Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 3 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 April 2019, Chelsea 3 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 32 80 +62 4.57 74.62 3.66 93.31 2.84 70.45 59.53 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 32 79 +53 10.45 92.82 10.79 92.79 2.72 62.32 40.47 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 64 +26 1.98 59.33 -3.21 76.31 2.78 32.76 0.00 0.00 43.55 78.57 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 63 +26 5.91 77.63 1.52 76.23 3.47 31.76 0.00 0.00 42.81 72.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 32 63 +21 4.05 69.24 -2.40 73.26 3.02 24.20 0.00 0.00 8.45 28.34 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 32 61 +18 1.88 58.72 -5.93 72.39 3.00 23.06 0.00 0.00 5.19 20.11 100.00 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 32 47 +1 6.57 79.06 7.42 54.70 3.03 -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 32 46 +0 6.57 79.62 9.18 54.37 3.17 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 32 44 -1 0.26 51.50 0.52 51.37 3.06 -3.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 32 43 +3 -2.07 40.09 2.60 50.92 3.14 2.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 32 42 -7 2.17 61.11 1.68 47.78 2.90 -11.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 32 38 -15 1.57 58.40 0.64 46.02 3.16 -15.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 32 36 -5 -4.17 30.37 2.04 43.04 3.03 -7.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Newcastle 32 35 -11 -3.26 34.32 -1.63 42.69 3.09 -11.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Brighton 31 33 -14 -0.67 47.40 0.44 40.02 3.07 -18.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.32R 0.00 Southampton 31 33 -15 -2.60 37.31 -2.54 42.12 3.36 -15.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61R 0.00 Burnley 32 33 -22 -2.56 37.77 -7.27 38.53 2.83 -26.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.16R 0.00 Cardiff 32 28 -33 0.20 52.22 -4.13 32.99 2.81 -38.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.53R 0.00 Fulham 33 17 -46 -8.68 11.00 -6.54 22.19 2.77 -48.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 12.23 Huddersfield 32 14 -41 -9.47 6.98 -6.83 17.48 2.40 -49.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 87.77Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, Middlesbrough 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 39 81 +30 16.46 95.88 12.98 93.31 3.45 34.29 84.26 96.42 100.00 97.26P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 39 76 +25 13.47 92.45 11.39 87.08 3.55 27.13 8.87 51.95 100.00 63.09P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 39 74 +29 9.20 83.25 12.04 85.80 3.47 32.29 5.99 39.99 100.00 55.81P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 39 70 +25 1.14 54.20 1.32 82.58 3.48 29.79 0.88 11.61 99.83 40.78P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 38 61 +9 5.36 71.80 3.75 72.35 3.76 9.51 0.00 0.02 53.50 9.53P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 39 60 +15 -3.73 34.79 -0.61 71.78 3.50 18.26 0.00 0.00 55.79 13.93P 0.00 0.00 Derby 38 59 +7 0.06 50.22 -3.05 71.08 3.74 8.70 0.00 0.00 40.76 8.98P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 39 58 +7 -2.45 39.79 -3.25 69.57 3.42 9.82 0.00 0.00 25.40 6.07P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 39 57 +9 3.40 64.22 8.95 67.20 3.44 9.91 0.00 0.00 10.31 1.75P 0.00 0.00 Preston 39 57 +7 -0.74 46.96 0.71 66.99 3.48 7.48 0.00 0.00 8.92 1.75P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 56 -3 2.76 62.03 -2.71 65.01 3.44 -3.98 0.00 0.00 2.87 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Hull 39 54 +0 -0.51 48.11 -0.89 63.20 3.43 -0.76 0.00 0.00 0.96 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 50 +7 -7.67 21.13 0.91 61.54 3.54 9.89 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 39 50 +3 2.15 59.91 11.71 59.37 3.52 2.73 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 38 50 +1 -5.95 26.67 -4.65 62.96 3.78 3.96 0.00 0.00 1.30 0.35P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 39 48 -5 -6.93 23.24 -7.46 57.40 3.41 -5.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 39 47 -9 -2.63 39.65 -2.44 56.24 3.45 -9.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 39 44 -15 -1.76 43.26 -2.44 51.65 3.37 -18.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44R 0.00 Reading 39 40 -15 -4.70 30.96 -1.34 46.82 3.26 -19.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.13R 0.00 Wigan 39 40 -16 -9.04 16.84 -9.55 48.15 3.43 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.60R 0.00 Millwall 38 37 -15 -9.30 15.28 -6.22 46.37 3.67 -17.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.48R 0.01 Rotherham 39 36 -26 -1.98 42.48 -0.32 42.26 3.17 -31.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.75R 0.23 Bolton 39 32 -36 -1.46 44.32 -5.45 38.06 3.08 -41.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.63R 8.03 Ipswich 39 24 -34 -15.82 2.92 -13.37 30.84 3.21 -38.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 91.74League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 3 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 40 86 +46 11.16 88.07 15.60 97.31 3.14 50.62 88.64 98.27 100.00 98.93P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 40 79 +37 3.95 65.72 7.03 90.14 3.17 41.15 3.88 44.34 100.00 66.21P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 38 76 +33 5.02 70.14 4.36 90.72 3.78 38.58 7.22 49.99 100.00 68.63P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 39 74 +27 10.47 86.22 12.06 85.77 3.48 30.30 0.26 7.04 100.00 28.69P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 39 70 +19 7.79 79.85 6.26 81.60 3.52 21.97 0.00 0.36 99.89 22.11P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 40 63 +16 2.64 60.59 7.96 72.45 3.22 17.74 0.00 0.00 80.14 12.47P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 39 58 +6 0.19 50.77 -0.12 67.57 3.55 5.87 0.00 0.00 12.12 1.80P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 40 57 +2 1.86 58.15 1.08 64.38 3.13 0.79 0.00 0.00 1.89 0.24P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 40 57 +0 5.75 72.71 4.47 64.14 3.09 -1.57 0.00 0.00 1.88 0.21P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 39 55 +9 -1.73 43.12 4.10 64.60 3.48 9.05 0.00 0.00 3.54 0.60P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 39 53 +7 -4.78 31.36 0.62 61.40 3.46 5.23 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 49 -8 -2.79 38.91 -3.30 56.44 3.16 -9.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.90R 0.00 Gillingham 40 48 -10 -1.82 42.64 -1.69 55.55 3.24 -11.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 1.93R 0.01 Plymouth 40 47 -12 -2.38 40.77 -3.19 54.01 3.17 -13.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.55R 0.03 Shrewsbury 40 46 -8 -7.20 22.64 -5.96 54.21 3.17 -7.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.26R 0.03 Bristol_Rovers 40 45 -4 -6.60 24.69 0.57 53.12 3.19 -4.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.89R 0.29 Wycombe 39 44 -12 -0.15 50.15 2.84 52.51 3.50 -13.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.55R 0.77 Accrington_Stanley 39 44 -18 1.61 57.72 -1.47 51.96 3.37 -20.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.09R 1.35 Scunthorpe 40 44 -21 -6.75 24.32 -14.11 51.74 3.23 -21.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.38R 1.73 Southend 40 42 -12 -8.30 19.28 -4.95 49.74 3.24 -12.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.59R 3.49 Walsall 40 42 -21 -2.67 39.29 -5.40 49.45 3.20 -22.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.55R 5.60 AFC_Wimbledon 40 42 -22 -1.10 45.99 -5.47 49.00 3.09 -23.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.00R 8.55 Rochdale 39 42 -29 -0.74 47.74 -11.00 49.32 3.34 -32.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.63R 7.71 Bradford 40 36 -25 -9.45 15.59 -10.31 43.45 3.21 -26.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.68R 70.44League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, Bury 0 3 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 40 80 +33 10.98 87.51 12.05 89.82 3.23 35.35 91.71 99.85 100.00 99.89P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 40 72 +25 0.89 53.36 0.77 81.92 3.23 27.46 5.03 76.67 99.98 84.70P 0.00 0.00 Bury 40 71 +25 2.13 58.33 3.70 81.08 3.27 27.76 2.56 71.68 99.93 80.65P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 69 +26 1.24 54.93 7.29 78.86 3.15 28.40 0.66 42.84 99.78 62.02P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 40 67 +15 8.23 79.81 9.28 74.98 3.23 14.64 0.05 7.18 92.49 24.49P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 40 61 +17 4.42 67.93 14.55 70.16 3.23 18.38 0.00 0.25 55.17 11.04P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 39 61 +11 0.69 52.89 0.90 72.30 3.53 13.45 0.00 1.42 73.35 20.06P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 60 +10 -0.50 48.12 1.60 68.15 3.17 9.82 0.00 0.06 25.74 5.72P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 40 58 +5 -0.85 46.93 -0.74 66.96 3.28 6.07 0.00 0.00 14.80 3.31P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 39 57 +3 -0.05 50.00 -2.22 67.90 3.51 4.93 0.00 0.02 22.78 4.96P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 38 55 -8 7.52 79.61 -0.77 65.20 3.78 -9.14 0.00 0.01 7.74 1.09P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 39 54 +10 -8.23 19.73 -2.89 64.25 3.58 10.98 0.00 0.00 7.09 1.90P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 40 54 -7 2.05 59.00 -2.69 61.65 3.19 -7.74 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 40 53 -3 1.19 55.27 1.81 61.58 3.22 -2.45 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 40 52 -2 -4.45 33.07 -4.31 60.53 3.18 -1.59 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 40 51 -6 -0.36 48.85 -0.17 58.13 3.20 -7.73 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 40 49 -10 2.57 61.66 1.60 56.41 3.15 -11.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 40 45 -17 0.40 52.63 -1.72 52.50 3.16 -18.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33R 0.02 Cambridge_Utd 40 45 -20 -2.21 41.00 -9.26 52.50 3.14 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38R 0.02 Port_Vale 40 44 -11 -5.36 28.61 -4.06 51.13 3.04 -12.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.63R 0.06 Crawley_Town 40 43 -19 -2.18 41.32 -4.51 49.93 3.13 -20.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.29R 0.51 Yeovil 40 36 -22 -7.54 20.52 -5.22 42.50 3.08 -24.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.20R 30.39 Notts_County 40 36 -31 -9.71 14.82 -16.44 42.83 3.14 -33.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.15R 33.74 Macclesfield 39 35 -24 -2.12 41.42 1.45 42.42 3.31 -27.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.01R 35.26National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 40 77 +34 7.33 78.18 12.28 88.04 3.13 38.21 76.44 99.93 84.04P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 41 76 +28 10.47 85.05 14.02 84.31 2.94 30.16 14.65 99.13 35.94P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 41 75 +26 12.33 89.70 16.30 82.44 2.95 26.94 6.82 96.74 25.81P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 41 72 +15 10.11 85.54 6.29 80.01 2.84 16.75 0.64 82.11 19.63P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 40 69 +29 0.50 51.95 8.52 79.32 3.20 32.08 1.40 79.98 25.76P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 41 68 +22 5.09 69.11 11.90 75.06 2.95 22.32 0.02 21.52 4.66P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 40 67 +1 12.98 91.25 2.08 74.24 3.15 -0.52 0.01 12.23 2.03P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 41 65 +20 0.63 52.58 7.75 72.92 2.97 21.58 0.00 6.29 1.61P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 40 62 +9 2.52 60.54 1.76 70.37 3.26 9.23 0.00 2.02 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 41 61 -1 4.44 67.69 -1.86 67.67 2.85 -1.15 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 41 56 -1 2.35 60.03 1.99 62.60 2.91 -1.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bromley 41 54 -3 -2.38 40.78 -3.07 60.88 2.95 -2.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 40 53 -5 -5.69 28.02 -11.20 62.00 3.22 -3.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 41 52 +1 -10.29 15.19 -8.21 60.10 2.92 2.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Hartlepool 41 52 -6 -1.78 42.99 -2.76 58.70 2.93 -6.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Halifax 41 51 -1 0.02 50.84 4.46 56.34 2.70 -2.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Maidenhead 41 50 -21 3.90 66.75 -5.92 55.34 2.80 -23.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 41 48 -7 -8.21 20.12 -7.34 55.24 2.95 -6.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 41 48 -10 -5.84 27.31 -7.44 54.19 2.89 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.82R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 41 47 -12 -8.47 19.00 -11.12 53.80 2.91 -12.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.34R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 41 39 -16 -6.00 27.41 2.55 44.24 2.86 -18.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.59R 0.01 Aldershot 41 36 -32 -10.04 13.67 -18.25 42.31 2.90 -32.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.65R 0.98 Braintree_Town 41 31 -33 -5.99 26.31 -2.45 35.10 2.57 -37.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 56.08 Maidstone_United 40 30 -37 -7.00 21.39 -10.29 36.23 3.01 -39.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 42.92