Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 29 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2019, Everton 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        31   76  +52       9.31    90.49    10.63    91.62     3.04    62.02    33.92    99.92   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   74  +58       3.49    69.44     3.72    92.91     3.04    72.68    66.08    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.17    60.29    -3.54    76.43     3.29    32.32     0.00     0.08    46.24    77.41   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.27    75.36     1.06    75.50     3.71    31.13     0.00     0.03    35.17    66.60   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.20    60.82    -5.08    73.45     3.53    25.16     0.00     0.00    13.53    37.59    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   57  +17       3.11    65.31    -2.67    71.49     3.51    22.41     0.00     0.00     5.07    18.40    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.64    76.59     7.47    54.15     3.61     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       6.99    81.97     8.23    53.80     3.61    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   42   -5       2.83    64.20     2.61    49.44     3.27    -8.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   41   -3      -0.63    47.38    -0.28    50.07     3.34    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   40   +1      -3.04    35.17     1.77    49.11     3.44     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -13       2.17    61.62     1.38    47.10     3.45   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.90    35.64    -1.27    43.37     3.32   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.45    28.79     1.88    42.69     3.45    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.44    53.09     1.95    42.24     3.56   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.87    30.82    -2.81    40.15     3.64   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.39R    0.00  
Burnley          31   30  -24      -3.60    32.32    -8.35    36.81     3.14   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.89R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.40    58.96    -4.33    33.68     3.06   -40.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.61R    0.00  
Fulham           31   17  -41      -8.19    12.31    -6.29    23.25     3.13   -47.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   12.71  
Huddersfield     31   14  -39      -8.93     8.24    -6.08    18.19     2.65   -48.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.28  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 March 2019, West_Brom 3 2 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         38   78  +29      15.22    94.79    12.66    91.33     3.73    32.83    65.20    88.67   100.00    91.20P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   74  +30      10.56    87.43    13.06    87.71     3.71    34.06    23.25    64.05   100.00    73.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   73  +24      12.58    91.14    11.51    85.96     3.77    26.90     9.83    35.58    99.99    50.47P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       39   70  +25       1.08    54.08     1.24    82.63     3.49    29.78     1.71    11.66    99.86    39.99P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   58   +9      -0.32    48.54    -2.04    73.17     3.95    13.00     0.00     0.03    66.75    16.71P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   57  +14      -4.66    30.80    -0.48    70.77     3.78    18.21     0.00     0.00    46.82    11.66P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   57   +8       0.43    51.81     1.40    68.48     3.75     8.63     0.00     0.00    20.12     3.85P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   56   +2       0.74    53.35    -4.64    69.88     3.95     4.34     0.00     0.00    29.76     6.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.20    59.64     1.99    68.17     4.15     6.25     0.00     0.00    20.29     3.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   55   -3       2.80    62.24    -3.02    65.17     3.70    -4.26     0.00     0.00     4.54     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   54   +8       2.25    59.90     8.70    65.50     3.70     8.82     0.00     0.00     6.18     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            38   51   -2      -1.22    45.41    -1.40    61.59     3.71    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      39   50   +3       2.07    59.34    11.56    59.38     3.53     2.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   49  +10      -7.08    22.27     2.11    63.40     4.05    13.07     0.00     0.00     3.03     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   47   -1      -5.29    28.51    -5.29    62.50     4.30     1.69     0.00     0.00     2.01     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           38   47   -5      -6.40    24.74    -7.17    57.95     3.70    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   47   -8      -1.86    42.73    -2.48    57.21     3.69    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             38   44  -14      -0.20    49.82    -1.18    53.73     3.65   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Wigan           38   39  -16      -8.79    16.92    -9.53    48.53     3.71   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.73R    0.00  
Millwall        37   37  -14      -8.51    17.11    -6.23    47.13     3.87   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.02R    0.01  
Reading         38   37  -16      -6.18    25.19    -2.04    44.96     3.51   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.09R    0.03  
Rotherham       38   36  -21      -3.01    37.74     0.24    43.27     3.42   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.57R    0.16  
Bolton          38   29  -37      -2.98    36.99    -6.17    35.69     3.28   -43.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.60R   28.34  
Ipswich         38   24  -32     -15.31     3.15   -12.80    32.20     3.54   -36.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   71.45  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 March 2019, Doncaster 4 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                39   83  +45      10.38    86.54    15.86    95.97     3.43    50.03    79.33    95.29   100.00    96.88P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             39   78  +37       4.61    68.54     7.53    91.22     3.43    42.16    13.16    62.44   100.00    77.03P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   74  +27      10.47    86.31    12.11    85.86     3.47    30.39     0.57     7.48   100.00    30.04P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.96    70.10     3.77    89.40     4.04    36.04     6.93    34.54   100.00    58.24P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             38   67  +18       6.76    76.70     6.15    80.55     3.75    21.84     0.01     0.25    99.66    22.14P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            39   60  +14       2.03    58.48     7.37    71.25     3.53    16.36     0.00     0.00    70.34    11.12P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   58   +6       0.15    50.99    -0.28    67.54     3.54     5.87     0.00     0.00    17.23     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            39   56   +2       1.83    58.08     0.55    65.10     3.41     1.33     0.00     0.00     5.60     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             39   56   +0       6.05    74.00     4.26    63.85     3.30    -2.46     0.00     0.00     3.00     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   53   +7      -4.84    30.89     0.56    61.36     3.47     5.18     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   52   +8      -3.04    37.71     3.60    63.11     3.73     8.25     0.00     0.00     3.22     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   47  -10      -1.21    45.54    -1.29    56.33     3.52   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.73R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           39   46   -9      -3.79    34.83    -3.39    55.12     3.44    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.34R    0.07  
Plymouth             39   46  -12      -2.11    41.92    -3.44    54.00     3.43   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.86R    0.13  
Bristol_Rovers       39   45   -3      -5.70    27.46     0.89    54.16     3.44    -3.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.65R    0.24  
Wycombe              38   44  -11       1.01    55.22     3.52    53.60     3.76   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.04R    0.60  
Accrington_Stanley   37   44  -14       2.46    61.47    -0.27    54.26     3.91   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.20R    0.59  
Scunthorpe           39   44  -20      -5.93    26.87   -14.04    53.63     3.51   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.98R    0.85  
Shrewsbury           39   43  -10      -8.07    19.57    -6.88    52.28     3.46   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.64R    0.76  
Southend             39   42  -10      -7.59    21.12    -3.92    51.35     3.53   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.23R    1.71  
Walsall              39   42  -19      -2.65    39.49    -5.48    50.43     3.48   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.53R    3.62  
Rochdale             38   41  -29      -0.40    49.20   -10.99    49.28     3.60   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.30R    9.39  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   39  -23      -2.32    40.44    -5.87    46.87     3.34   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.79R   25.82  
Bradford             39   36  -24      -8.78    17.28   -10.33    44.32     3.44   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.71R   56.21  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, Carlisle 2 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     39   79  +33      11.76    89.62    12.59    91.27     3.43    37.07    83.65    99.94   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             38   71  +30       3.22    63.02     5.86    85.68     3.73    35.59    15.26    96.57   100.00    97.77P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   69  +24      -0.01    49.42     0.82    80.39     3.53    26.62     1.00    65.02    99.77    77.15P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   66  +23       0.85    53.34     6.11    76.97     3.42    25.04     0.05    23.33    98.14    46.97P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   64  +14       8.05    80.24     8.32    74.49     3.78    13.29     0.03     7.83    86.30    23.49P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   61  +18       5.52    72.29    15.18    71.42     3.49    19.23     0.00     1.70    69.21    14.47P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           38   61  +14       1.19    55.18     2.65    73.96     3.76    16.90     0.00     5.50    85.64    27.23P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   58   +8      -0.32    48.82     0.98    68.03     3.52     8.62     0.00     0.07    25.43     5.64P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   57   +9      -1.99    41.88     0.80    66.53     3.46     8.82     0.00     0.04    13.65     3.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   54   +1      -1.14    45.32    -3.49    65.66     3.73     1.94     0.00     0.01     9.10     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        39   54   -4       2.33    60.35    -1.20    63.69     3.47    -3.76     0.00     0.00     2.77     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            39   53   -1       1.90    58.68     2.76    63.48     3.50     0.34     0.00     0.00     2.65     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   52   -1      -3.47    36.28    -3.93    62.41     3.44     0.11     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   37   52  -10       6.63    77.55    -1.58    63.38     4.02   -11.39     0.00     0.00     3.70     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   49   -8       2.57    61.80     1.65    57.33     3.41    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.51    15.69    -4.05    61.64     4.08     7.90     0.00     0.00     2.55     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   48   -8      -1.41    44.52    -1.32    56.04     3.41   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     39   43  -18      -1.36    44.81    -4.20    51.14     3.40   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43R    0.17  
Morecambe        39   42  -18      -0.76    47.82    -1.77    51.19     3.45   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.24R    0.13  
Cambridge_Utd    38   42  -22      -2.13    41.54   -10.76    51.29     3.57   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64R    0.18  
Port_Vale        39   41  -12      -6.54    23.82    -4.50    48.86     3.21   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.51R    0.40  
Yeovil           39   36  -20      -6.73    22.70    -4.08    43.98     3.38   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.23R   10.83  
Macclesfield     38   34  -24      -2.24    41.28     0.95    41.92     3.49   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.95R   30.96  
Notts_County     39   33  -34     -10.40    12.47   -17.79    40.53     3.36   -37.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.99R   57.33  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 March 2019, Harrogate_Town 0 1 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      38   76  +35       8.94    83.53    13.08    90.23     3.69    39.88    84.37    99.93    89.17P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     40   74  +26      12.85    90.91    16.49    83.15     3.25    27.43     6.20    94.75    24.67P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       40   73  +27       9.33    82.53    13.71    83.12     3.25    29.82     5.21    94.49    27.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   72  +17      10.98    88.04     7.66    81.29     3.12    18.66     1.12    83.31    20.63P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          38   67  +29       1.54    56.27     8.76    81.08     3.74    33.59     3.00    83.25    28.89P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     40   67  +22       5.45    70.39    11.85    76.26     3.23    23.64     0.07    26.98     5.99P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          38   64   +3      12.04    90.11     2.98    74.26     3.69     1.93     0.03    10.50     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   62  +18      -0.21    49.09     6.94    71.27     3.26    19.56     0.00     2.03     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   62  +11       3.26    63.53     2.93    72.32     3.53    12.07     0.00     4.67     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      40   60   -1       4.88    69.88    -1.78    68.56     3.16    -0.34     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   56   +0       3.36    64.36     2.44    64.19     3.21     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         40   52   -5      -0.76    46.92    -2.38    59.90     3.21    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            40   51   +0       1.00    55.21     4.99    57.93     3.02    -1.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            39   51   -3      -2.99    38.03    -3.65    59.99     3.49    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield       40   49   -1     -11.05    12.76    -8.98    58.70     3.22     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnet             38   49   -8      -5.72    27.41   -12.47    60.30     3.75    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          39   47   -5      -7.49    21.66    -6.84    56.30     3.48    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Maidenhead         40   47  -22       2.45    61.15    -6.43    53.39     3.08   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     40   46  -12      -8.11    19.81   -11.18    53.86     3.19   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       40   45  -11      -7.16    22.40    -8.05    52.31     3.17   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.10R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    40   38  -16      -5.91    27.44     2.08    44.18     3.12   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.20R    0.01  
Aldershot          40   35  -32      -9.70    14.40   -18.15    42.23     3.15   -33.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.42R    0.48  
Maidstone_United   39   29  -37      -6.75    21.91   -10.64    35.85     3.22   -41.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   29.21  
Braintree_Town     40   28  -35      -7.06    21.91    -3.36    32.85     2.83   -40.44     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   70.30