Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2019, Everton 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        31   76  +52       9.45    90.95    10.97    91.58     3.06    61.91    34.51    99.93   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   74  +58       3.55    69.91     3.83    92.86     3.05    72.62    65.48    99.96    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.04    59.67    -3.82    76.45     3.30    32.40     0.00     0.08    46.76    77.56   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.36    75.42     1.20    75.47     3.71    31.11     0.00     0.03    34.73    66.16    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.24    60.89    -5.00    73.45     3.53    25.12     0.00     0.00    13.11    37.63    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   57  +17       2.98    64.46    -2.90    71.55     3.51    22.52     0.00     0.00     5.41    18.65    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.63    76.33     7.46    54.14     3.61     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       6.94    81.72     8.08    53.80     3.61    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   42   -5       2.85    64.37     2.65    49.42     3.24    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   41   -3      -0.51    47.67    -0.02    50.05     3.34    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   40   +1      -3.08    35.34     1.71    49.11     3.43     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -13       2.15    61.53     1.32    47.11     3.45   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.86    36.09    -1.16    43.36     3.33   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.52    28.39     1.85    42.67     3.46    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.33    52.58     1.77    42.25     3.56   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.89    30.83    -2.87    40.20     3.65   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.53R    0.00  
Burnley          31   30  -24      -3.48    32.83    -8.09    36.79     3.14   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.45R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.32    58.46    -4.46    33.74     3.05   -39.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.93R    0.00  
Fulham           31   17  -41      -8.12    12.39    -6.20    23.24     3.12   -47.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   12.69  
Huddersfield     31   14  -39      -9.03     8.00    -6.30    18.21     2.64   -48.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.31  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Aston_Villa 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         38   78  +29      15.24    94.67    12.72    91.34     3.72    32.81    65.54    89.48   100.00    91.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   74  +30      10.66    87.40    13.20    87.68     3.73    34.03    22.89    64.39   100.00    73.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   73  +24      12.58    91.37    11.57    85.95     3.80    26.89    10.24    36.80    99.99    51.44P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       38   67  +24      -0.07    49.28     1.04    81.78     3.71    29.99     1.34     9.30    99.54    38.46P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   58   +9      -0.39    48.19    -2.17    73.14     3.93    12.96     0.00     0.03    66.71    16.63P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   57  +14      -4.56    31.14    -0.34    70.76     3.77    18.22     0.00     0.00    46.54    11.22P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   57   +8       0.37    51.59     1.31    68.55     3.77     8.73     0.00     0.00    20.59     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   56   +2       0.72    53.19    -4.67    69.88     3.94     4.35     0.00     0.00    30.09     6.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.51    60.88     2.45    68.08     4.20     6.10     0.00     0.00    20.01     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   55   -3       2.97    62.91    -2.76    65.08     3.71    -4.41     0.00     0.00     4.25     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   54   +8       1.98    58.81     8.26    65.55     3.70     8.89     0.00     0.00     6.31     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            38   51   -2      -1.44    44.46    -1.73    61.62     3.68    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      38   50   +4       2.85    62.82    11.49    60.05     3.71     2.56     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       37   49  +10      -7.08    22.34     2.13    63.39     4.05    13.05     0.00     0.00     3.17     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   47   -1      -5.24    28.69    -5.30    62.51     4.32     1.71     0.00     0.00     2.05     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           38   47   -5      -6.44    24.80    -7.23    58.00     3.70    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   47   -8      -1.84    42.86    -2.41    57.13     3.68    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             38   44  -14      -0.38    49.06    -1.48    53.80     3.66   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Wigan           38   39  -16      -8.63    17.47    -9.30    48.48     3.69   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.48R    0.00  
Millwall        37   37  -14      -8.50    17.49    -6.17    47.14     3.85   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.89R    0.01  
Reading         38   37  -16      -6.12    24.99    -2.06    44.98     3.51   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.14R    0.02  
Rotherham       38   36  -21      -2.89    38.67     0.38    43.24     3.41   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.86R    0.17  
Bolton          38   29  -37      -3.08    36.42    -6.36    35.73     3.29   -43.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.63R   28.48  
Ipswich         38   24  -32     -15.24     3.38   -12.59    32.22     3.52   -36.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   71.32  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 March 2019, Doncaster 4 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                39   83  +45      10.19    86.31    15.56    96.05     3.44    50.13    79.87    95.53   100.00    97.14P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             39   78  +37       4.73    68.83     7.65    91.23     3.40    42.17    12.74    62.56   100.00    77.50P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   74  +27      10.74    86.87    12.49    85.78     3.49    30.31     0.54     7.25   100.00    29.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.97    70.04     3.82    89.39     4.05    36.00     6.83    34.37   100.00    58.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             38   67  +18       6.76    76.55     6.12    80.53     3.76    21.81     0.01     0.30    99.66    22.06P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            39   60  +14       1.94    58.02     7.34    71.20     3.51    16.33     0.00     0.00    70.02    11.19P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   58   +6       0.15    51.00    -0.20    67.56     3.54     5.89     0.00     0.00    17.48     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            39   56   +2       2.37    60.36     1.23    65.02     3.42     1.21     0.00     0.00     5.51     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             39   56   +0       5.99    74.00     4.18    63.85     3.30    -2.46     0.00     0.00     2.93     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   53   +7      -4.69    31.50     0.76    61.33     3.45     5.15     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   52   +8      -3.18    36.77     3.38    63.13     3.75     8.28     0.00     0.00     3.41     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   47  -10      -0.93    46.75    -0.90    56.25     3.51   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.79R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           39   46   -9      -3.84    34.91    -3.56    55.11     3.44    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.49R    0.06  
Plymouth             39   46  -12      -2.35    40.77    -3.83    54.06     3.45   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.59R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       39   45   -3      -5.59    28.05     1.09    54.15     3.41    -3.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.62R    0.20  
Wycombe              38   44  -11       0.97    55.03     3.46    53.59     3.76   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.17R    0.67  
Accrington_Stanley   37   44  -14       2.22    60.52    -0.57    54.30     3.88   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.94R    0.54  
Scunthorpe           39   44  -20      -6.08    26.70   -14.27    53.64     3.53   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.15R    0.87  
Shrewsbury           39   43  -10      -7.94    19.81    -6.75    52.30     3.44   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.67R    0.71  
Southend             39   42  -10      -7.76    20.60    -4.15    51.34     3.53   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.52R    1.70  
Walsall              39   42  -19      -2.50    40.02    -5.28    50.41     3.47   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.88R    3.74  
Rochdale             38   41  -29      -0.49    48.83   -11.09    49.33     3.63   -33.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.63R    9.47  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   39  -23      -2.49    40.07    -6.07    46.85     3.33   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.03R   26.02  
Bradford             39   36  -24      -8.81    17.17   -10.40    44.34     3.44   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.51R   55.87  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, Carlisle 2 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     39   79  +33      11.76    89.86    12.69    91.22     3.43    37.03    83.34    99.93   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             38   71  +30       3.23    63.08     5.93    85.68     3.72    35.57    15.52    96.65   100.00    97.74P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   69  +24      -0.02    49.57     0.79    80.43     3.53    26.67     1.04    65.31    99.80    76.93P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   66  +23       0.85    53.59     6.12    76.96     3.43    25.03     0.07    23.17    98.11    46.81P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   64  +14       8.26    80.69     8.62    74.43     3.78    13.17     0.03     7.52    85.96    23.02P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   61  +18       5.63    72.54    15.31    71.39     3.49    19.21     0.00     1.66    68.64    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           38   61  +14       0.91    53.69     2.23    74.02     3.76    16.97     0.00     5.66    86.00    27.83P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   58   +8      -0.46    47.98     0.73    68.07     3.53     8.71     0.00     0.07    25.90     5.61P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   57   +9      -1.98    41.68     0.80    66.56     3.46     8.85     0.00     0.03    14.13     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   54   +1      -0.98    46.16    -3.29    65.63     3.73     1.90     0.00     0.00     8.82     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        39   54   -4       2.41    60.68    -1.14    63.71     3.46    -3.74     0.00     0.00     2.87     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            39   53   -1       1.79    57.81     2.64    63.45     3.52     0.31     0.00     0.00     2.65     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   52   -1      -3.22    37.23    -3.54    62.38     3.43     0.07     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   37   52  -10       6.53    76.81    -1.83    63.41     3.99   -11.33     0.00     0.00     3.63     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   49   -8       2.96    63.55     2.23    57.26     3.41    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.48    15.52    -3.96    61.64     4.07     7.90     0.00     0.00     2.43     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   48   -8      -1.40    44.49    -1.25    56.06     3.43   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     39   43  -18      -1.54    44.11    -4.45    51.17     3.41   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49R    0.16  
Morecambe        39   42  -18      -0.83    47.22    -1.92    51.18     3.46   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.12  
Cambridge_Utd    38   42  -22      -2.24    40.82   -10.85    51.29     3.58   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64R    0.18  
Port_Vale        39   41  -12      -6.65    23.35    -4.57    48.87     3.23   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.57R    0.38  
Yeovil           39   36  -20      -6.92    22.30    -4.36    44.01     3.39   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.81R   10.91  
Macclesfield     38   34  -24      -2.20    41.13     0.91    41.89     3.46   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.41R   31.08  
Notts_County     39   33  -34     -10.42    12.40   -17.84    40.55     3.37   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.73R   57.17  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 March 2019, Harrogate_Town 0 1 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      38   76  +35       8.84    82.99    12.87    90.26     3.69    39.91    84.87    99.92    89.55P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     40   74  +26      12.87    90.94    16.54    83.11     3.24    27.38     6.04    94.81    24.62P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       40   73  +27       9.45    82.52    13.94    83.10     3.26    29.77     4.91    94.42    27.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   72  +17      10.94    87.82     7.57    81.27     3.13    18.65     1.12    82.82    20.56P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          38   67  +29       1.51    55.99     8.72    81.08     3.73    33.59     2.98    83.35    28.45P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     40   67  +22       5.42    70.26    11.81    76.27     3.22    23.63     0.06    27.14     6.13P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          38   64   +3      11.92    89.68     2.77    74.28     3.67     1.97     0.03    10.80     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   62  +18       0.03    50.06     7.31    71.24     3.24    19.51     0.00     1.93     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   62  +11       3.25    63.43     2.92    72.34     3.49    12.11     0.00     4.70     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      40   60   -1       4.80    69.19    -1.84    68.56     3.15    -0.34     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   56   +0       3.23    63.84     2.29    64.18     3.19     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         40   52   -5      -0.69    47.63    -2.25    59.88     3.21    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            40   51   +0       0.92    54.69     4.91    57.95     3.01    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bromley            39   51   -3      -2.97    38.25    -3.61    59.96     3.47    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield       40   49   -1     -11.02    12.87    -8.96    58.65     3.21     1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnet             38   49   -8      -5.92    26.49   -12.76    60.33     3.72    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          39   47   -5      -7.33    22.16    -6.53    56.31     3.46    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Maidenhead         40   47  -22       2.57    61.60    -6.27    53.39     3.09   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     40   46  -12      -8.09    19.93   -11.18    53.84     3.20   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.82R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       40   45  -11      -7.18    22.31    -8.12    52.31     3.15   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.01R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    40   38  -16      -5.95    27.41     1.98    44.21     3.13   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.21R    0.01  
Aldershot          40   35  -32      -9.73    14.32   -18.14    42.26     3.15   -33.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.46R    0.50  
Maidstone_United   39   29  -37      -6.82    21.70   -10.66    35.85     3.20   -41.20     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   29.26  
Braintree_Town     40   28  -35      -6.98    22.25    -3.30    32.86     2.84   -40.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   70.23