Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 23 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2019, Everton 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        31   76  +52       9.28    90.81    10.60    91.64     3.04    62.00    33.86    99.93   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   74  +58       3.50    69.58     3.64    92.94     3.05    72.74    66.14    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.14    60.33    -3.60    76.43     3.29    32.33     0.00     0.07    46.33    77.33   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.25    74.98     1.06    75.49     3.69    31.14     0.00     0.02    35.24    66.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.16    60.64    -5.13    73.46     3.50    25.14     0.00     0.00    13.27    37.80    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   57  +17       3.04    64.72    -2.74    71.50     3.51    22.42     0.00     0.00     5.16    18.38    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.71    76.83     7.60    54.10     3.60     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       6.93    81.62     8.20    53.82     3.61    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   42   -5       2.96    65.15     2.81    49.44     3.26    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   41   -3      -0.62    47.09    -0.23    50.09     3.35    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   40   +1      -3.12    35.05     1.62    49.15     3.45     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -13       2.24    62.10     1.46    47.08     3.44   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.94    35.79    -1.27    43.41     3.34   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.35    29.15     2.08    42.63     3.46    -7.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.45    53.45     1.95    42.22     3.55   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.89    30.65    -2.83    40.19     3.63   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.45R    0.00  
Burnley          31   30  -24      -3.57    32.63    -8.23    36.77     3.14   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.45R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.21    57.96    -4.64    33.74     3.05   -39.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.00R    0.00  
Fulham           31   17  -41      -8.11    12.47    -6.12    23.19     3.14   -47.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   12.92  
Huddersfield     31   14  -39      -9.00     8.10    -6.23    18.18     2.65   -48.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.08  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Aston_Villa 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         38   78  +29      15.21    94.75    12.61    91.35     3.72    32.85    65.70    89.32   100.00    91.69P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   74  +30      10.69    87.67    13.22    87.66     3.74    34.00    22.93    64.27   100.00    73.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   73  +24      12.63    91.22    11.59    85.97     3.78    26.92    10.06    37.31    99.99    51.73P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       38   67  +24       0.08    50.06     1.32    81.77     3.71    29.96     1.30     9.07    99.53    38.48P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   58   +9      -0.24    48.84    -1.96    73.10     3.92    12.93     0.00     0.03    66.41    16.77P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   57  +14      -4.67    31.01    -0.52    70.78     3.77    18.24     0.00     0.00    46.52    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   57   +8       0.39    51.90     1.33    68.52     3.75     8.72     0.00     0.00    20.41     3.74P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   56   +2       0.63    52.94    -4.79    69.86     3.93     4.32     0.00     0.00    29.84     5.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.54    61.38     2.46    68.11     4.19     6.15     0.00     0.00    20.32     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   55   -3       2.93    62.85    -2.82    65.10     3.70    -4.36     0.00     0.00     4.42     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   54   +8       2.08    59.16     8.43    65.56     3.72     8.90     0.00     0.00     6.47     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            38   51   -2      -1.24    45.19    -1.47    61.65     3.69    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      38   50   +4       2.74    62.24    11.27    60.03     3.74     2.56     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   49  +10      -7.17    22.05     2.00    63.43     4.06    13.08     0.00     0.00     3.26     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   47   -1      -5.22    28.64    -5.22    62.51     4.30     1.69     0.00     0.00     2.02     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           38   47   -5      -6.66    23.97    -7.49    58.02     3.71    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   47   -8      -2.11    41.45    -2.86    57.19     3.70    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             38   44  -14      -0.32    49.34    -1.35    53.75     3.65   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Wigan           38   39  -16      -8.69    17.27    -9.38    48.50     3.72   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.44R    0.00  
Millwall        37   37  -14      -8.65    16.39    -6.43    47.16     3.85   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.71R    0.00  
Reading         38   37  -16      -6.00    25.37    -1.81    44.93     3.52   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.96R    0.04  
Rotherham       38   36  -21      -2.72    38.94     0.68    43.18     3.41   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.19R    0.17  
Bolton          38   29  -37      -3.03    36.62    -6.27    35.72     3.29   -43.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.69R   28.19  
Ipswich         38   24  -32     -15.17     3.56   -12.53    32.18     3.52   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   71.60  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 4 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                39   83  +45      10.22    85.89    15.67    96.02     3.43    50.06    79.55    95.31   100.00    97.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             39   78  +37       4.70    68.77     7.62    91.19     3.42    42.11    12.55    61.78   100.00    77.00P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           39   74  +27      10.57    86.64    12.29    85.82     3.48    30.36     0.56     7.10   100.00    29.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.72    69.34     3.40    89.52     4.03    36.20     7.33    35.49   100.00    59.50P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             38   67  +18       6.59    76.00     5.91    80.60     3.76    21.89     0.01     0.32    99.80    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   58   +6       0.36    51.36     0.11    67.50     3.53     5.79     0.00     0.00    24.09     3.47P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            38   57  +11       1.88    58.26     6.56    69.64     3.76    13.39     0.00     0.00    56.68     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            39   56   +2       2.08    59.33     0.90    65.08     3.41     1.29     0.00     0.00     8.41     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             39   56   +0       5.95    73.88     4.10    63.86     3.29    -2.43     0.00     0.00     4.24     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   53   +7      -4.59    31.98     0.91    61.29     3.47     5.10     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   52   +8      -3.01    37.49     3.61    63.06     3.73     8.16     0.00     0.00     5.12     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   47  -10      -1.18    45.67    -1.23    56.32     3.53   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.74R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           39   46   -9      -3.89    34.41    -3.52    55.16     3.45    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.27R    0.05  
Plymouth             39   46  -12      -2.06    41.87    -3.39    54.03     3.44   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.83R    0.09  
Bristol_Rovers       38   45   +0      -5.46    27.76     2.13    55.38     3.68    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.58R    0.16  
Wycombe              38   44  -11       0.92    54.82     3.29    53.63     3.77   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.14R    0.54  
Accrington_Stanley   37   44  -14       2.22    60.56    -0.70    54.35     3.91   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   12.96R    0.54  
Scunthorpe           39   44  -20      -5.92    26.85   -14.04    53.62     3.52   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.16R    0.84  
Shrewsbury           39   43  -10      -8.03    19.49    -6.85    52.26     3.45   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.30R    0.77  
Southend             39   42  -10      -7.92    20.22    -4.43    51.37     3.53   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.82R    1.66  
Walsall              39   42  -19      -2.63    39.65    -5.49    50.48     3.49   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.52R    3.48  
Rochdale             38   41  -29      -0.46    48.86   -11.13    49.26     3.58   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.00R    9.38  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   39  -23      -2.20    40.99    -5.69    46.77     3.34   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.74R   26.52  
Bradford             39   36  -24      -8.56    17.84   -10.04    44.30     3.43   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.95R   55.95  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, Carlisle 2 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     39   79  +33      11.72    89.55    12.56    91.28     3.42    37.08    83.38    99.94   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             38   71  +30       3.06    62.13     5.61    85.68     3.75    35.60    15.47    96.60   100.00    97.79P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   69  +24       0.20    50.60     1.13    80.41     3.55    26.62     1.08    65.29    99.80    77.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        39   66  +23       0.92    53.86     6.18    76.95     3.42    25.02     0.04    23.44    98.19    47.67P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   64  +14       8.26    80.82     8.64    74.40     3.77    13.16     0.03     7.34    85.86    23.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   61  +18       5.64    72.72    15.33    71.41     3.49    19.23     0.00     1.82    69.28    14.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           38   61  +14       1.21    55.20     2.66    73.97     3.76    16.89     0.00     5.45    85.54    26.78P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   58   +8      -0.75    47.16     0.36    68.08     3.54     8.72     0.00     0.08    25.61     5.69P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   57   +9      -1.79    42.79     1.09    66.50     3.46     8.76     0.00     0.03    13.62     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   54   +1      -0.96    46.41    -3.24    65.66     3.76     1.92     0.00     0.00     9.25     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        39   54   -4       2.23    59.80    -1.38    63.70     3.46    -3.75     0.00     0.00     2.90     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            39   53   -1       1.99    58.76     2.92    63.45     3.49     0.28     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   52   -1      -3.41    36.59    -3.81    62.40     3.44     0.10     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   37   52  -10       6.63    77.20    -1.62    63.36     4.02   -11.39     0.00     0.00     3.71     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   49   -8       2.63    62.21     1.75    57.32     3.39    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.65    15.03    -4.25    61.73     4.06     8.01     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       39   48   -8      -1.34    44.90    -1.19    56.02     3.44   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     39   43  -18      -1.58    43.84    -4.50    51.20     3.40   -20.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.36R    0.14  
Morecambe        39   42  -18      -0.71    47.66    -1.76    51.15     3.45   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39R    0.12  
Cambridge_Utd    38   42  -22      -2.16    41.26   -10.76    51.29     3.59   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.20  
Port_Vale        39   41  -12      -6.69    23.26    -4.67    48.87     3.23   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.48R    0.43  
Yeovil           39   36  -20      -6.79    22.71    -4.15    44.01     3.37   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.80R   11.11  
Macclesfield     38   34  -24      -2.15    41.29     0.95    41.91     3.45   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.40R   30.83  
Notts_County     39   33  -34     -10.48    12.24   -17.86    40.54     3.37   -37.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.88R   57.16  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 March 2019, Barrow 2 2 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      37   73  +33       8.01    81.23    12.12    88.67     3.97    37.98    70.57    99.34    79.66P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     39   73  +26      13.42    92.28    16.83    83.55     3.53    27.47    11.61    93.20    28.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   72  +17      10.80    87.42     7.41    81.30     3.11    18.69     2.00    79.32    20.01P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       39   70  +26       8.06    79.49    13.21    81.36     3.56    28.61     3.92    80.73    22.38P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          37   67  +31       2.17    58.93     9.65    82.37     3.97    35.49    11.20    87.08    35.68P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     39   67  +23       6.44    73.92    12.25    77.82     3.52    24.92     0.64    43.14    10.05P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          38   64   +3      11.94    89.80     2.82    74.27     3.71     1.91     0.05     9.76     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   62  +11       3.37    64.22     3.07    72.30     3.52    12.05     0.00     4.10     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   61  +18       0.24    51.09     7.10    71.78     3.52    19.76     0.00     3.25     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      40   60   -1       5.02    70.15    -1.57    68.56     3.16    -0.36     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   56   +0       3.33    63.97     2.43    64.19     3.20     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         40   52   -5      -0.85    46.89    -2.45    59.93     3.22    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            39   51   -3      -3.00    38.13    -3.69    60.00     3.48    -3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            39   50   +0       1.25    56.19     5.02    58.13     3.29    -1.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield       40   49   -1     -10.81    13.61    -8.60    58.61     3.23     1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          38   47   -3      -6.69    23.86    -5.67    58.02     3.75    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Barnet             37   46  -10      -6.56    24.05   -13.39    58.96     4.01    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       39   44  -11      -6.90    23.11    -8.21    52.56     3.43   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.68R    0.00  
Maidenhead         39   44  -23       1.38    57.18    -6.52    51.91     3.38   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.04R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     39   43  -14      -9.24    16.20   -12.42    51.93     3.46   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.53R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    39   38  -15      -4.89    31.07     2.40    45.47     3.44   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.67R    0.01  
Aldershot          39   35  -30      -9.32    15.13   -17.53    43.27     3.41   -31.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.54R    0.30  
Maidstone_United   39   29  -37      -6.79    21.73   -10.66    35.86     3.20   -41.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   28.97  
Braintree_Town     40   28  -35      -7.16    21.52    -3.59    32.85     2.83   -40.44     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   70.72