Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 2 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, Watford 4 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        32   79  +53      10.40    92.67    10.69    92.83     2.72    62.40    42.17   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   77  +60       4.03    72.05     3.77    93.18     2.93    71.81    57.83   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          31   63  +26       5.80    77.12     1.35    76.23     3.46    31.76     0.00     0.01    48.49    76.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +24       1.33    56.03    -3.78    75.52     3.01    32.09     0.00     0.00    37.39    73.18   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   61  +18       1.82    58.49    -5.98    72.40     2.98    23.10     0.00     0.00     6.62    24.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          31   60  +18       3.79    67.98    -3.15    72.40     3.28    22.34     0.00     0.00     7.50    25.31    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   47   +1       6.37    78.36     7.16    54.71     3.04    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   46   +0       6.63    79.86     9.33    54.39     3.19    -0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   44   -1       0.30    51.88     0.56    51.39     3.04    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   43   +3      -2.09    40.28     2.59    50.94     3.14     2.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   42   -7       2.22    61.18     1.86    47.83     2.92   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      32   38  -15       1.66    59.06     0.86    46.00     3.15   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   36   -3      -3.87    31.65     2.35    43.64     3.23    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Newcastle        32   35  -11      -3.23    34.51    -1.59    42.66     3.11   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Brighton         30   33  -11      -0.70    47.22     1.17    40.70     3.26   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.64R    0.00  
Southampton      31   33  -15      -2.30    39.05    -2.04    42.04     3.35   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Burnley          32   33  -22      -2.50    38.25    -7.13    38.53     2.85   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.83R    0.00  
Cardiff          31   28  -31       0.48    54.02    -4.67    33.07     2.85   -39.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.35R    0.00  
Fulham           33   17  -46      -8.76    11.11    -6.73    22.19     2.79   -48.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   11.93  
Huddersfield     32   14  -41      -9.29     7.62    -6.64    17.45     2.38   -49.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.07  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, Middlesbrough 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         39   81  +30      16.48    95.80    13.05    93.30     3.46    34.31    84.07    96.41   100.00    97.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    39   76  +25      13.64    92.68    11.66    87.06     3.55    27.12     9.13    51.99   100.00    63.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   74  +29       9.31    83.79    12.19    85.78     3.46    32.27     5.93    39.70   100.00    55.82P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       39   70  +25       0.98    53.53     1.06    82.60     3.46    29.79     0.87    11.89    99.85    40.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    38   61   +9       5.29    71.97     3.70    72.37     3.75     9.55     0.00     0.01    54.04     9.61P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     39   60  +15      -3.56    35.31    -0.35    71.76     3.51    18.22     0.00     0.00    55.61    13.87P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   59   +7       0.02    50.20    -3.14    71.09     3.74     8.73     0.00     0.00    40.66     8.88P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   39   58   +7      -2.40    39.94    -3.23    69.55     3.45     9.78     0.00     0.00    25.57     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   39   57   +9       3.28    63.79     8.79    67.22     3.45     9.93     0.00     0.00    10.39     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         39   57   +7      -0.78    46.87     0.62    66.98     3.48     7.46     0.00     0.00     8.47     1.69P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   56   -3       2.66    61.35    -2.77    65.00     3.44    -4.00     0.00     0.00     2.91     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            39   54   +0      -0.48    48.19    -0.84    63.21     3.43    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   50   +7      -7.85    20.63     0.64    61.59     3.54     9.96     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      39   50   +3       2.06    59.53    11.58    59.42     3.53     2.75     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         38   50   +1      -5.93    26.52    -4.64    62.90     3.77     3.91     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           39   48   -5      -6.95    23.46    -7.50    57.44     3.43    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       39   47   -9      -2.63    39.76    -2.41    56.22     3.47    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
QPR             39   44  -15      -1.68    43.58    -2.29    51.67     3.37   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Reading         39   40  -15      -4.77    30.68    -1.40    46.78     3.26   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.26R    0.00  
Wigan           39   40  -16      -8.99    16.76    -9.41    48.13     3.42   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.96R    0.00  
Millwall        38   37  -15      -9.27    15.31    -6.13    46.37     3.64   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.56R    0.01  
Rotherham       39   36  -26      -2.27    41.26    -0.82    42.33     3.17   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.97R    0.20  
Bolton          39   32  -36      -1.29    44.92    -5.15    38.00     3.07   -41.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.69R    8.23  
Ipswich         39   24  -34     -15.64     3.06   -13.19    30.83     3.21   -38.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   91.56  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                40   86  +46      11.11    87.90    15.50    97.34     3.15    50.63    91.11    98.68   100.00    99.20P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             40   79  +37       3.92    65.71     7.02    90.17     3.17    41.20     4.21    52.89   100.00    71.26P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   74  +27      10.48    86.38    12.11    85.84     3.48    30.36     0.32     8.63   100.00    30.27P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.79    69.50     3.61    89.46     4.00    36.10     4.36    39.29   100.00    61.01P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             39   70  +19       7.72    79.22     6.20    81.61     3.51    21.98     0.00     0.52    99.90    22.53P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            40   63  +16       2.66    60.78     7.89    72.42     3.23    17.71     0.00     0.00    79.96    12.63P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   58   +6       0.17    50.88    -0.13    67.57     3.53     5.91     0.00     0.00    12.11     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            40   57   +2       1.61    56.85     0.75    64.39     3.11     0.81     0.00     0.00     1.86     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             40   57   +0       5.59    72.15     4.18    64.22     3.10    -1.43     0.00     0.00     2.02     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       39   55   +9      -1.81    42.48     4.02    64.63     3.47     9.10     0.00     0.00     3.58     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   53   +7      -4.46    32.64     1.12    61.33     3.48     5.14     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   49   -8      -2.78    39.05    -3.34    56.44     3.16    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97R    0.00  
Gillingham           40   48  -10      -1.70    43.52    -1.54    55.58     3.25   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.01  
Plymouth             40   47  -12      -2.20    41.48    -3.02    53.93     3.17   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.16R    0.04  
Shrewsbury           40   46   -8      -6.89    23.37    -5.59    54.13     3.15    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.78R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers       40   45   -4      -6.47    24.92     0.73    53.11     3.19    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.39R    0.30  
Wycombe              39   44  -12       0.17    51.75     3.34    52.42     3.49   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.77R    0.87  
Accrington_Stanley   38   44  -15       1.52    57.55    -0.76    52.98     3.60   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.96R    0.84  
Scunthorpe           40   44  -21      -7.15    23.03   -14.80    51.82     3.21   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.11R    1.47  
Southend             40   42  -12      -8.37    18.97    -4.99    49.75     3.23   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.62R    3.42  
Walsall              40   42  -21      -2.89    38.54    -5.64    49.48     3.24   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.42R    5.43  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   42  -22      -1.08    46.45    -5.51    48.98     3.09   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.10R    8.67  
Rochdale             39   42  -29      -0.82    47.65   -11.07    49.33     3.34   -32.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.54R    7.50  
Bradford             40   36  -25      -9.25    16.08   -10.08    43.38     3.20   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.10R   71.42  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, Bury 0 3 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     40   80  +33      10.85    87.51    11.83    89.83     3.22    35.36    91.74    99.89   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   72  +25       1.21    54.58     1.24    81.90     3.24    27.44     4.84    76.03   100.00    84.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             40   71  +25       2.01    57.91     3.44    81.16     3.27    27.85     2.76    71.98    99.96    80.88P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   69  +26       1.06    54.01     7.06    78.89     3.14    28.43     0.61    43.24    99.82    62.28P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         40   67  +15       8.17    79.77     9.17    74.97     3.26    14.62     0.04     7.23    92.40    24.53P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     40   61  +17       4.67    68.77    14.91    70.09     3.24    18.29     0.00     0.28    54.25    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           39   61  +11       0.82    53.58     1.12    72.30     3.49    13.44     0.00     1.27    73.50    19.80P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   60  +10      -0.84    46.89     1.12    68.18     3.18     9.89     0.00     0.05    26.66     6.10P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   58   +5      -0.75    47.03    -0.59    66.91     3.26     6.00     0.00     0.00    14.48     3.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          39   57   +3       0.13    50.85    -1.96    67.87     3.51     4.91     0.00     0.01    22.77     5.05P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   38   55   -8       7.59    79.75    -0.69    65.17     3.78    -9.17     0.00     0.01     7.95     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           39   54  +10      -8.38    19.23    -3.13    64.26     3.55    10.99     0.00     0.00     7.06     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        40   54   -7       2.22    59.71    -2.39    61.63     3.16    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            40   53   -3       1.29    55.94     1.99    61.57     3.23    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   52   -2      -4.58    32.38    -4.50    60.53     3.18    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       40   51   -6      -0.27    49.26    -0.10    58.13     3.19    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   49  -10       2.58    61.63     1.58    56.40     3.16   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        40   45  -17       0.29    52.26    -1.93    52.54     3.13   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd    40   45  -20      -2.39    40.57    -9.53    52.51     3.13   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.04  
Port_Vale        40   44  -11      -5.24    28.93    -3.91    51.13     3.03   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.04  
Crawley_Town     40   43  -19      -2.27    41.05    -4.60    49.96     3.13   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.36R    0.54  
Yeovil           40   36  -22      -7.58    20.54    -5.22    42.51     3.10   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.94R   30.24  
Notts_County     40   36  -31      -9.51    15.55   -16.05    42.81     3.13   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.81R   34.39  
Macclesfield     39   35  -24      -2.30    41.02     1.15    42.45     3.31   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.60R   34.71  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 1 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      40   77  +34       7.45    78.46    12.50    88.02     3.14    38.15    76.24    99.94    83.74P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       41   76  +28      10.31    84.58    13.83    84.34     2.95    30.17    14.94    99.15    36.56P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     41   75  +26      12.36    89.74    16.33    82.45     2.96    26.96     7.01    96.81    25.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   72  +15      10.12    85.44     6.31    79.98     2.84    16.70     0.56    81.83    19.30P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          40   69  +29       0.39    51.53     8.36    79.29     3.20    32.06     1.22    79.84    25.86P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     41   68  +22       4.95    68.83    11.66    75.10     2.94    22.38     0.03    21.61     4.68P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          40   67   +1      12.91    90.82     1.94    74.22     3.14    -0.52     0.02    12.38     1.94P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   65  +20       0.56    52.30     7.73    72.93     2.97    21.59     0.00     6.35     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   62   +9       2.63    60.70     1.94    70.35     3.25     9.20     0.00     2.05     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      41   61   -1       4.35    67.71    -1.96    67.70     2.86    -1.09     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   56   -1       2.32    60.21     1.91    62.65     2.91    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            41   54   -3      -2.44    40.71    -3.10    60.89     2.94    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             40   53   -5      -5.95    26.91   -11.61    62.06     3.22    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       41   52   +1     -10.24    15.37    -8.17    60.10     2.92     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         41   52   -6      -1.74    43.50    -2.75    58.68     2.93    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            41   51   -1      -0.15    50.15     4.25    56.35     2.73    -2.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Maidenhead         41   50  -21       3.77    66.07    -6.04    55.34     2.84   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          41   48   -7      -7.88    21.37    -6.87    55.22     2.94    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       41   48  -10      -5.85    27.23    -7.48    54.19     2.88   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     41   47  -12      -8.22    20.06   -10.77    53.76     2.93   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    41   39  -16      -5.97    27.44     2.64    44.23     2.86   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.42R    0.01  
Aldershot          41   36  -32      -9.89    14.15   -18.03    42.32     2.89   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R    1.09  
Braintree_Town     41   31  -33      -5.98    26.55    -2.56    35.13     2.58   -37.37     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   54.83  
Maidstone_United   40   30  -37      -6.84    21.99   -10.06    36.16     2.99   -40.02     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   44.07