Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 3 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 April 2019, Chelsea 3 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         32   80  +62       4.57    74.62     3.66    93.31     2.84    70.45    59.53    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        32   79  +53      10.45    92.82    10.79    92.79     2.72    62.32    40.47   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   64  +26       1.98    59.33    -3.21    76.31     2.78    32.76     0.00     0.00    43.55    78.57   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          31   63  +26       5.91    77.63     1.52    76.23     3.47    31.76     0.00     0.00    42.81    72.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   63  +21       4.05    69.24    -2.40    73.26     3.02    24.20     0.00     0.00     8.45    28.34   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   61  +18       1.88    58.72    -5.93    72.39     3.00    23.06     0.00     0.00     5.19    20.11   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   47   +1       6.57    79.06     7.42    54.70     3.03    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.57    79.62     9.18    54.37     3.17    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   44   -1       0.26    51.50     0.52    51.37     3.06    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   43   +3      -2.07    40.09     2.60    50.92     3.14     2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   42   -7       2.17    61.11     1.68    47.78     2.90   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      32   38  -15       1.57    58.40     0.64    46.02     3.16   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   36   -5      -4.17    30.37     2.04    43.04     3.03    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Newcastle        32   35  -11      -3.26    34.32    -1.63    42.69     3.09   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Brighton         31   33  -14      -0.67    47.40     0.44    40.02     3.07   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.32R    0.00  
Southampton      31   33  -15      -2.60    37.31    -2.54    42.12     3.36   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Burnley          32   33  -22      -2.56    37.77    -7.27    38.53     2.83   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.16R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   28  -33       0.20    52.22    -4.13    32.99     2.81   -38.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.53R    0.00  
Fulham           33   17  -46      -8.68    11.00    -6.54    22.19     2.77   -48.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   12.23  
Huddersfield     32   14  -41      -9.47     6.98    -6.83    17.48     2.40   -49.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.77  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, Middlesbrough 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         39   81  +30      16.46    95.88    12.98    93.31     3.45    34.29    84.26    96.42   100.00    97.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    39   76  +25      13.47    92.45    11.39    87.08     3.55    27.13     8.87    51.95   100.00    63.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   74  +29       9.20    83.25    12.04    85.80     3.47    32.29     5.99    39.99   100.00    55.81P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       39   70  +25       1.14    54.20     1.32    82.58     3.48    29.79     0.88    11.61    99.83    40.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    38   61   +9       5.36    71.80     3.75    72.35     3.76     9.51     0.00     0.02    53.50     9.53P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     39   60  +15      -3.73    34.79    -0.61    71.78     3.50    18.26     0.00     0.00    55.79    13.93P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   59   +7       0.06    50.22    -3.05    71.08     3.74     8.70     0.00     0.00    40.76     8.98P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   39   58   +7      -2.45    39.79    -3.25    69.57     3.42     9.82     0.00     0.00    25.40     6.07P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   39   57   +9       3.40    64.22     8.95    67.20     3.44     9.91     0.00     0.00    10.31     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         39   57   +7      -0.74    46.96     0.71    66.99     3.48     7.48     0.00     0.00     8.92     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   56   -3       2.76    62.03    -2.71    65.01     3.44    -3.98     0.00     0.00     2.87     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            39   54   +0      -0.51    48.11    -0.89    63.20     3.43    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   50   +7      -7.67    21.13     0.91    61.54     3.54     9.89     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      39   50   +3       2.15    59.91    11.71    59.37     3.52     2.73     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         38   50   +1      -5.95    26.67    -4.65    62.96     3.78     3.96     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           39   48   -5      -6.93    23.24    -7.46    57.40     3.41    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       39   47   -9      -2.63    39.65    -2.44    56.24     3.45    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             39   44  -15      -1.76    43.26    -2.44    51.65     3.37   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Reading         39   40  -15      -4.70    30.96    -1.34    46.82     3.26   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.13R    0.00  
Wigan           39   40  -16      -9.04    16.84    -9.55    48.15     3.43   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.60R    0.00  
Millwall        38   37  -15      -9.30    15.28    -6.22    46.37     3.67   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.48R    0.01  
Rotherham       39   36  -26      -1.98    42.48    -0.32    42.26     3.17   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.75R    0.23  
Bolton          39   32  -36      -1.46    44.32    -5.45    38.06     3.08   -41.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.63R    8.03  
Ipswich         39   24  -34     -15.82     2.92   -13.37    30.84     3.21   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   91.74  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 April 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 3 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                40   86  +46      11.16    88.07    15.60    97.31     3.14    50.62    88.64    98.27   100.00    98.93P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             40   79  +37       3.95    65.72     7.03    90.14     3.17    41.15     3.88    44.34   100.00    66.21P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           38   76  +33       5.02    70.14     4.36    90.72     3.78    38.58     7.22    49.99   100.00    68.63P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   74  +27      10.47    86.22    12.06    85.77     3.48    30.30     0.26     7.04   100.00    28.69P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             39   70  +19       7.79    79.85     6.26    81.60     3.52    21.97     0.00     0.36    99.89    22.11P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            40   63  +16       2.64    60.59     7.96    72.45     3.22    17.74     0.00     0.00    80.14    12.47P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   58   +6       0.19    50.77    -0.12    67.57     3.55     5.87     0.00     0.00    12.12     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            40   57   +2       1.86    58.15     1.08    64.38     3.13     0.79     0.00     0.00     1.89     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             40   57   +0       5.75    72.71     4.47    64.14     3.09    -1.57     0.00     0.00     1.88     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       39   55   +9      -1.73    43.12     4.10    64.60     3.48     9.05     0.00     0.00     3.54     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   53   +7      -4.78    31.36     0.62    61.40     3.46     5.23     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   49   -8      -2.79    38.91    -3.30    56.44     3.16    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.00  
Gillingham           40   48  -10      -1.82    42.64    -1.69    55.55     3.24   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.93R    0.01  
Plymouth             40   47  -12      -2.38    40.77    -3.19    54.01     3.17   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.55R    0.03  
Shrewsbury           40   46   -8      -7.20    22.64    -5.96    54.21     3.17    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.26R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers       40   45   -4      -6.60    24.69     0.57    53.12     3.19    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.89R    0.29  
Wycombe              39   44  -12      -0.15    50.15     2.84    52.51     3.50   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.55R    0.77  
Accrington_Stanley   39   44  -18       1.61    57.72    -1.47    51.96     3.37   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.09R    1.35  
Scunthorpe           40   44  -21      -6.75    24.32   -14.11    51.74     3.23   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.38R    1.73  
Southend             40   42  -12      -8.30    19.28    -4.95    49.74     3.24   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.59R    3.49  
Walsall              40   42  -21      -2.67    39.29    -5.40    49.45     3.20   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.55R    5.60  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   42  -22      -1.10    45.99    -5.47    49.00     3.09   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.00R    8.55  
Rochdale             39   42  -29      -0.74    47.74   -11.00    49.32     3.34   -32.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.63R    7.71  
Bradford             40   36  -25      -9.45    15.59   -10.31    43.45     3.21   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.68R   70.44  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, Bury 0 3 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     40   80  +33      10.98    87.51    12.05    89.82     3.23    35.35    91.71    99.85   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   72  +25       0.89    53.36     0.77    81.92     3.23    27.46     5.03    76.67    99.98    84.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             40   71  +25       2.13    58.33     3.70    81.08     3.27    27.76     2.56    71.68    99.93    80.65P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   69  +26       1.24    54.93     7.29    78.86     3.15    28.40     0.66    42.84    99.78    62.02P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         40   67  +15       8.23    79.81     9.28    74.98     3.23    14.64     0.05     7.18    92.49    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     40   61  +17       4.42    67.93    14.55    70.16     3.23    18.38     0.00     0.25    55.17    11.04P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           39   61  +11       0.69    52.89     0.90    72.30     3.53    13.45     0.00     1.42    73.35    20.06P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   60  +10      -0.50    48.12     1.60    68.15     3.17     9.82     0.00     0.06    25.74     5.72P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   58   +5      -0.85    46.93    -0.74    66.96     3.28     6.07     0.00     0.00    14.80     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          39   57   +3      -0.05    50.00    -2.22    67.90     3.51     4.93     0.00     0.02    22.78     4.96P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   38   55   -8       7.52    79.61    -0.77    65.20     3.78    -9.14     0.00     0.01     7.74     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           39   54  +10      -8.23    19.73    -2.89    64.25     3.58    10.98     0.00     0.00     7.09     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        40   54   -7       2.05    59.00    -2.69    61.65     3.19    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            40   53   -3       1.19    55.27     1.81    61.58     3.22    -2.45     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   52   -2      -4.45    33.07    -4.31    60.53     3.18    -1.59     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       40   51   -6      -0.36    48.85    -0.17    58.13     3.20    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   49  -10       2.57    61.66     1.60    56.41     3.15   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        40   45  -17       0.40    52.63    -1.72    52.50     3.16   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd    40   45  -20      -2.21    41.00    -9.26    52.50     3.14   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.02  
Port_Vale        40   44  -11      -5.36    28.61    -4.06    51.13     3.04   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.06  
Crawley_Town     40   43  -19      -2.18    41.32    -4.51    49.93     3.13   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.29R    0.51  
Yeovil           40   36  -22      -7.54    20.52    -5.22    42.50     3.08   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.20R   30.39  
Notts_County     40   36  -31      -9.71    14.82   -16.44    42.83     3.14   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.15R   33.74  
Macclesfield     39   35  -24      -2.12    41.42     1.45    42.42     3.31   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.01R   35.26  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      40   77  +34       7.33    78.18    12.28    88.04     3.13    38.21    76.44    99.93    84.04P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       41   76  +28      10.47    85.05    14.02    84.31     2.94    30.16    14.65    99.13    35.94P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     41   75  +26      12.33    89.70    16.30    82.44     2.95    26.94     6.82    96.74    25.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   72  +15      10.11    85.54     6.29    80.01     2.84    16.75     0.64    82.11    19.63P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          40   69  +29       0.50    51.95     8.52    79.32     3.20    32.08     1.40    79.98    25.76P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     41   68  +22       5.09    69.11    11.90    75.06     2.95    22.32     0.02    21.52     4.66P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          40   67   +1      12.98    91.25     2.08    74.24     3.15    -0.52     0.01    12.23     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   65  +20       0.63    52.58     7.75    72.92     2.97    21.58     0.00     6.29     1.61P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   62   +9       2.52    60.54     1.76    70.37     3.26     9.23     0.00     2.02     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      41   61   -1       4.44    67.69    -1.86    67.67     2.85    -1.15     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   56   -1       2.35    60.03     1.99    62.60     2.91    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            41   54   -3      -2.38    40.78    -3.07    60.88     2.95    -2.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             40   53   -5      -5.69    28.02   -11.20    62.00     3.22    -3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield       41   52   +1     -10.29    15.19    -8.21    60.10     2.92     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool         41   52   -6      -1.78    42.99    -2.76    58.70     2.93    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            41   51   -1       0.02    50.84     4.46    56.34     2.70    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Maidenhead         41   50  -21       3.90    66.75    -5.92    55.34     2.80   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          41   48   -7      -8.21    20.12    -7.34    55.24     2.95    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       41   48  -10      -5.84    27.31    -7.44    54.19     2.89   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     41   47  -12      -8.47    19.00   -11.12    53.80     2.91   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    41   39  -16      -6.00    27.41     2.55    44.24     2.86   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.59R    0.01  
Aldershot          41   36  -32     -10.04    13.67   -18.25    42.31     2.90   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R    0.98  
Braintree_Town     41   31  -33      -5.99    26.31    -2.45    35.10     2.57   -37.42     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.08  
Maidstone_United   40   30  -37      -7.00    21.39   -10.29    36.23     3.01   -39.93     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   42.92