Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 27 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2019, Everton 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 31 76 +52 9.45 90.95 10.97 91.58 3.06 61.91 34.51 99.93 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 74 +58 3.55 69.91 3.83 92.86 3.05 72.62 65.48 99.96 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 61 +25 2.04 59.67 -3.82 76.45 3.30 32.40 0.00 0.08 46.76 77.56 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 60 +24 5.36 75.42 1.20 75.47 3.71 31.11 0.00 0.03 34.73 66.16 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 58 +18 2.24 60.89 -5.00 73.45 3.53 25.12 0.00 0.00 13.11 37.63 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 57 +17 2.98 64.46 -2.90 71.55 3.51 22.52 0.00 0.00 5.41 18.65 99.93 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 30 44 +2 5.63 76.33 7.46 54.14 3.61 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 Watford 30 43 -2 6.94 81.72 8.08 53.80 3.61 -2.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 31 42 -5 2.85 64.37 2.65 49.42 3.24 -9.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 31 41 -3 -0.51 47.67 -0.02 50.05 3.34 -4.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 40 +1 -3.08 35.34 1.71 49.11 3.43 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 31 38 -13 2.15 61.53 1.32 47.11 3.45 -13.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Newcastle 31 35 -9 -2.86 36.09 -1.16 43.36 3.33 -10.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 33 -5 -4.52 28.39 1.85 42.67 3.46 -7.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.74R 0.00 Brighton 29 33 -10 0.33 52.58 1.77 42.25 3.56 -15.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18R 0.00 Southampton 30 30 -16 -3.89 30.83 -2.87 40.20 3.65 -17.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.53R 0.00 Burnley 31 30 -24 -3.48 32.83 -8.09 36.79 3.14 -28.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.45R 0.00 Cardiff 30 28 -30 1.32 58.46 -4.46 33.74 3.05 -39.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.93R 0.00 Fulham 31 17 -41 -8.12 12.39 -6.20 23.24 3.12 -47.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.96R 12.69 Huddersfield 31 14 -39 -9.03 8.00 -6.30 18.21 2.64 -48.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 87.31Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Aston_Villa 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 38 78 +29 15.24 94.67 12.72 91.34 3.72 32.81 65.54 89.48 100.00 91.89P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 38 74 +30 10.66 87.40 13.20 87.68 3.73 34.03 22.89 64.39 100.00 73.70P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 38 73 +24 12.58 91.37 11.57 85.95 3.80 26.89 10.24 36.80 99.99 51.44P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 38 67 +24 -0.07 49.28 1.04 81.78 3.71 29.99 1.34 9.30 99.54 38.46P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 37 58 +9 -0.39 48.19 -2.17 73.14 3.93 12.96 0.00 0.03 66.71 16.63P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 38 57 +14 -4.56 31.14 -0.34 70.76 3.77 18.22 0.00 0.00 46.54 11.22P 0.00 0.00 Preston 38 57 +8 0.37 51.59 1.31 68.55 3.77 8.73 0.00 0.00 20.59 4.01P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 56 +2 0.72 53.19 -4.67 69.88 3.94 4.35 0.00 0.00 30.09 6.06P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 36 55 +7 2.51 60.88 2.45 68.08 4.20 6.10 0.00 0.00 20.01 3.60P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 55 -3 2.97 62.91 -2.76 65.08 3.71 -4.41 0.00 0.00 4.25 0.74P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 54 +8 1.98 58.81 8.26 65.55 3.70 8.89 0.00 0.00 6.31 1.03P 0.00 0.00 Hull 38 51 -2 -1.44 44.46 -1.73 61.62 3.68 -2.70 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 38 50 +4 2.85 62.82 11.49 60.05 3.71 2.56 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 0.00R 0.00 Brentford 37 49 +10 -7.08 22.34 2.13 63.39 4.05 13.05 0.00 0.00 3.17 0.70P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 36 47 -1 -5.24 28.69 -5.30 62.51 4.32 1.71 0.00 0.00 2.05 0.39P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 38 47 -5 -6.44 24.80 -7.23 58.00 3.70 -4.74 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 38 47 -8 -1.84 42.86 -2.41 57.13 3.68 -9.58 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.01R 0.00 QPR 38 44 -14 -0.38 49.06 -1.48 53.80 3.66 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Wigan 38 39 -16 -8.63 17.47 -9.30 48.48 3.69 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.48R 0.00 Millwall 37 37 -14 -8.50 17.49 -6.17 47.14 3.85 -17.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.89R 0.01 Reading 38 37 -16 -6.12 24.99 -2.06 44.98 3.51 -20.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.14R 0.02 Rotherham 38 36 -21 -2.89 38.67 0.38 43.24 3.41 -26.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.86R 0.17 Bolton 38 29 -37 -3.08 36.42 -6.36 35.73 3.29 -43.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.63R 28.48 Ipswich 38 24 -32 -15.24 3.38 -12.59 32.22 3.52 -36.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.78R 71.32League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 March 2019, Doncaster 4 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 39 83 +45 10.19 86.31 15.56 96.05 3.44 50.13 79.87 95.53 100.00 97.14P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 78 +37 4.73 68.83 7.65 91.23 3.40 42.17 12.74 62.56 100.00 77.50P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 39 74 +27 10.74 86.87 12.49 85.78 3.49 30.31 0.54 7.25 100.00 29.61P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 37 73 +30 4.97 70.04 3.82 89.39 4.05 36.00 6.83 34.37 100.00 58.00P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 38 67 +18 6.76 76.55 6.12 80.53 3.76 21.81 0.01 0.30 99.66 22.06P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 39 60 +14 1.94 58.02 7.34 71.20 3.51 16.33 0.00 0.00 70.02 11.19P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 39 58 +6 0.15 51.00 -0.20 67.56 3.54 5.89 0.00 0.00 17.48 2.66P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 39 56 +2 2.37 60.36 1.23 65.02 3.42 1.21 0.00 0.00 5.51 0.78P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 39 56 +0 5.99 74.00 4.18 63.85 3.30 -2.46 0.00 0.00 2.93 0.35P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 39 53 +7 -4.69 31.50 0.76 61.33 3.45 5.15 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.17P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 38 52 +8 -3.18 36.77 3.38 63.13 3.75 8.28 0.00 0.00 3.41 0.55P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 39 47 -10 -0.93 46.75 -0.90 56.25 3.51 -10.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.79R 0.02 Oxford_Utd 39 46 -9 -3.84 34.91 -3.56 55.11 3.44 -9.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.49R 0.06 Plymouth 39 46 -12 -2.35 40.77 -3.83 54.06 3.45 -14.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.59R 0.12 Bristol_Rovers 39 45 -3 -5.59 28.05 1.09 54.15 3.41 -3.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.62R 0.20 Wycombe 38 44 -11 0.97 55.03 3.46 53.59 3.76 -13.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.17R 0.67 Accrington_Stanley 37 44 -14 2.22 60.52 -0.57 54.30 3.88 -17.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 12.94R 0.54 Scunthorpe 39 44 -20 -6.08 26.70 -14.27 53.64 3.53 -19.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.15R 0.87 Shrewsbury 39 43 -10 -7.94 19.81 -6.75 52.30 3.44 -10.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.67R 0.71 Southend 39 42 -10 -7.76 20.60 -4.15 51.34 3.53 -10.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.52R 1.70 Walsall 39 42 -19 -2.50 40.02 -5.28 50.41 3.47 -20.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.88R 3.74 Rochdale 38 41 -29 -0.49 48.83 -11.09 49.33 3.63 -33.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.63R 9.47 AFC_Wimbledon 39 39 -23 -2.49 40.07 -6.07 46.85 3.33 -25.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.03R 26.02 Bradford 39 36 -24 -8.81 17.17 -10.40 44.34 3.44 -25.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.51R 55.87League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, Carlisle 2 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 39 79 +33 11.76 89.86 12.69 91.22 3.43 37.03 83.34 99.93 100.00 99.95P 0.00 0.00 Bury 38 71 +30 3.23 63.08 5.93 85.68 3.72 35.57 15.52 96.65 100.00 97.74P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 39 69 +24 -0.02 49.57 0.79 80.43 3.53 26.67 1.04 65.31 99.80 76.93P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 39 66 +23 0.85 53.59 6.12 76.96 3.43 25.03 0.07 23.17 98.11 46.81P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 38 64 +14 8.26 80.69 8.62 74.43 3.78 13.17 0.03 7.52 85.96 23.02P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 39 61 +18 5.63 72.54 15.31 71.39 3.49 19.21 0.00 1.66 68.64 14.56P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 38 61 +14 0.91 53.69 2.23 74.02 3.76 16.97 0.00 5.66 86.00 27.83P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 39 58 +8 -0.46 47.98 0.73 68.07 3.53 8.71 0.00 0.07 25.90 5.61P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 39 57 +9 -1.98 41.68 0.80 66.56 3.46 8.85 0.00 0.03 14.13 3.27P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 38 54 +1 -0.98 46.16 -3.29 65.63 3.73 1.90 0.00 0.00 8.82 1.92P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 39 54 -4 2.41 60.68 -1.14 63.71 3.46 -3.74 0.00 0.00 2.87 0.52P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 39 53 -1 1.79 57.81 2.64 63.45 3.52 0.31 0.00 0.00 2.65 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 39 52 -1 -3.22 37.23 -3.54 62.38 3.43 0.07 0.00 0.00 1.05 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 37 52 -10 6.53 76.81 -1.83 63.41 3.99 -11.33 0.00 0.00 3.63 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 39 49 -8 2.96 63.55 2.23 57.26 3.41 -9.84 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 37 48 +6 -9.48 15.52 -3.96 61.64 4.07 7.90 0.00 0.00 2.43 0.62P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 39 48 -8 -1.40 44.49 -1.25 56.06 3.43 -10.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 39 43 -18 -1.54 44.11 -4.45 51.17 3.41 -20.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.49R 0.16 Morecambe 39 42 -18 -0.83 47.22 -1.92 51.18 3.46 -18.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.35R 0.12 Cambridge_Utd 38 42 -22 -2.24 40.82 -10.85 51.29 3.58 -24.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.64R 0.18 Port_Vale 39 41 -12 -6.65 23.35 -4.57 48.87 3.23 -14.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.57R 0.38 Yeovil 39 36 -20 -6.92 22.30 -4.36 44.01 3.39 -22.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.81R 10.91 Macclesfield 38 34 -24 -2.20 41.13 0.91 41.89 3.46 -28.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.41R 31.08 Notts_County 39 33 -34 -10.42 12.40 -17.84 40.55 3.37 -37.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.73R 57.17National League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 March 2019, Harrogate_Town 0 1 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 38 76 +35 8.84 82.99 12.87 90.26 3.69 39.91 84.87 99.92 89.55P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 40 74 +26 12.87 90.94 16.54 83.11 3.24 27.38 6.04 94.81 24.62P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 40 73 +27 9.45 82.52 13.94 83.10 3.26 29.77 4.91 94.42 27.21P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 40 72 +17 10.94 87.82 7.57 81.27 3.13 18.65 1.12 82.82 20.56P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 38 67 +29 1.51 55.99 8.72 81.08 3.73 33.59 2.98 83.35 28.45P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 40 67 +22 5.42 70.26 11.81 76.27 3.22 23.63 0.06 27.14 6.13P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 38 64 +3 11.92 89.68 2.77 74.28 3.67 1.97 0.03 10.80 1.83P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 40 62 +18 0.03 50.06 7.31 71.24 3.24 19.51 0.00 1.93 0.52P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 39 62 +11 3.25 63.43 2.92 72.34 3.49 12.11 0.00 4.70 1.10P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 40 60 -1 4.80 69.19 -1.84 68.56 3.15 -0.34 0.00 0.12 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 40 56 +0 3.23 63.84 2.29 64.18 3.19 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 40 52 -5 -0.69 47.63 -2.25 59.88 3.21 -5.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 40 51 +0 0.92 54.69 4.91 57.95 3.01 -1.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Bromley 39 51 -3 -2.97 38.25 -3.61 59.96 3.47 -3.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Chesterfield 40 49 -1 -11.02 12.87 -8.96 58.65 3.21 1.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Barnet 38 49 -8 -5.92 26.49 -12.76 60.33 3.72 -7.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 39 47 -5 -7.33 22.16 -6.53 56.31 3.46 -5.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31R 0.00 Maidenhead 40 47 -22 2.57 61.60 -6.27 53.39 3.09 -24.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.11R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 40 46 -12 -8.09 19.93 -11.18 53.84 3.20 -12.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.82R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 40 45 -11 -7.18 22.31 -8.12 52.31 3.15 -12.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.01R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 40 38 -16 -5.95 27.41 1.98 44.21 3.13 -19.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.21R 0.01 Aldershot 40 35 -32 -9.73 14.32 -18.14 42.26 3.15 -33.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.46R 0.50 Maidstone_United 39 29 -37 -6.82 21.70 -10.66 35.85 3.20 -41.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 29.26 Braintree_Town 40 28 -35 -6.98 22.25 -3.30 32.86 2.84 -40.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 70.23