Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 13 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2019, Arsenal 2 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         30   74  +58       3.62    70.12     4.05    92.93     3.04    72.74    68.63    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   73  +51       8.55    89.07    11.19    91.21     3.20    63.24    31.37    99.86    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.12    59.94    -3.64    76.39     3.30    32.23     0.00     0.12    42.09    72.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.31    75.61     1.24    75.51     3.72    31.18     0.00     0.02    33.04    61.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.33    61.22    -4.79    73.41     3.53    25.04     0.00     0.00    12.14    32.98    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   57  +19       4.00    69.76    -1.53    73.31     3.79    25.12     0.00     0.03    12.75    32.60    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.53    76.15     7.32    54.16     3.59     0.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       6.98    81.81     8.24    53.80     3.61    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   39   -6       2.15    61.23     2.80    48.53     3.49    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   38   -4      -1.87    41.13    -0.59    48.43     3.64    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          30   37   -1      -4.42    28.59     0.26    47.11     3.69    -2.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      30   37  -13       2.63    64.15     1.46    47.63     3.73   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        30   34   -9      -2.57    37.25    -1.33    43.59     3.61   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.45    28.87     1.91    42.71     3.46    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.38    52.80     1.77    42.21     3.55   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.84    30.99    -2.78    40.17     3.63   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.14R    0.00  
Burnley          30   30  -23      -2.53    37.62    -7.85    38.13     3.44   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.81R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.26    58.24    -4.52    33.71     3.04   -40.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.19R    0.01  
Fulham           30   17  -40      -7.55    13.89    -6.64    23.49     3.24   -48.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   16.16  
Huddersfield     30   14  -38      -8.11     9.90    -6.57    18.85     2.88   -48.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   83.84  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 March 2019, Birmingham 0 2 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         37   75  +28      14.23    93.65    12.64    90.15     4.00    32.49    56.25    84.88   100.00    88.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    37   73  +25      13.60    92.90    12.05    87.65     4.05    28.35    26.03    62.27    99.99    70.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   71  +29       8.98    83.58    12.14    85.87     4.00    32.76    16.70    46.47    99.99    60.24P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       37   64  +23      -1.17    44.66     0.82    80.08     4.00    28.87     0.99     6.13    98.34    34.89P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   36   58  +12      -0.20    49.03    -0.70    74.56     4.17    16.05     0.03     0.23    78.39    21.06P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           37   56   +2       0.83    53.60    -4.49    69.79     3.96     4.20     0.00     0.00    31.00     6.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.48    61.13     2.47    68.17     4.19     6.26     0.00     0.01    20.97     3.71P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   54  +11      -5.17    28.74    -1.75    69.08     4.03    15.07     0.00     0.00    31.31     7.28P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         37   54   +7      -0.68    47.19     1.22    67.35     4.01     8.36     0.00     0.00    15.32     2.99P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   37   53   +8       2.53    61.44     8.58    66.05     3.99     9.03     0.00     0.00     9.42     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   52   -5       2.28    60.25    -3.42    63.63     3.95    -6.13     0.00     0.00     2.52     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   50   +5       3.74    66.65    11.84    61.05     3.94     2.97     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   50   -2      -0.69    47.45    -1.21    62.49     3.97    -1.93     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   49  +11      -6.25    24.79     2.32    64.94     4.32    14.30     0.00     0.00     8.30     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   47   -1      -5.42    27.91    -5.50    62.45     4.31     1.63     0.00     0.00     2.11     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   47   -6      -1.45    44.31    -2.06    58.43     3.97    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           37   46   -5      -6.05    25.95    -7.15    58.89     3.95    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             37   43  -14      -0.11    50.24    -1.73    53.66     3.88   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Millwall        37   37  -14      -8.29    17.73    -5.90    47.13     3.83   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.85R    0.01  
Reading         37   36  -16      -6.20    24.39    -2.46    44.81     3.75   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.76R    0.13  
Wigan           37   36  -19      -8.68    16.82   -10.24    47.16     3.94   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.11R    0.05  
Rotherham       37   36  -20      -1.93    42.35     0.71    44.19     3.67   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.43R    0.19  
Bolton          37   29  -34      -2.79    37.65    -5.55    36.65     3.51   -40.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.79R   24.26  
Ipswich         37   23  -32     -14.91     3.41   -12.65    32.34     3.76   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.60R   75.35  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                37   79  +41      10.88    88.14    14.84    95.91     3.93    47.81    76.28    94.58   100.00    96.56P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             37   74  +36       4.09    66.99     7.42    90.91     3.94    42.53    16.45    65.39   100.00    79.21P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           36   70  +29       3.97    66.75     3.80    88.71     4.24    36.47     6.94    35.12   100.00    59.15P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           37   68  +23       9.14    83.77    10.95    82.93     4.02    26.87     0.25     3.79    99.82    25.65P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             37   66  +18       7.15    78.07     6.19    81.06     4.03    22.06     0.08     1.11    99.55    23.68P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            36   56  +15       1.71    57.67     7.68    70.79     4.22    16.48     0.00     0.00    61.78     9.95P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         37   55   +5       0.41    52.20    -0.38    68.09     4.09     6.06     0.00     0.00    25.22     3.83P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            37   53   +2       1.88    58.48     0.92    64.70     3.91     1.18     0.00     0.00     6.86     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             37   53   +0       5.78    73.79     4.22    63.32     3.82    -2.89     0.00     0.00     4.02     0.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       37   49   +6      -3.86    34.05     2.80    61.53     4.01     6.32     0.00     0.00     2.18     0.36P    0.08R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        37   47   +1      -4.97    29.78    -1.10    58.09     3.94    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.99R    0.01  
Plymouth             37   45  -10      -1.22    45.36    -2.76    55.51     3.94   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.37R    0.15  
Wycombe              37   44  -10       1.59    57.72     3.35    54.83     4.01   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   11.61R    0.57  
Accrington_Stanley   36   44  -11       2.10    59.94    -0.18    55.68     4.15   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.66R    0.33  
Scunthorpe           37   44  -16      -4.59    31.37   -12.33    56.28     4.02   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.73R    0.32  
Bristol_Rovers       36   43   +0      -4.90    29.46     1.93    55.93     4.18    -0.97     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    5.80R    0.27  
Gillingham           37   43  -12      -1.84    42.86    -2.61    54.11     3.95   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.81R    0.96  
Southend             37   42   -7      -6.08    25.80    -2.69    54.48     4.04    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    11.81R    0.69  
Walsall              37   42  -17      -1.00    46.27    -5.23    51.81     3.85   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.95R    2.66  
Shrewsbury           37   40   -9      -8.57    17.58    -6.25    52.28     3.95    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.21R    1.77  
Oxford_Utd           37   40  -11      -6.44    24.27    -4.35    51.88     3.97   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.60R    3.12  
Rochdale             37   38  -31      -1.24    45.47   -11.74    47.27     3.83   -36.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.64R   26.51  
Bradford             37   36  -20      -7.47    20.55    -8.64    46.95     3.95   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.02R   26.23  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   36  -22      -3.15    36.49    -5.85    46.09     3.82   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.72R   36.42  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2019, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     37   75  +30      11.45    89.59    11.13    89.91     3.92    33.93    67.42    98.91   100.00    99.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             37   70  +30       3.70    64.99     5.81    86.45     4.00    36.19    28.22    95.56    99.99    97.12P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        37   65  +24       2.52    60.63     6.97    79.60     3.92    27.31     1.69    44.55    99.32    62.28P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   65  +22       0.15    50.21     0.88    80.51     4.01    26.67     2.63    55.27    99.44    70.85P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   61  +12       7.28    78.23     7.70    72.22     3.98    10.34     0.03     2.33    68.40    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     37   57  +16       5.07    70.95    14.43    70.23     4.00    17.37     0.00     0.97    55.52    11.49P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   57  +14      -1.00    45.75     3.23    69.73     3.98    14.47     0.01     0.71    49.28    12.64P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   56   +8       0.30    51.44     0.71    69.19     4.05     9.26     0.00     0.33    40.83     9.34P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           36   55  +10      -0.62    47.33     0.77    70.90     4.24    13.18     0.00     1.34    58.85    16.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        37   52   -4       2.92    63.09    -1.48    64.01     3.93    -4.43     0.00     0.01     5.55     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   51   +1      -2.61    39.43    -3.23    64.29     4.00     2.34     0.00     0.01     6.63     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   50   -3      -0.37    48.79    -4.59    65.04     4.21    -1.14     0.00     0.02     9.84     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   36   49  -11       5.45    73.26    -1.84    62.00     4.29   -12.05     0.00     0.01     2.74     0.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.39    15.61    -3.83    61.65     4.09     7.93     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            37   47   -7       0.85    54.32    -0.07    59.46     3.97    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby          37   47   -8       3.26    64.92     1.86    57.54     3.88   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       37   45   -9      -1.33    44.84    -1.71    55.65     3.97   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.12R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     37   43  -10      -1.80    42.72    -1.27    53.83     3.92   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.73R    0.03  
Morecambe        37   41  -14      -0.78    47.19    -0.43    52.46     3.94   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.21  
Cambridge_Utd    37   41  -22      -1.85    42.57   -10.94    51.02     3.79   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.74R    0.48  
Port_Vale        37   40  -10      -5.84    25.84    -3.75    50.45     3.77   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.78R    0.45  
Yeovil           37   36  -16      -5.87    25.88    -2.90    46.66     3.86   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.91R    5.06  
Notts_County     37   32  -33      -9.21    15.05   -17.29    42.37     3.95   -36.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.34R   32.15  
Macclesfield     36   30  -26      -2.93    37.16    -0.15    39.78     3.93   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.38R   61.63  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2019, AFC_Fylde 4 2 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      37   73  +33       8.03    81.20    12.10    88.63     3.96    37.92    64.30    99.04    74.99P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     37   70  +27      12.99    92.14    17.63    84.45     3.97    30.25    17.04    92.95    33.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   69  +17      10.98    88.69     8.07    81.86     3.63    19.81     3.44    78.02    21.07P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          37   67  +31       2.30    59.66     9.84    82.40     3.98    35.51     9.49    83.90    33.19P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       37   66  +25       7.39    78.06    13.05    80.66     4.10    28.42     3.50    69.04    18.93P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          37   64   +4      13.11    92.39     3.55    75.83     3.97     3.25     0.19    17.94     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     36   63  +23       6.54    75.23    12.31    78.65     4.33    26.05     2.03    49.02    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          38   62  +13       3.94    66.60     3.98    73.84     3.76    14.29     0.01     8.97     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      38   57   +0       4.12    67.16    -1.54    68.08     3.68     0.41     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   55  +15      -1.48    43.90     6.32    69.08     4.01    17.58     0.00     0.90     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             38   52   -1       2.17    59.70     1.60    62.57     3.74    -1.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            38   48   -5      -3.69    34.89    -4.29    58.72     3.78    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Hartlepool         38   48   -6      -1.94    42.20    -2.99    58.20     3.73    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Halifax            37   47   -1       1.19    55.88     4.32    57.39     3.76    -3.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          38   47   -3      -6.87    23.48    -5.90    58.13     3.76    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       37   44   -8      -5.17    28.55    -6.69    55.45     3.93    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.13R    0.00  
Maidenhead         38   44  -22       2.03    59.72    -6.62    52.78     3.64   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.60R    0.00  
Chesterfield       38   43   -5     -12.12     9.92    -9.83    55.54     3.78    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.27R    0.00  
Barnet             34   41  -11      -7.21    20.96   -13.89    57.96     4.72   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.72R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     38   40  -15     -10.18    13.41   -12.40    50.38     3.71   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.45R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    38   38  -14      -4.06    34.00     2.61    46.62     3.71   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.90R    0.05  
Aldershot          37   32  -31      -9.57    13.38   -18.32    42.34     3.89   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.37R    3.57  
Maidstone_United   37   29  -34      -5.76    25.23    -9.96    37.62     3.65   -39.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R   28.54  
Braintree_Town     38   28  -32      -5.56    26.89    -2.97    34.43     3.29   -39.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   67.84