Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 12 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 April 2019, Leicester 0 1 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   82  +55      11.09    93.60    11.15    93.65     2.42    63.25    48.64   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   80  +62       4.46    73.91     3.35    93.32     2.85    70.45    51.36   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   66  +23       4.68    71.67    -1.93    74.03     2.78    24.81     0.00     0.00    14.52    40.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   64  +26       2.12    59.78    -2.97    76.28     2.77    32.75     0.00     0.00    52.29    79.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   63  +25       4.63    71.44     0.89    74.55     3.18    30.24     0.00     0.00    26.39    56.27   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   61  +18       1.81    58.11    -5.99    72.37     2.99    23.05     0.00     0.00     6.79    23.22   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   47   +1      -0.84    46.26     0.51    50.88     2.40    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   47   +1       6.57    79.14     7.41    54.72     3.04    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   46   +4      -0.65    47.24     3.14    52.78     2.84     3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.60    79.60     9.19    54.38     3.14    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   42   -9       1.78    58.94     1.41    47.18     2.71   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   39   -4      -2.72    37.37     2.64    44.91     2.75    -5.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   38  -11      -2.68    37.87    -1.39    43.14     2.52   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth      33   38  -17       0.72    54.35    -0.34    44.21     2.83   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          33   36  -20      -1.46    43.60    -6.19    40.60     2.55   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.14R    0.00  
Brighton         31   33  -14      -0.72    47.37     0.37    40.06     3.08   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.25R    0.00  
Southampton      32   33  -17      -2.81    36.77    -2.60    41.44     3.18   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   28  -33       0.19    52.55    -4.17    32.97     2.80   -38.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.33R    0.00  
Fulham           33   17  -46      -8.75    11.01    -6.84    22.18     2.78   -48.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    6.12  
Huddersfield     33   14  -44      -9.65     7.04    -7.62    16.51     2.04   -52.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.88  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 April 2019, Birmingham 1 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         41   85  +34      15.52    94.61    13.39    93.03     2.94    35.79    86.43    97.56   100.00    98.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   79  +26      13.70    92.17    12.38    87.29     2.95    28.07     6.66    49.72   100.00    61.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   78  +30       9.98    84.71    12.34    86.95     2.86    33.13     6.92    52.22   100.00    65.26P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       41   70  +22      -0.74    46.57    -0.30    79.35     2.87    26.03     0.00     0.50    99.54    31.48P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     41   66  +18      -1.68    42.94     0.47    74.62     2.93    20.63     0.00     0.01    87.57    21.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    40   65  +10       5.93    73.37     3.84    73.26     3.23    10.03     0.00     0.00    65.81    11.33P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   41   61   +7      -2.43    40.09    -3.63    69.53     2.88     9.37     0.00     0.00    18.98     4.72P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   60   +5      -0.89    46.72    -3.87    69.37     3.16     6.76     0.00     0.00    19.85     4.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            41   60   +3       1.34    55.46    -0.04    65.63     2.83     0.99     0.00     0.00     2.16     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   59   -2       2.52    60.57    -2.26    65.20     2.85    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   57   +5       2.21    59.42     7.40    64.30     2.84     5.64     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   57   +4      -2.23    41.18    -0.41    63.95     2.86     4.03     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         40   56   +5      -4.58    31.96    -3.45    66.12     3.25     7.83     0.00     0.00     4.08     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   54   +9      -7.62    21.91     1.08    61.99     2.99    10.65     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      41   54   +4       3.06    63.09    12.03    61.04     2.95     4.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           41   51   -6      -6.21    26.37    -7.81    57.99     2.86    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       41   50   -8      -3.06    38.57    -2.54    56.58     2.86    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   45  -19      -1.52    44.51    -3.16    50.76     2.85   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Millwall        40   41  -13      -8.46    18.47    -4.94    47.68     3.09   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.51R    0.00  
Reading         41   41  -17      -5.53    28.05    -1.52    46.29     2.78   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.33R    0.00  
Wigan           41   41  -17     -10.13    14.46    -9.42    47.16     2.88   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.62R    0.00  
Rotherham       41   39  -26      -1.60    44.34    -0.15    43.22     2.58   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.16R    0.01  
Bolton          41   32  -39      -2.92    37.59    -6.34    35.68     2.50   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   17.52  
Ipswich         41   27  -35     -14.77     4.58   -13.08    31.77     2.69   -38.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   82.47  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                41   87  +46      10.44    85.81    15.06    96.34     2.85    49.72    90.31    98.75   100.00    99.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           40   80  +34       5.43    71.06     4.21    90.66     3.24    37.58     7.63    59.29   100.00    73.35P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             41   79  +35       3.45    63.42     6.31    88.37     2.88    38.60     1.29    26.26   100.00    53.67P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   77  +28      11.40    88.10    12.08    87.05     3.19    30.74     0.74    14.16   100.00    34.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             41   76  +22       9.70    84.17     7.40    84.36     2.94    24.24     0.02     1.54   100.00    23.89P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            41   66  +17       3.72    65.03     8.06    73.84     2.91    18.41     0.00     0.00    86.79    13.82P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   61   +8       0.82    53.33     0.34    68.89     3.27     7.42     0.00     0.00    10.85     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            41   58   +2       1.39    56.04     1.06    64.63     2.90     1.72     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             41   58   +0       5.50    71.57     4.45    63.70     2.77    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   57   +9      -3.89    34.98     2.07    63.59     2.98     8.60     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   56   +9      -2.23    41.04     4.00    63.93     3.20     8.59     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   52   -6      -1.94    42.42    -2.47    58.11     2.86    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   48  -12      -2.18    41.67    -2.11    54.45     2.95   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   47   -8      -7.64    21.39    -6.13    53.65     2.87    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.55R    0.00  
Plymouth             41   47  -14      -2.89    38.88    -4.02    52.86     2.90   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.23R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers       41   46   -4      -6.74    24.42     0.77    52.88     2.88    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.54R    0.08  
Accrington_Stanley   41   45  -19       0.21    51.69    -2.18    50.17     2.76   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.08R    1.09  
Scunthorpe           41   45  -21      -7.28    22.93   -14.43    51.59     2.94   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.45R    0.75  
Rochdale             41   45  -29      -0.11    50.32   -10.45    50.35     2.80   -31.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.90R    1.21  
Wycombe              41   44  -14      -1.50    44.72     3.02    50.36     2.95   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.39R    1.10  
Southend             41   43  -12      -8.80    18.39    -5.03    49.70     2.95   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.75R    1.36  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   43  -22      -1.24    45.66    -5.16    48.51     2.78   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.66R    6.37  
Walsall              41   42  -23      -3.50    36.26    -6.43    48.05     2.92   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.46R    7.00  
Bradford             41   36  -26     -10.14    13.74   -10.43    42.27     2.91   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.08R   81.03  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Macclesfield 3 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     41   83  +35      11.84    88.96    12.93    91.80     2.93    37.84    99.46   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   72  +27       2.28    59.16     7.51    79.85     2.87    28.49     0.17    64.98    99.99    76.63P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   72  +23       0.53    51.73     0.33    80.21     2.95    24.97     0.23    63.85    99.99    76.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   71  +24       0.91    53.32     2.83    79.70     2.97    26.73     0.14    63.30    99.97    75.48P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   68  +15       7.89    78.54     9.23    74.61     2.94    14.64     0.00     7.05    94.83    25.46P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   64  +18       6.01    73.17    15.43    71.69     2.92    19.24     0.00     0.75    77.96    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   62  +10      -0.91    46.41     0.15    69.93     2.93    11.57     0.00     0.06    52.42    12.96P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   61   +6       0.49    52.27    -0.14    68.61     2.97     7.12     0.00     0.01    30.59     6.55P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   60   +8      -1.11    45.67     0.76    66.57     2.87     7.52     0.00     0.00    12.22     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   59   +3      -0.93    46.40    -2.43    66.50     2.93     3.95     0.00     0.00    10.45     2.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   57  +12      -7.59    21.82    -2.34    66.16     3.28    13.38     0.00     0.00    16.28     4.61P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        41   57   -5       2.80    61.58    -2.02    63.48     2.89    -5.48     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   40   57   -8       7.00    77.35    -0.78    64.40     3.21    -9.18     0.00     0.00     3.54     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   53   -2      -5.19    30.88    -4.78    60.06     2.86    -1.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            41   53   -4       0.28    51.79     1.48    60.28     2.94    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   52   -6      -0.62    48.02    -0.08    57.80     2.87    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   49  -12       1.91    58.91     0.55    54.94     2.88   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        41   47  -10      -3.86    34.72    -3.31    52.70     2.72   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe        41   46  -17       0.30    51.96    -1.39    52.16     2.84   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    41   45  -21      -3.15    37.45    -9.76    51.71     2.90   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.05  
Crawley_Town     41   43  -20      -3.22    37.19    -5.04    48.66     2.83   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.93R    1.44  
Macclesfield     41   39  -23      -1.34    45.29     1.78    44.15     2.75   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.08R   18.16  
Yeovil           41   37  -22      -7.56    21.06    -4.83    42.73     2.82   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.80R   33.85  
Notts_County     41   37  -31      -9.87    15.04   -16.09    42.61     2.83   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.31R   46.50  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Gateshead 0 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      42   81  +35       7.55    77.85    11.75    88.17     2.54    37.63    71.02    99.99    79.80P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       42   79  +30      10.87    85.60    14.22    85.46     2.62    31.47    17.15    99.84    38.13P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     42   78  +27      13.56    91.38    16.70    84.06     2.62    27.92     8.88    99.01    27.06P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          42   75  +32       2.22    58.46     9.13    82.07     2.57    34.32     2.60    96.64    31.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   75  +17      10.67    86.50     6.85    80.94     2.57    17.73     0.34    84.07    19.17P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     42   71  +23       6.03    71.41    11.80    76.43     2.60    22.91     0.00    19.09     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          42   67   -2      11.68    88.17     1.49    72.51     2.63    -1.95     0.00     0.52     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   66  +20       0.39    51.97     7.95    72.61     2.65    21.62     0.00     0.83     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      42   64   +0       5.65    71.73    -1.45    69.42     2.56     0.01     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   63   +8       1.28    55.46     1.41    68.64     2.62     8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   57   -1       2.10    59.01     2.04    62.48     2.60    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             42   56   -5      -5.61    28.83   -11.49    61.62     2.58    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            42   55   -3      -3.24    37.80    -3.69    60.11     2.60    -3.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       42   53   +1     -10.34    15.20    -7.76    59.65     2.57     2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            42   52   -1      -0.19    49.87     4.81    56.53     2.46    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         42   52   -7      -2.54    40.02    -2.95    57.34     2.59    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         42   50  -22       2.76    61.99    -6.60    54.21     2.51   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          42   49   -7      -8.59    19.06    -7.39    54.70     2.61    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       42   48  -11      -6.85    24.27    -7.92    52.72     2.55   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   48  -12      -8.68    19.27   -10.91    53.45     2.60   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    42   39  -17      -6.99    24.66     2.15    43.13     2.51   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.16R    0.01  
Aldershot          42   37  -32     -10.09    14.06   -17.74    42.36     2.59   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R    0.46  
Maidstone_United   42   33  -38      -5.88    26.44    -9.96    37.37     2.45   -39.66     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   26.16  
Braintree_Town     42   31  -35      -6.17    25.94    -2.44    34.36     2.32   -38.54     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   73.37