Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 7 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 April 2019, Everton 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   82  +55      11.11    93.68    11.24    93.69     2.43    63.26    49.60   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   80  +62       4.49    74.29     3.48    93.30     2.84    70.41    50.40    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   64  +26       1.95    59.05    -3.20    76.32     2.77    32.82     0.00     0.01    54.61    82.26   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   63  +25       4.63    71.60     0.85    74.51     3.18    30.18     0.00     0.00    27.20    59.08   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   63  +21       4.33    70.29    -1.96    73.19     3.03    24.08     0.00     0.00    11.10    33.44   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   61  +18       1.91    58.89    -5.82    72.37     2.98    23.04     0.00     0.00     7.10    25.22   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   47   +2       0.59    53.13     1.52    52.65     2.76    -0.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   47   +1       6.47    78.67     7.20    54.74     3.04    -0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   46   +4      -0.67    46.98     3.18    52.80     2.83     3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.84    80.59     9.63    54.34     3.18    -0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   42   -7       2.12    61.01     1.64    47.80     2.91   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   39   -4      -2.75    37.16     2.58    44.89     2.74    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      33   38  -17       0.61    53.85    -0.42    44.20     2.83   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          33   36  -20      -1.46    43.47    -6.17    40.59     2.53   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Newcastle        33   35  -12      -4.16    30.16    -2.03    41.04     2.80   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Brighton         31   33  -14      -0.75    47.00     0.30    40.07     3.08   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.17R    0.00  
Southampton      32   33  -17      -2.98    35.75    -2.91    41.50     3.17   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   28  -33       0.11    52.04    -4.35    32.98     2.81   -38.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.78R    0.00  
Fulham           33   17  -46      -8.86    11.08    -7.01    22.22     2.79   -48.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    5.89  
Huddersfield     33   14  -44      -9.70     7.06    -7.75    16.51     2.05   -52.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   94.11  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, Birmingham 1 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         40   84  +34      16.35    95.85    14.05    94.30     3.20    37.29    90.98    98.93   100.00    99.21P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   77  +30      10.42    86.16    12.42    87.44     3.18    33.34     7.18    68.24   100.00    76.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    40   76  +24      12.52    90.58    11.04    85.49     3.24    25.83     1.79    29.23   100.00    45.78P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       40   70  +23       0.49    51.85     0.54    80.75     3.19    27.02     0.05     3.60    99.72    33.98P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     40   63  +17      -3.00    37.79    -0.12    73.48     3.23    20.38     0.00     0.00    79.24    20.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    39   62   +9       4.79    69.43     3.54    71.53     3.50     8.83     0.00     0.00    48.64     8.47P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           39   60   +7      -0.27    48.82    -3.01    70.98     3.46     9.10     0.00     0.00    44.26     9.55P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   40   58   +5      -3.03    37.61    -4.24    68.22     3.17     7.81     0.00     0.00    14.36     3.41P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   57   +8       2.36    59.95     8.50    65.62     3.16     8.59     0.00     0.00     4.26     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   57   +6      -1.74    42.94     0.27    65.58     3.20     6.41     0.00     0.00     3.66     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            40   57   +2       0.03    50.26    -0.56    64.41     3.16     0.64     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   56   -5       2.17    59.41    -3.41    63.65     3.15    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      40   53   +4       3.38    64.43    12.08    61.16     3.27     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   53   +3      -5.04    29.93    -3.75    64.60     3.53     5.96     0.00     0.00     3.03     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   51   +7      -8.03    20.25     1.00    60.98     3.26     9.61     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           40   51   -4      -5.60    28.09    -6.93    59.14     3.16    -3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       40   47  -10      -3.87    34.88    -3.25    54.80     3.19   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
QPR             40   44  -19      -1.12    46.12    -3.01    50.77     3.15   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69R    0.00  
Wigan           40   41  -16      -9.52    15.68    -9.59    48.19     3.17   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.77R    0.00  
Millwall        39   40  -13      -8.20    18.86    -5.01    48.43     3.40   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.37R    0.00  
Reading         40   40  -17      -5.19    29.18    -1.79    45.86     2.97   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.03R    0.01  
Rotherham       40   39  -25      -0.84    47.62    -0.12    44.17     2.88   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.66R    0.04  
Bolton          40   32  -37      -2.38    39.91    -5.63    36.62     2.76   -42.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.47R   18.94  
Ipswich         40   27  -33     -14.64     4.49   -13.03    32.58     2.93   -37.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   81.02  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 7 April 2019, Coventry 0 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                41   87  +46      10.58    86.24    15.27    96.29     2.86    49.66    85.40    98.49   100.00    99.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             41   79  +35       3.18    62.71     5.85    88.37     2.89    38.60     1.14    21.99   100.00    51.53P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           39   79  +34       6.14    73.94     4.59    91.58     3.53    38.36    12.72    66.68   100.00    78.26P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   77  +28      11.66    88.46    12.41    87.04     3.20    30.74     0.73    12.10   100.00    32.64P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             40   73  +21       8.46    81.11     6.90    83.11     3.24    23.81     0.01     0.74    99.96    22.88P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            41   66  +17       3.87    65.28     8.28    73.78     2.92    18.33     0.00     0.00    86.66    13.62P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   61   +8       0.77    53.39     0.21    68.89     3.23     7.44     0.00     0.00    10.77     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            41   58   +2       1.39    56.08     1.05    64.66     2.90     1.77     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             41   58   +0       5.33    71.30     4.29    63.73     2.77    -1.59     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   56   +9      -3.78    34.97     1.65    63.42     3.21     7.79     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   56   +9      -2.33    40.67     3.85    63.92     3.19     8.56     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   52   -6      -1.98    42.46    -2.50    58.12     2.85    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   48  -12      -2.02    42.40    -1.86    54.46     2.95   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   47   -8      -7.33    22.77    -5.66    53.62     2.87    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.71R    0.00  
Plymouth             41   47  -14      -2.89    38.71    -4.02    52.86     2.88   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.82R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers       41   46   -4      -6.79    24.22     0.70    52.90     2.88    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.60R    0.07  
Accrington_Stanley   40   45  -18       1.16    55.96    -1.63    51.79     3.10   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.34R    0.47  
Scunthorpe           41   45  -21      -7.44    22.55   -14.67    51.59     2.94   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.02R    0.62  
Wycombe              40   44  -13      -0.73    47.67     3.32    51.44     3.22   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.31R    0.56  
Southend             41   43  -12      -8.81    17.98    -5.08    49.74     2.95   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.25R    1.35  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   43  -22      -1.20    45.40    -5.09    48.47     2.78   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.68R    5.63  
Walsall              41   42  -23      -3.27    37.21    -6.03    47.98     2.92   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.42R    6.67  
Rochdale             40   42  -30      -1.59    44.12   -11.11    48.53     3.10   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.79R    6.06  
Bradford             41   36  -26     -10.35    13.45   -10.71    42.29     2.90   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.10R   78.54  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, Carlisle 3 2 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     41   83  +35      11.71    88.84    12.75    91.77     2.94    37.83    99.47   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   72  +27       2.17    58.73     7.34    79.91     2.88    28.55     0.23    65.49    99.98    77.12P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   72  +23       0.46    51.58     0.29    80.19     2.93    24.96     0.19    63.53    99.97    75.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   71  +24       1.20    54.55     3.23    79.68     2.95    26.71     0.11    62.53    99.93    74.51P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   68  +15       7.82    78.37     9.13    74.61     2.92    14.65     0.00     6.79    92.82    24.51P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   64  +18       5.95    72.97    15.35    71.69     2.91    19.22     0.00     0.87    72.92    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           40   62  +11       0.21    51.03     0.80    71.77     3.24    13.24     0.00     0.77    68.35    18.31P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   61   +6       0.33    51.41    -0.44    68.66     2.97     7.19     0.00     0.01    25.65     5.55P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   60   +8      -1.28    45.38     0.54    66.62     2.87     7.58     0.00     0.00     9.47     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          40   58   +3      -0.47    48.38    -2.29    66.89     3.26     3.99     0.00     0.00    12.36     2.77P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   57  +12      -7.40    22.59    -2.07    66.13     3.28    13.33     0.00     0.00    12.92     3.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        41   57   -5       2.95    62.49    -1.82    63.40     2.90    -5.58     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   39   56   -8       7.34    78.42    -0.62    64.77     3.49    -9.21     0.00     0.01     4.56     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   53   -2      -5.16    30.57    -4.79    60.06     2.85    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            41   53   -4       0.32    51.93     1.46    60.28     2.95    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   52   -6      -0.74    47.41    -0.23    57.79     2.87    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   49  -12       1.93    58.99     0.54    54.91     2.86   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        41   47  -10      -4.05    33.95    -3.59    52.73     2.72   -11.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe        41   46  -17       0.12    51.29    -1.64    52.19     2.86   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd    41   45  -21      -2.89    38.73    -9.31    51.71     2.90   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.02  
Crawley_Town     41   43  -20      -3.24    37.29    -5.09    48.63     2.82   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.99R    0.80  
Yeovil           41   37  -22      -7.53    20.95    -4.69    42.70     2.86   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.42R   25.34  
Notts_County     41   37  -31      -9.93    14.70   -16.20    42.64     2.86   -32.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.07R   34.66  
Macclesfield     40   36  -24      -2.45    40.32     1.37    42.02     3.03   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.06R   39.18  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 4 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       42   79  +30      10.93    85.60    14.33    85.50     2.63    31.50    24.52    99.80    43.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      41   78  +34       6.58    75.16    11.79    87.09     2.85    37.45    60.46    99.86    72.45P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     42   78  +27      13.60    91.45    16.76    84.03     2.62    27.87    12.30    99.12    30.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   75  +17      10.53    86.21     6.65    80.92     2.56    17.71     0.68    85.59    20.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          41   72  +31       0.91    53.25     8.52    80.47     2.90    33.39     2.03    88.16    28.67P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     42   71  +23       6.05    71.77    11.84    76.41     2.59    22.87     0.01    22.44     4.63P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          41   67   -1      12.55    90.00     1.63    73.34     2.88    -1.78     0.00     3.00     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   66  +20       0.35    51.44     7.89    72.60     2.67    21.62     0.00     1.58     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      42   64   +0       5.56    71.33    -1.59    69.45     2.52     0.05     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   63   +9       2.12    58.81     1.69    69.94     2.94     9.13     0.00     0.43     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   57   -1       2.31    59.76     2.33    62.46     2.61    -0.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             41   56   -4      -4.94    31.07   -11.42    63.50     2.90    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            42   55   -3      -3.11    38.14    -3.49    60.09     2.62    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       42   53   +1     -10.44    14.86    -7.92    59.69     2.58     2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            42   52   -1      -0.13    49.94     4.81    56.56     2.48    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         42   52   -7      -2.54    40.35    -2.98    57.33     2.59    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         42   50  -22       3.18    63.81    -5.97    54.18     2.50   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          42   49   -7      -8.39    19.76    -7.16    54.70     2.60    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       42   48  -11      -6.74    24.38    -7.88    52.73     2.55   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   48  -12      -8.69    18.99   -10.90    53.46     2.58   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    42   39  -17      -7.03    24.46     2.14    43.11     2.51   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.18R    0.00  
Aldershot          42   37  -32     -10.17    13.84   -17.82    42.36     2.60   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R    0.21  
Braintree_Town     42   31  -35      -6.18    25.96    -2.56    34.40     2.33   -38.47     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   54.24  
Maidstone_United   41   30  -39      -7.38    20.67   -10.69    35.25     2.73   -41.33     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   45.55