Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 6 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, Bournemouth 1 3 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   82  +55      11.13    93.79    11.20    93.66     2.43    63.27    48.97   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   80  +62       4.32    73.38     3.09    93.32     2.84    70.45    51.03   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   64  +26       1.88    58.68    -3.35    76.34     2.76    32.86     0.00     0.00    44.06    79.31   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          31   63  +26       5.93    77.69     1.52    76.18     3.47    31.66     0.00     0.00    42.48    72.50   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   63  +21       4.06    69.13    -2.38    73.20     3.05    24.10     0.00     0.00     8.55    28.09   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   61  +18       1.97    59.11    -5.75    72.36     2.99    23.02     0.00     0.00     4.91    20.10   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   47   +2       0.65    53.43     1.68    52.62     2.75    -0.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   47   +1       6.46    78.57     7.25    54.75     3.05    -0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.53    79.30     9.11    54.38     3.18    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   43   +3      -2.19    39.56     2.43    50.88     3.16     2.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   42   -7       2.06    60.56     1.55    47.82     2.90   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   39   -4      -2.71    37.40     2.69    44.91     2.75    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      33   38  -17       0.69    54.03    -0.33    44.22     2.82   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          33   36  -20      -1.43    43.81    -6.12    40.58     2.54   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.28R    0.00  
Newcastle        33   35  -12      -4.18    30.52    -1.99    41.08     2.80   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.00  
Brighton         31   33  -14      -0.69    47.26     0.40    40.06     3.08   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.11R    0.00  
Southampton      32   33  -17      -2.76    37.12    -2.49    41.42     3.16   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   28  -33       0.09    51.94    -4.37    33.01     2.81   -38.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.65R    0.00  
Fulham           33   17  -46      -8.68    10.97    -6.58    22.20     2.78   -48.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    6.13  
Huddersfield     33   14  -44      -9.68     7.02    -7.56    16.52     2.06   -52.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.87  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, Birmingham 1 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         40   84  +34      16.21    95.54    13.83    94.33     3.20    37.34    91.07    99.03   100.00    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   77  +30      10.61    86.67    12.71    87.43     3.18    33.28     7.08    67.81   100.00    76.52P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    40   76  +24      12.40    90.22    10.91    85.51     3.25    25.86     1.81    29.62   100.00    46.04P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       40   70  +23       0.32    50.78     0.23    80.79     3.16    27.11     0.04     3.54    99.73    34.23P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     40   63  +17      -2.76    38.37     0.37    73.41     3.22    20.27     0.00     0.01    79.16    19.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    39   62   +9       4.83    69.42     3.60    71.53     3.50     8.88     0.00     0.00    49.13     8.76P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           39   60   +7      -0.23    49.14    -2.87    70.91     3.46     9.04     0.00     0.00    43.24     9.38P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   40   58   +5      -3.03    37.61    -4.24    68.23     3.17     7.83     0.00     0.00    14.63     3.44P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   57   +8       2.44    60.36     8.59    65.61     3.16     8.58     0.00     0.00     4.28     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   57   +6      -1.61    43.62     0.42    65.55     3.18     6.35     0.00     0.00     3.78     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            40   57   +2       0.10    50.78    -0.43    64.42     3.16     0.62     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   56   -5       2.05    58.58    -3.61    63.63     3.12    -6.01     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      40   53   +4       3.25    64.03    11.81    61.18     3.24     3.98     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         39   53   +3      -5.20    29.64    -3.92    64.68     3.53     6.07     0.00     0.00     3.09     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   51   +7      -8.29    19.65     0.58    61.02     3.27     9.67     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           40   51   -4      -5.55    28.74    -6.86    59.11     3.14    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       40   47  -10      -3.72    35.49    -2.97    54.77     3.16   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
QPR             40   44  -19      -1.40    44.53    -3.39    50.81     3.14   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.55R    0.00  
Wigan           40   41  -16      -9.33    16.55    -9.33    48.17     3.18   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.83R    0.00  
Millwall        39   40  -13      -8.19    18.60    -4.99    48.45     3.41   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.45R    0.00  
Reading         40   40  -17      -5.29    29.03    -1.96    45.87     2.98   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.84R    0.00  
Rotherham       40   39  -25      -0.79    47.43     0.04    44.16     2.88   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.89R    0.03  
Bolton          40   32  -37      -2.45    39.64    -5.69    36.62     2.77   -42.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.44R   18.73  
Ipswich         40   27  -33     -14.51     4.68   -12.82    32.54     2.93   -37.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   81.24  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                41   87  +46      10.76    86.69    15.53    96.27     2.87    49.64    85.43    98.45   100.00    98.95P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             41   79  +35       3.13    62.10     5.80    88.41     2.88    38.64     1.18    22.33   100.00    51.65P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           39   79  +34       5.97    73.55     4.42    91.56     3.50    38.35    12.66    66.18   100.00    77.89P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           40   77  +28      11.44    88.01    12.12    87.09     3.18    30.82     0.70    12.28   100.00    33.21P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             40   73  +21       8.59    81.57     7.08    83.10     3.23    23.78     0.02     0.76    99.96    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            41   66  +17       3.87    65.15     8.27    73.83     2.92    18.40     0.00     0.00    86.53    13.55P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   61   +8       0.88    53.78     0.35    68.86     3.25     7.38     0.00     0.00    10.60     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            41   58   +2       1.50    56.49     1.16    64.65     2.89     1.75     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             40   57   +0       5.83    72.90     4.60    64.13     3.09    -1.55     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   56   +9      -3.93    34.71     1.50    63.46     3.21     7.84     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   56   +9      -2.38    40.30     3.77    63.91     3.19     8.58     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   52   -6      -1.78    43.41    -2.21    58.12     2.83    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   48  -12      -2.26    41.22    -2.31    54.46     2.94   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.97R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   47   -8      -7.57    21.77    -6.04    53.63     2.87    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.53R    0.00  
Plymouth             41   47  -14      -2.92    38.91    -4.01    52.84     2.89   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.95R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers       40   45   -4      -6.44    25.37     0.83    53.14     3.16    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.02R    0.14  
Accrington_Stanley   40   45  -18       1.35    56.63    -1.38    51.77     3.10   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.59R    0.42  
Scunthorpe           41   45  -21      -7.51    22.31   -14.76    51.58     2.93   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.33R    0.62  
Wycombe              40   44  -13      -0.90    47.12     2.98    51.45     3.23   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.35R    0.61  
Southend             41   43  -12      -8.54    18.70    -4.64    49.69     2.95   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.06R    1.36  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   43  -22      -1.33    45.33    -5.22    48.49     2.78   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.84R    5.74  
Walsall              41   42  -23      -3.30    37.04    -6.14    48.04     2.92   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.64R    6.49  
Rochdale             40   42  -30      -1.51    44.55   -10.92    48.53     3.10   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.63R    6.19  
Bradford             41   36  -26     -10.34    13.61   -10.78    42.29     2.91   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.09R   78.40  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, Carlisle 3 2 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     41   83  +35      11.93    89.36    13.03    91.77     2.94    37.81    99.46   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        41   72  +27       2.16    58.71     7.36    79.92     2.88    28.56     0.19    65.73    99.98    76.98P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   72  +23       0.57    51.82     0.44    80.19     2.96    24.94     0.19    63.48    99.98    76.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             41   71  +24       1.18    54.41     3.27    79.65     2.97    26.67     0.15    62.35    99.93    74.52P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   68  +15       7.78    78.33     9.03    74.60     2.93    14.64     0.00     6.69    92.57    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   64  +18       5.92    72.66    15.36    71.69     2.93    19.23     0.00     0.90    73.12    14.71P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           40   62  +11       0.16    50.58     0.72    71.80     3.22    13.27     0.00     0.85    68.83    18.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   61   +6       0.61    52.65     0.07    68.60     2.97     7.11     0.00     0.00    24.82     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   60   +8      -1.26    45.19     0.52    66.62     2.89     7.61     0.00     0.00     9.70     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          40   58   +3      -0.69    47.44    -2.58    66.96     3.24     4.06     0.00     0.00    12.53     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   57  +12      -7.49    22.17    -2.17    66.12     3.29    13.32     0.00     0.00    12.80     3.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        41   57   -5       2.69    61.63    -2.16    63.43     2.88    -5.54     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   39   56   -8       7.16    78.12    -0.90    64.78     3.49    -9.18     0.00     0.00     4.69     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   53   -2      -4.98    31.26    -4.54    60.05     2.84    -1.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            41   53   -4       0.39    52.19     1.56    60.25     2.95    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       41   52   -6      -0.88    46.90    -0.53    57.82     2.87    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   49  -12       1.83    58.44     0.47    54.93     2.86   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        41   47  -10      -3.90    34.38    -3.43    52.70     2.72   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe        41   46  -17       0.11    51.37    -1.65    52.17     2.84   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    41   45  -21      -2.87    38.55    -9.33    51.69     2.90   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.02  
Crawley_Town     41   43  -20      -3.17    37.45    -5.01    48.66     2.83   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.10R    0.90  
Yeovil           41   37  -22      -7.64    20.71    -4.87    42.73     2.85   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.90R   24.84  
Notts_County     41   37  -31      -9.90    14.84   -16.10    42.63     2.85   -32.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.57R   34.93  
Macclesfield     40   36  -24      -2.46    40.35     1.42    42.02     3.02   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.97R   39.31  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 4 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       42   79  +30      10.69    85.06    13.93    85.53     2.62    31.55    24.56    99.81    43.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      41   78  +34       6.67    75.55    11.94    87.09     2.87    37.42    60.19    99.84    72.42P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     42   78  +27      13.51    91.36    16.69    84.07     2.64    27.93    12.49    99.17    30.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   75  +17      10.53    86.29     6.64    80.92     2.57    17.71     0.72    85.42    20.06P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          41   72  +31       1.24    54.91     9.06    80.44     2.90    33.35     2.03    87.84    28.00P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     42   71  +23       5.98    71.52    11.70    76.42     2.60    22.90     0.01    23.06     4.71P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          41   67   -1      12.52    89.79     1.59    73.30     2.88    -1.83     0.00     2.83     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   66  +20       0.30    51.36     7.82    72.62     2.67    21.63     0.00     1.53     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      42   64   +0       5.64    71.63    -1.49    69.45     2.54     0.05     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   63   +9       2.23    59.34     1.94    69.94     2.94     9.13     0.00     0.45     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   57   -1       1.97    58.45     1.86    62.50     2.60    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             41   56   -4      -4.88    30.98   -11.32    63.51     2.91    -3.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            42   55   -3      -3.11    37.95    -3.57    60.08     2.61    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       42   53   +1     -10.43    14.84    -7.88    59.69     2.56     2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            42   52   -1      -0.22    49.56     4.72    56.56     2.46    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         42   52   -7      -2.46    40.69    -2.80    57.27     2.58    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         42   50  -22       2.94    62.74    -6.36    54.17     2.49   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          42   49   -7      -8.47    19.56    -7.23    54.69     2.61    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       42   48  -11      -6.77    24.59    -7.90    52.73     2.56   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     42   48  -12      -8.61    19.12   -10.81    53.44     2.57   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    42   39  -17      -6.92    24.76     2.34    43.11     2.51   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.23R    0.01  
Aldershot          42   37  -32      -9.98    14.27   -17.59    42.37     2.61   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R    0.22  
Braintree_Town     42   31  -35      -6.16    25.80    -2.58    34.40     2.33   -38.48     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   54.38  
Maidstone_United   41   30  -39      -7.31    20.66   -10.69    35.26     2.72   -41.31     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   45.40