Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 19 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2019, Everton 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        31   76  +52       9.37    90.88    10.77    91.63     3.04    62.01    33.80    99.94   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   74  +58       3.47    69.29     3.63    92.96     3.03    72.77    66.20    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.20    60.36    -3.53    76.39     3.31    32.27     0.00     0.07    46.10    76.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.28    75.45     1.13    75.47     3.70    31.11     0.00     0.01    35.19    66.40    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.34    61.72    -4.78    73.44     3.52    25.06     0.00     0.00    13.52    37.84    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   57  +17       2.91    64.31    -2.97    71.54     3.50    22.50     0.00     0.00     5.19    18.78    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.60    76.33     7.45    54.13     3.62     0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       7.00    82.05     8.24    53.81     3.60    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   42   -5       2.77    64.00     2.50    49.46     3.25    -8.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   41   -3      -0.43    48.19     0.06    50.05     3.34    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   40   +1      -3.18    34.81     1.52    49.14     3.42     0.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -13       2.20    61.57     1.43    47.09     3.42   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.86    35.92    -1.15    43.34     3.32   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.54    28.08     1.73    42.68     3.49    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.42    53.04     1.88    42.26     3.55   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.90    30.72    -2.88    40.15     3.64   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.51R    0.00  
Burnley          31   30  -24      -3.62    32.59    -8.29    36.78     3.13   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.46R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.35    58.79    -4.46    33.73     3.06   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.97R    0.00  
Fulham           31   17  -41      -8.09    12.28    -6.09    23.20     3.12   -47.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   13.01  
Huddersfield     31   14  -39      -8.93     8.35    -6.19    18.20     2.65   -48.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.99  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Aston_Villa 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         38   78  +29      15.07    94.61    12.49    91.35     3.74    32.85    65.87    89.32   100.00    91.80P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   74  +30      10.44    87.06    12.89    87.69     3.73    34.05    22.92    64.85   100.00    74.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   73  +24      12.78    91.67    11.84    85.95     3.77    26.88     9.95    36.55    99.98    50.96P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       38   67  +24       0.32    50.86     1.64    81.73     3.73    29.87     1.26     9.26    99.52    38.05P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   58   +9      -0.31    49.06    -2.08    73.13     3.95    12.97     0.00     0.03    66.44    16.75P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   57  +14      -4.72    30.85    -0.60    70.84     3.78    18.34     0.00     0.00    47.24    11.65P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   57   +8       0.36    51.71     1.27    68.52     3.76     8.69     0.00     0.00    20.33     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   56   +2       0.66    52.95    -4.77    69.90     3.92     4.36     0.00     0.00    29.88     6.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.38    60.55     2.21    68.11     4.18     6.14     0.00     0.00    19.89     3.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   55   -3       2.96    62.72    -2.80    65.09     3.71    -4.39     0.00     0.00     4.29     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   54   +8       2.18    59.52     8.55    65.54     3.71     8.84     0.00     0.00     6.50     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            38   51   -2      -1.41    44.47    -1.66    61.64     3.69    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      38   50   +4       2.87    62.71    11.54    60.03     3.71     2.58     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   49  +10      -7.09    22.05     2.09    63.36     4.07    12.99     0.00     0.00     3.07     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   47   -1      -5.24    28.92    -5.23    62.52     4.31     1.70     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           38   47   -5      -6.32    25.19    -7.04    57.94     3.71    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   47   -8      -1.87    42.59    -2.49    57.16     3.68    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             38   44  -14      -0.35    49.25    -1.43    53.77     3.64   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Wigan           38   39  -16      -8.87    16.66    -9.55    48.51     3.70   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.48R    0.00  
Millwall        37   37  -14      -8.62    16.59    -6.40    47.16     3.84   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.96R    0.01  
Reading         38   37  -16      -6.12    25.20    -1.99    44.97     3.54   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.17R    0.03  
Rotherham       38   36  -21      -2.92    38.35     0.36    43.26     3.42   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.61R    0.16  
Bolton          38   29  -37      -2.97    37.04    -6.25    35.70     3.28   -43.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.76R   28.24  
Ipswich         38   24  -32     -15.19     3.48   -12.60    32.22     3.52   -36.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   71.57  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Bristol_Rovers 0 0 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                38   80  +41      10.41    86.85    14.58    94.62     3.69    46.39    71.06    91.90   100.00    94.62P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             38   75  +36       3.72    65.15     7.50    90.17     3.67    42.00    16.30    57.88   100.00    74.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.81    69.76     3.60    89.45     4.04    36.12    11.93    43.51   100.00    64.02P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           38   71  +25       9.63    84.75    11.31    84.23     3.74    28.38     0.69     6.07    99.98    27.65P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             38   67  +18       6.66    76.44     6.02    80.62     3.77    21.92     0.03     0.65    99.78    23.27P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            37   57  +15       1.36    55.94     7.69    70.77     3.98    17.00     0.00     0.00    68.41    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             38   56   +1       6.89    77.15     4.53    65.39     3.59    -1.24     0.00     0.00     9.33     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         38   55   +4      -0.56    47.66    -0.77    66.24     3.81     4.35     0.00     0.00    14.00     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            38   53   -1       1.80    58.26    -0.34    63.27     3.67    -1.91     0.00     0.00     3.56     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   52   +8      -2.95    37.79     3.74    63.05     3.75     8.13     0.00     0.00     4.10     0.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   50   +4      -4.87    30.79    -0.20    59.94     3.71     2.53     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.10P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth             38   45  -12      -1.74    43.06    -3.59    54.42     3.70   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.35R    0.30  
Bristol_Rovers       37   44   +0      -5.09    29.02     2.09    55.69     3.93    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    5.82R    0.26  
Wycombe              38   44  -11       0.97    54.95     3.47    53.60     3.75   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.21R    0.95  
Accrington_Stanley   36   44  -11       2.38    61.05     0.22    55.50     4.12   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P    9.53R    0.48  
Gillingham           38   44  -12      -1.92    42.33    -2.04    54.55     3.77   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.37R    0.69  
Scunthorpe           38   44  -18      -5.14    29.59   -13.07    55.23     3.79   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.05R    0.62  
Shrewsbury           38   43   -8      -7.41    21.35    -5.92    53.60     3.71    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.95R    0.66  
Oxford_Utd           38   43  -10      -5.17    29.49    -3.98    53.24     3.70   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.32R    0.97  
Southend             38   42   -8      -7.27    21.90    -3.55    52.56     3.78    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.84R    1.70  
Walsall              38   42  -18      -1.74    42.84    -5.17    51.23     3.68   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.65R    3.99  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   39  -21      -1.73    43.22    -5.31    48.29     3.61   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.01R   18.34  
Rochdale             37   38  -31      -1.47    44.30   -12.13    47.42     3.85   -35.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.93R   28.54  
Bradford             38   36  -21      -8.17    18.67    -8.70    45.67     3.69   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.90R   42.49  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 March 2019, Mansfield 1 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     38   76  +30      11.26    88.75    11.32    89.85     3.70    34.36    69.27    99.52   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             37   70  +30       3.94    66.00     6.24    86.42     3.99    36.14    28.69    96.62   100.00    97.70P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        38   66  +24       2.07    58.72     6.84    78.91     3.67    26.87     0.72    43.67    99.45    61.96P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   66  +22      -0.61    46.90     0.33    79.58     3.76    25.83     1.29    52.16    99.40    68.84P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   61  +12       7.40    78.66     7.83    72.26     4.00    10.38     0.02     3.08    70.39    15.48P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     38   58  +16       4.68    69.58    14.39    69.59     3.75    16.99     0.00     0.80    51.18    10.20P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           37   58  +13      -0.18    49.04     1.97    72.57     4.04    16.23     0.00     3.60    76.63    23.45P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   57  +11      -1.07    45.75     2.13    68.38     3.74    11.51     0.00     0.26    35.49     8.38P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   57   +8       0.13    50.94     1.08    69.04     3.79     9.57     0.00     0.26    41.11     9.39P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        38   53   -4       2.78    62.42    -1.19    64.20     3.74    -3.55     0.00     0.00     5.97     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   52   +1      -2.91    38.15    -3.16    63.85     3.70     2.20     0.00     0.00     4.84     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   37   52  -10       6.68    77.56    -1.56    63.44     4.02   -11.28     0.00     0.01     4.84     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   51   -3      -0.65    47.60    -4.40    64.14     3.97    -1.91     0.00     0.01     6.23     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            38   50   -2       0.56    52.99     2.32    61.16     3.70    -1.64     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.46    15.38    -3.94    61.72     4.04     8.01     0.00     0.00     3.29     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   48   -8       2.84    62.96     1.65    57.27     3.65   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       38   45  -10      -2.31    40.76    -2.18    54.36     3.69   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     38   43  -15      -1.35    44.70    -3.20    52.38     3.64   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.13  
Morecambe        38   42  -14      -1.07    45.95    -0.51    52.30     3.69   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.15  
Port_Vale        38   41  -10      -6.05    25.33    -3.58    50.43     3.53   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.40  
Cambridge_Utd    37   41  -22      -2.26    40.92   -11.56    51.13     3.78   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.57  
Yeovil           38   36  -18      -6.69    22.99    -4.06    44.74     3.58   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.21R   11.74  
Macclesfield     37   33  -24      -1.94    42.43     0.61    42.07     3.72   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.98R   38.39  
Notts_County     38   33  -33      -9.49    14.42   -17.38    41.71     3.63   -36.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.75R   48.60  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 March 2019, Barnet 1 0 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      37   73  +33       7.90    80.58    12.03    88.69     3.96    37.98    62.24    99.13    73.52P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     38   73  +28      14.04    93.37    17.80    85.18     3.77    29.89    18.78    95.72    35.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   72  +18      11.80    89.79     8.00    82.87     3.41    19.94     4.44    86.11    23.90P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       38   69  +26       8.55    81.16    13.38    82.01     3.83    29.00     4.99    80.51    22.79P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          37   67  +31       2.17    59.33     9.68    82.44     3.97    35.56     8.74    85.02    32.73P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     38   66  +23       6.67    75.12    12.12    78.20     3.81    24.92     0.78    41.31     9.55P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          38   64   +3      12.00    89.98     2.90    74.22     3.68     1.87     0.04     7.51     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   62  +11       3.24    63.65     2.87    72.36     3.51    12.12     0.00     3.10     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      39   60   +2       5.17    71.19    -0.25    69.84     3.45     2.54     0.00     0.36     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   58  +16      -0.40    48.51     6.50    70.47     3.74    18.27     0.00     1.23     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             39   55   +0       3.64    65.58     2.29    64.49     3.51    -0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         39   49   -6      -2.01    41.97    -2.70    58.03     3.49    -6.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Bromley            38   48   -5      -3.54    35.63    -4.01    58.69     3.76    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Halifax            38   47   -2       0.12    51.37     3.71    56.19     3.51    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          38   47   -3      -6.74    23.65    -5.73    58.04     3.74    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Chesterfield       39   46   -4     -11.03    12.71    -9.59    57.03     3.50    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Barnet             36   45  -10      -6.24    24.83   -13.39    59.01     4.23    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       38   44   -9      -5.91    26.21    -6.75    54.35     3.70    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.32R    0.00  
Maidenhead         39   44  -23       1.27    56.42    -6.77    51.99     3.39   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.09R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     39   43  -14      -9.14    16.62   -12.23    51.88     3.45   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.52R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    39   38  -15      -4.92    31.11     2.43    45.45     3.44   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.58R    0.03  
Aldershot          38   32  -32     -10.37    11.95   -18.58    41.21     3.64   -34.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.13R    3.74  
Maidstone_United   38   29  -35      -6.52    22.50   -10.28    36.88     3.48   -39.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   29.25  
Braintree_Town     39   28  -33      -6.70    22.71    -3.44    33.89     3.12   -38.85     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.98