Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 5 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Friday 5 April 2019, Southampton 1 3 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 33 82 +55 11.21 93.92 11.29 93.66 2.43 63.20 48.73 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 32 80 +62 4.43 74.08 3.47 93.34 2.85 70.49 51.27 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 64 +26 2.01 59.52 -3.12 76.24 2.77 32.66 0.00 0.00 42.72 77.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 63 +26 5.81 77.21 1.38 76.24 3.47 31.75 0.00 0.00 43.70 73.35 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 32 63 +21 4.29 69.64 -1.95 73.24 3.01 24.15 0.00 0.00 8.43 28.24 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 32 61 +18 1.96 59.19 -5.80 72.35 3.00 23.01 0.00 0.00 5.14 20.45 100.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 32 47 +1 6.37 78.27 7.14 54.72 3.04 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 32 46 +0 6.72 80.12 9.49 54.36 3.17 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 32 44 -1 0.21 51.23 0.45 51.38 3.04 -3.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 32 43 +3 -2.22 39.68 2.38 50.97 3.14 2.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 32 42 -7 2.06 60.35 1.59 47.83 2.90 -11.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 32 38 -15 1.63 59.00 0.71 46.02 3.17 -15.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 32 36 -5 -4.20 30.42 2.04 43.05 3.04 -7.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Newcastle 32 35 -11 -3.22 34.82 -1.57 42.70 3.11 -11.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00 Brighton 31 33 -14 -0.76 46.88 0.31 40.04 3.06 -18.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.38R 0.00 Southampton 32 33 -17 -2.87 36.52 -2.67 41.37 3.18 -16.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.85R 0.00 Burnley 32 33 -22 -2.59 37.74 -7.34 38.53 2.83 -26.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.03R 0.00 Cardiff 32 28 -33 0.11 51.92 -4.17 32.99 2.81 -38.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.34R 0.00 Fulham 33 17 -46 -8.80 10.93 -6.76 22.18 2.79 -48.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 11.99 Huddersfield 32 14 -41 -9.40 7.39 -6.88 17.49 2.38 -49.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 88.01Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, Middlesbrough 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 39 81 +30 16.73 96.02 13.39 93.24 3.47 34.20 83.95 96.28 100.00 97.16P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 39 76 +25 13.50 92.51 11.40 87.09 3.52 27.14 9.19 52.30 100.00 63.57P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 39 74 +29 9.49 84.27 12.47 85.76 3.45 32.23 5.92 39.30 100.00 54.98P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 39 70 +25 0.80 52.84 0.77 82.67 3.45 29.91 0.94 12.10 99.86 41.52P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 38 61 +9 5.36 71.71 3.81 72.33 3.75 9.47 0.00 0.01 53.28 9.49P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 39 60 +15 -3.72 34.77 -0.64 71.82 3.51 18.33 0.00 0.00 56.40 13.93P 0.00 0.00 Derby 38 59 +7 0.11 50.70 -2.98 71.05 3.75 8.65 0.00 0.00 40.72 8.84P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 39 58 +7 -2.51 39.32 -3.35 69.55 3.39 9.81 0.00 0.00 24.91 6.20P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 39 57 +9 3.44 64.51 8.98 67.21 3.47 9.91 0.00 0.00 10.52 1.66P 0.00 0.00 Preston 39 57 +7 -0.78 46.73 0.68 66.96 3.49 7.43 0.00 0.00 8.76 1.61P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 56 -3 2.74 61.78 -2.68 65.02 3.45 -3.96 0.00 0.00 2.91 0.51P 0.00 0.00 Hull 39 54 +0 -0.53 48.19 -0.92 63.21 3.44 -0.76 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 50 +7 -7.78 20.78 0.72 61.56 3.55 9.92 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 39 50 +3 2.13 59.84 11.67 59.40 3.54 2.75 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 38 50 +1 -6.06 26.03 -4.84 62.98 3.78 3.99 0.00 0.00 1.27 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 39 48 -5 -6.99 23.26 -7.55 57.45 3.43 -4.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 39 47 -9 -2.79 39.22 -2.65 56.31 3.46 -9.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 39 44 -15 -1.55 44.08 -2.06 51.59 3.37 -18.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49R 0.00 Reading 39 40 -15 -4.78 30.78 -1.47 46.81 3.25 -19.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.92R 0.00 Wigan 39 40 -16 -9.04 17.05 -9.47 48.13 3.42 -18.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.74R 0.00 Millwall 38 37 -15 -9.25 15.50 -6.16 46.35 3.64 -17.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.53R 0.00 Rotherham 39 36 -26 -2.06 41.98 -0.42 42.26 3.17 -31.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.69R 0.19 Bolton 39 32 -36 -1.46 44.31 -5.41 38.04 3.08 -41.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.64R 8.02 Ipswich 39 24 -34 -15.76 3.08 -13.30 30.82 3.20 -38.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 91.79League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 3 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 40 86 +46 11.25 88.06 15.72 97.31 3.15 50.61 88.55 98.10 100.00 98.84P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 40 79 +37 3.86 65.28 6.87 90.15 3.18 41.18 4.12 44.69 100.00 66.42P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 38 76 +33 5.12 70.46 4.48 90.67 3.78 38.49 7.10 49.64 100.00 68.05P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 39 74 +27 10.56 86.62 12.31 85.83 3.48 30.33 0.23 7.20 100.00 28.92P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 39 70 +19 7.67 79.25 6.13 81.62 3.50 22.00 0.00 0.37 99.91 22.20P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 40 63 +16 2.45 59.82 7.56 72.47 3.21 17.77 0.00 0.00 80.45 12.73P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 39 58 +6 0.10 50.59 -0.26 67.59 3.55 5.92 0.00 0.00 12.15 1.87P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 40 57 +2 1.45 56.39 0.52 64.45 3.14 0.89 0.00 0.00 1.78 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 40 57 +0 5.78 73.07 4.44 64.15 3.09 -1.52 0.00 0.00 1.85 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 39 55 +9 -1.62 43.37 4.30 64.56 3.45 8.98 0.00 0.00 3.38 0.46P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 39 53 +7 -4.54 32.26 0.94 61.36 3.47 5.18 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 49 -8 -2.74 39.44 -3.26 56.42 3.16 -9.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.88R 0.00 Gillingham 40 48 -10 -1.80 43.32 -1.59 55.55 3.23 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.96R 0.00 Plymouth 40 47 -12 -2.24 41.30 -2.98 53.98 3.18 -13.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.70R 0.06 Shrewsbury 40 46 -8 -7.12 22.81 -5.90 54.17 3.16 -8.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.36R 0.05 Bristol_Rovers 40 45 -4 -6.78 24.06 0.33 53.18 3.17 -3.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.52R 0.35 Wycombe 39 44 -12 0.01 50.96 3.16 52.48 3.48 -13.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.58R 0.74 Accrington_Stanley 39 44 -18 1.49 57.27 -1.63 51.98 3.40 -20.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.06R 1.43 Scunthorpe 40 44 -21 -6.89 23.97 -14.31 51.75 3.23 -21.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.04R 1.70 Southend 40 42 -12 -8.37 19.23 -5.02 49.76 3.22 -12.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.24R 3.35 Walsall 40 42 -21 -2.85 38.84 -5.64 49.49 3.25 -22.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.01R 5.49 AFC_Wimbledon 40 42 -22 -0.81 47.36 -5.01 48.93 3.09 -23.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.50R 8.71 Rochdale 39 42 -29 -0.70 47.76 -10.92 49.29 3.37 -32.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.36R 7.68 Bradford 40 36 -25 -9.39 15.71 -10.22 43.44 3.19 -26.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.79R 70.43League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, Bury 0 3 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 40 80 +33 10.89 87.13 11.90 89.85 3.25 35.40 91.68 99.84 100.00 99.88P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 40 72 +25 1.22 54.75 1.27 81.88 3.26 27.38 4.98 75.73 99.99 84.08P 0.00 0.00 Bury 40 71 +25 2.14 58.41 3.59 81.12 3.28 27.80 2.65 71.96 99.95 80.93P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 69 +26 1.04 54.13 7.00 78.91 3.13 28.47 0.65 43.36 99.81 62.23P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 40 67 +15 8.22 79.88 9.23 74.96 3.26 14.62 0.03 7.44 92.08 24.16P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 40 61 +17 4.45 67.81 14.59 70.11 3.22 18.31 0.00 0.28 54.34 10.87P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 39 61 +11 0.44 51.84 0.60 72.37 3.50 13.57 0.00 1.32 73.96 20.54P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 60 +10 -0.76 46.87 1.31 68.20 3.19 9.90 0.00 0.03 26.69 6.11P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 40 58 +5 -0.82 47.05 -0.67 66.92 3.27 6.01 0.00 0.00 14.45 3.05P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 39 57 +3 0.06 50.28 -2.07 67.93 3.51 4.96 0.00 0.03 22.95 4.97P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 38 55 -8 7.60 79.77 -0.66 65.17 3.78 -9.16 0.00 0.02 7.71 1.13P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 39 54 +10 -8.37 19.45 -3.15 64.22 3.56 10.94 0.00 0.00 7.00 1.87P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 40 54 -7 1.93 58.71 -2.82 61.65 3.18 -7.75 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 40 53 -3 1.31 56.01 1.93 61.56 3.22 -2.47 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 40 52 -2 -4.34 33.13 -4.13 60.53 3.19 -1.63 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 40 51 -6 -0.35 48.99 -0.18 58.10 3.18 -7.77 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 40 49 -10 2.50 61.24 1.48 56.41 3.19 -11.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 40 45 -17 0.41 52.75 -1.66 52.56 3.15 -17.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27R 0.02 Cambridge_Utd 40 45 -20 -2.25 41.05 -9.28 52.46 3.12 -21.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41R 0.03 Port_Vale 40 44 -11 -5.16 29.35 -3.86 51.10 3.02 -12.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.58R 0.05 Crawley_Town 40 43 -19 -2.28 40.91 -4.74 49.97 3.13 -20.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.22R 0.46 Yeovil 40 36 -22 -7.44 20.90 -4.96 42.49 3.08 -24.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.41R 30.27 Notts_County 40 36 -31 -9.62 15.04 -16.22 42.85 3.16 -33.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.77R 33.79 Macclesfield 39 35 -24 -2.10 41.75 1.47 42.40 3.32 -27.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.33R 35.38National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 40 77 +34 7.27 77.67 12.26 88.06 3.13 38.21 76.57 99.95 84.09P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 41 76 +28 10.27 84.53 13.77 84.30 2.95 30.14 14.53 99.20 35.78P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 41 75 +26 12.23 89.67 16.13 82.44 2.93 26.95 6.87 96.78 25.78P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 41 72 +15 10.26 85.96 6.51 79.98 2.84 16.70 0.56 81.96 19.08P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 40 69 +29 0.34 51.08 8.27 79.33 3.21 32.12 1.43 79.85 26.34P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 41 68 +22 4.97 68.55 11.67 75.09 2.97 22.36 0.02 21.62 4.82P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 40 67 +1 12.86 90.97 1.85 74.23 3.13 -0.51 0.02 12.26 2.02P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 41 65 +20 0.51 52.12 7.61 72.95 2.96 21.63 0.00 6.39 1.66P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 40 62 +9 2.55 60.76 1.80 70.32 3.24 9.18 0.00 1.95 0.42P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 41 61 -1 4.34 67.16 -1.99 67.70 2.86 -1.10 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 41 56 -1 2.37 60.47 2.03 62.67 2.92 -1.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 41 54 -3 -2.65 39.78 -3.38 60.87 2.94 -2.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 40 53 -5 -5.85 27.62 -11.38 62.01 3.22 -3.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 41 52 +1 -9.91 15.82 -7.63 60.04 2.92 2.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 41 52 -6 -1.72 43.33 -2.66 58.70 2.92 -6.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Halifax 41 51 -1 -0.06 50.36 4.40 56.31 2.71 -2.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Maidenhead 41 50 -21 3.77 66.07 -6.05 55.38 2.80 -23.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 41 48 -7 -7.99 20.54 -7.03 55.22 2.94 -6.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 41 48 -10 -5.85 27.39 -7.51 54.19 2.87 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 41 47 -12 -8.32 19.75 -10.87 53.77 2.93 -12.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.34R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 41 39 -16 -6.00 27.41 2.53 44.25 2.84 -18.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.63R 0.02 Aldershot 41 36 -32 -9.91 14.18 -18.11 42.30 2.87 -32.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.66R 1.00 Braintree_Town 41 31 -33 -5.80 27.02 -2.25 35.12 2.59 -37.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 55.25 Maidstone_United 40 30 -37 -6.83 22.20 -9.96 36.17 3.01 -40.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 43.73