Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 28 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2019, Everton 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        31   76  +52       9.36    90.66    10.71    91.62     3.05    61.97    34.31    99.93   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   74  +58       3.56    69.64     3.83    92.89     3.04    72.69    65.69    99.96   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.20    60.68    -3.54    76.43     3.28    32.33     0.00     0.08    46.30    77.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.18    74.72     0.98    75.51     3.68    31.17     0.00     0.02    35.54    66.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.22    61.05    -4.99    73.44     3.51    25.12     0.00     0.00    13.07    37.28    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   57  +17       3.00    64.47    -2.85    71.54     3.50    22.51     0.00     0.00     5.10    18.27    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.53    76.03     7.31    54.13     3.59     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       7.03    82.09     8.23    53.79     3.60    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   42   -5       2.95    64.77     2.75    49.43     3.26    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   41   -3      -0.57    47.45    -0.14    50.04     3.33    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   40   +1      -3.15    34.79     1.62    49.12     3.44     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -13       2.15    61.54     1.28    47.11     3.45   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.99    35.73    -1.32    43.39     3.33   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.42    28.95     1.97    42.62     3.45    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.55    53.70     2.10    42.20     3.55   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.89    30.73    -2.84    40.18     3.62   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.35R    0.00  
Burnley          31   30  -24      -3.53    32.96    -8.13    36.78     3.14   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.49R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.38    58.90    -4.44    33.73     3.08   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.04R    0.00  
Fulham           31   17  -41      -8.18    12.45    -6.33    23.22     3.13   -47.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   13.08  
Huddersfield     31   14  -39      -9.00     8.11    -6.20    18.23     2.66   -48.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.92  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Aston_Villa 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         38   78  +29      15.14    94.66    12.47    91.36     3.73    32.86    65.55    89.66   100.00    92.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   74  +30      10.61    87.37    13.11    87.66     3.74    34.01    22.95    64.19   100.00    73.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   73  +24      12.66    91.21    11.67    85.98     3.79    26.93    10.18    37.18    99.99    51.49P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       38   67  +24       0.13    50.11     1.32    81.77     3.70    29.96     1.31     8.93    99.59    38.25P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   58   +9      -0.34    48.44    -2.08    73.13     3.95    12.97     0.00     0.03    66.54    16.64P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   57  +14      -4.69    30.88    -0.55    70.78     3.77    18.24     0.00     0.00    46.58    11.39P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   57   +8       0.42    52.05     1.39    68.48     3.77     8.63     0.00     0.00    20.28     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   56   +2       0.66    52.94    -4.76    69.90     3.93     4.36     0.00     0.00    30.13     6.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.49    61.15     2.45    68.08     4.18     6.08     0.00     0.00    20.09     3.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   55   -3       2.89    62.57    -2.87    65.10     3.71    -4.35     0.00     0.00     4.43     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   54   +8       2.07    59.18     8.45    65.55     3.72     8.88     0.00     0.00     6.40     1.06P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            38   51   -2      -1.35    44.52    -1.63    61.63     3.71    -2.68     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      38   50   +4       2.87    62.95    11.50    60.04     3.70     2.58     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   49  +10      -7.21    21.74     1.92    63.42     4.08    13.09     0.00     0.00     3.09     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   47   -1      -5.23    28.69    -5.24    62.52     4.28     1.69     0.00     0.00     2.05     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           38   47   -5      -6.50    24.26    -7.34    58.01     3.70    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   47   -8      -1.83    42.90    -2.43    57.14     3.67    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             38   44  -14      -0.20    50.00    -1.24    53.74     3.62   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Wigan           38   39  -16      -8.69    17.46    -9.39    48.50     3.72   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.57R    0.00  
Millwall        37   37  -14      -8.60    16.98    -6.41    47.18     3.84   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.55R    0.02  
Reading         38   37  -16      -6.09    25.37    -1.92    44.95     3.53   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.35R    0.03  
Rotherham       38   36  -21      -2.93    38.21     0.42    43.25     3.41   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.88R    0.17  
Bolton          38   29  -37      -2.91    37.15    -6.14    35.70     3.30   -43.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.63R   28.37  
Ipswich         38   24  -32     -15.30     3.28   -12.69    32.20     3.50   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.77R   71.42  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 March 2019, Doncaster 4 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                39   83  +45      10.13    85.68    15.47    96.04     3.41    50.13    79.52    95.68   100.00    97.18P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             39   78  +37       4.87    69.35     7.79    91.21     3.44    42.14    12.84    61.82   100.00    76.95P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   74  +27      10.42    86.19    12.09    85.86     3.48    30.42     0.59     7.41   100.00    30.21P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.74    69.47     3.43    89.46     4.05    36.13     7.05    34.81   100.00    58.50P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             38   67  +18       6.82    76.72     6.20    80.51     3.77    21.80     0.01     0.29    99.70    22.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            39   60  +14       2.04    58.40     7.44    71.17     3.51    16.30     0.00     0.00    69.83    10.84P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   58   +6       0.17    50.76    -0.20    67.57     3.53     5.88     0.00     0.00    17.72     2.55P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            39   56   +2       2.03    58.90     0.80    65.07     3.41     1.26     0.00     0.00     5.53     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             39   56   +0       6.15    74.36     4.33    63.84     3.29    -2.51     0.00     0.00     2.99     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   53   +7      -4.49    32.37     1.02    61.31     3.48     5.11     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   52   +8      -2.92    38.16     3.76    63.04     3.74     8.15     0.00     0.00     3.24     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   47  -10      -1.21    45.54    -1.30    56.33     3.53   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     2.69R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           39   46   -9      -4.01    33.88    -3.72    55.18     3.46    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.31R    0.07  
Plymouth             39   46  -12      -2.14    41.45    -3.47    54.01     3.44   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.80R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers       39   45   -3      -5.82    27.18     0.69    54.19     3.43    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.32R    0.25  
Wycombe              38   44  -11       1.02    55.29     3.54    53.60     3.76   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.86R    0.57  
Accrington_Stanley   37   44  -14       2.43    61.34    -0.26    54.27     3.87   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.08R    0.48  
Scunthorpe           39   44  -20      -6.00    26.46   -14.18    53.68     3.51   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.69R    0.76  
Shrewsbury           39   43  -10      -7.96    19.89    -6.76    52.27     3.44   -10.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.92R    0.68  
Southend             39   42  -10      -7.73    20.87    -4.12    51.36     3.50   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.46R    1.73  
Walsall              39   42  -19      -2.47    40.29    -5.15    50.39     3.47   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.89R    3.88  
Rochdale             38   41  -29      -0.72    47.88   -11.51    49.30     3.61   -33.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.04R    9.24  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   39  -23      -2.27    40.92    -5.74    46.81     3.34   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.21R   26.44  
Bradford             39   36  -24      -8.71    17.32   -10.16    44.32     3.43   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.72R   55.76  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, Carlisle 2 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     39   79  +33      11.76    89.42    12.61    91.26     3.43    37.06    83.54    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             38   71  +30       3.30    63.30     6.00    85.67     3.73    35.56    15.27    96.56   100.00    97.70P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   69  +24      -0.06    49.39     0.66    80.43     3.54    26.66     1.10    65.54    99.82    77.36P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   66  +23       0.84    53.22     6.04    76.96     3.41    25.03     0.05    23.05    98.23    47.01P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   64  +14       8.31    81.00     8.76    74.41     3.77    13.17     0.02     7.46    85.86    22.33P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   61  +18       5.60    72.43    15.26    71.40     3.47    19.20     0.00     1.72    68.85    14.62P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           38   61  +14       1.02    54.45     2.40    73.99     3.78    16.93     0.00     5.62    85.54    27.72P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   58   +8      -0.54    47.68     0.63    68.06     3.55     8.68     0.00     0.05    25.88     5.88P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   57   +9      -2.01    42.05     0.72    66.55     3.46     8.85     0.00     0.03    13.91     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   54   +1      -1.09    45.72    -3.42    65.67     3.73     1.95     0.00     0.01     9.14     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        39   54   -4       2.28    59.89    -1.32    63.71     3.48    -3.73     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            39   53   -1       1.82    58.14     2.69    63.46     3.50     0.31     0.00     0.00     2.69     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   52   -1      -3.40    36.41    -3.81    62.43     3.44     0.11     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   37   52  -10       6.63    77.43    -1.67    63.38     4.02   -11.35     0.00     0.00     3.74     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   49   -8       2.82    62.66     2.05    57.28     3.38    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.31    16.10    -3.74    61.65     4.05     7.91     0.00     0.00     2.44     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   48   -8      -1.30    45.13    -1.06    56.02     3.43   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     39   43  -18      -1.58    43.72    -4.49    51.23     3.40   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.14  
Morecambe        39   42  -18      -0.86    47.12    -1.98    51.16     3.45   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.12  
Cambridge_Utd    38   42  -22      -2.14    41.46   -10.66    51.27     3.57   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.16  
Port_Vale        39   41  -12      -6.73    23.18    -4.64    48.87     3.24   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.71R    0.43  
Yeovil           39   36  -20      -6.53    23.59    -3.79    43.95     3.38   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.51R   11.18  
Macclesfield     38   34  -24      -2.44    40.18     0.59    41.94     3.48   -28.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.89R   30.82  
Notts_County     39   33  -34     -10.44    12.39   -17.83    40.54     3.37   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.70R   57.13  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 March 2019, Harrogate_Town 0 1 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      38   76  +35       8.85    83.41    12.94    90.27     3.70    39.94    84.60    99.93    89.49P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     40   74  +26      12.84    91.00    16.45    83.14     3.26    27.43     6.10    94.65    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       40   73  +27       9.30    82.26    13.72    83.13     3.27    29.83     5.07    94.45    27.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   72  +17      11.00    88.12     7.67    81.29     3.11    18.67     1.18    83.00    20.43P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          38   67  +29       1.64    56.86     8.99    81.06     3.73    33.57     2.95    82.99    28.12P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     40   67  +22       5.28    69.84    11.61    76.29     3.23    23.65     0.06    27.34     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          38   64   +3      12.20    90.21     3.18    74.17     3.72     1.80     0.03    10.65     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   62  +18      -0.21    49.29     6.99    71.25     3.23    19.56     0.00     1.93     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   62  +11       3.40    64.04     3.14    72.35     3.52    12.13     0.00     4.95     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      40   60   -1       4.78    69.08    -1.87    68.57     3.16    -0.34     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   56   +0       3.47    64.74     2.58    64.15     3.21    -0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         40   52   -5      -0.65    47.55    -2.16    59.86     3.21    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            40   51   +0       1.01    54.93     5.06    57.95     3.02    -1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            39   51   -3      -3.12    37.42    -3.82    59.92     3.46    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield       40   49   -1     -10.78    13.66    -8.60    58.65     3.24     1.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnet             38   49   -8      -6.16    25.75   -13.03    60.38     3.74    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          39   47   -5      -7.38    22.12    -6.72    56.34     3.46    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Maidenhead         40   47  -22       2.35    60.86    -6.59    53.44     3.08   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.26R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     40   46  -12      -8.19    19.63   -11.24    53.87     3.20   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       40   45  -11      -7.19    22.04    -8.14    52.32     3.15   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.97R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    40   38  -16      -5.88    27.72     2.09    44.18     3.14   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.18R    0.01  
Aldershot          40   35  -32      -9.84    13.91   -18.39    42.26     3.16   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.39R    0.51  
Maidstone_United   39   29  -37      -6.76    21.73   -10.66    35.85     3.20   -41.20     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   29.23  
Braintree_Town     40   28  -35      -6.89    22.66    -3.18    32.84     2.83   -40.46     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   70.25