Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 April 2019, Crystal_Palace 1 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   85  +57      11.83    94.57    11.74    94.75     2.02    64.49    53.22   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   83  +64       5.15    77.14     3.73    94.08     2.59    71.10    46.78   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   67  +30       1.79    58.16    -2.55    76.75     2.60    34.68     0.00     0.00    61.18    86.02   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   66  +21       4.29    69.47    -2.26    73.15     2.50    23.59     0.00     0.00     6.60    27.31   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   64  +19       2.62    62.14    -6.29    73.15     2.72    22.67     0.00     0.00     7.44    29.09   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   63  +25       4.63    71.70     0.96    74.62     3.17    30.37     0.00     0.00    24.78    57.58   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   47   +1      -0.73    46.90     0.69    50.88     2.40    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -1       5.94    76.46     6.70    53.40     2.73    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   46   +2      -1.60    42.67     1.90    50.88     2.48     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.71    80.17     9.53    54.38     3.16    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   42  -10       0.97    55.19     1.37    46.61     2.47   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -12       0.70    54.05     2.00    46.09     2.52   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   39   -6      -3.14    35.69     2.36    44.33     2.53    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          34   39  -18      -0.63    47.49    -5.46    41.80     2.19   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   38  -11      -2.76    37.12    -1.46    43.14     2.51   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      33   36  -15      -2.05    40.76    -1.88    43.05     2.88   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         32   33  -19      -0.57    48.24    -1.93    38.32     2.72   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.37R    0.00  
Cardiff          33   28  -35      -0.23    50.34    -4.66    32.01     2.49   -39.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.57R    0.00  
Fulham           34   20  -44      -7.53    15.60    -5.97    24.31     2.49   -46.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.62  
Huddersfield     34   14  -48      -9.59     7.00    -8.54    16.23     1.91   -53.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.38  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 April 2019, Wigan 1 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         42   86  +34      15.31    94.03    13.68    92.44     2.61    35.45    85.02    98.00   100.00    98.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   82  +27      14.55    93.04    12.25    88.49     2.63    28.46    12.02    71.53   100.00    78.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   79  +30       9.52    83.52    12.22    85.88     2.55    32.11     2.95    29.92   100.00    48.30P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       42   73  +25      -0.58    47.43     0.27    80.48     2.54    28.31     0.00     0.55    99.94    31.46P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     42   69  +19      -0.57    47.51     0.67    75.84     2.58    21.02     0.00     0.00    94.88    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   65   +9       5.04    70.00     3.63    72.23     2.95     9.55     0.00     0.00    50.20     8.66P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   64   +8      -1.32    44.39    -3.37    70.74     2.54     9.79     0.00     0.00    26.28     6.17P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   63   +9      -1.24    44.89    -2.83    70.27     2.94     9.66     0.00     0.00    27.60     6.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   60   +2       0.34    51.68    -0.49    64.71     2.56     0.62     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   59   -3       1.63    57.12    -2.63    64.25     2.55    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   57   +4       0.94    54.26     6.63    62.58     2.50     4.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   57   +1      -2.09    41.90    -0.96    62.99     2.58     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         41   56   +1      -4.36    33.06    -5.07    64.34     2.94     3.23     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      42   55   +4       2.74    61.81    12.12    60.58     2.65     4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   54   +8      -8.76    18.71     0.49    60.45     2.65     9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   53   -7      -1.83    43.01    -2.19    58.61     2.54    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           42   52   -6      -6.73    24.77    -8.02    56.97     2.54    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   48  -15      -1.27    45.43    -1.32    52.68     2.53   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Reading         42   44  -16      -4.01    34.37    -0.76    48.09     2.43   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.96R    0.00  
Millwall        41   42  -13      -8.84    17.43    -4.93    48.05     2.86   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.19R    0.00  
Wigan           42   42  -17     -10.43    14.31    -9.26    46.98     2.54   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.36R    0.00  
Rotherham       42   40  -26      -1.79    43.55     0.38    43.49     2.31   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.48R    0.00  
Bolton          42   32  -43      -2.59    39.44    -7.29    35.02     2.24   -46.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   17.05  
Ipswich         42   28  -35     -15.21     4.27   -13.22    31.50     2.33   -38.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   82.95  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                42   87  +44      10.05    84.31    14.56    94.71     2.54    47.34    87.86    97.24   100.00    98.13P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             42   82  +37       3.89    65.25     6.37    89.54     2.57    39.96     5.46    46.98   100.00    66.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           41   80  +33       4.33    66.77     3.32    88.56     3.00    35.54     4.06    30.02   100.00    52.95P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           41   80  +31      11.89    88.81    13.25    87.98     2.93    32.64     2.44    21.04   100.00    39.23P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             42   79  +24      10.26    85.03     7.87    86.25     2.59    26.62     0.18     4.73   100.00    27.48P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            42   69  +19       4.63    67.81     9.00    75.05     2.58    19.78     0.00     0.00    88.17    14.15P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         41   64   +9       2.23    58.86     1.05    70.62     2.96     8.57     0.00     0.00    10.92     1.66P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             42   61   +1       6.63    75.12     5.19    66.02     2.55     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   60  +12      -3.87    35.19     2.77    65.33     2.64    11.78     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            42   58   +1       0.56    52.63     0.82    63.22     2.57     0.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   56   +7      -2.62    39.82     3.45    63.00     2.96     7.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   53   -6      -2.49    40.60    -2.73    57.37     2.52    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   50   -6      -6.65    25.04    -5.05    55.35     2.53    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   49   -3      -5.74    28.18     0.97    54.29     2.58    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Gillingham           42   48  -14      -2.81    39.31    -3.00    52.98     2.60   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.32R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -18       1.39    56.48    -1.76    51.79     2.40   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.91R    0.00  
Wycombe              42   47  -12      -0.73    47.87     3.53    52.44     2.66   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.74R    0.01  
Plymouth             42   47  -16      -3.27    37.48    -4.46    51.90     2.60   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.62R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           42   45  -24      -7.49    22.68   -15.59    50.17     2.59   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.66R    0.71  
Rochdale             42   45  -32      -0.28    49.77   -11.28    49.53     2.54   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.35R    0.68  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   44  -22      -1.41    44.76    -5.03    48.44     2.46   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.13R    2.31  
Southend             42   43  -14      -9.32    16.86    -5.77    47.96     2.60   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.20R    1.62  
Walsall              42   42  -24      -4.33    33.02    -6.49    46.70     2.58   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.74R    7.34  
Bradford             42   36  -27     -11.40    11.60   -11.02    41.20     2.60   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.46R   87.32  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Bury 2 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     42   84  +35      11.30    87.62    12.68    90.69     2.64    36.75    99.56   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   74  +26       1.70    56.50     3.55    80.90     2.62    28.09     0.35    80.56   100.00    86.83P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   73  +27       1.93    57.84     7.55    79.38     2.53    28.33     0.08    60.67   100.00    73.47P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   72  +22      -0.53    47.56    -0.13    78.78     2.61    23.87     0.01    45.01   100.00    64.31P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   71  +16       8.98    81.24     9.51    76.37     2.62    15.82     0.00    12.48    99.54    30.95P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   67  +20       6.18    73.39    15.35    72.73     2.60    20.37     0.00     1.22    89.49    18.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           42   65  +12      -0.00    50.07     1.10    71.12     2.62    12.94     0.00     0.06    71.07    17.45P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   61   +3       0.41    51.63    -1.22    67.19     2.64     4.02     0.00     0.00    10.61     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   60   +6      -1.78    43.03    -0.20    65.62     2.56     6.18     0.00     0.00     3.99     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   60   +3      -1.38    44.55    -2.51    66.51     2.62     4.52     0.00     0.00     6.72     1.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        42   60   -2       3.46    64.49    -0.43    65.14     2.56    -2.44     0.00     0.00     2.65     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   41   60   -5       7.42    78.25     0.49    66.33     2.93    -5.76     0.00     0.00     7.42     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +12      -8.07    20.85    -2.57    65.39     2.98    12.81     0.00     0.00     8.46     2.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            42   56   -1       0.59    52.85     2.42    61.62     2.60    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   54   -2      -5.28    30.15    -4.46    59.81     2.51    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       42   53   -6      -0.73    47.70     0.34    58.06     2.62    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   50  -12       1.56    57.37     0.52    54.78     2.56   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        42   47  -12      -4.24    33.45    -4.04    51.71     2.43   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe        42   47  -17      -0.31    49.59    -1.74    51.68     2.52   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     42   46  -19      -1.66    43.90    -4.28    50.49     2.50   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    42   45  -24      -3.21    37.08   -10.77    50.07     2.56   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.02  
Macclesfield     42   39  -25      -1.50    44.68     1.60    43.34     2.49   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.44R   13.59  
Yeovil           42   37  -23      -8.79    17.51    -5.59    41.20     2.50   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.45R   39.97  
Notts_County     42   37  -34     -10.06    14.74   -17.16    41.47     2.52   -35.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.42R   46.41  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Aldershot 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      43   84  +36       8.58    80.83    11.82    89.59     2.16    38.32    79.76   100.00    85.96P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       43   82  +33      10.76    85.13    14.62    86.53     2.29    33.61    14.28   100.00    36.70P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     43   81  +28      14.53    92.53    16.69    85.06     2.28    27.94     5.84   100.00    24.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   78  +18      11.84    88.61     7.18    82.68     2.23    18.84     0.12    98.87    23.55P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          43   75  +31       0.96    53.34     8.27    79.90     2.23    32.09     0.00    94.22    27.67P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     43   71  +22       5.00    68.17    11.36    74.66     2.21    21.33     0.00     4.46     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          43   70   -1      13.01    90.14     1.95    74.18     2.25    -0.88     0.00     2.43     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   66  +19      -0.61    47.66     7.52    70.87     2.29    20.09     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      43   64   -1       4.67    68.24    -1.89    68.29     2.18    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   63   +7       0.42    51.74     1.19    67.21     2.25     7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   57   -2       0.85    53.87     1.31    61.04     2.23    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       43   56   +4     -10.61    14.66    -7.51    60.72     2.24     4.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            43   56   -3      -3.45    36.97    -3.52    59.77     2.26    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             43   56   -6      -6.62    25.68   -11.99    60.24     2.25    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            43   53   -1      -0.52    48.55     4.92    56.19     2.09    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         43   53   -7      -2.94    38.94    -2.96    56.92     2.24    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          43   52   -6      -6.97    24.39    -6.46    56.66     2.29    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       43   51  -10      -5.42    29.27    -7.34    54.69     2.20   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     43   51  -11      -7.43    23.11   -10.47    55.22     2.24   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         43   50  -25       3.13    63.58    -6.90    53.32     2.19   -26.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    43   39  -18      -7.59    23.07     2.71    42.33     2.22   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.03  
Aldershot          43   38  -32     -10.58    13.21   -17.85    42.05     2.24   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.59  
Braintree_Town     43   34  -34      -4.83    31.56    -2.05    36.74     2.06   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   43.92  
Maidstone_United   43   33  -41      -5.92    26.11   -10.60    36.60     2.18   -41.77     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.46