Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 April 2019, Watford 0 1 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   85  +57      11.86    94.72    11.78    94.76     2.02    64.51    53.13   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   83  +64       5.10    76.74     3.56    94.10     2.58    71.17    46.87   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   67  +30       1.91    58.59    -2.35    76.75     2.61    34.66     0.00     0.00    54.78    83.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   66  +26       5.89    76.42     1.40    75.85     2.83    30.73     0.00     0.00    33.84    70.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   66  +21       4.23    69.25    -2.41    73.16     2.50    23.59     0.00     0.00     5.18    21.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   64  +19       2.84    63.36    -5.98    73.15     2.74    22.66     0.00     0.00     6.19    23.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   47   +1      -0.66    46.89     0.83    50.86     2.40    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -1       5.83    76.19     6.46    53.38     2.73    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   46   +2      -1.71    42.20     1.75    50.86     2.49     0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   46   -1       5.83    76.39     9.17    53.35     2.87    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   42  -10       1.02    55.26     1.49    46.64     2.48   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -12       0.82    54.58     2.14    46.07     2.53   -12.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   39   -6      -3.34    34.53     2.05    44.37     2.54    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          34   39  -18      -0.65    47.69    -5.38    41.81     2.18   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   38  -11      -2.80    36.95    -1.53    43.13     2.50   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      33   36  -15      -1.93    41.13    -1.63    43.03     2.87   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         32   33  -19      -0.56    48.11    -1.96    38.32     2.70   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.29R    0.00  
Cardiff          33   28  -35      -0.26    50.00    -4.62    31.99     2.49   -39.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.66R    0.00  
Fulham           34   20  -44      -7.58    15.80    -6.06    24.35     2.49   -45.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.57  
Huddersfield     34   14  -48      -9.65     7.04    -8.70    16.24     1.92   -53.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.43  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 April 2019, Wigan 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         42   86  +34      15.18    93.78    13.44    92.45     2.60    35.50    85.06    98.02   100.00    98.48P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   82  +27      14.62    93.26    12.38    88.49     2.63    28.43    11.95    71.19   100.00    78.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   79  +30       9.54    83.36    12.31    85.92     2.55    32.17     3.00    30.29   100.00    48.75P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       42   73  +25      -0.40    48.28     0.57    80.46     2.53    28.27     0.00     0.49    99.92    31.37P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     42   69  +19      -0.58    47.36     0.66    75.84     2.59    21.03     0.00     0.00    94.83    22.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   65   +9       4.83    69.11     3.32    72.26     2.94     9.60     0.00     0.00    50.31     8.72P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   64   +8      -1.32    44.79    -3.36    70.78     2.55     9.83     0.00     0.00    26.78     6.41P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   63   +9      -1.22    45.06    -2.79    70.24     2.95     9.62     0.00     0.00    27.14     5.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   60   +2       0.36    51.80    -0.53    64.70     2.56     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   59   -3       1.59    57.12    -2.64    64.26     2.56    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   57   +4       1.08    54.71     6.77    62.54     2.49     4.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   57   +1      -2.24    41.31    -1.32    63.01     2.59     1.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         41   56   +1      -4.37    33.13    -5.04    64.32     2.94     3.23     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      42   55   +4       2.63    61.46    12.03    60.59     2.64     4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   54   +8      -8.55    19.52     0.79    60.43     2.66     9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   53   -7      -1.47    44.85    -1.57    58.56     2.53    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           42   52   -6      -6.54    25.88    -7.71    56.96     2.55    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   48  -15      -1.53    44.24    -1.66    52.70     2.54   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Reading         42   44  -16      -4.22    33.57    -1.02    48.08     2.43   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.88R    0.00  
Millwall        41   42  -13      -8.72    17.77    -4.75    48.03     2.86   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.18R    0.00  
Wigan           42   42  -17     -10.46    13.85    -9.37    46.98     2.55   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.44R    0.00  
Rotherham       42   40  -26      -1.80    43.49     0.16    43.49     2.31   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.48R    0.00  
Bolton          42   32  -43      -2.67    38.68    -7.45    35.05     2.27   -46.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   17.40  
Ipswich         42   28  -35     -15.20     4.28   -13.20    31.53     2.34   -37.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   82.60  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                42   87  +44      10.00    84.21    14.56    94.71     2.53    47.35    87.93    97.24   100.00    98.14P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             42   82  +37       3.75    64.26     6.19    89.55     2.56    39.96     5.55    46.88   100.00    65.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           41   80  +33       4.24    66.47     3.17    88.56     3.00    35.56     3.94    29.91   100.00    53.20P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           41   80  +31      11.66    88.19    12.92    88.02     2.92    32.69     2.46    21.42   100.00    39.45P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             42   79  +24      10.36    85.55     7.96    86.26     2.59    26.63     0.12     4.55   100.00    27.26P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            42   69  +19       4.54    67.41     8.90    75.06     2.58    19.80     0.00     0.00    88.49    14.31P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         41   64   +9       2.22    59.06     0.97    70.61     2.96     8.55     0.00     0.00    10.63     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             42   61   +1       6.66    75.17     5.22    66.00     2.55     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   60  +12      -3.86    35.09     2.77    65.31     2.65    11.74     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            42   58   +1       0.46    52.33     0.67    63.25     2.55     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   56   +7      -2.78    39.06     3.31    62.97     2.96     7.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   53   -6      -2.43    40.92    -2.57    57.37     2.52    -7.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   50   -6      -6.74    24.41    -5.21    55.34     2.53    -6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   49   -3      -5.79    27.96     0.88    54.29     2.57    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.00  
Gillingham           42   48  -14      -2.55    40.19    -2.60    52.97     2.60   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.43R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -18       1.70    57.92    -1.34    51.77     2.40   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.85R    0.00  
Wycombe              42   47  -12      -0.80    47.63     3.57    52.39     2.65   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.87R    0.00  
Plymouth             42   47  -16      -3.39    37.15    -4.63    51.91     2.60   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.52R    0.01  
Scunthorpe           42   45  -24      -7.17    23.56   -15.08    50.14     2.59   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.58R    0.77  
Rochdale             42   45  -32      -0.27    49.83   -11.27    49.54     2.52   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.50R    0.70  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   44  -22      -1.59    44.14    -5.27    48.47     2.47   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.80R    2.35  
Southend             42   43  -14      -9.23    17.41    -5.58    47.98     2.61   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.91R    1.69  
Walsall              42   42  -24      -4.43    32.69    -6.73    46.70     2.58   -25.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.39R    7.37  
Bradford             42   36  -27     -11.21    11.98   -10.80    41.21     2.61   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.40R   87.10  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Bury 2 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     42   84  +35      11.21    87.45    12.51    90.72     2.63    36.79    99.54   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   74  +26       1.62    56.24     3.46    80.92     2.63    28.13     0.35    80.94   100.00    87.11P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   73  +27       1.95    57.87     7.57    79.39     2.54    28.34     0.10    60.75   100.00    73.97P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   72  +22      -0.68    47.24    -0.39    78.77     2.62    23.86     0.02    45.01    99.99    64.39P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   71  +16       9.15    81.76     9.74    76.33     2.60    15.78     0.00    12.19    99.59    30.50P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   67  +20       6.44    74.26    15.67    72.72     2.60    20.34     0.00     1.07    89.35    18.13P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           42   65  +12      -0.42    48.49     0.50    71.14     2.60    12.99     0.00     0.04    71.49    17.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   61   +3       0.38    51.80    -1.18    67.18     2.63     4.03     0.00     0.00    10.26     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   60   +6      -1.60    43.92     0.07    65.63     2.58     6.17     0.00     0.00     4.11     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   60   +3      -1.30    44.96    -2.37    66.47     2.64     4.47     0.00     0.00     6.82     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        42   60   -2       3.32    63.73    -0.67    65.13     2.55    -2.45     0.00     0.00     2.66     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   41   60   -5       7.45    78.23     0.54    66.33     2.93    -5.77     0.00     0.00     7.21     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +12      -8.27    20.15    -2.81    65.39     2.97    12.80     0.00     0.00     8.45     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            42   56   -1       0.75    53.53     2.65    61.64     2.60    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   54   -2      -5.20    30.81    -4.33    59.79     2.51    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       42   53   -6      -0.99    46.48     0.02    58.10     2.62    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   50  -12       1.71    58.13     0.76    54.75     2.56   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        42   47  -12      -4.32    33.02    -4.13    51.72     2.44   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe        42   47  -17      -0.27    49.72    -1.62    51.65     2.51   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     42   46  -19      -1.86    42.94    -4.53    50.52     2.50   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    42   45  -24      -3.34    36.86   -11.00    50.11     2.57   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.02  
Macclesfield     42   39  -25      -1.52    44.69     1.65    43.32     2.50   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.62R   13.92  
Yeovil           42   37  -23      -8.32    18.94    -4.99    41.16     2.48   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.11R   40.45  
Notts_County     42   37  -34     -10.03    14.49   -17.12    41.51     2.53   -35.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.59R   45.61  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Aldershot 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      43   84  +36       8.49    80.50    11.71    89.59     2.16    38.31    79.73   100.00    85.87P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       43   82  +33      10.83    85.22    14.79    86.55     2.29    33.64    14.31   100.00    36.33P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     43   81  +28      14.50    92.58    16.65    85.07     2.29    27.94     5.80   100.00    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   78  +18      11.87    88.79     7.19    82.70     2.22    18.86     0.16    98.90    23.48P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          43   75  +31       1.07    53.93     8.41    79.87     2.24    32.07     0.00    94.23    27.76P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     43   71  +22       4.91    68.08    11.24    74.66     2.21    21.33     0.00     4.50     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          43   70   -1      13.11    90.50     2.09    74.19     2.26    -0.87     0.00     2.35     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   66  +19      -0.70    47.48     7.35    70.86     2.29    20.09     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      43   64   -1       4.78    68.76    -1.69    68.29     2.18    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   63   +7       0.62    52.74     1.47    67.20     2.23     7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   57   -2       1.11    55.08     1.65    61.04     2.23    -2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       43   56   +4     -10.63    14.73    -7.55    60.71     2.25     4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            43   56   -3      -3.36    37.31    -3.33    59.77     2.25    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             43   56   -6      -6.63    25.60   -12.01    60.26     2.24    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            43   53   -1      -0.77    47.38     4.52    56.21     2.08    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         43   53   -7      -3.03    38.36    -3.09    56.91     2.23    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          43   52   -6      -7.06    23.82    -6.65    56.66     2.28    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       43   51  -10      -5.54    28.92    -7.46    54.68     2.21   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     43   51  -11      -7.43    23.07   -10.42    55.24     2.24   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         43   50  -25       3.07    63.51    -6.95    53.33     2.20   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    43   39  -18      -7.67    22.65     2.53    42.37     2.22   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.03  
Aldershot          43   38  -32     -10.43    13.58   -17.72    42.02     2.25   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.57  
Braintree_Town     43   34  -34      -4.91    31.08    -2.11    36.74     2.04   -36.29     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   44.19  
Maidstone_United   43   33  -41      -5.89    26.25   -10.62    36.59     2.18   -41.77     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.21