Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 11 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 April 2019, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 33 82 +55 11.08 93.54 11.01 93.67 2.42 63.29 49.25 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 32 80 +62 4.44 74.03 3.22 93.30 2.84 70.42 50.75 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 33 66 +23 4.77 71.85 -1.78 74.02 2.76 24.80 0.00 0.00 14.27 40.49 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 64 +26 1.85 58.73 -3.53 76.33 2.76 32.85 0.00 0.00 53.22 80.36 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 32 63 +25 4.71 72.21 1.02 74.51 3.18 30.16 0.00 0.00 25.79 55.89 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 32 61 +18 1.94 59.06 -5.81 72.37 3.00 23.06 0.00 0.00 6.72 23.27 99.99 0.00 0.00 Leicester 33 47 +2 0.56 53.09 1.52 52.66 2.77 -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 32 47 +1 6.53 78.89 7.31 54.73 3.04 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 33 46 +4 -0.83 46.20 2.92 52.81 2.82 3.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 32 46 +0 6.61 79.72 9.23 54.41 3.16 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 33 42 -9 1.80 59.37 1.49 47.16 2.70 -12.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 33 39 -4 -2.76 36.97 2.54 44.90 2.74 -5.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 33 38 -17 0.60 53.49 -0.47 44.22 2.85 -18.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Burnley 33 36 -20 -1.40 43.80 -6.00 40.57 2.54 -24.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.01R 0.00 Newcastle 33 35 -12 -4.27 29.94 -2.16 41.10 2.81 -13.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.88R 0.00 Brighton 31 33 -14 -0.69 47.48 0.47 40.07 3.08 -18.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.16R 0.00 Southampton 32 33 -17 -2.76 36.74 -2.58 41.42 3.17 -16.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.04R 0.00 Cardiff 32 28 -33 0.03 51.50 -4.39 32.97 2.80 -38.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.86R 0.00 Fulham 33 17 -46 -8.59 11.30 -6.46 22.19 2.78 -48.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 6.07 Huddersfield 33 14 -44 -9.66 7.03 -7.55 16.52 2.05 -52.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 93.93Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 April 2019, Birmingham 1 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 41 85 +34 15.65 94.68 13.57 93.00 2.95 35.76 86.38 97.58 100.00 98.26P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 41 79 +26 13.40 91.71 11.91 87.31 2.94 28.11 6.66 50.79 100.00 62.78P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 41 78 +30 10.25 85.38 12.81 86.88 2.87 33.04 6.96 51.10 100.00 64.14P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 41 70 +22 -0.45 48.02 0.17 79.30 2.87 25.94 0.00 0.53 99.57 31.18P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 41 66 +18 -1.76 42.88 0.39 74.60 2.93 20.63 0.00 0.00 87.51 21.75P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 40 65 +10 6.18 74.10 4.20 73.21 3.21 9.91 0.00 0.00 65.26 11.15P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 41 61 +7 -2.22 40.81 -3.38 69.52 2.88 9.35 0.00 0.00 18.99 4.61P 0.00 0.00 Derby 40 60 +5 -0.76 47.06 -3.62 69.38 3.15 6.79 0.00 0.00 20.13 4.47P 0.00 0.00 Hull 41 60 +3 1.11 54.88 -0.38 65.68 2.85 1.07 0.00 0.00 2.23 0.37P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 41 59 -2 2.15 59.14 -2.83 65.21 2.83 -3.06 0.00 0.00 1.05 0.15P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 41 57 +5 2.18 59.43 7.30 64.33 2.87 5.70 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Preston 41 57 +4 -2.31 40.89 -0.55 63.95 2.89 4.03 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 40 56 +5 -4.54 32.28 -3.35 66.08 3.26 7.78 0.00 0.00 4.08 0.93P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 41 54 +9 -7.60 22.04 1.10 61.99 3.00 10.67 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 41 54 +4 3.12 63.32 12.20 61.02 2.96 4.26 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 41 51 -6 -5.93 27.43 -7.43 58.00 2.86 -5.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 41 50 -8 -2.99 38.60 -2.45 56.58 2.85 -8.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 41 45 -19 -1.61 43.85 -3.26 50.75 2.86 -20.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57R 0.00 Millwall 40 41 -13 -8.85 17.19 -5.58 47.79 3.09 -15.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.37R 0.00 Reading 41 41 -17 -5.32 28.73 -1.26 46.28 2.77 -19.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.21R 0.00 Wigan 41 41 -17 -10.19 14.50 -9.45 47.17 2.89 -18.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.58R 0.00 Rotherham 41 39 -26 -1.76 43.29 -0.44 43.23 2.58 -30.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.42R 0.02 Bolton 41 32 -39 -2.81 38.02 -6.13 35.66 2.49 -43.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.86R 18.09 Ipswich 41 27 -35 -15.04 4.24 -13.55 31.81 2.69 -38.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 81.89League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 41 87 +46 10.56 86.10 15.23 96.28 2.88 49.64 89.98 98.67 100.00 99.09P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 40 80 +34 5.35 70.85 4.09 90.69 3.24 37.60 7.77 59.24 100.00 73.29P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 41 79 +35 3.38 63.35 6.19 88.38 2.91 38.58 1.44 26.45 100.00 53.20P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 40 77 +28 11.32 87.66 11.99 87.04 3.19 30.74 0.77 14.02 100.00 34.20P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 41 76 +22 9.55 83.88 7.21 84.39 2.93 24.28 0.04 1.62 100.00 24.26P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 41 66 +17 3.96 65.68 8.42 73.82 2.92 18.38 0.00 0.00 86.89 13.93P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 40 61 +8 0.91 53.92 0.48 68.86 3.25 7.40 0.00 0.00 10.73 1.62P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 41 58 +2 1.35 55.95 0.99 64.66 2.90 1.74 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 41 58 +0 5.48 71.59 4.48 63.72 2.77 -1.61 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 41 57 +9 -4.08 34.13 1.82 63.64 2.98 8.68 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 40 56 +9 -2.35 40.77 3.75 63.95 3.19 8.62 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.15P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 52 -6 -2.14 41.69 -2.71 58.14 2.84 -7.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 41 48 -12 -2.00 42.48 -1.86 54.42 2.94 -12.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.94R 0.00 Shrewsbury 41 47 -8 -7.46 21.83 -5.90 53.63 2.87 -8.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.48R 0.01 Plymouth 41 47 -14 -2.94 38.48 -4.09 52.88 2.89 -15.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.04R 0.02 Bristol_Rovers 41 46 -4 -6.78 23.93 0.69 52.87 2.88 -3.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.36R 0.06 Accrington_Stanley 41 45 -19 0.27 51.90 -2.08 50.20 2.75 -21.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.40R 1.07 Scunthorpe 41 45 -21 -7.34 22.87 -14.50 51.55 2.94 -21.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.96R 0.72 Rochdale 41 45 -29 -0.23 49.77 -10.69 50.38 2.81 -31.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.78R 1.16 Wycombe 41 44 -14 -1.65 43.77 2.83 50.36 2.97 -14.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.62R 0.98 Southend 41 43 -12 -8.41 19.49 -4.44 49.64 2.94 -12.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.44R 1.48 AFC_Wimbledon 41 43 -22 -1.32 45.26 -5.30 48.50 2.78 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.57R 6.37 Walsall 41 42 -23 -3.31 36.90 -6.09 48.04 2.92 -24.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.31R 7.13 Bradford 41 36 -26 -10.15 13.86 -10.50 42.28 2.91 -26.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.11R 81.01League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Macclesfield 3 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 41 83 +35 11.76 88.98 12.80 91.79 2.94 37.85 99.44 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 72 +27 2.36 59.32 7.61 79.84 2.88 28.47 0.20 65.02 99.99 76.82P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 41 72 +23 0.33 50.98 0.12 80.25 2.96 25.00 0.20 64.46 99.99 76.92P 0.00 0.00 Bury 41 71 +24 1.10 53.95 3.14 79.65 2.96 26.68 0.16 62.79 99.97 74.83P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 41 68 +15 7.95 78.70 9.30 74.57 2.93 14.60 0.00 6.83 94.63 25.11P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 64 +18 5.89 72.81 15.31 71.68 2.92 19.23 0.00 0.84 77.84 16.13P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 62 +10 -0.76 47.13 0.34 69.91 2.92 11.55 0.00 0.04 52.04 12.99P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 41 61 +6 0.67 53.09 0.12 68.59 2.96 7.10 0.00 0.01 30.28 6.54P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 41 60 +8 -1.10 45.83 0.67 66.60 2.86 7.57 0.00 0.00 12.42 2.65P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 41 59 +3 -0.97 46.26 -2.51 66.50 2.94 3.98 0.00 0.00 10.86 2.48P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 40 57 +12 -7.62 21.76 -2.39 66.17 3.30 13.39 0.00 0.00 16.51 4.73P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 41 57 -5 2.76 61.70 -2.07 63.48 2.91 -5.48 0.00 0.00 1.69 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 40 57 -8 6.80 76.58 -1.01 64.42 3.21 -9.15 0.00 0.00 3.68 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 41 53 -2 -5.00 30.88 -4.50 60.06 2.86 -1.78 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 41 53 -4 0.36 51.98 1.49 60.29 2.93 -3.36 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 41 52 -6 -0.65 47.60 -0.15 57.81 2.87 -7.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 49 -12 1.87 58.76 0.49 54.92 2.85 -13.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 41 47 -10 -3.98 34.28 -3.55 52.71 2.72 -11.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Morecambe 41 46 -17 -0.03 50.55 -1.95 52.19 2.85 -17.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 45 -21 -3.10 37.73 -9.69 51.69 2.90 -21.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.69R 0.04 Crawley_Town 41 43 -20 -3.05 37.82 -4.80 48.66 2.83 -21.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.09R 1.56 Macclesfield 41 39 -23 -1.28 45.78 1.91 44.14 2.76 -25.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.13R 18.38 Yeovil 41 37 -22 -7.50 21.00 -4.66 42.73 2.86 -23.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.68R 34.05 Notts_County 41 37 -31 -9.85 14.64 -16.04 42.63 2.87 -32.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.20R 45.98National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Gateshead 0 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 42 81 +35 7.60 78.17 11.80 88.15 2.53 37.59 70.55 99.99 79.29P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 42 79 +30 10.79 85.50 14.15 85.49 2.63 31.50 17.50 99.78 37.93P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 42 78 +27 13.72 91.74 16.88 84.06 2.62 27.91 8.99 99.10 27.24P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 42 75 +32 2.23 58.52 9.12 82.05 2.56 34.32 2.57 96.77 31.97P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 42 75 +17 10.44 85.92 6.50 80.95 2.57 17.75 0.38 84.03 19.22P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 42 71 +23 5.97 71.75 11.67 76.42 2.59 22.90 0.00 18.98 4.05P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 42 67 -2 11.66 88.08 1.48 72.54 2.62 -1.91 0.00 0.44 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 42 66 +20 0.19 50.88 7.69 72.63 2.64 21.65 0.00 0.88 0.24P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 42 64 +0 5.77 72.02 -1.28 69.43 2.53 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 42 63 +8 1.30 55.39 1.46 68.62 2.63 8.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 42 57 -1 1.97 58.52 1.92 62.52 2.61 -0.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 42 56 -5 -5.86 27.77 -11.85 61.65 2.58 -4.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 42 55 -3 -3.05 38.29 -3.46 60.12 2.62 -3.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 42 53 +1 -10.28 15.06 -7.74 59.67 2.58 2.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 42 52 -1 -0.24 49.77 4.73 56.53 2.46 -2.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 42 52 -7 -2.66 39.72 -3.06 57.33 2.59 -7.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Maidenhead 42 50 -22 3.02 63.23 -6.29 54.16 2.48 -24.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 42 49 -7 -8.47 19.56 -7.21 54.69 2.61 -6.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 42 48 -11 -6.84 24.39 -7.99 52.72 2.54 -12.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 42 48 -12 -8.58 19.27 -10.77 53.42 2.58 -12.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 42 39 -17 -6.63 25.87 2.79 43.09 2.49 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.16R 0.01 Aldershot 42 37 -32 -10.18 13.77 -17.76 42.37 2.62 -32.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.85R 0.42 Maidstone_United 42 33 -38 -5.89 25.94 -10.06 37.38 2.45 -39.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 26.38 Braintree_Town 42 31 -35 -6.30 25.27 -2.73 34.36 2.32 -38.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 73.18