Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 17 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 March 2019, Everton 2 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        31   76  +52       9.34    90.78    10.79    91.61     3.07    61.93    34.23    99.92   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   74  +58       3.46    69.00     3.54    92.91     3.06    72.74    65.77    99.96   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.15    60.37    -3.55    76.43     3.29    32.33     0.00     0.09    46.56    77.24   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.30    75.14     1.19    75.48     3.70    31.13     0.00     0.03    35.10    66.32    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.21    60.82    -5.02    73.45     3.51    25.11     0.00     0.00    13.19    37.70    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          30   57  +17       2.95    64.54    -2.92    71.54     3.51    22.53     0.00     0.00     5.16    18.74    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.60    76.61     7.42    54.15     3.60     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       6.94    81.88     8.10    53.81     3.60    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   42   -5       2.97    65.01     2.86    49.42     3.23    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   41   -3      -0.52    47.94    -0.06    50.03     3.34    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   40   +1      -3.24    34.47     1.46    49.14     3.44     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      31   38  -13       2.17    61.40     1.39    47.11     3.45   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        31   35   -9      -2.93    35.83    -1.24    43.39     3.34   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.35    29.09     2.08    42.64     3.47    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.54    53.78     2.03    42.19     3.54   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -4.03    30.20    -3.12    40.23     3.64   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.34R    0.00  
Burnley          31   30  -24      -3.49    33.15    -8.08    36.78     3.15   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.53R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.37    58.84    -4.38    33.74     3.07   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.01R    0.00  
Fulham           31   17  -41      -8.22    11.91    -6.47    23.20     3.14   -47.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   12.76  
Huddersfield     31   14  -39      -8.87     8.36    -6.04    18.19     2.64   -48.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.24  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Aston_Villa 3 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         38   78  +29      15.18    94.76    12.58    91.35     3.74    32.82    65.59    89.27   100.00    91.81P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   74  +30      10.52    87.37    12.97    87.72     3.72    34.09    23.31    65.13   100.00    74.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    38   73  +24      12.65    91.37    11.65    85.95     3.76    26.87     9.74    36.54    99.98    51.24P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       38   67  +24       0.27    50.56     1.58    81.72     3.69    29.89     1.36     9.01    99.55    38.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   37   58   +9      -0.22    48.80    -1.98    73.12     3.94    12.94     0.00     0.03    66.27    16.51P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   57  +14      -4.71    30.81    -0.62    70.79     3.77    18.27     0.00     0.00    46.73    11.65P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         38   57   +8       0.47    52.05     1.45    68.53     3.76     8.72     0.00     0.00    20.46     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   56   +2       0.75    53.39    -4.60    69.88     3.95     4.34     0.00     0.00    30.08     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.39    60.57     2.32    68.12     4.15     6.14     0.00     0.00    20.02     3.54P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   55   -3       3.01    62.93    -2.70    65.11     3.70    -4.36     0.00     0.00     4.40     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   54   +8       2.10    59.31     8.48    65.55     3.72     8.86     0.00     0.00     6.40     1.06P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            38   51   -2      -1.22    45.17    -1.43    61.62     3.71    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      38   50   +4       2.93    63.25    11.58    60.03     3.71     2.58     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   49  +10      -7.39    21.47     1.65    63.48     4.05    13.18     0.00     0.00     3.21     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   47   -1      -5.41    27.94    -5.49    62.50     4.29     1.69     0.00     0.00     2.07     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           38   47   -5      -6.52    24.55    -7.35    58.00     3.69    -4.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       38   47   -8      -2.29    40.90    -3.07    57.24     3.71    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
QPR             38   44  -14      -0.36    49.23    -1.47    53.78     3.64   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Wigan           38   39  -16      -8.74    17.51    -9.46    48.51     3.72   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.41R    0.00  
Millwall        37   37  -14      -8.51    17.41    -6.27    47.14     3.84   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.70R    0.00  
Reading         38   37  -16      -6.06    25.39    -1.87    44.92     3.53   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.47R    0.04  
Rotherham       38   36  -21      -2.82    38.67     0.56    43.22     3.39   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.74R    0.18  
Bolton          38   29  -37      -2.88    37.26    -6.03    35.68     3.27   -43.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.65R   28.24  
Ipswich         38   24  -32     -15.08     3.48   -12.46    32.15     3.49   -36.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   71.54  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Bristol_Rovers 0 0 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                38   80  +41      10.60    87.28    14.84    94.61     3.72    46.36    71.19    91.66   100.00    94.45P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             38   75  +36       3.81    65.50     7.66    90.15     3.69    41.97    16.33    57.88   100.00    74.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           37   73  +30       4.86    69.69     3.63    89.42     4.03    36.06    11.71    43.66   100.00    64.03P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           38   71  +25       9.62    84.57    11.29    84.23     3.76    28.39     0.73     6.14    99.99    27.97P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             38   67  +18       6.81    76.80     6.24    80.58     3.78    21.88     0.04     0.66    99.78    23.03P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            37   57  +15       1.25    55.40     7.59    70.79     3.99    17.04     0.00     0.00    68.94    11.64P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             38   56   +1       7.02    77.33     4.74    65.34     3.59    -1.28     0.00     0.00     9.18     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         38   55   +4      -0.36    48.88    -0.51    66.18     3.82     4.26     0.00     0.00    13.69     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            38   53   -1       1.66    57.73    -0.49    63.30     3.66    -1.91     0.00     0.00     3.32     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       38   52   +8      -2.98    37.79     3.69    63.05     3.76     8.15     0.00     0.00     4.15     0.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   50   +4      -4.93    30.49    -0.34    59.99     3.74     2.57     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.14P    0.10R    0.00  
Plymouth             38   45  -12      -1.60    43.74    -3.32    54.40     3.71   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.52R    0.32  
Bristol_Rovers       37   44   +0      -5.25    28.49     1.81    55.71     3.93    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    5.69R    0.28  
Wycombe              38   44  -11       0.73    53.91     3.01    53.71     3.77   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.70R    0.93  
Accrington_Stanley   36   44  -11       2.31    60.73     0.14    55.57     4.14   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P    9.31R    0.45  
Gillingham           38   44  -12      -1.97    42.26    -2.15    54.60     3.76   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.07R    0.65  
Scunthorpe           38   44  -18      -5.16    29.40   -13.13    55.23     3.80   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.02R    0.59  
Shrewsbury           38   43   -8      -7.58    20.82    -6.17    53.62     3.71    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.07R    0.67  
Oxford_Utd           38   43  -10      -4.98    29.96    -3.71    53.20     3.69   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.35R    0.91  
Southend             38   42   -8      -7.27    22.07    -3.54    52.57     3.78    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.45R    1.64  
Walsall              38   42  -18      -1.73    43.28    -5.10    51.19     3.69   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.17R    4.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   39  -21      -1.59    43.80    -5.08    48.23     3.60   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.78R   18.58  
Rochdale             37   38  -31      -1.49    44.23   -12.14    47.36     3.86   -35.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.26R   29.42  
Bradford             38   36  -21      -8.32    18.22    -8.95    45.74     3.69   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.51R   41.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Crewe 6 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     37   75  +30      11.49    89.89    11.20    89.95     3.94    34.01    68.44    99.12   100.00    99.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             37   70  +30       3.66    64.87     5.80    86.47     3.99    36.22    28.53    96.45   100.00    97.62P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   66  +22      -0.42    47.78     0.63    79.49     3.78    25.72     1.38    47.43    99.38    65.57P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        37   65  +24       2.44    60.54     6.90    79.55     3.90    27.23     1.63    49.64    99.39    65.75P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   61  +12       7.33    78.60     7.72    72.25     3.99    10.38     0.03     2.88    70.17    15.42P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     38   58  +16       4.61    68.94    14.24    69.68     3.75    17.11     0.00     0.72    52.16    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           37   58  +13      -0.13    49.72     2.08    72.57     4.01    16.22     0.00     3.28    76.49    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   57  +11      -1.00    45.91     2.23    68.38     3.73    11.50     0.00     0.20    35.36     8.50P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   57   +8       0.17    51.06     1.08    69.05     3.82     9.58     0.00     0.27    40.81     8.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        38   53   -4       3.03    63.25    -0.82    64.16     3.73    -3.58     0.00     0.00     5.71     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   52   +1      -2.99    37.87    -3.26    63.88     3.70     2.25     0.00     0.00     4.82     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   37   52  -10       6.61    77.28    -1.67    63.44     4.01   -11.30     0.00     0.00     4.76     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   51   -3      -1.03    45.92    -4.93    64.28     3.98    -1.73     0.00     0.00     6.49     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            38   50   -2       0.71    53.57     2.48    61.14     3.71    -1.68     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.60    15.55    -4.16    61.68     4.08     7.98     0.00     0.00     3.35     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   48   -8       2.91    63.40     1.80    57.22     3.66   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       38   45  -10      -2.25    41.13    -2.15    54.33     3.71   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     38   43  -15      -1.39    44.67    -3.28    52.41     3.66   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.30R    0.18  
Morecambe        38   42  -14      -1.13    45.76    -0.55    52.29     3.67   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.21R    0.14  
Port_Vale        38   41  -10      -5.81    26.02    -3.33    50.37     3.51   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81R    0.38  
Cambridge_Utd    37   41  -22      -2.04    41.62   -11.23    51.06     3.78   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.60R    0.53  
Yeovil           38   36  -18      -6.50    23.61    -3.73    44.67     3.56   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.88R   11.96  
Macclesfield     37   33  -24      -2.06    41.73     0.44    42.11     3.73   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.23R   38.21  
Notts_County     38   33  -33      -9.59    14.02   -17.50    41.73     3.61   -36.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.86R   48.61  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 March 2019, Aldershot 0 1 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      37   73  +33       8.08    81.48    12.19    88.63     3.97    37.91    60.95    98.77    72.49P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     38   73  +28      13.82    93.08    17.42    85.27     3.77    30.01    19.21    94.70    35.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   72  +18      11.86    90.02     8.09    82.81     3.42    19.88     4.25    82.88    22.88P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       38   69  +26       8.37    80.58    13.11    82.02     3.82    29.03     4.80    77.38    22.01P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          37   67  +31       2.22    59.34     9.74    82.44     3.96    35.59     8.46    82.41    31.61P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     37   66  +24       7.52    78.16    12.31    79.66     4.05    26.06     2.30    53.18    13.75P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          38   64   +3      12.02    90.01     2.97    74.26     3.72     1.92     0.04     6.78     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   62  +11       3.56    64.94     3.34    72.31     3.51    12.05     0.00     2.41     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      39   60   +2       5.15    70.68    -0.30    69.87     3.42     2.59     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   58  +16      -0.29    49.02     6.73    70.49     3.77    18.26     0.00     1.20     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             39   55   +0       3.52    65.16     2.21    64.43     3.49    -0.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         39   49   -6      -2.18    41.32    -2.91    58.09     3.49    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Bromley            38   48   -5      -3.65    35.55    -4.19    58.74     3.76    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Halifax            38   47   -2       0.19    51.65     3.80    56.18     3.53    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          38   47   -3      -6.78    23.52    -5.76    58.06     3.78    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Chesterfield       39   46   -4     -11.02    12.54    -9.51    56.98     3.53    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       38   44   -9      -6.13    25.18    -7.03    54.37     3.69    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Maidenhead         39   44  -23       1.34    56.92    -6.64    51.99     3.40   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.75R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     39   43  -14      -9.29    16.28   -12.48    51.89     3.47   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.36R    0.00  
Barnet             35   42  -11      -7.64    19.81   -13.99    57.34     4.51   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    39   38  -15      -4.80    31.29     2.63    45.41     3.45   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.37R    0.03  
Aldershot          38   32  -32     -10.36    11.98   -18.55    41.21     3.64   -34.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.11R    3.72  
Maidstone_United   38   29  -35      -6.45    22.90   -10.18    36.86     3.47   -39.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   29.24  
Braintree_Town     39   28  -33      -6.41    23.59    -3.02    33.87     3.10   -38.91     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   67.01