Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 16 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2019, Brighton 0 2 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 34 85 +57 11.75 94.53 11.66 94.75 2.04 64.48 52.61 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 33 83 +64 5.10 76.95 3.60 94.14 2.55 71.26 47.39 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 33 67 +30 1.74 57.75 -2.59 76.79 2.60 34.76 0.00 0.00 54.91 84.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 66 +26 5.68 75.63 1.11 75.90 2.83 30.85 0.00 0.00 34.26 71.65 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 34 66 +21 4.27 69.51 -2.25 73.15 2.50 23.59 0.00 0.00 5.00 21.83 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 33 64 +19 2.87 63.51 -5.85 73.08 2.74 22.55 0.00 0.00 5.83 22.52 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 34 47 +1 -0.63 47.37 0.84 50.84 2.39 -2.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 33 47 -1 5.87 76.22 6.58 53.40 2.69 -2.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 46 +2 -1.54 42.94 2.07 50.86 2.49 0.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 33 46 -1 5.86 77.06 9.21 53.34 2.86 -0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 34 42 -10 1.11 56.18 1.57 46.59 2.48 -11.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 34 41 -12 0.79 54.53 2.09 46.07 2.51 -12.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 34 39 -6 -3.21 35.54 2.29 44.31 2.54 -6.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 34 39 -18 -0.67 47.58 -5.46 41.81 2.18 -22.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Newcastle 34 38 -11 -2.73 37.57 -1.41 43.14 2.50 -11.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Southampton 33 36 -15 -1.95 40.94 -1.66 43.10 2.87 -14.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Brighton 33 33 -21 -1.59 42.90 -3.40 36.50 2.32 -26.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.81R 0.00 Cardiff 34 31 -33 0.90 56.00 -3.81 34.12 2.19 -37.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.00R 0.00 Fulham 34 20 -44 -7.57 15.72 -6.02 24.30 2.48 -46.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.66 Huddersfield 34 14 -48 -9.58 7.24 -8.57 16.24 1.93 -53.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.34Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 April 2019, Wigan 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 42 86 +34 15.32 94.09 13.64 92.44 2.60 35.47 85.04 97.91 100.00 98.35P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 42 82 +27 14.60 93.17 12.39 88.49 2.63 28.44 11.84 71.16 100.00 77.98P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 42 79 +30 9.55 83.36 12.25 85.91 2.57 32.13 3.12 30.46 100.00 48.61P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 42 73 +25 -0.52 47.44 0.37 80.45 2.53 28.28 0.00 0.47 99.94 31.75P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 42 69 +19 -0.55 47.59 0.67 75.81 2.59 20.98 0.00 0.00 94.64 22.43P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 41 65 +9 5.17 70.72 3.79 72.22 2.94 9.53 0.00 0.00 49.79 8.34P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 42 64 +8 -1.29 44.65 -3.35 70.78 2.56 9.82 0.00 0.00 26.87 6.44P 0.00 0.00 Derby 41 63 +9 -1.11 45.78 -2.59 70.28 2.94 9.65 0.00 0.00 27.57 5.90P 0.00 0.00 Hull 42 60 +2 0.25 51.30 -0.65 64.69 2.56 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 42 59 -3 1.52 56.54 -2.79 64.27 2.56 -3.41 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 42 57 +4 1.10 54.76 6.81 62.56 2.51 4.12 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Preston 42 57 +1 -2.18 41.59 -1.17 63.00 2.59 1.71 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 41 56 +1 -4.57 32.42 -5.35 64.35 2.94 3.27 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 42 55 +4 2.67 61.48 12.06 60.58 2.63 4.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brentford 42 54 +8 -8.63 19.30 0.69 60.45 2.66 9.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 42 53 -7 -1.64 44.05 -1.87 58.58 2.52 -7.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 42 52 -6 -6.53 25.70 -7.71 56.95 2.54 -6.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 42 48 -15 -1.58 44.24 -1.75 52.69 2.55 -16.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Reading 42 44 -16 -3.97 34.29 -0.61 48.07 2.45 -18.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.06R 0.00 Millwall 41 42 -13 -8.74 17.96 -4.83 48.04 2.86 -14.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.16R 0.00 Wigan 42 42 -17 -10.36 14.48 -9.21 46.99 2.55 -17.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.46R 0.00 Rotherham 42 40 -26 -1.99 42.68 0.03 43.49 2.32 -29.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.31R 0.00 Bolton 42 32 -43 -2.76 38.38 -7.52 35.05 2.26 -46.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 17.47 Ipswich 42 28 -35 -15.28 4.18 -13.27 31.53 2.35 -37.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 82.53League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 42 87 +44 10.03 84.45 14.50 94.71 2.53 47.33 87.99 97.33 100.00 98.18P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 42 82 +37 3.87 64.87 6.40 89.54 2.57 39.96 5.59 47.12 100.00 66.30P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 41 80 +33 4.39 66.82 3.45 88.55 3.00 35.52 3.88 30.24 100.00 52.99P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 41 80 +31 11.77 88.57 13.04 87.97 2.92 32.62 2.39 20.94 100.00 39.39P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 42 79 +24 10.49 85.50 8.21 86.20 2.60 26.56 0.15 4.37 100.00 27.00P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 42 69 +19 4.48 67.11 8.79 75.06 2.60 19.78 0.00 0.00 88.08 14.24P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 41 64 +9 2.00 58.13 0.59 70.66 2.96 8.62 0.00 0.00 10.95 1.76P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 42 61 +1 6.67 75.24 5.23 66.00 2.55 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 42 60 +12 -3.94 34.84 2.67 65.32 2.65 11.76 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 42 58 +1 0.40 51.79 0.58 63.26 2.56 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 41 56 +7 -2.48 40.38 3.71 62.93 2.95 7.14 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 42 53 -6 -2.51 40.41 -2.72 57.39 2.51 -7.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 42 50 -6 -6.60 25.02 -4.97 55.35 2.54 -6.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 42 49 -3 -5.61 28.94 1.17 54.29 2.56 -3.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68R 0.00 Gillingham 42 48 -14 -2.75 39.50 -2.77 53.00 2.60 -14.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.35R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 42 48 -18 1.32 56.30 -1.90 51.80 2.41 -20.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.85R 0.00 Wycombe 42 47 -12 -0.89 47.30 3.37 52.44 2.65 -12.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.68R 0.01 Plymouth 42 47 -16 -3.26 37.30 -4.43 51.90 2.59 -16.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.62R 0.00 Scunthorpe 42 45 -24 -7.54 22.47 -15.63 50.15 2.60 -24.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.24R 0.78 Rochdale 42 45 -32 -0.32 49.67 -11.39 49.55 2.54 -33.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.43R 0.67 AFC_Wimbledon 42 44 -22 -1.37 44.85 -4.99 48.44 2.47 -23.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.92R 2.38 Southend 42 43 -14 -9.25 17.33 -5.68 47.97 2.61 -14.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.90R 1.63 Walsall 42 42 -24 -4.34 33.14 -6.47 46.68 2.58 -25.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.82R 7.28 Bradford 42 36 -27 -11.17 11.95 -10.75 41.21 2.61 -27.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.44R 87.26League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Bury 2 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 42 84 +35 11.20 87.41 12.60 90.73 2.63 36.78 99.55 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bury 42 74 +26 1.63 56.00 3.52 80.92 2.62 28.13 0.32 80.97 100.00 87.34P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 42 73 +27 2.03 57.87 7.63 79.39 2.54 28.33 0.10 60.78 100.00 73.73P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 42 72 +22 -0.46 47.91 -0.08 78.76 2.61 23.85 0.02 44.73 99.99 63.93P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 42 71 +16 9.01 81.63 9.52 76.34 2.60 15.80 0.00 12.27 99.51 30.43P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 42 67 +20 6.34 73.95 15.49 72.71 2.60 20.33 0.00 1.18 89.24 18.37P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 42 65 +12 -0.17 49.41 0.90 71.14 2.61 12.98 0.00 0.06 71.44 17.78P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 42 61 +3 0.28 51.42 -1.34 67.16 2.64 4.02 0.00 0.00 10.36 2.06P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 42 60 +6 -1.50 44.26 0.23 65.59 2.57 6.13 0.00 0.00 4.01 0.94P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 42 60 +3 -1.19 45.38 -2.27 66.49 2.65 4.49 0.00 0.00 6.59 1.41P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 42 60 -2 3.34 63.70 -0.62 65.16 2.57 -2.41 0.00 0.00 2.89 0.49P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 41 60 -5 7.38 78.06 0.42 66.35 2.93 -5.76 0.00 0.00 7.49 1.20P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 41 58 +12 -8.26 20.44 -2.78 65.39 2.99 12.81 0.00 0.00 8.44 2.31P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 42 56 -1 0.74 53.43 2.60 61.64 2.59 -0.78 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 42 54 -2 -5.23 30.62 -4.36 59.78 2.51 -1.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 42 53 -6 -0.77 47.38 0.21 58.07 2.63 -6.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 42 50 -12 1.43 56.80 0.39 54.78 2.56 -12.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 42 47 -12 -4.35 32.95 -4.13 51.70 2.42 -13.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 42 47 -17 -0.13 50.32 -1.50 51.66 2.51 -18.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 42 46 -19 -1.90 43.04 -4.65 50.52 2.50 -20.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 42 45 -24 -3.33 36.87 -10.92 50.09 2.56 -24.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51R 0.01 Macclesfield 42 39 -25 -1.51 44.69 1.69 43.34 2.48 -26.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.26R 13.57 Yeovil 42 37 -23 -8.49 18.04 -5.16 41.19 2.49 -24.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.87R 40.06 Notts_County 42 37 -34 -10.20 14.45 -17.35 41.49 2.52 -35.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.17R 46.36National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Aldershot 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 43 84 +36 8.68 80.96 11.95 89.60 2.18 38.33 79.94 100.00 86.06P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 43 82 +33 11.10 85.89 15.11 86.54 2.30 33.62 14.18 100.00 36.15P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 43 81 +28 14.51 92.71 16.65 85.04 2.28 27.90 5.73 100.00 25.30P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 43 78 +18 11.86 88.86 7.21 82.72 2.23 18.87 0.15 98.93 23.13P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 43 75 +31 1.07 53.85 8.38 79.90 2.24 32.09 0.00 94.31 27.99P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 43 71 +22 5.29 69.34 11.78 74.64 2.22 21.30 0.00 4.47 1.02P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 43 70 -1 13.15 90.35 2.11 74.17 2.26 -0.90 0.00 2.28 0.35P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 43 66 +19 -0.86 46.48 7.10 70.87 2.30 20.11 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 43 64 -1 4.71 68.49 -1.84 68.26 2.18 -0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 43 63 +7 0.30 51.62 1.01 67.22 2.26 7.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 43 57 -2 1.03 54.68 1.57 61.03 2.24 -2.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 43 56 +4 -10.71 14.85 -7.60 60.71 2.27 4.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 43 56 -3 -3.57 36.52 -3.62 59.79 2.25 -3.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 43 56 -6 -6.64 25.60 -12.04 60.24 2.24 -5.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 43 53 -1 -0.59 48.14 4.80 56.19 2.09 -2.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 43 53 -7 -2.78 39.49 -2.72 56.90 2.22 -7.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 43 52 -6 -7.25 23.48 -6.87 56.68 2.29 -5.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Boreham_Wood 43 51 -10 -5.45 29.19 -7.35 54.68 2.22 -10.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 43 51 -11 -7.35 23.23 -10.30 55.22 2.23 -10.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidenhead 43 50 -25 2.93 62.88 -7.16 53.36 2.21 -26.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 43 39 -18 -7.73 22.41 2.42 42.36 2.23 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.03 Aldershot 43 38 -32 -10.56 13.45 -17.81 42.05 2.24 -32.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.55 Braintree_Town 43 34 -34 -4.90 31.10 -2.07 36.74 2.04 -36.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 43.98 Maidstone_United 43 33 -41 -5.92 26.23 -10.69 36.58 2.18 -41.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 55.43