Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 April 2019, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   82  +55      11.02    93.70    10.90    93.69     2.41    63.30    49.28   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   80  +62       4.48    74.20     3.54    93.29     2.86    70.41    50.72   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   66  +23       4.77    71.96    -1.82    74.02     2.77    24.79     0.00     0.00    14.34    40.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   64  +26       2.08    59.79    -3.06    76.34     2.77    32.84     0.00     0.00    53.61    80.44   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   63  +25       4.64    71.70     0.83    74.49     3.18    30.15     0.00     0.00    25.52    55.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   61  +18       1.93    58.86    -5.84    72.35     2.97    23.00     0.00     0.00     6.53    23.02   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   47   +2       0.51    52.82     1.38    52.66     2.76    -0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   47   +1       6.42    78.35     7.14    54.76     3.02     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   46   +4      -0.60    47.31     3.28    52.78     2.82     3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.67    79.87     9.39    54.37     3.15    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   42   -9       1.72    58.86     1.24    47.17     2.70   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   39   -4      -2.71    37.66     2.72    44.94     2.76    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      33   38  -17       0.56    53.44    -0.52    44.18     2.84   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          33   36  -20      -1.53    43.01    -6.29    40.58     2.54   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.00  
Newcastle        33   35  -12      -4.21    30.23    -2.10    41.08     2.80   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
Brighton         31   33  -14      -0.71    47.24     0.36    40.06     3.09   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.24R    0.00  
Southampton      32   33  -17      -2.84    36.30    -2.72    41.47     3.17   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   28  -33       0.14    51.94    -4.16    32.97     2.81   -38.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.77R    0.00  
Fulham           33   17  -46      -8.68    11.22    -6.58    22.19     2.78   -48.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    6.16  
Huddersfield     33   14  -44      -9.67     6.83    -7.69    16.50     2.05   -52.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.84  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 April 2019, Birmingham 1 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         41   85  +34      15.69    94.69    13.61    93.02     2.95    35.78    86.53    97.52   100.00    98.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   79  +26      13.64    92.20    12.25    87.30     2.95    28.09     6.74    50.19   100.00    62.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   78  +30      10.25    85.38    12.72    86.91     2.87    33.06     6.73    51.73   100.00    64.62P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       41   70  +22      -0.54    47.50    -0.05    79.33     2.87    25.98     0.00     0.55    99.56    31.21P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     41   66  +18      -1.86    42.56     0.19    74.61     2.93    20.62     0.00     0.00    87.25    21.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    40   65  +10       5.88    72.97     3.78    73.26     3.23    10.00     0.00     0.00    65.61    11.51P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   41   61   +7      -2.51    39.99    -3.70    69.54     2.88     9.38     0.00     0.00    19.00     4.46P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   60   +5      -0.93    46.25    -3.90    69.42     3.14     6.81     0.00     0.00    20.14     4.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            41   60   +3       1.11    54.89    -0.39    65.64     2.86     1.02     0.00     0.00     2.14     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   59   -2       2.38    59.74    -2.50    65.19     2.84    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   57   +5       2.28    59.84     7.46    64.28     2.86     5.63     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   57   +4      -2.36    40.81    -0.57    63.98     2.87     4.09     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         40   56   +5      -4.53    32.21    -3.39    66.12     3.27     7.84     0.00     0.00     4.18     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   54   +9      -7.66    22.02     1.03    61.98     2.99    10.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      41   54   +4       3.20    63.74    12.31    61.00     2.96     4.25     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           41   51   -6      -6.16    26.73    -7.73    58.00     2.86    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       41   50   -8      -2.80    39.16    -2.16    56.56     2.85    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   45  -19      -1.52    44.38    -3.10    50.76     2.86   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Millwall        40   41  -13      -8.89    17.27    -5.58    47.76     3.10   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.21R    0.00  
Reading         41   41  -17      -5.45    28.25    -1.46    46.29     2.77   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.17R    0.00  
Wigan           41   41  -17     -10.04    14.76    -9.29    47.14     2.90   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.78R    0.00  
Rotherham       41   39  -26      -1.58    44.31    -0.03    43.21     2.58   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.46R    0.00  
Bolton          41   32  -39      -3.01    37.09    -6.46    35.67     2.49   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   17.62  
Ipswich         41   27  -35     -14.73     4.57   -13.04    31.77     2.69   -38.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   82.37  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                41   87  +46      10.70    86.51    15.51    96.29     2.85    49.63    89.98    98.77   100.00    99.17P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           40   80  +34       5.30    70.33     4.04    90.72     3.26    37.65     7.91    59.77   100.00    73.97P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             41   79  +35       3.41    63.45     6.29    88.37     2.90    38.59     1.36    25.92   100.00    53.12P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   77  +28      11.28    87.71    11.87    87.04     3.18    30.73     0.72    14.03   100.00    34.27P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             41   76  +22       9.41    83.22     6.94    84.39     2.94    24.29     0.04     1.51   100.00    23.91P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            41   66  +17       3.90    65.19     8.36    73.83     2.92    18.38     0.00     0.00    86.78    13.54P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   61   +8       1.01    53.92     0.56    68.84     3.27     7.36     0.00     0.00    10.85     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            41   58   +2       1.55    56.55     1.26    64.65     2.90     1.75     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             41   58   +0       5.51    71.82     4.52    63.71     2.78    -1.62     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   57   +9      -4.37    33.04     1.42    63.64     2.95     8.69     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   56   +9      -2.00    42.02     4.30    63.90     3.20     8.56     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   52   -6      -1.97    42.53    -2.52    58.11     2.84    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   48  -12      -2.32    41.02    -2.41    54.47     2.94   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   47   -8      -7.50    21.88    -5.95    53.63     2.86    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.44R    0.01  
Plymouth             41   47  -14      -2.80    39.10    -3.87    52.86     2.87   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.84R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers       41   46   -4      -6.82    24.01     0.70    52.89     2.91    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.59R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   41   45  -19       0.42    52.69    -1.89    50.17     2.75   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.39R    0.98  
Scunthorpe           41   45  -21      -7.30    23.00   -14.49    51.56     2.93   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.65R    0.63  
Rochdale             41   45  -29      -0.19    49.91   -10.70    50.38     2.80   -31.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.50R    1.17  
Wycombe              41   44  -14      -1.57    44.47     2.96    50.38     2.96   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.43R    1.00  
Southend             41   43  -12      -8.58    18.85    -4.69    49.68     2.94   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.18R    1.45  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   43  -22      -1.29    45.35    -5.24    48.50     2.76   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.80R    6.35  
Walsall              41   42  -23      -3.52    36.03    -6.44    48.06     2.92   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.21R    7.11  
Bradford             41   36  -26     -10.24    13.56   -10.57    42.26     2.92   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.10R   81.22  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Macclesfield 3 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     41   83  +35      11.89    89.36    13.01    91.78     2.94    37.81    99.39   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   72  +27       2.26    59.16     7.50    79.87     2.89    28.49     0.23    65.11   100.00    76.72P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   72  +23       0.32    50.90     0.06    80.22     2.93    24.99     0.21    64.31    99.99    76.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   71  +24       1.10    54.19     3.13    79.66     2.96    26.68     0.16    62.61    99.96    74.75P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   68  +15       7.94    78.58     9.26    74.61     2.93    14.61     0.00     6.95    94.68    25.40P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   64  +18       5.78    72.33    15.09    71.73     2.92    19.31     0.00     0.96    77.88    16.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   62  +10      -0.79    47.02     0.32    69.94     2.92    11.57     0.00     0.06    52.27    13.22P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   61   +6       0.45    52.04    -0.21    68.62     2.97     7.12     0.00     0.00    30.35     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   60   +8      -1.32    44.82     0.42    66.61     2.87     7.58     0.00     0.00    12.29     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   59   +3      -0.92    46.42    -2.40    66.51     2.92     3.98     0.00     0.00    10.75     2.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   57  +12      -7.62    21.94    -2.39    66.17     3.30    13.40     0.00     0.00    16.58     4.61P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        41   57   -5       2.91    62.03    -1.86    63.45     2.90    -5.53     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   40   57   -8       6.96    77.13    -0.82    64.41     3.22    -9.16     0.00     0.00     3.61     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   53   -2      -5.01    31.00    -4.54    60.04     2.84    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            41   53   -4       0.39    52.22     1.59    60.24     2.93    -3.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   52   -6      -0.77    47.33    -0.24    57.82     2.88    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   49  -12       1.84    58.56     0.46    54.95     2.87   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        41   47  -10      -3.92    34.39    -3.44    52.70     2.73   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe        41   46  -17       0.21    51.79    -1.54    52.19     2.85   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd    41   45  -21      -2.97    38.34    -9.45    51.66     2.91   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.05  
Crawley_Town     41   43  -20      -3.26    37.31    -5.12    48.68     2.82   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.10R    1.44  
Macclesfield     41   39  -23      -1.07    46.34     2.27    44.13     2.75   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.23R   18.57  
Yeovil           41   37  -22      -7.64    20.61    -4.91    42.73     2.84   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.63R   33.90  
Notts_County     41   37  -31      -9.90    14.79   -16.19    42.62     2.86   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.12R   46.03  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Gateshead 0 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      42   81  +35       7.62    78.13    11.85    88.15     2.54    37.61    70.73    99.99    79.56P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       42   79  +30      10.93    85.78    14.34    85.49     2.63    31.49    17.32    99.79    37.93P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     42   78  +27      13.52    91.32    16.62    84.06     2.62    27.92     9.05    99.16    27.54P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          42   75  +32       2.37    59.29     9.31    82.03     2.56    34.29     2.60    96.52    31.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   75  +17      10.60    86.23     6.75    80.93     2.57    17.72     0.31    83.61    18.89P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     42   71  +23       5.95    71.42    11.69    76.44     2.61    22.92     0.00    19.49     4.17P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          42   67   -2      12.04    88.58     2.06    72.49     2.63    -1.98     0.00     0.52     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   66  +20       0.27    51.12     7.80    72.62     2.67    21.64     0.00     0.90     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      42   64   +0       5.51    71.12    -1.72    69.43     2.54     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   63   +8       1.38    55.68     1.61    68.63     2.63     8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   57   -1       1.93    58.46     1.82    62.51     2.60    -0.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             42   56   -5      -5.75    28.40   -11.68    61.64     2.60    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            42   55   -3      -2.85    39.13    -3.13    60.09     2.59    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       42   53   +1     -10.58    14.65    -8.13    59.69     2.58     2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            42   52   -1      -0.18    49.96     4.78    56.56     2.47    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         42   52   -7      -2.65    39.84    -3.05    57.32     2.60    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         42   50  -22       3.01    63.12    -6.23    54.18     2.48   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          42   49   -7      -8.41    19.59    -7.15    54.72     2.62    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       42   48  -11      -6.83    24.18    -7.96    52.74     2.55   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   48  -12      -8.75    18.79   -11.02    53.45     2.59   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    42   39  -17      -6.90    24.57     2.24    43.14     2.52   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R    0.01  
Aldershot          42   37  -32     -10.43    13.50   -18.12    42.36     2.60   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R    0.50  
Maidstone_United   42   33  -38      -5.85    26.25   -10.02    37.36     2.44   -39.69     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   26.43  
Braintree_Town     42   31  -35      -6.26    25.73    -2.67    34.37     2.33   -38.55     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   73.07