Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2019, Everton 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        31   76  +52       9.45    90.92    10.87    91.60     3.07    61.95    34.20    99.95   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   74  +58       3.48    69.51     3.63    92.90     3.05    72.68    65.80    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.14    60.20    -3.57    76.44     3.31    32.32     0.00     0.05    46.87    77.20   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.32    75.31     1.17    75.46     3.70    31.10     0.00     0.02    34.78    66.14   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.16    60.66    -5.07    73.47     3.52    25.14     0.00     0.00    13.32    37.99    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   57  +17       2.90    64.05    -3.01    71.55     3.50    22.53     0.00     0.00     5.03    18.67    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.71    76.87     7.59    54.12     3.62     0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       6.88    81.36     8.02    53.84     3.62    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   42   -5       3.05    65.27     2.93    49.40     3.25    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   41   -3      -0.55    47.49    -0.09    50.04     3.34    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   40   +1      -3.15    35.27     1.62    49.13     3.46     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -13       2.18    61.51     1.33    47.11     3.45   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.83    36.47    -1.11    43.37     3.32   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.59    28.11     1.74    42.68     3.48    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.41    53.26     1.90    42.21     3.54   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.23R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.93    30.66    -2.89    40.20     3.62   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.34R    0.00  
Burnley          31   30  -24      -3.54    33.05    -8.21    36.77     3.13   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.41R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.33    58.74    -4.54    33.72     3.08   -39.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.22R    0.00  
Fulham           31   17  -41      -8.18    12.69    -6.27    23.23     3.13   -47.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   12.80  
Huddersfield     31   14  -39      -8.86     8.41    -6.05    18.18     2.66   -48.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.20  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Aston_Villa 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         38   78  +29      15.13    94.61    12.56    91.35     3.72    32.82    65.23    89.60   100.00    91.94P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   74  +30      10.53    87.14    12.98    87.70     3.74    34.06    23.37    64.66   100.00    73.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   73  +24      12.58    91.12    11.56    85.95     3.79    26.89    10.05    36.49    99.99    50.93P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       38   67  +24       0.11    50.02     1.34    81.75     3.71    29.95     1.35     9.22    99.55    38.86P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   58   +9      -0.10    49.67    -1.80    73.11     3.94    12.93     0.00     0.03    66.60    16.61P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   57  +14      -4.50    31.73    -0.25    70.75     3.78    18.20     0.00     0.00    46.52    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   57   +8       0.46    52.01     1.47    68.46     3.76     8.63     0.00     0.00    19.99     3.88P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   56   +2       0.77    53.45    -4.60    69.86     3.95     4.32     0.00     0.00    29.74     5.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.42    60.79     2.31    68.17     4.17     6.20     0.00     0.00    20.53     3.57P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   55   -3       2.85    62.41    -2.92    65.14     3.71    -4.30     0.00     0.00     4.51     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   54   +8       2.12    59.21     8.51    65.54     3.73     8.86     0.00     0.00     6.36     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            38   51   -2      -1.42    44.39    -1.67    61.63     3.71    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      38   50   +4       2.85    63.03    11.45    60.05     3.71     2.57     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   49  +10      -7.33    21.48     1.74    63.45     4.05    13.10     0.00     0.00     3.28     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   47   -1      -5.47    27.77    -5.65    62.57     4.31     1.78     0.00     0.00     2.13     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           38   47   -5      -6.50    24.49    -7.34    57.97     3.71    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   47   -8      -1.94    42.41    -2.57    57.17     3.70    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             38   44  -14      -0.28    49.52    -1.32    53.74     3.65   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Wigan           38   39  -16      -8.89    16.86    -9.68    48.54     3.72   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.53R    0.00  
Millwall        37   37  -14      -8.51    17.11    -6.20    47.13     3.85   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.01R    0.00  
Reading         38   37  -16      -6.10    25.17    -1.97    44.96     3.52   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.15R    0.04  
Rotherham       38   36  -21      -2.84    38.41     0.48    43.26     3.41   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.67R    0.16  
Bolton          38   29  -37      -2.90    37.15    -6.05    35.71     3.30   -43.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.64R   27.99  
Ipswich         38   24  -32     -15.04     3.59   -12.37    32.16     3.50   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   71.81  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 March 2019, Doncaster 4 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                39   83  +45      10.21    86.37    15.59    96.01     3.43    50.08    79.72    95.44   100.00    97.13P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             39   78  +37       4.70    68.85     7.66    91.22     3.41    42.16    12.79    62.06   100.00    76.91P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   74  +27      10.58    86.53    12.23    85.79     3.48    30.32     0.53     7.29   100.00    29.43P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.72    69.40     3.35    89.47     4.00    36.12     6.96    34.94   100.00    58.52P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             38   67  +18       6.65    76.23     5.93    80.57     3.78    21.87     0.01     0.27    99.64    22.67P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            39   60  +14       2.02    58.40     7.37    71.20     3.51    16.33     0.00     0.00    70.00    10.93P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   58   +6       0.22    51.14    -0.09    67.54     3.53     5.86     0.00     0.00    17.45     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            39   56   +2       1.94    58.53     0.68    65.11     3.44     1.32     0.00     0.00     5.74     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             39   56   +0       5.89    73.66     4.05    63.86     3.28    -2.46     0.00     0.00     2.93     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   53   +7      -4.79    31.36     0.57    61.36     3.48     5.21     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   52   +8      -2.93    37.89     3.77    63.07     3.71     8.18     0.00     0.00     3.24     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   47  -10      -1.21    45.36    -1.28    56.30     3.52   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.75R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           39   46   -9      -3.75    35.10    -3.40    55.10     3.45    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.59R    0.06  
Plymouth             39   46  -12      -2.12    41.52    -3.44    53.98     3.43   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.02R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers       39   45   -3      -5.62    27.50     0.99    54.13     3.43    -3.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.75R    0.22  
Wycombe              38   44  -11       0.89    54.72     3.37    53.64     3.77   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.84R    0.59  
Accrington_Stanley   37   44  -14       2.23    60.55    -0.57    54.35     3.89   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.57R    0.45  
Scunthorpe           39   44  -20      -5.81    27.52   -13.85    53.62     3.49   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.71R    0.84  
Shrewsbury           39   43  -10      -8.13    19.26    -6.95    52.31     3.43   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.16R    0.71  
Southend             39   42  -10      -7.63    21.08    -3.90    51.32     3.51   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.71R    1.70  
Walsall              39   42  -19      -2.31    40.71    -5.01    50.37     3.47   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.93R    3.91  
Rochdale             38   41  -29      -0.55    48.53   -11.21    49.31     3.61   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.16R    9.35  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   39  -23      -2.19    41.04    -5.67    46.84     3.35   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.93R   25.88  
Bradford             39   36  -24      -8.72    17.39   -10.19    44.31     3.42   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.87R   56.12  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, Carlisle 2 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     39   79  +33      11.71    89.33    12.59    91.26     3.41    37.07    83.51    99.93   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             38   71  +30       3.24    62.99     5.90    85.68     3.76    35.60    15.33    96.52   100.00    97.73P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   69  +24       0.24    50.69     1.12    80.37     3.53    26.60     1.06    65.19    99.79    76.66P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   66  +23       0.96    53.79     6.23    76.91     3.41    24.96     0.07    23.04    98.09    46.75P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   64  +14       8.37    81.05     8.83    74.45     3.79    13.22     0.03     7.82    86.10    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   61  +18       5.45    72.06    15.00    71.40     3.49    19.23     0.00     1.79    69.17    14.72P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           38   61  +14       0.86    53.53     2.17    74.01     3.75    16.95     0.00     5.63    85.97    28.11P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   58   +8      -0.43    48.70     0.84    68.02     3.54     8.64     0.00     0.04    25.27     5.49P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   57   +9      -2.00    41.96     0.81    66.55     3.46     8.84     0.00     0.03    13.79     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   54   +1      -1.09    45.44    -3.40    65.62     3.74     1.91     0.00     0.00     9.08     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        39   54   -4       2.27    59.96    -1.35    63.70     3.46    -3.73     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            39   53   -1       2.01    59.10     2.94    63.44     3.50     0.29     0.00     0.00     2.61     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   52   -1      -3.51    35.89    -4.03    62.42     3.44     0.13     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   37   52  -10       6.71    77.41    -1.55    63.33     4.00   -11.42     0.00     0.01     3.58     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   49   -8       2.66    62.25     1.88    57.33     3.41    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.61    15.21    -4.16    61.69     4.07     7.95     0.00     0.00     2.70     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   48   -8      -1.40    44.57    -1.27    56.03     3.44   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     39   43  -18      -1.34    44.91    -4.17    51.18     3.39   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.14  
Morecambe        39   42  -18      -0.82    47.31    -1.90    51.18     3.45   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    0.13  
Cambridge_Utd    38   42  -22      -2.21    41.07   -10.77    51.30     3.60   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.16  
Port_Vale        39   41  -12      -6.55    23.73    -4.43    48.89     3.25   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.68R    0.47  
Yeovil           39   36  -20      -6.78    22.54    -4.10    44.02     3.39   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.20R   10.98  
Macclesfield     38   34  -24      -2.33    40.64     0.72    41.95     3.48   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.89R   30.72  
Notts_County     39   33  -34     -10.49    12.18   -17.89    40.55     3.37   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.88R   57.41  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 March 2019, Barnet 2 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      38   76  +35       8.59    82.59    12.51    90.30     3.70    39.99    86.31    99.91    90.56P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     40   74  +26      12.96    91.24    16.63    83.08     3.25    27.33     6.20    93.79    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   72  +17      10.91    87.73     7.61    81.26     3.13    18.63     1.24    81.19    20.48P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       39   70  +26       8.03    79.41    13.27    81.32     3.56    28.56     2.57    81.53    22.24P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          38   67  +29       1.64    56.87     8.93    81.10     3.73    33.59     3.18    81.81    28.14P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     39   67  +23       6.39    73.65    12.16    77.80     3.53    24.90     0.48    44.67    10.41P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          38   64   +3      12.06    89.90     2.99    74.26     3.71     1.92     0.02    10.69     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   62  +18      -0.15    49.29     7.09    71.25     3.25    19.54     0.00     1.89     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   62  +11       3.36    63.85     3.05    72.31     3.52    12.08     0.00     4.41     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      40   60   -1       4.84    69.64    -1.80    68.57     3.17    -0.32     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   56   +0       3.16    63.45     2.18    64.20     3.20     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         40   52   -5      -0.64    47.81    -2.19    59.89     3.20    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            40   51   +0       0.86    54.22     4.87    57.97     3.02    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Bromley            39   51   -3      -3.06    37.66    -3.71    59.98     3.46    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield       40   49   -1     -11.18    12.71    -9.19    58.70     3.23     1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnet             38   49   -8      -5.83    26.96   -12.63    60.29     3.75    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          39   47   -5      -7.26    22.20    -6.52    56.32     3.46    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Maidenhead         40   47  -22       2.42    61.05    -6.48    53.42     3.08   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     40   46  -12      -8.16    20.06   -11.23    53.86     3.21   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       40   45  -11      -7.18    22.30    -8.09    52.30     3.17   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.10R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    40   38  -16      -5.69    27.96     2.37    44.18     3.13   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.26R    0.01  
Aldershot          40   35  -32      -9.67    14.11   -18.06    42.24     3.16   -33.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.34R    0.54  
Maidstone_United   39   29  -37      -6.68    21.96   -10.47    35.84     3.21   -41.25     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   29.09  
Braintree_Town     40   28  -35      -6.93    22.27    -3.30    32.83     2.83   -40.42     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   70.36