Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 8 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 April 2019, Chelsea 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   82  +55      11.01    93.68    10.95    93.68     2.41    63.29    49.38   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   80  +62       4.51    74.26     3.46    93.30     2.84    70.40    50.62   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   66  +23       4.75    71.81    -1.79    74.01     2.76    24.78     0.00     0.00    14.09    40.50   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   64  +26       1.92    58.74    -3.35    76.35     2.77    32.87     0.00     0.00    53.42    80.50   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   63  +25       4.56    71.32     0.69    74.52     3.18    30.18     0.00     0.00    25.94    56.06   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   61  +18       2.00    59.25    -5.71    72.35     2.99    22.98     0.00     0.00     6.55    22.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   47   +2       0.53    52.69     1.42    52.66     2.77    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   47   +1       6.51    78.99     7.32    54.75     3.04    -0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   46   +4      -0.91    45.91     2.79    52.83     2.83     3.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.67    79.83     9.35    54.39     3.16    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   42   -9       1.74    58.96     1.26    47.18     2.69   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   39   -4      -2.71    37.59     2.61    44.93     2.75    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      33   38  -17       0.67    54.07    -0.32    44.20     2.85   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          33   36  -20      -1.39    43.79    -6.00    40.55     2.54   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        33   35  -12      -4.29    29.75    -2.22    41.10     2.81   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Brighton         31   33  -14      -0.68    47.50     0.43    40.07     3.06   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.98R    0.00  
Southampton      32   33  -17      -2.54    37.81    -2.20    41.40     3.19   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   28  -33       0.21    52.60    -4.09    32.95     2.79   -38.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.09R    0.00  
Fulham           33   17  -46      -8.76    10.87    -6.84    22.19     2.78   -48.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    6.17  
Huddersfield     33   14  -44      -9.79     6.82    -7.77    16.53     2.05   -52.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.83  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, Birmingham 1 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         40   84  +34      16.35    95.66    14.11    94.33     3.19    37.31    91.27    98.98   100.00    99.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   77  +30      10.82    87.06    13.03    87.40     3.17    33.25     6.82    67.64   100.00    76.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    40   76  +24      12.49    90.21    11.01    85.49     3.28    25.81     1.88    29.81   100.00    46.10P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       40   70  +23       0.70    52.67     0.84    80.73     3.20    27.03     0.03     3.57    99.68    33.43P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     40   63  +17      -2.91    38.13     0.03    73.43     3.24    20.30     0.00     0.00    79.07    20.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    39   62   +9       4.72    69.19     3.42    71.57     3.51     8.91     0.00     0.00    49.25     8.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           39   60   +7      -0.40    48.38    -3.15    70.95     3.47     9.08     0.00     0.00    43.33     9.65P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   40   58   +5      -3.06    37.23    -4.32    68.28     3.15     7.86     0.00     0.00    14.74     3.64P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   57   +8       2.35    60.13     8.47    65.64     3.17     8.62     0.00     0.00     4.38     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   57   +6      -1.70    43.39     0.24    65.58     3.18     6.41     0.00     0.00     3.67     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            40   57   +2       0.29    51.59    -0.15    64.37     3.13     0.55     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   56   -5       2.09    59.10    -3.58    63.61     3.17    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      40   53   +4       3.16    63.67    11.76    61.21     3.24     4.01     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   53   +3      -5.45    28.76    -4.33    64.69     3.52     6.12     0.00     0.00     3.13     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   51   +7      -8.29    19.38     0.62    61.02     3.26     9.68     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           40   51   -4      -5.46    28.88    -6.71    59.08     3.12    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       40   47  -10      -3.75    35.52    -3.03    54.75     3.17   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
QPR             40   44  -19      -1.30    45.38    -3.19    50.82     3.16   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    0.00  
Wigan           40   41  -16      -9.48    15.91    -9.57    48.18     3.17   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.62R    0.00  
Millwall        39   40  -13      -8.18    19.10    -5.03    48.46     3.38   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.21R    0.00  
Reading         40   40  -17      -5.27    28.93    -1.92    45.85     3.00   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.55R    0.00  
Rotherham       40   39  -25      -0.84    47.68    -0.11    44.18     2.89   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.57R    0.03  
Bolton          40   32  -37      -2.47    39.53    -5.74    36.62     2.76   -42.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.49R   18.28  
Ipswich         40   27  -33     -14.39     4.66   -12.71    32.51     2.92   -37.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   81.69  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 April 2019, Coventry 0 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                41   87  +46      10.64    86.25    15.34    96.28     2.88    49.65    85.56    98.47   100.00    99.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             41   79  +35       3.49    63.64     6.30    88.37     2.87    38.57     1.23    22.06   100.00    50.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           39   79  +34       6.09    73.90     4.57    91.58     3.52    38.39    12.43    66.53   100.00    78.24P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   77  +28      11.34    88.00    11.95    87.09     3.18    30.82     0.77    12.28   100.00    33.14P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             40   73  +21       8.40    81.02     6.87    83.13     3.24    23.81     0.02     0.66    99.98    22.91P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            41   66  +17       3.61    64.45     7.90    73.83     2.91    18.41     0.00     0.00    86.85    13.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   61   +8       0.85    53.48     0.38    68.85     3.24     7.37     0.00     0.00    10.66     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            41   58   +2       1.33    55.70     0.96    64.67     2.89     1.76     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             41   58   +0       5.30    71.08     4.24    63.71     2.76    -1.62     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   56   +9      -3.64    35.81     1.92    63.44     3.22     7.80     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   56   +9      -2.10    41.79     4.16    63.90     3.19     8.56     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   52   -6      -1.81    43.12    -2.27    58.12     2.86    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           41   48  -12      -2.14    41.77    -2.07    54.43     2.93   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   47   -8      -7.60    21.79    -6.07    53.66     2.88    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.52R    0.00  
Plymouth             41   47  -14      -2.82    38.96    -3.89    52.83     2.89   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.11R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers       41   46   -4      -6.74    24.35     0.76    52.92     2.91    -3.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.62R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   40   45  -18       1.06    55.43    -1.82    51.77     3.11   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.57R    0.40  
Scunthorpe           41   45  -21      -7.37    22.49   -14.57    51.59     2.94   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.13R    0.60  
Wycombe              40   44  -13      -0.88    47.29     3.06    51.45     3.25   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.45R    0.62  
Southend             41   43  -12      -8.70    18.67    -4.90    49.71     2.96   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.78R    1.27  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   43  -22      -1.17    45.63    -5.07    48.49     2.78   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.12R    5.47  
Walsall              41   42  -23      -3.53    36.03    -6.44    48.02     2.92   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.86R    6.54  
Rochdale             40   42  -30      -1.48    44.59   -10.89    48.51     3.12   -32.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.78R    6.30  
Bradford             41   36  -26     -10.18    13.98   -10.44    42.26     2.90   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.11R   78.71  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, Carlisle 3 2 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     41   83  +35      11.81    89.02    12.88    91.77     2.94    37.82    99.42   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   72  +27       2.38    59.30     7.64    79.88     2.88    28.50     0.21    65.17    99.99    76.81P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   72  +23       0.40    51.25     0.18    80.23     2.93    24.98     0.25    63.81    99.98    76.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   71  +24       0.95    53.72     2.93    79.66     2.95    26.69     0.12    62.52    99.94    74.74P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   68  +15       7.93    78.53     9.34    74.60     2.93    14.62     0.00     6.92    92.65    24.39P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   64  +18       5.84    72.62    15.21    71.67     2.93    19.22     0.00     0.80    72.65    14.67P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           40   62  +11       0.18    51.01     0.72    71.79     3.20    13.24     0.00     0.77    68.86    18.40P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   61   +6       0.60    52.69    -0.01    68.61     2.97     7.12     0.00     0.01    24.88     5.29P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   60   +8      -1.43    44.44     0.32    66.66     2.88     7.64     0.00     0.00     9.97     2.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          40   58   +3      -0.58    47.79    -2.45    66.93     3.25     4.04     0.00     0.00    12.38     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   57  +12      -7.58    21.86    -2.38    66.14     3.29    13.36     0.00     0.00    12.92     3.58P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        41   57   -5       2.77    61.80    -2.13    63.44     2.89    -5.51     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   39   56   -8       7.16    77.82    -0.92    64.78     3.49    -9.16     0.00     0.00     4.63     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   53   -2      -4.96    31.35    -4.46    60.05     2.84    -1.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            41   53   -4       0.22    51.15     1.29    60.31     2.93    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   52   -6      -0.56    48.38     0.04    57.78     2.87    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   49  -12       1.82    58.46     0.46    54.92     2.87   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        41   47  -10      -3.86    34.66    -3.36    52.69     2.72   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe        41   46  -17       0.02    50.97    -1.81    52.21     2.85   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    41   45  -21      -3.01    38.21    -9.54    51.69     2.89   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.02  
Crawley_Town     41   43  -20      -3.07    37.85    -4.82    48.65     2.83   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.83R    0.80  
Yeovil           41   37  -22      -7.41    21.48    -4.51    42.70     2.85   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.19R   25.32  
Notts_County     41   37  -31      -9.78    14.99   -15.90    42.59     2.84   -32.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.60R   35.11  
Macclesfield     40   36  -24      -2.56    39.89     1.28    42.03     3.02   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.94R   38.76  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 4 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       42   79  +30      10.86    85.56    14.20    85.52     2.62    31.53    24.22    99.81    42.75P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      41   78  +34       6.45    74.72    11.61    87.10     2.86    37.46    60.55    99.86    72.70P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     42   78  +27      13.56    91.37    16.73    84.05     2.62    27.91    12.46    99.18    30.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   75  +17      10.58    86.43     6.69    80.94     2.56    17.73     0.69    85.16    19.93P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          41   72  +31       1.03    54.13     8.70    80.49     2.89    33.42     2.06    88.05    28.52P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     42   71  +23       5.96    71.50    11.71    76.43     2.60    22.92     0.03    23.11     4.91P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          41   67   -1      12.49    89.85     1.49    73.32     2.89    -1.81     0.00     2.94     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   66  +20       0.37    51.31     7.91    72.62     2.64    21.66     0.00     1.46     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      42   64   +0       5.50    71.20    -1.74    69.43     2.54     0.03     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   63   +9       2.37    59.84     2.06    69.91     2.94     9.09     0.00     0.40     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   57   -1       2.13    59.01     2.07    62.49     2.61    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             41   56   -4      -4.76    31.64   -11.20    63.50     2.90    -3.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            42   55   -3      -2.99    38.56    -3.33    60.05     2.62    -3.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       42   53   +1     -10.53    14.63    -8.03    59.71     2.59     2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            42   52   -1      -0.31    49.55     4.62    56.55     2.47    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         42   52   -7      -2.57    40.11    -2.96    57.32     2.59    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         42   50  -22       2.97    63.04    -6.29    54.18     2.49   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          42   49   -7      -8.41    19.77    -7.13    54.69     2.61    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       42   48  -11      -6.85    24.50    -7.95    52.70     2.55   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   48  -12      -8.65    19.12   -10.91    53.45     2.59   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    42   39  -17      -6.85    24.73     2.38    43.12     2.51   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.24R    0.01  
Aldershot          42   37  -32      -9.95    14.21   -17.52    42.35     2.61   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R    0.21  
Braintree_Town     42   31  -35      -6.22    25.81    -2.53    34.39     2.31   -38.50     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   54.23  
Maidstone_United   41   30  -39      -7.29    20.71   -10.60    35.25     2.72   -41.32     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   45.56