Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 12 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Friday 12 April 2019, Leicester 0 1 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 33 82 +55 11.09 93.60 11.15 93.65 2.42 63.25 48.64 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 32 80 +62 4.46 73.91 3.35 93.32 2.85 70.45 51.36 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 33 66 +23 4.68 71.67 -1.93 74.03 2.78 24.81 0.00 0.00 14.52 40.79 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 64 +26 2.12 59.78 -2.97 76.28 2.77 32.75 0.00 0.00 52.29 79.72 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 32 63 +25 4.63 71.44 0.89 74.55 3.18 30.24 0.00 0.00 26.39 56.27 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 32 61 +18 1.81 58.11 -5.99 72.37 2.99 23.05 0.00 0.00 6.79 23.22 100.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 34 47 +1 -0.84 46.26 0.51 50.88 2.40 -2.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 32 47 +1 6.57 79.14 7.41 54.72 3.04 -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 33 46 +4 -0.65 47.24 3.14 52.78 2.84 3.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 32 46 +0 6.60 79.60 9.19 54.38 3.14 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 33 42 -9 1.78 58.94 1.41 47.18 2.71 -12.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 33 39 -4 -2.72 37.37 2.64 44.91 2.75 -5.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Newcastle 34 38 -11 -2.68 37.87 -1.39 43.14 2.52 -11.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Bournemouth 33 38 -17 0.72 54.35 -0.34 44.21 2.83 -18.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Burnley 33 36 -20 -1.46 43.60 -6.19 40.60 2.55 -23.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.14R 0.00 Brighton 31 33 -14 -0.72 47.37 0.37 40.06 3.08 -18.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.25R 0.00 Southampton 32 33 -17 -2.81 36.77 -2.60 41.44 3.18 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.19R 0.00 Cardiff 32 28 -33 0.19 52.55 -4.17 32.97 2.80 -38.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.33R 0.00 Fulham 33 17 -46 -8.75 11.01 -6.84 22.18 2.78 -48.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 6.12 Huddersfield 33 14 -44 -9.65 7.04 -7.62 16.51 2.04 -52.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 93.88Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 April 2019, Birmingham 1 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 41 85 +34 15.52 94.61 13.39 93.03 2.94 35.79 86.43 97.56 100.00 98.15P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 41 79 +26 13.70 92.17 12.38 87.29 2.95 28.07 6.66 49.72 100.00 61.62P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 41 78 +30 9.98 84.71 12.34 86.95 2.86 33.13 6.92 52.22 100.00 65.26P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 41 70 +22 -0.74 46.57 -0.30 79.35 2.87 26.03 0.00 0.50 99.54 31.48P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 41 66 +18 -1.68 42.94 0.47 74.62 2.93 20.63 0.00 0.01 87.57 21.64P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 40 65 +10 5.93 73.37 3.84 73.26 3.23 10.03 0.00 0.00 65.81 11.33P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 41 61 +7 -2.43 40.09 -3.63 69.53 2.88 9.37 0.00 0.00 18.98 4.72P 0.00 0.00 Derby 40 60 +5 -0.89 46.72 -3.87 69.37 3.16 6.76 0.00 0.00 19.85 4.17P 0.00 0.00 Hull 41 60 +3 1.34 55.46 -0.04 65.63 2.83 0.99 0.00 0.00 2.16 0.36P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 41 59 -2 2.52 60.57 -2.26 65.20 2.85 -3.09 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.14P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 41 57 +5 2.21 59.42 7.40 64.30 2.84 5.64 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Preston 41 57 +4 -2.23 41.18 -0.41 63.95 2.86 4.03 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 40 56 +5 -4.58 31.96 -3.45 66.12 3.25 7.83 0.00 0.00 4.08 0.94P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 41 54 +9 -7.62 21.91 1.08 61.99 2.99 10.65 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 41 54 +4 3.06 63.09 12.03 61.04 2.95 4.27 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 41 51 -6 -6.21 26.37 -7.81 57.99 2.86 -5.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 41 50 -8 -3.06 38.57 -2.54 56.58 2.86 -8.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 41 45 -19 -1.52 44.51 -3.16 50.76 2.85 -20.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.54R 0.00 Millwall 40 41 -13 -8.46 18.47 -4.94 47.68 3.09 -15.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.51R 0.00 Reading 41 41 -17 -5.53 28.05 -1.52 46.29 2.78 -19.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.33R 0.00 Wigan 41 41 -17 -10.13 14.46 -9.42 47.16 2.88 -18.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.62R 0.00 Rotherham 41 39 -26 -1.60 44.34 -0.15 43.22 2.58 -30.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.16R 0.01 Bolton 41 32 -39 -2.92 37.59 -6.34 35.68 2.50 -43.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.84R 17.52 Ipswich 41 27 -35 -14.77 4.58 -13.08 31.77 2.69 -38.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 82.47League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 41 87 +46 10.44 85.81 15.06 96.34 2.85 49.72 90.31 98.75 100.00 99.23P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 40 80 +34 5.43 71.06 4.21 90.66 3.24 37.58 7.63 59.29 100.00 73.35P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 41 79 +35 3.45 63.42 6.31 88.37 2.88 38.60 1.29 26.26 100.00 53.67P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 40 77 +28 11.40 88.10 12.08 87.05 3.19 30.74 0.74 14.16 100.00 34.00P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 41 76 +22 9.70 84.17 7.40 84.36 2.94 24.24 0.02 1.54 100.00 23.89P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 41 66 +17 3.72 65.03 8.06 73.84 2.91 18.41 0.00 0.00 86.79 13.82P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 40 61 +8 0.82 53.33 0.34 68.89 3.27 7.42 0.00 0.00 10.85 1.64P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 41 58 +2 1.39 56.04 1.06 64.63 2.90 1.72 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 41 58 +0 5.50 71.57 4.45 63.70 2.77 -1.63 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 41 57 +9 -3.89 34.98 2.07 63.59 2.98 8.60 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 40 56 +9 -2.23 41.04 4.00 63.93 3.20 8.59 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.15P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 52 -6 -1.94 42.42 -2.47 58.11 2.86 -7.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 41 48 -12 -2.18 41.67 -2.11 54.45 2.95 -12.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.91R 0.00 Shrewsbury 41 47 -8 -7.64 21.39 -6.13 53.65 2.87 -8.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.55R 0.00 Plymouth 41 47 -14 -2.89 38.88 -4.02 52.86 2.90 -15.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.23R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 41 46 -4 -6.74 24.42 0.77 52.88 2.88 -3.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.54R 0.08 Accrington_Stanley 41 45 -19 0.21 51.69 -2.18 50.17 2.76 -21.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.08R 1.09 Scunthorpe 41 45 -21 -7.28 22.93 -14.43 51.59 2.94 -21.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.45R 0.75 Rochdale 41 45 -29 -0.11 50.32 -10.45 50.35 2.80 -31.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.90R 1.21 Wycombe 41 44 -14 -1.50 44.72 3.02 50.36 2.95 -14.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.39R 1.10 Southend 41 43 -12 -8.80 18.39 -5.03 49.70 2.95 -12.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.75R 1.36 AFC_Wimbledon 41 43 -22 -1.24 45.66 -5.16 48.51 2.78 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.66R 6.37 Walsall 41 42 -23 -3.50 36.26 -6.43 48.05 2.92 -24.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.46R 7.00 Bradford 41 36 -26 -10.14 13.74 -10.43 42.27 2.91 -26.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.08R 81.03League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Macclesfield 3 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 41 83 +35 11.84 88.96 12.93 91.80 2.93 37.84 99.46 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 72 +27 2.28 59.16 7.51 79.85 2.87 28.49 0.17 64.98 99.99 76.63P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 41 72 +23 0.53 51.73 0.33 80.21 2.95 24.97 0.23 63.85 99.99 76.35P 0.00 0.00 Bury 41 71 +24 0.91 53.32 2.83 79.70 2.97 26.73 0.14 63.30 99.97 75.48P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 41 68 +15 7.89 78.54 9.23 74.61 2.94 14.64 0.00 7.05 94.83 25.46P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 64 +18 6.01 73.17 15.43 71.69 2.92 19.24 0.00 0.75 77.96 15.98P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 62 +10 -0.91 46.41 0.15 69.93 2.93 11.57 0.00 0.06 52.42 12.96P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 41 61 +6 0.49 52.27 -0.14 68.61 2.97 7.12 0.00 0.01 30.59 6.55P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 41 60 +8 -1.11 45.67 0.76 66.57 2.87 7.52 0.00 0.00 12.22 2.89P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 41 59 +3 -0.93 46.40 -2.43 66.50 2.93 3.95 0.00 0.00 10.45 2.23P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 40 57 +12 -7.59 21.82 -2.34 66.16 3.28 13.38 0.00 0.00 16.28 4.61P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 41 57 -5 2.80 61.58 -2.02 63.48 2.89 -5.48 0.00 0.00 1.69 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 40 57 -8 7.00 77.35 -0.78 64.40 3.21 -9.18 0.00 0.00 3.54 0.55P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 41 53 -2 -5.19 30.88 -4.78 60.06 2.86 -1.77 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 41 53 -4 0.28 51.79 1.48 60.28 2.94 -3.36 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 41 52 -6 -0.62 48.02 -0.08 57.80 2.87 -7.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 49 -12 1.91 58.91 0.55 54.94 2.88 -13.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 41 47 -10 -3.86 34.72 -3.31 52.70 2.72 -11.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Morecambe 41 46 -17 0.30 51.96 -1.39 52.16 2.84 -17.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 45 -21 -3.15 37.45 -9.76 51.71 2.90 -21.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.69R 0.05 Crawley_Town 41 43 -20 -3.22 37.19 -5.04 48.66 2.83 -21.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.93R 1.44 Macclesfield 41 39 -23 -1.34 45.29 1.78 44.15 2.75 -25.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.08R 18.16 Yeovil 41 37 -22 -7.56 21.06 -4.83 42.73 2.82 -23.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.80R 33.85 Notts_County 41 37 -31 -9.87 15.04 -16.09 42.61 2.83 -32.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.31R 46.50National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Gateshead 0 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 42 81 +35 7.55 77.85 11.75 88.17 2.54 37.63 71.02 99.99 79.80P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 42 79 +30 10.87 85.60 14.22 85.46 2.62 31.47 17.15 99.84 38.13P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 42 78 +27 13.56 91.38 16.70 84.06 2.62 27.92 8.88 99.01 27.06P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 42 75 +32 2.22 58.46 9.13 82.07 2.57 34.32 2.60 96.64 31.52P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 42 75 +17 10.67 86.50 6.85 80.94 2.57 17.73 0.34 84.07 19.17P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 42 71 +23 6.03 71.41 11.80 76.43 2.60 22.91 0.00 19.09 4.04P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 42 67 -2 11.68 88.17 1.49 72.51 2.63 -1.95 0.00 0.52 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 42 66 +20 0.39 51.97 7.95 72.61 2.65 21.62 0.00 0.83 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 42 64 +0 5.65 71.73 -1.45 69.42 2.56 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 42 63 +8 1.28 55.46 1.41 68.64 2.62 8.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 42 57 -1 2.10 59.01 2.04 62.48 2.60 -0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 42 56 -5 -5.61 28.83 -11.49 61.62 2.58 -4.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 42 55 -3 -3.24 37.80 -3.69 60.11 2.60 -3.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 42 53 +1 -10.34 15.20 -7.76 59.65 2.57 2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 42 52 -1 -0.19 49.87 4.81 56.53 2.46 -2.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 42 52 -7 -2.54 40.02 -2.95 57.34 2.59 -7.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidenhead 42 50 -22 2.76 61.99 -6.60 54.21 2.51 -23.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 42 49 -7 -8.59 19.06 -7.39 54.70 2.61 -6.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 42 48 -11 -6.85 24.27 -7.92 52.72 2.55 -12.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 42 48 -12 -8.68 19.27 -10.91 53.45 2.60 -12.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 42 39 -17 -6.99 24.66 2.15 43.13 2.51 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.16R 0.01 Aldershot 42 37 -32 -10.09 14.06 -17.74 42.36 2.59 -32.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.84R 0.46 Maidstone_United 42 33 -38 -5.88 26.44 -9.96 37.37 2.45 -39.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 26.16 Braintree_Town 42 31 -35 -6.17 25.94 -2.44 34.36 2.32 -38.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 73.37