Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Brighton 0 5 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   82  +55      10.99    93.61    11.04    93.70     2.39    63.37    49.31   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   80  +62       4.52    74.58     3.63    93.32     2.84    70.49    50.69   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   67  +30       1.74    58.08    -2.60    76.77     2.58    34.71     0.00     0.00    57.84    83.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   66  +23       4.72    71.61    -1.87    74.03     2.78    24.80     0.00     0.00    12.17    37.25   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   64  +19       2.80    62.97    -6.04    73.14     2.72    22.65     0.00     0.00     7.04    25.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   63  +25       4.76    72.32     1.14    74.59     3.16    30.33     0.00     0.00    22.94    53.11   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   47   +1      -0.56    47.27     1.01    50.86     2.40    -2.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -1       5.86    76.16     6.53    53.40     2.72    -2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   46   +2      -1.49    43.08     2.06    50.86     2.48     0.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.69    80.12     9.42    54.39     3.16    -0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   42  -10       1.06    55.61     1.49    46.61     2.49   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   41  -12       0.63    53.91     1.75    46.08     2.52   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   39   -4      -2.82    36.93     2.50    44.91     2.75    -5.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          34   39  -18      -0.58    48.01    -5.26    41.81     2.18   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   38  -11      -2.73    37.42    -1.51    43.13     2.50   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton      33   36  -15      -2.07    40.47    -1.92    43.08     2.87   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         32   33  -19      -0.67    47.53    -2.11    38.34     2.71   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.37R    0.00  
Cardiff          33   28  -35      -0.33    49.75    -4.80    32.00     2.50   -39.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.57R    0.00  
Fulham           34   20  -44      -7.65    15.35    -6.18    24.33     2.48   -45.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.56  
Huddersfield     34   14  -48      -9.47     7.17    -8.26    16.20     1.91   -54.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.44  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Aston_Villa 2 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         41   85  +34      15.90    94.91    13.89    92.96     2.93    35.70    86.68    97.98   100.00    98.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   82  +27      14.55    93.20    12.25    88.48     2.62    28.43    10.53    71.46   100.00    78.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   79  +30       9.55    83.31    12.31    85.89     2.55    32.12     2.79    30.06   100.00    48.79P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       42   73  +25      -0.46    47.95     0.48    80.46     2.52    28.26     0.00     0.49    99.94    31.44P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     42   69  +19      -0.81    46.83     0.35    75.85     2.59    21.04     0.00     0.00    95.08    22.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    41   65   +9       5.10    70.24     3.69    72.20     2.94     9.53     0.00     0.00    49.72     8.54P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   64   +8      -1.12    45.50    -3.06    70.75     2.55     9.79     0.00     0.00    26.62     5.99P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   63   +9      -1.20    45.26    -2.71    70.27     2.94     9.64     0.00     0.00    27.44     5.80P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            42   60   +2       0.16    51.15    -0.84    64.73     2.57     0.65     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   59   -3       1.89    58.20    -2.24    64.24     2.56    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   57   +4       1.19    55.21     6.98    62.54     2.50     4.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   57   +1      -2.44    40.62    -1.59    63.02     2.58     1.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         41   56   +1      -4.42    32.69    -5.10    64.33     2.95     3.23     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      42   55   +4       2.75    61.52    12.09    60.58     2.64     4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   54   +8      -8.67    19.05     0.67    60.46     2.65     9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   53   -7      -1.68    44.03    -1.92    58.58     2.52    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           42   52   -6      -6.70    25.01    -7.87    56.97     2.54    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   48  -15      -1.44    44.75    -1.66    52.70     2.55   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         42   44  -16      -4.23    33.45    -1.03    48.11     2.45   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.95R    0.00  
Millwall        41   42  -13      -8.87    17.21    -5.04    48.05     2.85   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.29R    0.00  
Wigan           41   41  -17     -10.08    14.67    -9.28    47.19     2.88   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.01R    0.00  
Rotherham       42   40  -26      -1.82    43.63     0.32    43.49     2.31   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.75R    0.00  
Bolton          42   32  -43      -2.66    38.93    -7.45    35.01     2.23   -46.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   17.43  
Ipswich         42   28  -35     -15.25     4.33   -13.25    31.53     2.34   -37.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   82.57  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                42   87  +44      10.26    84.86    14.85    94.70     2.54    47.32    87.83    97.25   100.00    98.22P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             42   82  +37       3.75    64.02     6.22    89.56     2.56    39.99     5.70    46.85   100.00    66.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           41   80  +33       4.39    66.81     3.44    88.55     3.01    35.53     3.87    29.86   100.00    52.54P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           41   80  +31      11.74    88.55    12.98    88.02     2.93    32.70     2.45    21.46   100.00    39.73P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             42   79  +24      10.20    85.03     7.75    86.25     2.59    26.63     0.15     4.58   100.00    27.06P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            42   69  +19       4.38    67.00     8.65    75.08     2.60    19.80     0.00     0.00    88.53    14.61P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         41   64   +9       2.30    59.34     1.12    70.58     2.96     8.51     0.00     0.00    10.51     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             42   61   +1       6.66    75.13     5.28    66.00     2.54     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   60  +12      -3.82    35.40     2.90    65.32     2.65    11.77     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            42   58   +1       0.62    52.99     0.87    63.22     2.55     0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   56   +7      -2.84    38.83     3.14    63.01     2.95     7.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   53   -6      -2.51    40.19    -2.72    57.38     2.52    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   50   -6      -6.75    24.66    -5.15    55.35     2.53    -6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   49   -3      -5.58    28.62     1.24    54.26     2.57    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Gillingham           42   48  -14      -2.59    40.03    -2.62    52.98     2.60   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.38R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -18       1.49    57.14    -1.70    51.78     2.41   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.04R    0.00  
Wycombe              42   47  -12      -0.67    48.13     3.77    52.39     2.65   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.01R    0.00  
Plymouth             42   47  -16      -3.38    37.03    -4.62    51.89     2.59   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.67R    0.01  
Scunthorpe           42   45  -24      -7.57    22.43   -15.71    50.19     2.60   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.61R    0.74  
Rochdale             42   45  -32      -0.22    49.84   -11.21    49.54     2.54   -33.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.51R    0.67  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   44  -22      -1.47    44.54    -5.11    48.45     2.46   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.74R    2.32  
Southend             42   43  -14      -9.35    16.93    -5.79    47.98     2.61   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.30R    1.64  
Walsall              42   42  -24      -4.47    32.45    -6.74    46.72     2.59   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.48R    7.16  
Bradford             42   36  -27     -11.24    11.60   -10.83    41.19     2.60   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   87.46  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Bury 2 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     42   84  +35      11.34    87.82    12.77    90.70     2.62    36.74    99.55   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             42   74  +26       1.79    56.94     3.71    80.91     2.63    28.11     0.35    80.56   100.00    86.76P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        42   73  +27       1.81    57.02     7.36    79.40     2.54    28.34     0.08    61.00   100.00    74.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   72  +22      -0.67    47.00    -0.43    78.78     2.60    23.88     0.02    44.87   100.00    64.23P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   71  +16       8.98    81.33     9.42    76.35     2.60    15.81     0.00    12.38    99.54    30.92P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   67  +20       6.23    73.70    15.40    72.70     2.62    20.32     0.00     1.13    89.29    18.16P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           42   65  +12      -0.37    48.81     0.62    71.16     2.62    13.00     0.00     0.06    71.53    17.70P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   61   +3       0.28    51.31    -1.39    67.19     2.64     4.04     0.00     0.00    10.56     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   60   +6      -1.59    43.77     0.09    65.61     2.57     6.18     0.00     0.00     4.05     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   60   +3      -1.10    45.86    -2.13    66.46     2.64     4.45     0.00     0.00     6.71     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        42   60   -2       3.29    63.40    -0.68    65.15     2.57    -2.44     0.00     0.00     2.82     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   41   60   -5       7.42    78.34     0.51    66.35     2.92    -5.75     0.00     0.00     7.30     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +12      -7.82    21.86    -2.21    65.34     2.97    12.73     0.00     0.00     8.15     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            42   56   -1       0.72    53.31     2.65    61.63     2.60    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   54   -2      -5.18    30.64    -4.32    59.80     2.52    -1.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       42   53   -6      -0.97    46.55     0.01    58.08     2.63    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   50  -12       1.48    57.14     0.44    54.77     2.55   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        42   47  -12      -4.23    33.37    -3.99    51.71     2.42   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe        42   47  -17      -0.24    49.64    -1.68    51.65     2.51   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     42   46  -19      -1.79    43.37    -4.49    50.51     2.51   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd    42   45  -24      -3.42    36.39   -11.10    50.11     2.55   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.02  
Macclesfield     42   39  -25      -1.37    45.36     1.91    43.34     2.48   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.35R   13.62  
Yeovil           42   37  -23      -8.63    18.02    -5.37    41.18     2.49   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.03R   40.34  
Notts_County     42   37  -34     -10.03    14.72   -17.09    41.49     2.53   -35.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.97R   46.02  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 April 2019, Aldershot 1 1 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      43   84  +36       8.72    80.95    11.98    89.56     2.16    38.29    79.58   100.00    85.89P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       43   82  +33      10.92    85.72    14.90    86.55     2.29    33.65    14.41   100.00    36.77P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     43   81  +28      14.33    92.50    16.38    85.08     2.29    27.97     5.84   100.00    25.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   78  +18      11.83    88.50     7.17    82.69     2.22    18.84     0.17    98.89    22.89P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          43   75  +31       1.06    53.97     8.38    79.90     2.24    32.09     0.00    94.15    27.66P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     43   71  +22       4.80    67.41    10.99    74.69     2.21    21.36     0.00     4.57     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          43   70   -1      12.98    89.98     1.91    74.20     2.25    -0.86     0.00     2.38     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   66  +19      -0.71    47.39     7.38    70.86     2.29    20.09     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      43   64   -1       4.69    68.21    -1.82    68.27     2.19    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   63   +7       0.58    52.76     1.33    67.19     2.25     7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   57   -2       1.06    54.91     1.61    61.02     2.24    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       43   56   +4     -10.53    15.05    -7.37    60.72     2.26     4.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            43   56   -3      -3.40    37.15    -3.37    59.78     2.27    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             43   56   -6      -6.68    25.64   -12.09    60.23     2.24    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            43   53   -1      -0.49    48.53     4.96    56.18     2.08    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         43   53   -7      -2.87    39.06    -2.87    56.92     2.22    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          43   52   -6      -6.98    24.33    -6.47    56.63     2.28    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       43   51  -10      -5.36    29.76    -7.21    54.68     2.20   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     43   51  -11      -7.53    22.99   -10.63    55.25     2.23   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         43   50  -25       2.89    62.67    -7.33    53.35     2.19   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    43   39  -18      -7.59    22.78     2.66    42.37     2.21   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.03  
Aldershot          43   38  -32     -10.54    13.28   -17.83    42.02     2.23   -32.10     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.64  
Braintree_Town     43   34  -34      -4.81    31.20    -2.02    36.76     2.03   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   43.55  
Maidstone_United   43   33  -41      -5.94    26.34   -10.62    36.59     2.18   -41.77     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.79