Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 15 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2019, Arsenal 2 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 30 74 +58 3.54 69.60 3.93 92.91 3.05 72.69 68.60 99.97 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 73 +51 8.56 88.92 11.21 91.18 3.22 63.21 31.40 99.86 99.98 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 61 +25 2.19 60.67 -3.50 76.41 3.32 32.24 0.00 0.11 42.63 72.41 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 60 +24 5.27 75.31 1.19 75.52 3.70 31.20 0.00 0.04 32.90 61.71 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 58 +18 2.29 61.01 -4.77 73.39 3.49 25.00 0.00 0.01 11.85 33.15 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 57 +19 3.95 69.58 -1.56 73.35 3.76 25.16 0.00 0.02 12.64 32.72 99.98 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 30 44 +2 5.70 76.78 7.61 54.09 3.60 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 Watford 30 43 -2 7.04 82.00 8.34 53.77 3.60 -2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 39 -6 2.04 60.81 2.61 48.59 3.48 -8.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 30 38 -4 -1.95 40.56 -0.71 48.40 3.64 -5.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Everton 30 37 -1 -4.22 29.57 0.65 47.02 3.69 -2.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Bournemouth 30 37 -13 2.61 64.08 1.33 47.68 3.70 -13.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Newcastle 30 34 -9 -2.59 36.97 -1.33 43.55 3.59 -11.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 33 -5 -4.52 28.39 1.77 42.71 3.48 -7.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.90R 0.00 Brighton 29 33 -10 0.36 52.84 1.82 42.23 3.54 -15.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.55R 0.00 Southampton 30 30 -16 -3.80 31.04 -2.68 40.18 3.65 -17.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.20R 0.00 Burnley 30 30 -23 -2.58 37.10 -7.91 38.20 3.43 -27.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.22R 0.00 Cardiff 30 28 -30 1.40 59.13 -4.40 33.67 3.05 -40.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.78R 0.00 Fulham 30 17 -40 -7.63 13.61 -6.88 23.55 3.25 -48.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.93R 16.20 Huddersfield 30 14 -38 -8.22 9.58 -6.72 18.85 2.85 -48.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 83.80Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 March 2019, Birmingham 0 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 37 75 +28 14.23 93.75 12.74 90.16 4.00 32.48 56.28 84.87 100.00 88.30P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 37 73 +25 13.35 92.50 11.65 87.69 4.07 28.41 26.55 62.82 100.00 71.47P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 37 71 +29 9.32 84.56 12.63 85.78 3.98 32.64 16.13 45.85 99.97 59.66P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 64 +23 -1.24 44.61 0.70 80.12 3.99 28.92 1.03 6.21 98.46 34.77P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 36 58 +12 -0.17 49.18 -0.68 74.63 4.17 16.12 0.01 0.25 78.84 20.88P 0.00 0.00 Derby 37 56 +2 0.54 52.65 -4.89 69.85 3.95 4.27 0.00 0.00 31.69 6.56P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 36 55 +7 2.34 60.27 2.22 68.22 4.20 6.31 0.00 0.00 21.55 3.86P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 37 54 +11 -5.10 29.20 -1.62 68.97 4.03 14.91 0.00 0.01 29.94 7.10P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 54 +7 -0.53 47.81 1.42 67.30 4.03 8.29 0.00 0.00 15.04 2.93P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 37 53 +8 2.63 61.53 8.78 66.03 3.97 8.99 0.00 0.00 9.29 1.45P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 37 52 -5 2.28 60.28 -3.46 63.61 3.96 -6.16 0.00 0.00 2.62 0.41P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 37 50 +5 3.63 66.20 11.71 61.06 3.95 3.01 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.12P 0.00R 0.00 Hull 37 50 -2 -0.68 47.30 -1.19 62.56 3.96 -1.82 0.00 0.00 1.45 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 36 49 +11 -6.26 25.01 2.22 64.92 4.31 14.27 0.00 0.00 8.11 1.77P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 36 47 -1 -5.23 28.60 -5.19 62.39 4.30 1.57 0.00 0.00 2.12 0.43P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 37 47 -6 -1.55 44.03 -2.24 58.44 3.96 -7.59 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 37 46 -5 -5.84 26.83 -6.82 58.88 3.94 -4.02 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 QPR 37 43 -14 -0.06 50.44 -1.68 53.63 3.86 -16.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42R 0.00 Millwall 37 37 -14 -8.38 17.60 -6.06 47.19 3.85 -17.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.63R 0.02 Reading 37 36 -16 -5.95 25.56 -2.05 44.74 3.72 -21.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.58R 0.14 Wigan 37 36 -19 -8.79 16.58 -10.41 47.17 3.91 -20.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.82R 0.05 Rotherham 37 36 -20 -2.07 41.75 0.51 44.21 3.67 -26.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.19R 0.19 Bolton 37 29 -34 -2.85 37.15 -5.69 36.67 3.52 -40.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.74R 24.31 Ipswich 37 23 -32 -14.91 3.37 -12.62 32.33 3.76 -36.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.61R 75.28League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 15 March 2019, Doncaster 0 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 37 79 +41 11.26 88.88 15.37 95.84 3.94 47.68 79.29 94.94 100.00 96.66P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 38 75 +36 3.68 64.79 7.44 90.19 3.68 42.04 12.69 61.29 100.00 76.86P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 36 70 +29 3.96 66.40 3.80 88.69 4.20 36.45 7.55 38.09 100.00 60.83P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 37 68 +23 8.94 83.06 10.71 82.97 4.02 26.96 0.33 4.36 99.86 25.71P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 37 66 +18 6.95 77.21 5.90 81.12 4.04 22.11 0.14 1.31 99.58 24.08P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 37 57 +15 1.14 55.01 7.43 70.82 3.99 17.09 0.00 0.00 62.48 10.24P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 37 55 +5 0.63 52.99 -0.12 68.07 4.06 6.04 0.00 0.00 24.71 3.77P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 37 53 +2 1.68 57.70 0.59 64.76 3.92 1.28 0.00 0.00 7.04 1.00P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 37 53 +0 5.66 73.32 4.10 63.30 3.82 -2.88 0.00 0.00 3.81 0.47P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 37 49 +6 -3.66 34.63 3.05 61.50 4.00 6.29 0.00 0.00 1.96 0.30P 0.09R 0.00 Burton_Albion 37 47 +1 -4.86 30.65 -0.93 58.10 3.96 -0.78 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03P 1.03R 0.00 Plymouth 37 45 -10 -1.30 44.98 -2.95 55.52 3.96 -12.70 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 7.30R 0.14 Wycombe 37 44 -10 1.82 58.77 3.61 54.77 4.02 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 11.70R 0.46 Accrington_Stanley 36 44 -11 2.47 61.51 0.34 55.60 4.13 -14.12 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 8.79R 0.38 Scunthorpe 37 44 -16 -4.61 31.36 -12.38 56.28 4.03 -16.16 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 6.67R 0.30 Bristol_Rovers 36 43 +0 -5.08 28.93 1.67 55.97 4.17 -0.93 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 5.67R 0.24 Gillingham 37 43 -12 -1.89 42.20 -2.75 54.13 3.93 -13.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.53R 0.82 Southend 37 42 -7 -6.04 25.89 -2.70 54.48 4.05 -6.88 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 11.65R 0.73 Walsall 37 42 -17 -0.89 46.88 -5.07 51.76 3.85 -21.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.53R 2.77 Shrewsbury 37 40 -9 -8.62 17.02 -6.28 52.27 3.97 -9.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.43R 1.82 Oxford_Utd 37 40 -11 -6.35 24.49 -4.23 51.85 3.96 -11.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.68R 3.19 Rochdale 37 38 -31 -1.42 44.69 -12.07 47.34 3.87 -36.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.92R 26.23 Bradford 37 36 -20 -7.59 20.11 -8.75 46.94 3.94 -22.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.25R 26.58 AFC_Wimbledon 37 36 -22 -3.11 36.60 -5.81 46.10 3.81 -25.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.76R 36.34League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 15 March 2019, Newport_County 1 0 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 37 75 +30 11.70 90.05 11.45 89.84 3.93 33.87 66.83 98.80 100.00 99.18P 0.00 0.00 Bury 37 70 +30 3.64 64.73 5.72 86.45 4.02 36.23 28.85 95.44 100.00 96.98P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 37 65 +24 2.65 61.34 7.20 79.61 3.92 27.29 1.70 44.67 99.33 62.55P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 37 65 +22 0.07 50.05 0.74 80.52 3.99 26.72 2.61 55.24 99.41 70.79P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 37 61 +12 7.36 78.38 7.76 72.19 3.99 10.28 0.01 2.39 67.73 14.85P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 37 57 +16 5.18 71.23 14.59 70.22 4.02 17.36 0.00 0.97 54.83 11.30P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 57 +14 -1.09 45.28 3.11 69.77 4.01 14.56 0.00 0.75 49.24 12.87P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 37 56 +8 0.29 51.33 0.73 69.24 4.06 9.28 0.00 0.34 41.30 9.42P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 36 55 +10 -0.47 47.98 0.93 70.88 4.27 13.14 0.00 1.37 58.16 16.13P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 37 52 -4 3.15 64.01 -1.23 63.98 3.94 -4.47 0.00 0.00 5.72 0.94P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 37 52 -10 6.53 76.87 -1.75 63.44 4.00 -11.29 0.00 0.01 4.21 0.59P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 37 51 +1 -2.64 39.17 -3.27 64.30 4.00 2.35 0.00 0.01 6.66 1.46P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 36 50 -3 -0.46 48.21 -4.69 65.07 4.23 -1.10 0.00 0.01 9.77 2.03P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 37 48 +6 -9.58 15.16 -4.08 61.71 4.05 8.03 0.00 0.00 3.15 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 37 47 -7 0.93 54.72 0.01 59.45 3.94 -6.79 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.05P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 37 47 -8 3.06 64.35 1.63 57.55 3.89 -10.56 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 0.02R 0.00 Cheltenham 38 45 -10 -2.19 41.06 -1.94 54.37 3.70 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 43 -10 -1.79 42.42 -1.22 53.80 3.92 -12.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.87R 0.05 Morecambe 37 41 -14 -0.85 47.00 -0.54 52.48 3.95 -15.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92R 0.22 Cambridge_Utd 37 41 -22 -2.02 41.74 -11.13 51.05 3.79 -25.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.67R 0.45 Port_Vale 37 40 -10 -5.94 25.67 -3.89 50.43 3.78 -12.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.82R 0.48 Yeovil 37 36 -16 -5.71 26.52 -2.70 46.58 3.85 -18.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.52R 5.26 Notts_County 37 32 -33 -9.20 14.73 -17.28 42.36 3.93 -36.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.12R 32.28 Macclesfield 36 30 -26 -2.94 37.55 -0.13 39.84 3.96 -31.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.85R 61.26National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2019, AFC_Fylde 4 2 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 37 73 +33 8.17 81.55 12.32 88.60 3.95 37.86 64.02 99.07 75.05P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 37 70 +27 13.05 92.08 17.70 84.47 3.99 30.24 17.22 92.81 33.62P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 38 69 +17 10.84 88.45 7.88 81.89 3.64 19.84 3.51 78.19 21.19P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 37 67 +31 2.19 59.19 9.72 82.43 3.96 35.56 9.59 84.22 33.36P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 37 66 +25 7.51 78.29 13.23 80.61 4.09 28.33 3.44 68.43 18.82P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 37 64 +4 13.03 92.10 3.42 75.88 3.96 3.30 0.24 18.14 3.11P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 36 63 +23 6.64 75.51 12.43 78.65 4.33 26.04 1.97 49.08 12.57P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 38 62 +13 4.14 67.43 4.25 73.82 3.77 14.26 0.01 8.84 2.01P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 38 57 +0 4.01 67.05 -1.66 68.10 3.69 0.45 0.00 0.25 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 37 55 +15 -1.54 43.39 6.22 69.10 4.00 17.61 0.00 0.98 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 38 52 -1 2.25 60.20 1.69 62.55 3.74 -1.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Bromley 38 48 -5 -3.59 35.47 -4.13 58.68 3.74 -5.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Hartlepool 38 48 -6 -1.79 42.74 -2.81 58.15 3.72 -7.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00 Halifax 37 47 -1 1.12 56.03 4.26 57.40 3.78 -3.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 38 47 -3 -6.65 23.73 -5.56 58.05 3.75 -2.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 37 44 -8 -5.30 28.05 -6.88 55.46 3.93 -9.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.12R 0.00 Maidenhead 38 44 -22 2.05 59.86 -6.58 52.75 3.62 -25.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.74R 0.00 Chesterfield 38 43 -5 -12.27 9.96 -10.02 55.57 3.80 -2.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.19R 0.00 Barnet 34 41 -11 -7.33 20.30 -14.03 58.01 4.74 -10.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.72R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 38 40 -15 -10.31 13.16 -12.61 50.44 3.70 -15.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.84R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 38 38 -14 -4.04 34.19 2.62 46.63 3.70 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.05R 0.05 Aldershot 37 32 -31 -9.63 13.28 -18.43 42.35 3.87 -33.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.80R 3.45 Maidstone_United 37 29 -34 -5.72 25.44 -9.99 37.61 3.67 -39.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.66R 28.63 Braintree_Town 38 28 -32 -5.66 26.56 -3.04 34.44 3.31 -39.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 67.87