25.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   78  +18      11.92    89.05     7.30    82.69     2.22    18.86     0.15    98.89    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          43   75  +31       1.06    54.02     8.41    79.90     2.23    32.11     0.00    94.30    27.68P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     43   71  +22       5.13    68.73    11.57    74.65     2.22    21.31     0.00     4.43     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          43   70   -1      13.07    90.39     2.04    74.18     2.25    -0.87     0.00     2.37     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   66  +19      -0.95    46.31     7.04    70.86     2.29    20.10     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      43   64   -1       4.63    67.84    -2.04    68.28     2.19    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   63   +7       0.35    51.64     1.07    67.22     2.26     7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   57   -2       0.86    54.12     1.38    61.04     2.24    -2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       43   56   +4     -10.52    15.15    -7.42    60.70     2.26     4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            43   56   -3      -3.43    36.92    -3.45    59.78     2.27    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             43   56   -6      -6.48    25.89   -11.83    60.24     2.24    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            43   53   -1      -0.43    48.84     5.05    56.17     2.08    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         43   53   -7      -3.08    38.37    -3.17    56.93     2.23    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          43   52   -6      -7.22    23.46    -6.80    56.67     2.27    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       43   51  -10      -5.62    28.66    -7.57    54.71     2.20   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     43   51  -11      -7.45    23.08   -10.49    55.23     2.24   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         43   50  -25       3.25    64.00    -6.76    53.32     2.19   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    43   39  -18      -7.68    22.58     2.55    42.37     2.22   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.03  
Aldershot          43   38  -32     -10.65    12.83   -17.97    42.03     2.25   -32.09     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.62  
Braintree_Town     43   34  -34      -4.69    31.87    -1.79    36.72     2.04   -36.32     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   44.01  
Maidstone_United   43   33  -41      -5.93    25.84   -10.72    36.59     2.19   -41.77     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.34