Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2019, Brighton 0 1 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         31   77  +60       3.89    71.20     3.54    93.18     2.92    71.84    68.19    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        31   76  +52       9.47    91.10    10.98    91.63     3.05    62.05    31.81    99.94   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.16    60.30    -3.53    76.44     3.29    32.38     0.00     0.06    45.46    75.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          31   61  +19       3.30    65.80    -4.81    74.22     3.28    24.75     0.00     0.00    16.03    43.03   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.18    74.80     0.97    75.43     3.69    31.05     0.00     0.01    33.61    63.67   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   57  +17       2.98    64.34    -2.93    71.52     3.49    22.48     0.00     0.00     4.89    17.59    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   44   +0       5.04    74.03     6.65    52.57     3.31    -1.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        32   44   -1       0.18    51.34     0.40    51.40     3.06    -3.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   43   +3      -2.22    39.26     2.38    50.91     3.15     2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   43   -3       6.27    78.93     8.31    53.30     3.43    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   42   -7       2.25    61.46     1.94    47.84     2.91   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      32   38  -15       1.69    59.29     0.91    45.96     3.18   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   36   -3      -3.83    31.69     2.40    43.61     3.23    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.90    36.07    -1.19    43.31     3.31   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Brighton         30   33  -11      -0.68    47.12     1.17    40.73     3.28   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.52R    0.00  
Southampton      31   33  -15      -2.45    38.02    -2.29    42.14     3.37   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05R    0.00  
Burnley          32   33  -22      -2.58    37.69    -7.37    38.57     2.85   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.32R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.29    58.28    -4.57    33.70     3.07   -40.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.40R    0.00  
Fulham           32   17  -43      -8.51    11.34    -6.20    23.02     3.04   -46.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.99  
Huddersfield     32   14  -41      -9.39     7.50    -6.76    17.47     2.39   -49.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.01  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2019, Aston_Villa 2 1 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         39   81  +30      16.42    95.90    12.98    93.29     3.45    34.29    84.41    96.47   100.00    97.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    39   76  +25      13.39    91.97    11.30    87.05     3.52    27.08     8.85    51.63   100.00    62.86P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   74  +29       9.49    84.17    12.44    85.77     3.46    32.25     5.80    39.69   100.00    55.50P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       39   70  +25       0.82    52.82     0.88    82.63     3.47    29.85     0.95    12.20    99.85    40.70P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     39   60  +15      -3.81    34.29    -0.67    71.83     3.53    18.33     0.00     0.00    55.82    13.56P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   59   +7      -0.15    49.42    -3.38    71.14     3.74     8.80     0.00     0.00    40.75     8.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    37   58   +8       3.76    66.23     2.95    70.24     3.96     7.91     0.00     0.00    32.82     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   38   58   +8      -1.31    44.46    -2.57    71.41     3.68    11.45     0.00     0.00    45.89    11.22P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   39   57   +9       3.61    65.26     9.26    67.18     3.45     9.86     0.00     0.00    10.54     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         39   57   +7      -0.58    47.50     0.98    66.90     3.47     7.34     0.00     0.00     8.20     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   56   -3       2.62    61.35    -2.85    65.05     3.46    -3.92     0.00     0.00     3.01     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            39   54   +0      -0.51    48.10    -0.92    63.23     3.47    -0.71     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   50  +10      -7.49    21.41     2.10    62.88     3.80    12.85     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      39   50   +3       1.96    59.12    11.37    59.44     3.52     2.80     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           39   48   -5      -6.58    24.39    -6.99    57.39     3.42    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         37   47   -2      -6.20    25.51    -5.68    61.25     4.06     0.86     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       39   47   -9      -2.66    39.81    -2.46    56.29     3.46    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
QPR             39   44  -15      -1.49    44.39    -2.01    51.65     3.36   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Reading         39   40  -15      -4.94    29.87    -1.64    46.82     3.26   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.94R    0.00  
Wigan           39   40  -16      -9.29    16.08    -9.82    48.18     3.42   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.88R    0.00  
Millwall        38   37  -15      -9.31    15.23    -6.20    46.32     3.63   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.48R    0.00  
Rotherham       39   36  -26      -1.96    42.44    -0.30    42.28     3.16   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.55R    0.21  
Bolton          39   32  -36      -1.31    44.93    -5.32    38.00     3.08   -41.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.64R    8.41  
Ipswich         39   24  -34     -15.81     2.97   -13.45    30.84     3.21   -38.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   91.38  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                40   86  +46      11.37    88.39    15.87    97.31     3.13    50.59    91.04    98.65   100.00    99.13P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             40   79  +37       4.05    66.26     7.19    90.13     3.15    41.14     4.07    52.37   100.00    70.97P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   74  +27      10.70    86.74    12.40    85.78     3.50    30.29     0.26     8.59   100.00    29.76P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.83    69.74     3.59    89.43     4.04    36.06     4.62    39.79   100.00    61.32P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             39   70  +19       7.60    78.79     5.96    81.63     3.53    22.03     0.01     0.60    99.91    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            40   63  +16       2.78    61.18     8.08    72.40     3.24    17.69     0.00     0.00    79.48    12.48P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   58   +6       0.06    50.46    -0.37    67.61     3.56     5.94     0.00     0.00    12.42     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            40   57   +2       1.49    56.36     0.59    64.41     3.12     0.84     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             40   57   +0       5.76    73.06     4.44    64.16     3.10    -1.51     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       39   55   +9      -1.71    43.31     4.15    64.65     3.49     9.13     0.00     0.00     3.72     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   53   +7      -4.57    32.05     0.90    61.36     3.48     5.20     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   49   -8      -2.72    39.31    -3.19    56.44     3.16    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Gillingham           40   48  -10      -1.74    43.21    -1.64    55.51     3.24   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.18R    0.01  
Plymouth             40   47  -12      -2.37    40.85    -3.27    53.98     3.17   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.87R    0.03  
Shrewsbury           40   46   -8      -7.26    22.40    -6.05    54.20     3.19    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.76R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers       40   45   -4      -6.54    25.03     0.69    53.12     3.17    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.28R    0.32  
Wycombe              39   44  -12       0.11    51.16     3.30    52.47     3.49   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.42R    0.84  
Accrington_Stanley   38   44  -15       1.61    57.83    -0.61    52.95     3.61   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.21R    0.86  
Scunthorpe           40   44  -21      -7.09    23.14   -14.59    51.80     3.25   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.74R    1.71  
Southend             40   42  -12      -8.39    19.17    -5.06    49.79     3.23   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.94R    3.31  
Walsall              40   42  -21      -2.93    38.45    -5.74    49.49     3.24   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.02R    5.57  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   42  -22      -0.80    47.62    -5.02    48.90     3.08   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.01R    8.81  
Rochdale             39   42  -29      -0.74    47.95   -10.98    49.32     3.33   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.81R    7.85  
Bradford             40   36  -25      -9.68    14.85   -10.66    43.46     3.21   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.77R   70.64  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2019, Bury 1 3 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     40   80  +33      10.88    87.25    11.91    89.81     3.23    35.34    85.17    99.74   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   72  +25       1.09    54.07     1.08    81.87     3.26    27.40     4.22    69.49    99.99    80.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             39   71  +28       2.33    59.24     4.73    83.50     3.51    32.34     9.97    86.31    99.98    90.90P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        40   69  +26       1.55    56.30     7.78    78.89     3.15    28.40     0.45    33.58    99.78    55.46P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         39   67  +17       8.65    81.51     9.87    76.13     3.52    16.32     0.19    10.04    95.33    27.71P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     40   61  +17       4.52    68.32    14.70    70.14     3.21    18.35     0.00     0.12    55.12    10.61P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           39   61  +11       0.71    52.98     0.95    72.31     3.51    13.47     0.00     0.70    73.50    19.02P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   60  +10      -0.62    47.74     1.44    68.14     3.20     9.81     0.00     0.02    25.95     5.80P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   58   +5      -0.87    46.67    -0.78    66.89     3.28     5.96     0.00     0.00    14.41     3.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          39   57   +3       0.01    50.35    -2.13    67.97     3.51     5.02     0.00     0.01    23.07     5.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   38   55   -8       7.80    80.25    -0.36    65.11     3.76    -9.25     0.00     0.00     7.51     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        40   54   -7       1.97    58.78    -2.77    61.69     3.18    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            40   53   -3       1.11    54.90     1.76    61.60     3.22    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   52   -2      -4.64    31.96    -4.58    60.56     3.17    -1.56     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           38   51   +8      -8.92    17.55    -3.52    62.76     3.85     9.18     0.00     0.00     4.22     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       40   51   -6      -0.25    49.52     0.01    58.14     3.19    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   49  -10       2.37    60.82     1.32    56.43     3.17   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        40   45  -17       0.40    52.69    -1.64    52.59     3.17   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.02  
Port_Vale        40   44  -11      -5.46    28.29    -4.15    51.11     3.03   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.04  
Crawley_Town     40   43  -19      -2.44    40.25    -4.87    50.00     3.13   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.50  
Cambridge_Utd    39   42  -23      -2.99    37.84   -11.10    49.93     3.32   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.58R    0.58  
Yeovil           40   36  -22      -7.54    20.51    -5.14    42.47     3.09   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.60R   30.26  
Notts_County     40   36  -31      -9.62    15.02   -16.25    42.80     3.16   -33.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.45R   34.04  
Macclesfield     39   35  -24      -1.97    42.51     1.73    42.42     3.32   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.74R   34.57  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 March 2019, Aldershot 0 0 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      39   77  +35       8.52    82.12    13.08    89.75     3.41    39.67    85.06    99.97    89.86P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       41   76  +28      10.41    84.67    13.93    84.31     2.95    30.15     8.69    98.76    31.74P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     41   75  +26      12.27    89.47    16.18    82.45     2.95    26.97     4.06    95.31    23.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   72  +15      10.33    86.02     6.59    79.96     2.86    16.68     0.33    77.47    18.11P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          39   68  +29       1.01    54.12     8.62    80.24     3.48    32.88     1.79    81.37    27.30P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     41   68  +22       4.87    68.27    11.54    75.11     2.94    22.40     0.01    18.72     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          39   67   +4      13.21    91.70     3.36    75.79     3.44     2.78     0.06    21.59     3.67P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   65  +20       0.73    53.02     7.97    72.94     2.98    21.62     0.00     5.27     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   62   +9       2.62    60.76     1.93    70.28     3.26     9.10     0.00     1.50     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      41   61   -1       4.20    66.80    -2.16    67.69     2.85    -1.09     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   56   -1       2.22    59.32     1.80    62.66     2.92    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       41   52   +1     -10.26    14.89    -8.14    60.12     2.92     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool         41   52   -6      -1.64    43.61    -2.52    58.66     2.92    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            41   51   -1      -0.12    50.06     4.29    56.36     2.71    -2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            40   51   -4      -3.83    34.89    -3.76    58.94     3.21    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barnet             39   50   -8      -6.22    25.77   -12.71    60.15     3.50    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Maidenhead         41   50  -21       3.78    66.15    -6.03    55.35     2.80   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       41   48  -10      -5.79    27.14    -7.42    54.14     2.88   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          40   47   -7      -7.75    21.08    -7.20    55.08     3.18    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     41   47  -12      -8.41    19.56   -11.03    53.78     2.93   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.45R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    41   39  -16      -6.14    27.28     2.41    44.27     2.85   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.34R    0.01  
Aldershot          41   36  -32     -10.11    13.65   -18.30    42.35     2.91   -32.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.56R    1.10  
Braintree_Town     41   31  -33      -5.80    27.00    -2.26    35.09     2.57   -37.44     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.87  
Maidstone_United   40   30  -37      -6.95    22.02   -10.15    36.23     3.01   -39.95     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   43.01