Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 31 March 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 March 2019, Cardiff 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        32   79  +53      10.42    92.70    10.85    92.83     2.72    62.42    41.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   77  +60       4.00    72.02     3.76    93.20     2.90    71.84    58.15    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   61  +24       1.35    56.19    -3.53    75.47     3.04    31.97     0.00     0.00    36.10    67.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          31   61  +19       3.17    65.19    -5.04    74.21     3.28    24.76     0.00     0.00    18.61    44.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.31    75.54     1.22    75.41     3.71    30.98     0.00     0.00    37.57    64.18   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          31   60  +18       3.95    68.66    -2.91    72.38     3.26    22.30     0.00     0.00     7.73    23.25   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   44   +0       5.05    73.95     6.65    52.58     3.29    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   44   -1       0.14    51.06     0.36    51.42     3.06    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   43   +3      -2.26    39.44     2.31    50.91     3.15     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   43   -3       6.25    79.22     8.27    53.34     3.44    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   42   -7       2.04    60.46     1.59    47.84     2.92   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      32   38  -15       1.53    58.52     0.67    46.01     3.18   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   36   -3      -3.93    31.43     2.24    43.65     3.24    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.80    36.44    -1.08    43.30     3.32   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Brighton         30   33  -11      -0.60    47.38     1.36    40.68     3.27   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.73R    0.00  
Southampton      31   33  -15      -2.51    37.94    -2.42    42.11     3.37   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Burnley          32   33  -22      -2.36    39.01    -7.05    38.52     2.84   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.75R    0.00  
Cardiff          31   28  -31       0.68    55.03    -4.32    33.05     2.85   -39.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.50R    0.00  
Fulham           32   17  -43      -8.57    11.16    -6.34    23.03     3.04   -46.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    8.74  
Huddersfield     32   14  -41      -9.30     7.53    -6.60    17.46     2.38   -49.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.26  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2019, Aston_Villa 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         39   81  +30      16.53    95.78    13.09    93.30     3.44    34.29    84.31    96.57   100.00    97.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    39   76  +25      13.49    92.48    11.50    87.03     3.52    27.07     8.93    51.57   100.00    62.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   74  +29       9.45    84.01    12.40    85.75     3.50    32.22     5.90    39.75   100.00    55.39P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       39   70  +25       0.86    53.43     0.85    82.66     3.47    29.89     0.86    12.11    99.87    40.90P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     39   60  +15      -3.50    35.70    -0.30    71.80     3.52    18.27     0.00     0.00    55.28    13.26P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   59   +7       0.15    50.44    -3.02    71.09     3.74     8.70     0.00     0.00    40.40     8.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   58   +8       3.69    65.86     2.82    70.29     3.96     7.96     0.00     0.00    33.39     5.76P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   38   58   +8      -1.33    44.33    -2.61    71.42     3.68    11.47     0.00     0.00    45.91    11.11P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   39   57   +9       3.38    64.28     8.93    67.20     3.47     9.90     0.00     0.00    10.48     1.71P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         39   57   +7      -0.82    46.68     0.61    66.94     3.48     7.42     0.00     0.00     8.35     1.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   56   -3       2.54    60.88    -2.97    65.07     3.46    -3.89     0.00     0.00     3.06     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            39   54   +0      -0.61    47.95    -1.06    63.26     3.43    -0.68     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   50  +10      -7.58    20.77     1.89    62.97     3.80    12.95     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      39   50   +3       2.10    59.67    11.61    59.43     3.52     2.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           39   48   -5      -6.91    23.24    -7.41    57.43     3.43    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         37   47   -2      -6.24    25.30    -5.65    61.22     4.07     0.81     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       39   47   -9      -2.68    39.41    -2.48    56.29     3.45    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
QPR             39   44  -15      -1.52    43.95    -2.04    51.62     3.36   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Reading         39   40  -15      -4.90    30.35    -1.61    46.78     3.28   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.10R    0.00  
Wigan           39   40  -16      -8.96    17.17    -9.39    48.15     3.42   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.74R    0.00  
Millwall        38   37  -15      -9.20    15.58    -6.10    46.30     3.64   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.77R    0.00  
Rotherham       39   36  -26      -2.24    40.98    -0.77    42.30     3.18   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.21R    0.23  
Bolton          39   32  -36      -1.31    45.22    -5.14    37.96     3.07   -41.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.75R    8.28  
Ipswich         39   24  -34     -15.65     3.25   -13.17    30.82     3.21   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   91.48  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                40   86  +46      11.30    88.21    15.87    97.27     3.15    50.53    90.78    98.56   100.00    99.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             40   79  +37       3.93    65.70     7.01    90.13     3.17    41.15     4.36    52.72   100.00    71.00P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   74  +27      10.54    86.53    12.20    85.83     3.48    30.36     0.31     9.09   100.00    30.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       5.02    70.32     3.82    89.38     4.05    36.01     4.54    39.03   100.00    60.22P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             39   70  +19       7.65    79.32     6.07    81.63     3.52    22.01     0.01     0.61    99.90    23.09P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            40   63  +16       2.47    60.22     7.66    72.45     3.22    17.76     0.00     0.00    80.00    12.56P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   58   +6       0.06    50.38    -0.38    67.56     3.56     5.89     0.00     0.00    12.06     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            40   57   +2       1.56    56.83     0.70    64.42     3.12     0.85     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             40   57   +0       5.67    72.30     4.40    64.20     3.10    -1.47     0.00     0.00     1.93     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       39   55   +9      -1.89    42.46     3.88    64.67     3.48     9.13     0.00     0.00     3.63     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   53   +7      -4.78    31.17     0.59    61.42     3.48     5.28     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   49   -8      -2.72    39.20    -3.24    56.44     3.15    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           40   48  -10      -1.78    43.22    -1.66    55.58     3.24   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.06R    0.01  
Plymouth             40   47  -12      -2.24    41.29    -3.03    53.95     3.19   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.29R    0.06  
Shrewsbury           40   46   -8      -6.89    23.75    -5.59    54.11     3.17    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.91R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers       40   45   -4      -6.47    25.12     0.78    53.08     3.17    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.30R    0.32  
Wycombe              39   44  -12       0.11    51.32     3.31    52.46     3.48   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.54R    0.82  
Accrington_Stanley   38   44  -15       1.50    57.17    -0.75    52.95     3.61   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.26R    0.92  
Scunthorpe           40   44  -21      -7.02    23.39   -14.58    51.81     3.21   -21.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.43R    1.60  
Southend             40   42  -12      -8.36    19.07    -5.00    49.76     3.23   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.24R    3.37  
Walsall              40   42  -21      -2.89    38.50    -5.70    49.48     3.23   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.12R    5.49  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   42  -22      -1.13    46.32    -5.50    48.98     3.09   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.06R    8.70  
Rochdale             39   42  -29      -0.55    48.65   -10.63    49.29     3.33   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.76R    7.84  
Bradford             40   36  -25      -9.35    15.68   -10.21    43.44     3.20   -26.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.02R   70.82  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2019, Bury 1 3 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     40   80  +33      10.91    87.25    11.89    89.81     3.22    35.34    85.17    99.74   100.00    99.82P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   72  +25       1.04    54.07     1.07    81.91     3.24    27.44     4.14    69.76    99.99    80.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             39   71  +28       2.18    58.52     4.55    83.54     3.50    32.41    10.04    86.23   100.00    90.82P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   69  +26       1.31    55.40     7.41    78.93     3.15    28.49     0.48    33.57    99.82    55.73P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         39   67  +17       8.45    81.12     9.54    76.15     3.51    16.33     0.16     9.82    95.22    27.59P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     40   61  +17       4.57    68.54    14.75    70.16     3.22    18.36     0.00     0.13    54.83    10.54P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           39   61  +11       0.72    53.29     0.99    72.35     3.50    13.54     0.00     0.73    73.86    19.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   60  +10      -0.74    47.13     1.31    68.16     3.20     9.84     0.00     0.01    26.14     5.95P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   58   +5      -0.62    47.50    -0.42    66.85     3.27     5.92     0.00     0.00    13.75     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          39   57   +3      -0.19    49.52    -2.43    67.99     3.52     5.03     0.00     0.01    23.42     5.06P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   38   55   -8       7.55    79.74    -0.70    65.17     3.77    -9.18     0.00     0.00     7.72     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        40   54   -7       2.08    59.28    -2.63    61.66     3.19    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            40   53   -3       1.09    55.10     1.67    61.62     3.22    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   52   -2      -4.40    33.12    -4.20    60.51     3.16    -1.66     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           38   51   +8      -8.95    17.30    -3.62    62.73     3.84     9.15     0.00     0.00     4.05     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       40   51   -6      -0.60    47.93    -0.54    58.16     3.18    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   49  -10       2.44    60.90     1.41    56.41     3.17   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        40   45  -17       0.41    52.69    -1.69    52.57     3.16   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.02  
Port_Vale        40   44  -11      -5.05    29.59    -3.57    51.04     3.03   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.05  
Crawley_Town     40   43  -19      -2.10    41.77    -4.36    49.93     3.11   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.85R    0.45  
Cambridge_Utd    39   42  -23      -3.13    37.38   -11.27    49.91     3.30   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.49R    0.54  
Yeovil           40   36  -22      -7.32    21.21    -4.83    42.46     3.07   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.86R   30.52  
Notts_County     40   36  -31      -9.54    15.46   -16.07    42.80     3.15   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.73R   34.09  
Macclesfield     39   35  -24      -2.00    42.14     1.75    42.46     3.34   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.28R   34.33  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2019, Aldershot 0 0 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      39   77  +35       8.44    81.76    13.01    89.73     3.43    39.65    84.74    99.97    89.57P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       41   76  +28      10.50    85.11    14.08    84.33     2.96    30.19     8.99    98.69    31.81P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     41   75  +26      12.21    89.49    16.14    82.45     2.96    26.97     4.03    95.49    23.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   72  +15      10.33    85.94     6.58    79.97     2.84    16.69     0.32    78.14    18.63P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          39   68  +29       1.01    53.91     8.69    80.22     3.48    32.87     1.84    81.09    27.28P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     41   68  +22       4.95    68.61    11.69    75.09     2.96    22.36     0.01    18.61     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          39   67   +4      13.31    91.99     3.46    75.73     3.43     2.69     0.07    21.25     3.59P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   65  +20       0.59    52.41     7.80    72.95     2.96    21.60     0.00     5.15     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   62   +9       2.67    61.18     1.98    70.31     3.24     9.15     0.00     1.57     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      41   61   -1       4.15    66.60    -2.26    67.71     2.86    -1.09     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   56   -1       2.14    59.35     1.76    62.66     2.91    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       41   52   +1     -10.12    15.44    -8.00    60.07     2.93     2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool         41   52   -6      -1.74    43.58    -2.64    58.69     2.92    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            41   51   -1      -0.25    49.48     4.13    56.35     2.71    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Bromley            40   51   -4      -4.00    34.29    -4.00    58.97     3.23    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnet             39   50   -8      -5.98    26.48   -12.40    60.12     3.51    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Maidenhead         41   50  -21       3.94    66.77    -5.80    55.37     2.81   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       41   48  -10      -5.88    27.11    -7.58    54.17     2.89   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          40   47   -7      -7.94    20.58    -7.50    55.08     3.20    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     41   47  -12      -8.39    19.42   -10.99    53.80     2.93   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    41   39  -16      -5.97    27.53     2.58    44.25     2.87   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.21R    0.02  
Aldershot          41   36  -32      -9.88    14.23   -18.06    42.31     2.89   -32.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R    1.07  
Braintree_Town     41   31  -33      -6.04    26.04    -2.61    35.12     2.58   -37.38     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.67  
Maidstone_United   40   30  -37      -6.95    21.80   -10.08    36.22     3.00   -39.95     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   43.24