Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 11 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 April 2019, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   82  +55      11.08    93.54    11.01    93.67     2.42    63.29    49.25   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   80  +62       4.44    74.03     3.22    93.30     2.84    70.42    50.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   66  +23       4.77    71.85    -1.78    74.02     2.76    24.80     0.00     0.00    14.27    40.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   64  +26       1.85    58.73    -3.53    76.33     2.76    32.85     0.00     0.00    53.22    80.36   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   63  +25       4.71    72.21     1.02    74.51     3.18    30.16     0.00     0.00    25.79    55.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   61  +18       1.94    59.06    -5.81    72.37     3.00    23.06     0.00     0.00     6.72    23.27    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   47   +2       0.56    53.09     1.52    52.66     2.77    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   47   +1       6.53    78.89     7.31    54.73     3.04    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   46   +4      -0.83    46.20     2.92    52.81     2.82     3.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.61    79.72     9.23    54.41     3.16    -0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   42   -9       1.80    59.37     1.49    47.16     2.70   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   39   -4      -2.76    36.97     2.54    44.90     2.74    -5.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   38  -17       0.60    53.49    -0.47    44.22     2.85   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          33   36  -20      -1.40    43.80    -6.00    40.57     2.54   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        33   35  -12      -4.27    29.94    -2.16    41.10     2.81   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.00  
Brighton         31   33  -14      -0.69    47.48     0.47    40.07     3.08   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.16R    0.00  
Southampton      32   33  -17      -2.76    36.74    -2.58    41.42     3.17   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.04R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   28  -33       0.03    51.50    -4.39    32.97     2.80   -38.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.86R    0.00  
Fulham           33   17  -46      -8.59    11.30    -6.46    22.19     2.78   -48.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    6.07  
Huddersfield     33   14  -44      -9.66     7.03    -7.55    16.52     2.05   -52.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.93  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 April 2019, Birmingham 1 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         41   85  +34      15.65    94.68    13.57    93.00     2.95    35.76    86.38    97.58   100.00    98.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   79  +26      13.40    91.71    11.91    87.31     2.94    28.11     6.66    50.79   100.00    62.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   78  +30      10.25    85.38    12.81    86.88     2.87    33.04     6.96    51.10   100.00    64.14P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       41   70  +22      -0.45    48.02     0.17    79.30     2.87    25.94     0.00     0.53    99.57    31.18P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     41   66  +18      -1.76    42.88     0.39    74.60     2.93    20.63     0.00     0.00    87.51    21.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    40   65  +10       6.18    74.10     4.20    73.21     3.21     9.91     0.00     0.00    65.26    11.15P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   41   61   +7      -2.22    40.81    -3.38    69.52     2.88     9.35     0.00     0.00    18.99     4.61P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   60   +5      -0.76    47.06    -3.62    69.38     3.15     6.79     0.00     0.00    20.13     4.47P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            41   60   +3       1.11    54.88    -0.38    65.68     2.85     1.07     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   59   -2       2.15    59.14    -2.83    65.21     2.83    -3.06     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   57   +5       2.18    59.43     7.30    64.33     2.87     5.70     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   57   +4      -2.31    40.89    -0.55    63.95     2.89     4.03     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         40   56   +5      -4.54    32.28    -3.35    66.08     3.26     7.78     0.00     0.00     4.08     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   54   +9      -7.60    22.04     1.10    61.99     3.00    10.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      41   54   +4       3.12    63.32    12.20    61.02     2.96     4.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           41   51   -6      -5.93    27.43    -7.43    58.00     2.86    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       41   50   -8      -2.99    38.60    -2.45    56.58     2.85    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   45  -19      -1.61    43.85    -3.26    50.75     2.86   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Millwall        40   41  -13      -8.85    17.19    -5.58    47.79     3.09   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.37R    0.00  
Reading         41   41  -17      -5.32    28.73    -1.26    46.28     2.77   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.21R    0.00  
Wigan           41   41  -17     -10.19    14.50    -9.45    47.17     2.89   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.58R    0.00  
Rotherham       41   39  -26      -1.76    43.29    -0.44    43.23     2.58   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.42R    0.02  
Bolton          41   32  -39      -2.81    38.02    -6.13    35.66     2.49   -43.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   18.09  
Ipswich         41   27  -35     -15.04     4.24   -13.55    31.81     2.69   -38.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   81.89  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                41   87  +46      10.56    86.10    15.23    96.28     2.88    49.64    89.98    98.67   100.00    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           40   80  +34       5.35    70.85     4.09    90.69     3.24    37.60     7.77    59.24   100.00    73.29P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             41   79  +35       3.38    63.35     6.19    88.38     2.91    38.58     1.44    26.45   100.00    53.20P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   77  +28      11.32    87.66    11.99    87.04     3.19    30.74     0.77    14.02   100.00    34.20P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             41   76  +22       9.55    83.88     7.21    84.39     2.93    24.28     0.04     1.62   100.00    24.26P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            41   66  +17       3.96    65.68     8.42    73.82     2.92    18.38     0.00     0.00    86.89    13.93P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   61   +8       0.91    53.92     0.48    68.86     3.25     7.40     0.00     0.00    10.73     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            41   58   +2       1.35    55.95     0.99    64.66     2.90     1.74     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             41   58   +0       5.48    71.59     4.48    63.72     2.77    -1.61     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   57   +9      -4.08    34.13     1.82    63.64     2.98     8.68     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   56   +9      -2.35    40.77     3.75    63.95     3.19     8.62     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   52   -6      -2.14    41.69    -2.71    58.14     2.84    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   48  -12      -2.00    42.48    -1.86    54.42     2.94   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.94R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   47   -8      -7.46    21.83    -5.90    53.63     2.87    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.48R    0.01  
Plymouth             41   47  -14      -2.94    38.48    -4.09    52.88     2.89   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.04R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers       41   46   -4      -6.78    23.93     0.69    52.87     2.88    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.36R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   41   45  -19       0.27    51.90    -2.08    50.20     2.75   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.40R    1.07  
Scunthorpe           41   45  -21      -7.34    22.87   -14.50    51.55     2.94   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.96R    0.72  
Rochdale             41   45  -29      -0.23    49.77   -10.69    50.38     2.81   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.78R    1.16  
Wycombe              41   44  -14      -1.65    43.77     2.83    50.36     2.97   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.62R    0.98  
Southend             41   43  -12      -8.41    19.49    -4.44    49.64     2.94   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.44R    1.48  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   43  -22      -1.32    45.26    -5.30    48.50     2.78   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.57R    6.37  
Walsall              41   42  -23      -3.31    36.90    -6.09    48.04     2.92   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.31R    7.13  
Bradford             41   36  -26     -10.15    13.86   -10.50    42.28     2.91   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.11R   81.01  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Macclesfield 3 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     41   83  +35      11.76    88.98    12.80    91.79     2.94    37.85    99.44   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   72  +27       2.36    59.32     7.61    79.84     2.88    28.47     0.20    65.02    99.99    76.82P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   72  +23       0.33    50.98     0.12    80.25     2.96    25.00     0.20    64.46    99.99    76.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   71  +24       1.10    53.95     3.14    79.65     2.96    26.68     0.16    62.79    99.97    74.83P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   68  +15       7.95    78.70     9.30    74.57     2.93    14.60     0.00     6.83    94.63    25.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   64  +18       5.89    72.81    15.31    71.68     2.92    19.23     0.00     0.84    77.84    16.13P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   62  +10      -0.76    47.13     0.34    69.91     2.92    11.55     0.00     0.04    52.04    12.99P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   61   +6       0.67    53.09     0.12    68.59     2.96     7.10     0.00     0.01    30.28     6.54P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   60   +8      -1.10    45.83     0.67    66.60     2.86     7.57     0.00     0.00    12.42     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   59   +3      -0.97    46.26    -2.51    66.50     2.94     3.98     0.00     0.00    10.86     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   57  +12      -7.62    21.76    -2.39    66.17     3.30    13.39     0.00     0.00    16.51     4.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        41   57   -5       2.76    61.70    -2.07    63.48     2.91    -5.48     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   40   57   -8       6.80    76.58    -1.01    64.42     3.21    -9.15     0.00     0.00     3.68     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   53   -2      -5.00    30.88    -4.50    60.06     2.86    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            41   53   -4       0.36    51.98     1.49    60.29     2.93    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   52   -6      -0.65    47.60    -0.15    57.81     2.87    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   49  -12       1.87    58.76     0.49    54.92     2.85   -13.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale        41   47  -10      -3.98    34.28    -3.55    52.71     2.72   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe        41   46  -17      -0.03    50.55    -1.95    52.19     2.85   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    41   45  -21      -3.10    37.73    -9.69    51.69     2.90   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.04  
Crawley_Town     41   43  -20      -3.05    37.82    -4.80    48.66     2.83   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.09R    1.56  
Macclesfield     41   39  -23      -1.28    45.78     1.91    44.14     2.76   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.13R   18.38  
Yeovil           41   37  -22      -7.50    21.00    -4.66    42.73     2.86   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.68R   34.05  
Notts_County     41   37  -31      -9.85    14.64   -16.04    42.63     2.87   -32.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.20R   45.98  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Gateshead 0 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      42   81  +35       7.60    78.17    11.80    88.15     2.53    37.59    70.55    99.99    79.29P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       42   79  +30      10.79    85.50    14.15    85.49     2.63    31.50    17.50    99.78    37.93P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     42   78  +27      13.72    91.74    16.88    84.06     2.62    27.91     8.99    99.10    27.24P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          42   75  +32       2.23    58.52     9.12    82.05     2.56    34.32     2.57    96.77    31.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   75  +17      10.44    85.92     6.50    80.95     2.57    17.75     0.38    84.03    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     42   71  +23       5.97    71.75    11.67    76.42     2.59    22.90     0.00    18.98     4.05P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          42   67   -2      11.66    88.08     1.48    72.54     2.62    -1.91     0.00     0.44     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   66  +20       0.19    50.88     7.69    72.63     2.64    21.65     0.00     0.88     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      42   64   +0       5.77    72.02    -1.28    69.43     2.53     0.01     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   63   +8       1.30    55.39     1.46    68.62     2.63     8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   57   -1       1.97    58.52     1.92    62.52     2.61    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             42   56   -5      -5.86    27.77   -11.85    61.65     2.58    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            42   55   -3      -3.05    38.29    -3.46    60.12     2.62    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       42   53   +1     -10.28    15.06    -7.74    59.67     2.58     2.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            42   52   -1      -0.24    49.77     4.73    56.53     2.46    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         42   52   -7      -2.66    39.72    -3.06    57.33     2.59    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         42   50  -22       3.02    63.23    -6.29    54.16     2.48   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          42   49   -7      -8.47    19.56    -7.21    54.69     2.61    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       42   48  -11      -6.84    24.39    -7.99    52.72     2.54   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   48  -12      -8.58    19.27   -10.77    53.42     2.58   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    42   39  -17      -6.63    25.87     2.79    43.09     2.49   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.16R    0.01  
Aldershot          42   37  -32     -10.18    13.77   -17.76    42.37     2.62   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R    0.42  
Maidstone_United   42   33  -38      -5.89    25.94   -10.06    37.38     2.45   -39.66     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   26.38  
Braintree_Town     42   31  -35      -6.30    25.27    -2.73    34.36     2.32   -38.54     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   73.18