Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 24 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2019, Everton 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        31   76  +52       9.38    90.83    10.81    91.62     3.05    62.02    34.16    99.93   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   74  +58       3.53    69.74     3.82    92.91     3.04    72.65    65.84    99.95   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.31    61.19    -3.34    76.39     3.30    32.23     0.00     0.10    46.13    77.03   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.25    75.19     1.10    75.47     3.72    31.13     0.00     0.01    35.35    66.51    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.32    61.37    -4.80    73.42     3.52    25.09     0.00     0.00    13.30    37.74    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   57  +17       3.03    64.71    -2.81    71.52     3.52    22.45     0.00     0.00     5.22    18.72    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.66    76.31     7.48    54.13     3.60     0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       6.94    81.92     8.10    53.82     3.61    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   42   -5       2.88    64.66     2.71    49.42     3.25    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   41   -3      -0.54    47.54    -0.10    50.07     3.34    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   40   +1      -3.21    34.62     1.52    49.12     3.45     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -13       2.15    61.49     1.30    47.09     3.44   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.84    36.43    -1.14    43.37     3.32   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.45    28.87     1.93    42.69     3.49    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.45    53.33     1.96    42.27     3.57   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.24R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.94    30.43    -2.97    40.21     3.63   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.25R    0.00  
Burnley          31   30  -24      -3.65    32.26    -8.40    36.80     3.14   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.21R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.42    59.16    -4.34    33.70     3.06   -40.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.48R    0.00  
Fulham           31   17  -41      -8.36    11.99    -6.69    23.27     3.14   -47.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   12.51  
Huddersfield     31   14  -39      -8.91     8.36    -6.13    18.19     2.64   -48.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.49  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Aston_Villa 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         38   78  +29      15.19    94.61    12.61    91.33     3.74    32.81    65.41    89.22   100.00    91.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   74  +30      10.55    87.11    13.07    87.67     3.72    34.01    23.04    64.57   100.00    73.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   73  +24      12.60    91.26    11.57    85.97     3.77    26.93    10.15    36.87    99.99    51.10P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       38   67  +24       0.02    49.69     1.19    81.77     3.71    29.97     1.39     9.32    99.59    38.38P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   58   +9      -0.47    48.08    -2.30    73.15     3.95    13.00     0.00     0.02    66.75    17.06P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   57  +14      -4.67    30.89    -0.53    70.78     3.78    18.23     0.00     0.01    46.84    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   57   +8       0.44    52.15     1.41    68.48     3.76     8.66     0.00     0.00    20.32     3.78P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   56   +2       0.74    53.58    -4.62    69.84     3.93     4.29     0.00     0.00    29.66     5.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.45    60.80     2.35    68.08     4.17     6.11     0.00     0.00    19.88     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   55   -3       2.74    61.82    -3.18    65.15     3.71    -4.30     0.00     0.00     4.45     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   54   +8       2.22    59.95     8.65    65.54     3.73     8.86     0.00     0.00     6.60     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            38   51   -2      -1.48    44.27    -1.83    61.64     3.72    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      38   50   +4       2.90    62.99    11.57    60.04     3.71     2.56     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   49  +10      -7.10    22.21     2.09    63.38     4.05    13.04     0.00     0.00     3.07     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   47   -1      -5.37    28.13    -5.43    62.54     4.28     1.72     0.00     0.00     2.00     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           38   47   -5      -6.58    24.03    -7.47    58.04     3.70    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       38   47   -8      -1.72    43.47    -2.24    57.16     3.71    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             38   44  -14      -0.17    50.02    -1.14    53.76     3.65   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Wigan           38   39  -16      -8.81    17.04    -9.55    48.55     3.72   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.45R    0.00  
Millwall        37   37  -14      -8.40    17.61    -6.04    47.14     3.83   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.95R    0.00  
Reading         38   37  -16      -6.18    25.01    -2.10    44.97     3.54   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.10R    0.02  
Rotherham       38   36  -21      -2.85    38.58     0.51    43.22     3.41   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.80R    0.17  
Bolton          38   29  -37      -2.90    37.21    -6.14    35.69     3.29   -43.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.70R   28.43  
Ipswich         38   24  -32     -15.16     3.44   -12.47    32.20     3.52   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   71.38  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 4 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                39   83  +45      10.27    86.08    15.71    95.99     3.43    50.04    79.37    95.36   100.00    97.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             39   78  +37       4.71    68.68     7.60    91.21     3.43    42.12    12.94    62.09   100.00    76.89P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   74  +27      10.43    86.56    12.08    85.83     3.46    30.38     0.58     7.32   100.00    29.96P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.82    69.62     3.55    89.47     4.03    36.13     7.10    34.94   100.00    58.39P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             38   67  +18       6.60    76.11     5.92    80.58     3.78    21.88     0.01     0.28    99.83    22.56P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   58   +6       0.20    51.14    -0.18    67.53     3.55     5.83     0.00     0.00    24.27     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            38   57  +11       1.69    57.26     6.34    69.70     3.79    13.49     0.00     0.00    56.64     8.89P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            39   56   +2       1.94    58.51     0.69    65.11     3.41     1.32     0.00     0.00     8.23     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             39   56   +0       5.99    73.72     4.16    63.85     3.29    -2.45     0.00     0.00     4.25     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   53   +7      -4.72    31.46     0.64    61.34     3.48     5.15     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   52   +8      -2.93    37.90     3.76    63.05     3.75     8.16     0.00     0.00     5.06     0.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           39   47  -10      -1.19    45.80    -1.29    56.32     3.52   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.68R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           39   46   -9      -3.95    34.25    -3.68    55.16     3.43    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.30R    0.05  
Plymouth             39   46  -12      -2.07    41.97    -3.44    53.99     3.43   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.95R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       38   45   +0      -5.54    27.71     2.03    55.41     3.69    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.67R    0.14  
Wycombe              38   44  -11       0.96    54.92     3.44    53.61     3.76   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.22R    0.54  
Accrington_Stanley   37   44  -14       2.38    60.97    -0.38    54.30     3.90   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   13.16R    0.57  
Scunthorpe           39   44  -20      -5.81    27.34   -13.88    53.62     3.51   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.24R    0.85  
Shrewsbury           39   43  -10      -8.05    19.33    -6.88    52.30     3.46   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.11R    0.76  
Southend             39   42  -10      -7.61    20.98    -3.94    51.33     3.51   -10.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.79R    1.68  
Walsall              39   42  -19      -2.33    40.78    -5.02    50.44     3.47   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.60R    3.54  
Rochdale             38   41  -29      -0.42    49.01   -11.05    49.27     3.59   -33.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.98R    9.55  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   39  -23      -2.36    40.61    -5.95    46.80     3.32   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.38R   26.37  
Bradford             39   36  -24      -8.71    17.15   -10.24    44.31     3.42   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.93R   55.82  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, Carlisle 2 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     39   79  +33      11.41    89.08    12.15    91.28     3.42    37.14    83.91    99.95   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             38   71  +30       3.24    63.13     5.94    85.65     3.75    35.54    14.95    96.44   100.00    97.62P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   69  +24       0.09    50.12     0.98    80.38     3.54    26.59     1.05    64.98    99.75    76.80P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   66  +23       0.88    53.55     6.16    76.96     3.41    25.02     0.06    23.51    98.26    47.26P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   64  +14       8.11    80.44     8.41    74.44     3.80    13.18     0.02     7.69    85.75    23.12P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   61  +18       5.49    72.08    15.11    71.42     3.47    19.23     0.00     1.81    68.99    14.59P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           38   61  +14       1.28    55.50     2.77    73.97     3.76    16.90     0.01     5.52    85.60    27.42P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   58   +8      -0.76    47.10     0.31    68.11     3.54     8.76     0.00     0.06    26.11     5.65P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   57   +9      -2.06    41.68     0.70    66.53     3.47     8.83     0.00     0.02    13.93     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   54   +1      -1.21    45.09    -3.53    65.66     3.72     1.95     0.00     0.01     8.98     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        39   54   -4       2.48    60.89    -1.02    63.71     3.44    -3.73     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            39   53   -1       1.94    58.53     2.75    63.45     3.50     0.31     0.00     0.00     2.59     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   52   -1      -3.36    36.70    -3.80    62.41     3.43     0.12     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   37   52  -10       6.62    77.20    -1.67    63.39     4.02   -11.38     0.00     0.00     3.71     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   49   -8       2.79    62.97     2.02    57.29     3.37    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.56    15.27    -4.06    61.66     4.07     7.93     0.00     0.00     2.43     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   48   -8      -1.13    45.94    -0.85    55.99     3.42   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     39   43  -18      -1.31    44.98    -4.05    51.17     3.41   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    0.15  
Morecambe        39   42  -18      -0.77    47.50    -1.78    51.16     3.46   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.33R    0.13  
Cambridge_Utd    38   42  -22      -2.28    40.75   -10.93    51.30     3.59   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54R    0.17  
Port_Vale        39   41  -12      -6.59    23.56    -4.56    48.89     3.25   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.51R    0.44  
Yeovil           39   36  -20      -6.69    22.77    -4.02    43.99     3.37   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.19R   11.16  
Macclesfield     38   34  -24      -2.25    40.81     0.80    41.91     3.47   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.13R   30.72  
Notts_County     39   33  -34     -10.40    12.14   -17.83    40.54     3.37   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.88R   57.22  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, Barrow 2 2 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      37   73  +33       7.91    80.95    11.96    88.71     3.95    38.02    70.87    99.39    79.69P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     39   73  +26      13.27    91.89    16.60    83.58     3.53    27.54    11.65    93.65    29.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   72  +17      11.02    88.07     7.72    81.28     3.13    18.66     1.88    79.23    19.95P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       39   70  +26       8.05    79.24    13.21    81.36     3.57    28.61     4.02    80.91    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          37   67  +31       2.19    59.15     9.71    82.39     3.96    35.52    10.85    87.21    35.38P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     39   67  +23       6.26    73.55    12.04    77.84     3.52    24.94     0.69    43.19    10.06P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          38   64   +3      12.13    90.19     3.11    74.20     3.69     1.85     0.04     9.19     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   62  +11       3.50    64.65     3.27    72.27     3.51    12.00     0.00     3.99     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   61  +18       0.32    51.32     7.16    71.76     3.51    19.75     0.00     3.19     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      40   60   -1       5.03    70.21    -1.56    68.58     3.16    -0.31     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   56   +0       3.13    63.48     2.15    64.20     3.21     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         40   52   -5      -0.73    47.12    -2.33    59.88     3.22    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            39   51   -3      -3.19    37.23    -3.90    60.04     3.52    -3.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            39   50   +0       1.39    56.57     5.18    58.10     3.27    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield       40   49   -1     -10.99    12.72    -8.93    58.67     3.23     1.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          38   47   -3      -6.69    23.98    -5.66    58.03     3.75    -2.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Barnet             37   46  -10      -6.56    24.07   -13.37    58.94     3.98    -9.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       39   44  -11      -6.54    24.04    -7.77    52.51     3.41   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.64R    0.00  
Maidenhead         39   44  -23       1.24    56.50    -6.72    51.93     3.39   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.94R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     39   43  -14      -9.16    16.53   -12.30    51.83     3.44   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.75R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    39   38  -15      -4.92    31.00     2.37    45.47     3.46   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.72R    0.01  
Aldershot          39   35  -30      -9.38    14.73   -17.57    43.34     3.41   -31.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.38R    0.29  
Maidstone_United   39   29  -37      -6.94    21.18   -10.92    35.88     3.21   -41.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   28.83  
Braintree_Town     40   28  -35      -7.01    22.07    -3.44    32.83     2.83   -40.46     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   70.87