Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 April 2019, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   82  +55      11.02    93.68    10.95    93.67     2.42    63.29    49.20   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   80  +62       4.50    74.41     3.37    93.31     2.85    70.42    50.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   66  +23       4.80    71.72    -1.78    74.01     2.78    24.79     0.00     0.00    14.18    40.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   64  +26       2.04    59.53    -3.16    76.31     2.76    32.77     0.00     0.00    53.06    80.24   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   63  +25       4.61    71.66     0.82    74.50     3.19    30.16     0.00     0.00    25.97    55.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   61  +18       1.88    59.04    -5.87    72.38     3.00    23.06     0.00     0.00     6.79    23.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   47   +2       0.57    52.90     1.56    52.66     2.76    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   47   +1       6.53    78.70     7.34    54.72     3.03    -0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   46   +4      -0.72    46.79     3.10    52.79     2.84     3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.64    79.96     9.27    54.37     3.17    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   42   -9       1.78    59.21     1.28    47.19     2.70   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   39   -4      -2.77    37.08     2.61    44.92     2.74    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      33   38  -17       0.66    54.14    -0.34    44.21     2.86   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          33   36  -20      -1.44    43.91    -6.12    40.59     2.56   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.00  
Newcastle        33   35  -12      -4.32    29.80    -2.21    41.10     2.81   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Brighton         31   33  -14      -0.78    46.95     0.29    40.09     3.07   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.90R    0.00  
Southampton      32   33  -17      -2.83    36.36    -2.68    41.46     3.17   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   28  -33       0.23    52.46    -4.06    32.95     2.79   -38.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.13R    0.00  
Fulham           33   17  -46      -8.67    11.11    -6.68    22.20     2.78   -48.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    6.11  
Huddersfield     33   14  -44      -9.76     6.90    -7.70    16.52     2.05   -52.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.89  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Blackburn 2 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         40   84  +34      16.31    95.60    13.98    94.27     3.19    37.24    89.17    98.25   100.00    98.68P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   79  +26      13.36    91.73    11.88    87.33     2.95    28.13     4.12    45.34   100.00    58.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   77  +30      10.65    86.78    12.75    87.46     3.18    33.36     6.70    55.94   100.00    67.74P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       41   70  +22      -0.70    46.65    -0.21    79.36     2.88    26.03     0.00     0.47    99.61    31.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    40   65  +10       5.98    73.50     3.89    73.27     3.22    10.01     0.00     0.00    68.16    11.61P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     40   63  +17      -2.83    38.33     0.18    73.40     3.24    20.27     0.00     0.00    77.74    19.43P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   41   61   +7      -2.41    39.94    -3.63    69.53     2.89     9.38     0.00     0.00    22.05     5.35P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   60   +5      -0.88    46.47    -3.82    69.39     3.17     6.79     0.00     0.00    22.83     4.85P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   59   -2       2.47    60.51    -2.35    65.16     2.84    -3.13     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   57   +5       2.08    59.03     7.16    64.32     2.86     5.65     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   57   +4      -2.18    41.50    -0.35    63.95     2.87     4.03     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            40   57   +2       0.07    50.50    -0.47    64.36     3.15     0.53     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         40   56   +5      -4.73    31.55    -3.67    66.17     3.25     7.89     0.00     0.00     5.18     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      40   53   +4       3.29    64.26    11.90    61.21     3.25     4.03     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   51   +7      -8.23    20.08     0.68    61.02     3.26     9.68     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           41   51   -6      -5.80    28.02    -7.24    57.95     2.86    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       41   50   -8      -2.90    38.96    -2.33    56.57     2.85    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             40   44  -19      -1.34    45.02    -3.20    50.77     3.14   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59R    0.00  
Wigan           40   41  -16      -9.23    16.33    -9.14    48.17     3.16   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.01R    0.00  
Millwall        39   40  -13      -8.23    18.85    -5.01    48.50     3.39   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.01R    0.00  
Reading         40   40  -17      -5.34    28.67    -2.03    45.89     2.99   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.93R    0.00  
Rotherham       40   39  -25      -0.83    47.32    -0.00    44.17     2.88   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.61R    0.02  
Bolton          41   32  -39      -2.91    37.87    -6.34    35.68     2.49   -43.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   24.34  
Ipswich         40   27  -33     -14.40     4.69   -12.62    32.53     2.93   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   75.64  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                41   87  +46      10.68    86.18    15.46    96.29     2.86    49.65    89.96    98.66   100.00    99.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           40   80  +34       5.36    70.83     4.10    90.69     3.24    37.59     7.76    59.26   100.00    73.39P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             41   79  +35       3.17    62.43     5.86    88.40     2.89    38.64     1.43    26.27   100.00    53.51P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   77  +28      11.50    88.23    12.21    87.05     3.20    30.75     0.80    14.23   100.00    34.13P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             41   76  +22       9.57    83.75     7.22    84.39     2.92    24.28     0.05     1.58   100.00    23.97P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            41   66  +17       3.86    65.04     8.31    73.80     2.90    18.36     0.00     0.00    86.76    13.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   61   +8       0.76    52.99     0.24    68.90     3.26     7.43     0.00     0.00    10.84     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            41   58   +2       1.64    57.10     1.37    64.61     2.89     1.68     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             41   58   +0       5.15    70.48     4.03    63.75     2.78    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   57   +9      -4.00    34.75     1.93    63.58     2.97     8.59     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   56   +9      -2.24    41.03     3.94    63.92     3.18     8.59     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   52   -6      -1.90    42.81    -2.35    58.12     2.85    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   48  -12      -2.00    42.46    -1.91    54.42     2.93   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.97R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   47   -8      -7.63    21.68    -6.16    53.64     2.86    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.48R    0.00  
Plymouth             41   47  -14      -2.90    38.42    -3.97    52.86     2.89   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.34R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers       41   46   -4      -6.82    24.27     0.71    52.88     2.88    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.45R    0.05  
Accrington_Stanley   41   45  -19       0.18    51.73    -2.20    50.20     2.77   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.89R    1.04  
Scunthorpe           41   45  -21      -7.45    22.44   -14.68    51.58     2.93   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.46R    0.68  
Rochdale             41   45  -29      -0.06    50.45   -10.39    50.34     2.81   -31.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.28R    1.14  
Wycombe              41   44  -14      -1.68    43.90     2.75    50.40     2.95   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.86R    0.98  
Southend             41   43  -12      -8.46    19.27    -4.56    49.68     2.95   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.09R    1.50  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   43  -22      -1.20    45.64    -5.07    48.49     2.79   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.77R    6.53  
Walsall              41   42  -23      -3.56    36.10    -6.51    48.07     2.92   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.24R    6.93  
Bradford             41   36  -26     -10.06    14.14   -10.33    42.28     2.90   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.17R   81.12  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Macclesfield 3 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     41   83  +35      11.95    89.43    13.08    91.74     2.95    37.78    99.43   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   72  +27       2.36    59.43     7.61    79.87     2.89    28.50     0.24    65.47    99.99    76.84P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   72  +23       0.45    51.68     0.24    80.21     2.95    24.97     0.21    64.19    99.99    76.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   71  +24       1.17    54.26     3.25    79.63     2.96    26.65     0.12    62.32    99.97    74.59P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   68  +15       7.86    78.72     9.19    74.63     2.93    14.66     0.00     7.03    94.70    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   64  +18       5.79    72.35    15.16    71.73     2.93    19.29     0.00     0.91    77.97    16.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   62  +10      -1.02    46.09     0.00    69.93     2.92    11.56     0.00     0.06    52.28    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   61   +6       0.39    51.80    -0.30    68.60     2.97     7.12     0.00     0.01    30.30     6.74P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   60   +8      -1.33    44.80     0.42    66.65     2.89     7.64     0.00     0.00    12.67     2.82P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   59   +3      -0.99    46.53    -2.53    66.52     2.94     3.98     0.00     0.00    10.61     2.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   57  +12      -7.53    22.21    -2.31    66.16     3.29    13.39     0.00     0.00    16.28     4.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        41   57   -5       2.77    61.58    -2.08    63.46     2.89    -5.50     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   40   57   -8       6.97    77.35    -0.70    64.42     3.22    -9.17     0.00     0.00     3.60     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   53   -2      -4.84    31.45    -4.35    60.05     2.86    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            41   53   -4       0.36    52.32     1.51    60.26     2.94    -3.38     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   52   -6      -0.59    47.95    -0.04    57.81     2.88    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   49  -12       1.71    58.06     0.28    54.93     2.87   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        41   47  -10      -3.89    34.44    -3.42    52.70     2.72   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe        41   46  -17       0.06    51.11    -1.72    52.22     2.84   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd    41   45  -21      -2.95    38.31    -9.49    51.67     2.92   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.05  
Crawley_Town     41   43  -20      -3.22    37.15    -5.05    48.65     2.83   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.08R    1.60  
Macclesfield     41   39  -23      -1.04    46.82     2.30    44.13     2.76   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.15R   18.45  
Yeovil           41   37  -22      -7.63    20.82    -4.79    42.72     2.86   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.73R   34.15  
Notts_County     41   37  -31      -9.99    14.58   -16.26    42.61     2.85   -32.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.25R   45.74  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 April 2019, Gateshead 0 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      42   81  +35       7.68    78.52    11.88    88.15     2.54    37.61    70.37    99.99    79.31P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       42   79  +30      10.73    85.16    14.04    85.51     2.63    31.54    17.87    99.78    38.04P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     42   78  +27      13.40    91.15    16.49    84.07     2.62    27.93     8.81    99.05    27.28P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          42   75  +32       2.14    58.49     9.05    82.06     2.57    34.33     2.64    96.54    32.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   75  +17      10.70    86.88     6.83    80.94     2.57    17.74     0.30    83.89    19.09P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     42   71  +23       6.06    72.10    11.80    76.45     2.61    22.92     0.00    19.31     3.96P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          42   67   -2      11.83    88.37     1.72    72.49     2.63    -1.96     0.00     0.51     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   66  +20       0.36    51.48     7.91    72.63     2.65    21.63     0.00     0.92     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      42   64   +0       5.71    72.06    -1.37    69.42     2.54     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   63   +8       1.28    55.30     1.39    68.64     2.61     8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   57   -1       2.09    59.03     2.06    62.48     2.60    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             42   56   -5      -5.80    27.99   -11.75    61.63     2.58    -4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            42   55   -3      -2.97    38.47    -3.27    60.10     2.62    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       42   53   +1     -10.72    14.45    -8.34    59.70     2.59     2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            42   52   -1      -0.07    50.26     4.89    56.53     2.46    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         42   52   -7      -2.39    40.97    -2.69    57.30     2.58    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         42   50  -22       2.95    63.13    -6.32    54.17     2.49   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          42   49   -7      -8.49    19.43    -7.21    54.70     2.62    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       42   48  -11      -7.02    23.55    -8.16    52.74     2.54   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   48  -12      -8.84    18.49   -11.23    53.46     2.59   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    42   39  -17      -6.86    24.60     2.34    43.13     2.52   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R    0.02  
Aldershot          42   37  -32      -9.98    14.15   -17.53    42.35     2.61   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R    0.45  
Maidstone_United   42   33  -38      -5.91    26.06   -10.03    37.35     2.44   -39.70     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   26.53  
Braintree_Town     42   31  -35      -6.22    25.61    -2.51    34.38     2.32   -38.54     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   73.00