Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 16 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 April 2019, Brighton 0 2 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   85  +57      11.75    94.53    11.66    94.75     2.04    64.48    52.61   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   83  +64       5.10    76.95     3.60    94.14     2.55    71.26    47.39   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   67  +30       1.74    57.75    -2.59    76.79     2.60    34.76     0.00     0.00    54.91    84.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   66  +26       5.68    75.63     1.11    75.90     2.83    30.85     0.00     0.00    34.26    71.65   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   66  +21       4.27    69.51    -2.25    73.15     2.50    23.59     0.00     0.00     5.00    21.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   64  +19       2.87    63.51    -5.85    73.08     2.74    22.55     0.00     0.00     5.83    22.52   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   47   +1      -0.63    47.37     0.84    50.84     2.39    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -1       5.87    76.22     6.58    53.40     2.69    -2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   46   +2      -1.54    42.94     2.07    50.86     2.49     0.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   46   -1       5.86    77.06     9.21    53.34     2.86    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   42  -10       1.11    56.18     1.57    46.59     2.48   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -12       0.79    54.53     2.09    46.07     2.51   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   39   -6      -3.21    35.54     2.29    44.31     2.54    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          34   39  -18      -0.67    47.58    -5.46    41.81     2.18   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   38  -11      -2.73    37.57    -1.41    43.14     2.50   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      33   36  -15      -1.95    40.94    -1.66    43.10     2.87   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Brighton         33   33  -21      -1.59    42.90    -3.40    36.50     2.32   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.81R    0.00  
Cardiff          34   31  -33       0.90    56.00    -3.81    34.12     2.19   -37.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.00R    0.00  
Fulham           34   20  -44      -7.57    15.72    -6.02    24.30     2.48   -46.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.66  
Huddersfield     34   14  -48      -9.58     7.24    -8.57    16.24     1.93   -53.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.34  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 April 2019, Wigan 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         42   86  +34      15.32    94.09    13.64    92.44     2.60    35.47    85.04    97.91   100.00    98.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   82  +27      14.60    93.17    12.39    88.49     2.63    28.44    11.84    71.16   100.00    77.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   79  +30       9.55    83.36    12.25    85.91     2.57    32.13     3.12    30.46   100.00    48.61P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       42   73  +25      -0.52    47.44     0.37    80.45     2.53    28.28     0.00     0.47    99.94    31.75P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     42   69  +19      -0.55    47.59     0.67    75.81     2.59    20.98     0.00     0.00    94.64    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   65   +9       5.17    70.72     3.79    72.22     2.94     9.53     0.00     0.00    49.79     8.34P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   64   +8      -1.29    44.65    -3.35    70.78     2.56     9.82     0.00     0.00    26.87     6.44P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   63   +9      -1.11    45.78    -2.59    70.28     2.94     9.65     0.00     0.00    27.57     5.90P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   60   +2       0.25    51.30    -0.65    64.69     2.56     0.58     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   59   -3       1.52    56.54    -2.79    64.27     2.56    -3.41     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   57   +4       1.10    54.76     6.81    62.56     2.51     4.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   57   +1      -2.18    41.59    -1.17    63.00     2.59     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         41   56   +1      -4.57    32.42    -5.35    64.35     2.94     3.27     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      42   55   +4       2.67    61.48    12.06    60.58     2.63     4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   54   +8      -8.63    19.30     0.69    60.45     2.66     9.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   53   -7      -1.64    44.05    -1.87    58.58     2.52    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           42   52   -6      -6.53    25.70    -7.71    56.95     2.54    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   48  -15      -1.58    44.24    -1.75    52.69     2.55   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Reading         42   44  -16      -3.97    34.29    -0.61    48.07     2.45   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.06R    0.00  
Millwall        41   42  -13      -8.74    17.96    -4.83    48.04     2.86   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.16R    0.00  
Wigan           42   42  -17     -10.36    14.48    -9.21    46.99     2.55   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.46R    0.00  
Rotherham       42   40  -26      -1.99    42.68     0.03    43.49     2.32   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.31R    0.00  
Bolton          42   32  -43      -2.76    38.38    -7.52    35.05     2.26   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   17.47  
Ipswich         42   28  -35     -15.28     4.18   -13.27    31.53     2.35   -37.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   82.53  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                42   87  +44      10.03    84.45    14.50    94.71     2.53    47.33    87.99    97.33   100.00    98.18P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             42   82  +37       3.87    64.87     6.40    89.54     2.57    39.96     5.59    47.12   100.00    66.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           41   80  +33       4.39    66.82     3.45    88.55     3.00    35.52     3.88    30.24   100.00    52.99P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           41   80  +31      11.77    88.57    13.04    87.97     2.92    32.62     2.39    20.94   100.00    39.39P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             42   79  +24      10.49    85.50     8.21    86.20     2.60    26.56     0.15     4.37   100.00    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            42   69  +19       4.48    67.11     8.79    75.06     2.60    19.78     0.00     0.00    88.08    14.24P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         41   64   +9       2.00    58.13     0.59    70.66     2.96     8.62     0.00     0.00    10.95     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             42   61   +1       6.67    75.24     5.23    66.00     2.55     0.33     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   60  +12      -3.94    34.84     2.67    65.32     2.65    11.76     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            42   58   +1       0.40    51.79     0.58    63.26     2.56     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   56   +7      -2.48    40.38     3.71    62.93     2.95     7.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   53   -6      -2.51    40.41    -2.72    57.39     2.51    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   50   -6      -6.60    25.02    -4.97    55.35     2.54    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   49   -3      -5.61    28.94     1.17    54.29     2.56    -3.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Gillingham           42   48  -14      -2.75    39.50    -2.77    53.00     2.60   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.35R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -18       1.32    56.30    -1.90    51.80     2.41   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.85R    0.00  
Wycombe              42   47  -12      -0.89    47.30     3.37    52.44     2.65   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.68R    0.01  
Plymouth             42   47  -16      -3.26    37.30    -4.43    51.90     2.59   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.62R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           42   45  -24      -7.54    22.47   -15.63    50.15     2.60   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.24R    0.78  
Rochdale             42   45  -32      -0.32    49.67   -11.39    49.55     2.54   -33.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.43R    0.67  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   44  -22      -1.37    44.85    -4.99    48.44     2.47   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.92R    2.38  
Southend             42   43  -14      -9.25    17.33    -5.68    47.97     2.61   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.90R    1.63  
Walsall              42   42  -24      -4.34    33.14    -6.47    46.68     2.58   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.82R    7.28  
Bradford             42   36  -27     -11.17    11.95   -10.75    41.21     2.61   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.44R   87.26  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Bury 2 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     42   84  +35      11.20    87.41    12.60    90.73     2.63    36.78    99.55   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   74  +26       1.63    56.00     3.52    80.92     2.62    28.13     0.32    80.97   100.00    87.34P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   73  +27       2.03    57.87     7.63    79.39     2.54    28.33     0.10    60.78   100.00    73.73P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   72  +22      -0.46    47.91    -0.08    78.76     2.61    23.85     0.02    44.73    99.99    63.93P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   71  +16       9.01    81.63     9.52    76.34     2.60    15.80     0.00    12.27    99.51    30.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   67  +20       6.34    73.95    15.49    72.71     2.60    20.33     0.00     1.18    89.24    18.37P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           42   65  +12      -0.17    49.41     0.90    71.14     2.61    12.98     0.00     0.06    71.44    17.78P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   61   +3       0.28    51.42    -1.34    67.16     2.64     4.02     0.00     0.00    10.36     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   60   +6      -1.50    44.26     0.23    65.59     2.57     6.13     0.00     0.00     4.01     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   60   +3      -1.19    45.38    -2.27    66.49     2.65     4.49     0.00     0.00     6.59     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        42   60   -2       3.34    63.70    -0.62    65.16     2.57    -2.41     0.00     0.00     2.89     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   41   60   -5       7.38    78.06     0.42    66.35     2.93    -5.76     0.00     0.00     7.49     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +12      -8.26    20.44    -2.78    65.39     2.99    12.81     0.00     0.00     8.44     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            42   56   -1       0.74    53.43     2.60    61.64     2.59    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   54   -2      -5.23    30.62    -4.36    59.78     2.51    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       42   53   -6      -0.77    47.38     0.21    58.07     2.63    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   50  -12       1.43    56.80     0.39    54.78     2.56   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        42   47  -12      -4.35    32.95    -4.13    51.70     2.42   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe        42   47  -17      -0.13    50.32    -1.50    51.66     2.51   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     42   46  -19      -1.90    43.04    -4.65    50.52     2.50   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    42   45  -24      -3.33    36.87   -10.92    50.09     2.56   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.01  
Macclesfield     42   39  -25      -1.51    44.69     1.69    43.34     2.48   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.26R   13.57  
Yeovil           42   37  -23      -8.49    18.04    -5.16    41.19     2.49   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.87R   40.06  
Notts_County     42   37  -34     -10.20    14.45   -17.35    41.49     2.52   -35.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.17R   46.36  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Aldershot 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      43   84  +36       8.68    80.96    11.95    89.60     2.18    38.33    79.94   100.00    86.06P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       43   82  +33      11.10    85.89    15.11    86.54     2.30    33.62    14.18   100.00    36.15P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     43   81  +28      14.51    92.71    16.65    85.04     2.28    27.90     5.73   100.00    25.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   78  +18      11.86    88.86     7.21    82.72     2.23    18.87     0.15    98.93    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          43   75  +31       1.07    53.85     8.38    79.90     2.24    32.09     0.00    94.31    27.99P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     43   71  +22       5.29    69.34    11.78    74.64     2.22    21.30     0.00     4.47     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          43   70   -1      13.15    90.35     2.11    74.17     2.26    -0.90     0.00     2.28     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   66  +19      -0.86    46.48     7.10    70.87     2.30    20.11     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      43   64   -1       4.71    68.49    -1.84    68.26     2.18    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   63   +7       0.30    51.62     1.01    67.22     2.26     7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   57   -2       1.03    54.68     1.57    61.03     2.24    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       43   56   +4     -10.71    14.85    -7.60    60.71     2.27     4.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            43   56   -3      -3.57    36.52    -3.62    59.79     2.25    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             43   56   -6      -6.64    25.60   -12.04    60.24     2.24    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            43   53   -1      -0.59    48.14     4.80    56.19     2.09    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         43   53   -7      -2.78    39.49    -2.72    56.90     2.22    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          43   52   -6      -7.25    23.48    -6.87    56.68     2.29    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       43   51  -10      -5.45    29.19    -7.35    54.68     2.22   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     43   51  -11      -7.35    23.23   -10.30    55.22     2.23   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         43   50  -25       2.93    62.88    -7.16    53.36     2.21   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    43   39  -18      -7.73    22.41     2.42    42.36     2.23   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.03  
Aldershot          43   38  -32     -10.56    13.45   -17.81    42.05     2.24   -32.07     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.55  
Braintree_Town     43   34  -34      -4.90    31.10    -2.07    36.74     2.04   -36.29     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   43.98  
Maidstone_United   43   33  -41      -5.92    26.23   -10.69    36.58     2.18   -41.78     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.43