Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 20 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2019, Everton 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        31   76  +52       9.29    90.51    10.62    91.63     3.05    62.03    34.71    99.91    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   74  +58       3.51    69.43     3.70    92.90     3.03    72.66    65.29    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.00    59.15    -3.87    76.43     3.29    32.33     0.00     0.08    45.97    77.23   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.07    74.29     0.74    75.54     3.70    31.20     0.00     0.03    35.36    66.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.35    61.65    -4.83    73.44     3.51    25.10     0.00     0.00    13.44    37.02    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   57  +17       2.88    64.03    -3.04    71.58     3.49    22.56     0.00     0.00     5.23    18.86    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.55    76.19     7.34    54.17     3.61     0.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       7.04    81.97     8.32    53.75     3.62    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   42   -5       2.80    63.93     2.55    49.45     3.25    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   41   -3      -0.58    47.34    -0.17    50.08     3.37    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   40   +1      -3.19    34.45     1.56    49.14     3.43     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -13       2.19    61.65     1.46    47.11     3.43   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.80    36.29    -0.99    43.31     3.31   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.47    28.51     1.89    42.70     3.47    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.42    53.16     1.91    42.24     3.54   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.70    31.80    -2.55    40.13     3.61   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.34R    0.00  
Burnley          31   30  -24      -3.48    33.42    -8.11    36.75     3.13   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.42R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.52    59.84    -4.13    33.69     3.05   -40.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.23R    0.00  
Fulham           31   17  -41      -8.22    12.39    -6.26    23.23     3.13   -47.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   12.70  
Huddersfield     31   14  -39      -8.92     8.28    -6.14    18.20     2.64   -48.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.30  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Aston_Villa 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         38   78  +29      15.14    94.67    12.53    91.33     3.73    32.82    65.56    89.38   100.00    91.81P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   74  +30      10.56    87.23    13.09    87.68     3.72    34.02    22.97    64.56   100.00    73.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   73  +24      12.57    91.15    11.52    85.96     3.77    26.88    10.11    36.51    99.99    51.25P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       38   67  +24      -0.11    49.09     1.00    81.82     3.70    30.02     1.36     9.52    99.60    38.96P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   58   +9      -0.18    49.10    -1.93    73.12     3.95    12.93     0.00     0.04    66.28    16.52P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   57  +14      -4.64    31.32    -0.46    70.78     3.81    18.22     0.00     0.00    46.95    11.18P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   57   +8       0.37    51.86     1.32    68.53     3.75     8.70     0.00     0.00    20.38     3.83P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   56   +2       0.69    53.31    -4.71    69.87     3.95     4.33     0.00     0.00    30.02     6.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.51    60.98     2.47    68.11     4.16     6.14     0.00     0.00    19.99     3.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   55   -3       2.87    62.39    -2.89    65.10     3.69    -4.35     0.00     0.00     4.39     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   54   +8       2.11    59.41     8.47    65.57     3.71     8.90     0.00     0.00     6.61     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            38   51   -2      -1.31    44.56    -1.56    61.61     3.69    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      38   50   +4       2.81    62.69    11.35    60.04     3.72     2.59     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   49  +10      -7.07    22.44     2.10    63.38     4.06    13.05     0.00     0.00     3.05     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   47   -1      -5.27    28.37    -5.30    62.50     4.29     1.70     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           38   47   -5      -6.44    24.70    -7.23    57.98     3.69    -4.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   47   -8      -2.01    42.06    -2.69    57.20     3.70    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             38   44  -14      -0.32    49.26    -1.38    53.75     3.65   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Wigan           38   39  -16      -8.60    17.61    -9.28    48.52     3.73   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.61R    0.00  
Millwall        37   37  -14      -8.51    17.27    -6.20    47.15     3.87   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.86R    0.01  
Reading         38   37  -16      -6.23    24.59    -2.10    44.94     3.52   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.81R    0.03  
Rotherham       38   36  -21      -2.82    38.83     0.53    43.22     3.42   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.04R    0.17  
Bolton          38   29  -37      -3.02    36.74    -6.27    35.73     3.27   -43.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.64R   27.99  
Ipswich         38   24  -32     -15.07     3.49   -12.39    32.19     3.51   -36.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   71.80  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Bristol_Rovers 0 0 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                38   80  +41      10.39    86.62    14.56    94.62     3.69    46.38    71.23    91.79   100.00    94.52P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             38   75  +36       3.47    64.27     7.14    90.22     3.66    42.06    16.32    58.80   100.00    75.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.82    69.57     3.64    89.42     4.03    36.07    11.85    43.17   100.00    64.07P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           38   71  +25       9.82    85.00    11.60    84.17     3.73    28.33     0.57     5.57    99.99    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             38   67  +18       6.71    76.15     6.07    80.60     3.75    21.91     0.03     0.66    99.79    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            37   57  +15       1.51    56.55     7.92    70.75     3.99    16.97     0.00     0.00    68.28    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             38   56   +1       6.92    77.26     4.58    65.37     3.59    -1.26     0.00     0.00     9.44     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         38   55   +4      -0.50    47.81    -0.73    66.24     3.80     4.34     0.00     0.00    13.91     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            38   53   -1       1.75    58.01    -0.36    63.27     3.68    -1.93     0.00     0.00     3.55     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   52   +8      -2.95    37.86     3.71    63.05     3.73     8.16     0.00     0.00     4.17     0.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   50   +4      -4.82    30.97    -0.22    59.96     3.72     2.54     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.11P    0.08R    0.00  
Plymouth             38   45  -12      -1.61    43.75    -3.36    54.37     3.68   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.41R    0.33  
Bristol_Rovers       37   44   +0      -5.26    28.42     1.77    55.74     3.92    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    5.76R    0.24  
Wycombe              38   44  -11       0.82    54.44     3.24    53.63     3.77   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.15R    1.01  
Accrington_Stanley   36   44  -11       2.15    60.21    -0.09    55.63     4.11   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    8.98R    0.41  
Gillingham           38   44  -12      -1.94    42.32    -2.13    54.58     3.77   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.11R    0.59  
Scunthorpe           38   44  -18      -4.94    30.19   -12.75    55.21     3.77   -17.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   10.07R    0.57  
Shrewsbury           38   43   -8      -7.52    20.88    -6.04    53.65     3.72    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.93R    0.67  
Oxford_Utd           38   43  -10      -5.25    28.80    -4.09    53.28     3.71   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.85R    0.98  
Southend             38   42   -8      -7.13    22.30    -3.34    52.55     3.77    -8.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.45R    1.73  
Walsall              38   42  -18      -1.63    43.83    -4.98    51.16     3.68   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.36R    4.18  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   39  -21      -1.64    43.77    -5.16    48.21     3.60   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.96R   18.57  
Rochdale             37   38  -31      -1.43    44.41   -12.12    47.37     3.84   -35.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.25R   29.10  
Bradford             38   36  -21      -8.29    18.01    -8.85    45.72     3.69   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.65R   41.61  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 March 2019, Mansfield 1 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     38   76  +30      11.23    88.58    11.31    89.85     3.70    34.34    68.50    99.50   100.00    99.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             37   70  +30       3.69    65.10     5.83    86.50     4.02    36.27    29.36    96.65   100.00    97.72P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   66  +24       2.02    58.27     6.81    78.95     3.68    26.92     0.77    44.48    99.41    62.57P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   66  +22      -0.58    47.24     0.31    79.54     3.75    25.80     1.34    51.39    99.43    68.11P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   61  +12       7.39    78.38     7.82    72.29     4.01    10.42     0.03     3.27    70.35    15.84P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     38   58  +16       4.93    70.38    14.75    69.62     3.74    16.98     0.00     0.72    51.35    10.22P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           37   58  +13      -0.12    49.56     2.08    72.55     4.00    16.21     0.01     3.43    76.76    23.28P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   57  +11      -1.10    45.45     2.12    68.37     3.72    11.50     0.00     0.22    35.47     8.31P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   57   +8       0.16    50.78     1.14    69.03     3.79     9.56     0.00     0.31    40.44     9.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        38   53   -4       2.90    62.92    -0.96    64.23     3.73    -3.51     0.00     0.00     6.17     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   52   +1      -2.96    38.15    -3.27    63.86     3.72     2.24     0.00     0.00     4.76     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   37   52  -10       6.68    77.44    -1.55    63.45     4.03   -11.28     0.00     0.01     4.89     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   51   -3      -0.83    46.73    -4.69    64.20     3.95    -1.85     0.00     0.00     6.35     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            38   50   -2       0.50    52.77     2.21    61.21     3.72    -1.60     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.53    15.52    -4.07    61.75     4.08     8.04     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          38   48   -8       2.99    63.60     1.94    57.18     3.62   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       38   45  -10      -2.33    40.50    -2.23    54.33     3.70   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     38   43  -15      -1.34    44.72    -3.15    52.39     3.66   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.18  
Morecambe        38   42  -14      -1.34    44.95    -0.86    52.36     3.69   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.14  
Port_Vale        38   41  -10      -6.12    25.08    -3.75    50.38     3.52   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.73R    0.37  
Cambridge_Utd    37   41  -22      -1.90    42.17   -10.98    51.03     3.79   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.66R    0.52  
Yeovil           38   36  -18      -6.76    22.81    -4.20    44.71     3.59   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.48R   11.99  
Macclesfield     37   33  -24      -1.84    42.47     0.83    42.03     3.72   -29.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.91R   38.74  
Notts_County     38   33  -33      -9.56    14.21   -17.44    41.73     3.64   -36.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.47R   48.06  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2019, Barnet 1 0 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      37   73  +33       8.10    81.33    12.24    88.64     3.97    37.91    61.55    99.05    72.90P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     38   73  +28      13.97    93.20    17.68    85.27     3.79    30.00    19.67    95.91    36.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   72  +18      11.93    90.25     8.14    82.86     3.39    19.93     4.35    86.06    23.68P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       38   69  +26       8.58    81.33    13.46    81.98     3.82    28.97     4.80    80.28    22.22P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          37   67  +31       1.99    58.41     9.44    82.48     3.94    35.63     8.78    85.12    32.76P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     38   66  +23       6.76    75.31    12.19    78.22     3.79    24.96     0.82    41.26     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          38   64   +3      12.05    90.17     3.00    74.23     3.71     1.86     0.02     7.68     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   62  +11       3.43    64.53     3.16    72.32     3.51    12.06     0.00     2.99     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      39   60   +2       5.12    70.97    -0.35    69.82     3.44     2.51     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   58  +16      -0.51    47.88     6.34    70.55     3.77    18.35     0.00     1.25     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             39   55   +0       3.67    65.62     2.39    64.43     3.47    -0.14     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         39   49   -6      -2.00    42.04    -2.62    58.05     3.48    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bromley            38   48   -5      -3.54    35.79    -4.03    58.66     3.75    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Halifax            38   47   -2       0.28    51.80     3.96    56.15     3.53    -4.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          38   47   -3      -6.76    23.61    -5.75    58.04     3.76    -2.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Chesterfield       39   46   -4     -11.09    12.38    -9.64    57.01     3.50    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Barnet             36   45  -10      -6.41    23.81   -13.60    59.01     4.20    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       38   44   -9      -6.08    25.43    -6.94    54.37     3.70    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.28R    0.00  
Maidenhead         39   44  -23       1.25    56.38    -6.79    52.01     3.41   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.76R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     39   43  -14      -9.21    16.66   -12.30    51.88     3.46   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.70R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    39   38  -15      -4.83    31.30     2.55    45.45     3.45   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.77R    0.03  
Aldershot          38   32  -32     -10.52    11.54   -18.82    41.26     3.62   -34.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.15R    3.59  
Maidstone_United   38   29  -35      -6.45    22.93   -10.19    36.87     3.47   -39.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   29.63  
Braintree_Town     39   28  -33      -6.70    22.80    -3.51    33.90     3.12   -38.84     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.75