Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 12 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2019, Arsenal 2 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         30   74  +58       3.52    69.42     3.92    92.92     3.05    72.74    68.45    99.96   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   73  +51       8.67    89.14    11.46    91.19     3.21    63.19    31.55    99.83    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.11    60.24    -3.56    76.43     3.28    32.26     0.00     0.14    42.18    72.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.25    75.33     1.08    75.56     3.70    31.26     0.00     0.05    33.33    62.03    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.20    60.71    -4.98    73.44     3.51    25.05     0.00     0.00    12.18    33.30    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   57  +19       4.01    69.70    -1.50    73.32     3.78    25.15     0.00     0.02    12.33    32.29    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.68    76.64     7.57    54.13     3.60     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       6.89    81.53     8.11    53.78     3.59    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   39   -6       2.00    60.64     2.57    48.57     3.47    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        30   38   -4      -1.85    41.22    -0.56    48.35     3.62    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          30   37   -1      -4.31    29.00     0.50    47.05     3.68    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      30   37  -13       2.60    63.79     1.37    47.67     3.71   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        30   34   -9      -2.49    37.70    -1.24    43.53     3.59   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.37    29.04     2.04    42.64     3.45    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.54    53.66     2.02    42.20     3.55   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -4.01    30.09    -3.03    40.18     3.62   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.00  
Burnley          30   30  -23      -2.42    38.01    -7.65    38.15     3.45   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.76R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.37    58.85    -4.45    33.69     3.05   -40.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.43R    0.01  
Fulham           30   17  -40      -7.67    13.52    -6.89    23.57     3.25   -48.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   16.00  
Huddersfield     30   14  -38      -8.22     9.40    -6.80    18.86     2.85   -48.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   84.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2019, Blackburn 3 0 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    37   73  +25      13.76    93.33    12.25    87.65     4.06    28.37    30.85    65.48   100.00    73.20P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         36   72  +27      13.17    92.53    12.58    89.12     4.19    32.43    49.56    80.27   100.00    84.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   71  +29       9.55    85.38    12.99    85.69     3.97    32.52    18.59    48.46    99.98    61.53P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       36   61  +20      -1.38    43.71    -0.02    78.66     4.25    26.15     0.77     4.38    95.38    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   58  +13       1.13    55.25     0.24    76.44     4.41    17.77     0.24     1.39    86.90    24.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    36   55   +7       2.23    59.97     2.08    68.30     4.17     6.45     0.00     0.01    20.66     3.80P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           36   55   +2       1.23    55.37    -4.47    70.46     4.17     4.64     0.00     0.02    36.74     7.80P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   36   53  +10       3.24    64.21     9.52    67.52     4.22    11.22     0.00     0.00    17.27     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       37   52   -5       2.29    60.25    -3.48    63.62     3.95    -6.13     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   51   +9      -6.08    25.24    -2.64    67.18     4.32    12.69     0.00     0.00    16.95     4.11P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         36   51   +6      -2.16    40.66     0.49    65.18     4.21     6.64     0.00     0.00     6.68     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      36   50   +7       4.33    69.04    12.62    63.04     4.21     5.89     0.00     0.00     2.70     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            36   50   -1       0.26    51.52    -1.01    63.33     4.16    -1.83     0.00     0.00     2.48     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       36   49  +11      -6.24    24.63     2.30    64.96     4.30    14.35     0.00     0.00     7.31     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   47   +2      -5.46    27.34    -4.60    63.69     4.50     4.41     0.00     0.00     4.43     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   47   -6      -1.28    45.30    -1.83    58.33     3.93    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           36   45   -5      -5.93    26.15    -7.41    59.04     4.19    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             36   43  -13       1.24    56.16    -0.85    55.52     4.12   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.10R    0.00  
Reading         37   36  -16      -6.09    24.98    -2.29    44.74     3.75   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.90R    0.10  
Wigan           37   36  -19      -8.83    16.34   -10.53    47.23     3.92   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.95R    0.02  
Millwall        36   34  -16      -9.54    13.80    -7.28    45.13     4.09   -19.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.18R    0.14  
Rotherham       36   33  -21      -3.46    35.14     0.03    41.97     3.88   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.88R    1.37  
Bolton          37   29  -34      -2.88    36.97    -5.73    36.64     3.50   -40.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.82R   24.18  
Ipswich         37   23  -32     -15.15     3.08   -12.97    32.35     3.77   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.17R   74.19  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                37   79  +41      11.16    88.69    15.22    95.88     3.96    47.78    75.93    94.26   100.00    96.21P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             37   74  +36       4.14    66.97     7.43    90.89     3.94    42.54    16.77    65.75   100.00    79.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           36   70  +29       3.91    66.22     3.73    88.71     4.23    36.51     6.99    35.00    99.99    58.80P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           37   68  +23       8.94    83.22    10.74    82.95     3.99    26.93     0.26     3.80    99.85    25.77P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             37   66  +18       6.99    77.38     5.97    81.06     4.03    22.05     0.06     1.20    99.52    24.13P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            36   56  +15       1.80    57.71     7.80    70.80     4.23    16.51     0.00     0.00    61.76    10.13P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         37   55   +5       0.56    52.42    -0.22    68.12     4.06     6.10     0.00     0.00    25.40     3.86P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            37   53   +2       1.89    58.52     0.95    64.67     3.94     1.15     0.00     0.00     6.94     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             37   53   +0       5.64    73.51     4.04    63.31     3.84    -2.90     0.00     0.00     3.99     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       37   49   +6      -3.66    34.85     3.05    61.52     4.01     6.29     0.00     0.00     2.01     0.32P    0.07R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        37   47   +1      -5.04    29.55    -1.15    58.08     3.97    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    1.11R    0.01  
Plymouth             37   45  -10      -1.29    44.81    -2.86    55.55     3.94   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    7.02R    0.11  
Wycombe              37   44  -10       1.56    57.69     3.20    54.89     3.99   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    11.13R    0.51  
Accrington_Stanley   36   44  -11       2.33    60.82     0.13    55.61     4.15   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.69R    0.39  
Scunthorpe           37   44  -16      -4.82    30.37   -12.64    56.33     4.03   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    6.40R    0.35  
Bristol_Rovers       36   43   +0      -4.95    29.07     1.87    55.98     4.18    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    5.66R    0.31  
Gillingham           37   43  -12      -1.84    42.52    -2.63    54.10     3.94   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    14.72R    0.97  
Southend             37   42   -7      -6.10    25.65    -2.79    54.48     4.06    -6.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.62R    0.63  
Walsall              37   42  -17      -0.86    46.92    -5.02    51.72     3.85   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.94R    2.71  
Shrewsbury           37   40   -9      -8.64    17.14    -6.37    52.27     3.98    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.67R    1.85  
Oxford_Utd           37   40  -11      -6.39    24.52    -4.24    51.82     3.98   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.34R    3.21  
Rochdale             37   38  -31      -1.20    45.56   -11.65    47.29     3.86   -36.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.40R   26.60  
Bradford             37   36  -20      -7.49    20.59    -8.59    46.94     3.98   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.02R   26.57  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   36  -22      -3.28    35.93    -5.98    46.16     3.85   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.20R   35.78  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2019, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     37   75  +30      11.44    89.70    11.08    89.91     3.94    33.94    67.61    98.76   100.00    99.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             37   70  +30       3.62    64.85     5.77    86.46     4.01    36.21    28.15    95.59   100.00    97.08P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        37   65  +24       2.79    61.73     7.38    79.53     3.93    27.20     1.60    44.06    99.30    61.98P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   65  +22       0.24    50.52     1.01    80.49     3.98    26.65     2.60    55.58    99.40    70.65P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   61  +12       7.39    78.71     7.79    72.21     4.00    10.33     0.03     2.45    68.58    14.94P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     37   57  +16       5.28    72.01    14.66    70.20     4.01    17.32     0.00     1.07    55.15    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   57  +14      -0.92    46.02     3.34    69.67     3.99    14.41     0.00     0.71    48.36    12.48P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   56   +8       0.28    51.33     0.72    69.25     4.06     9.28     0.00     0.36    41.73     9.70P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           36   55  +10      -0.44    48.08     0.97    70.89     4.25    13.18     0.00     1.38    58.75    16.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        37   52   -4       2.89    62.73    -1.57    64.04     3.94    -4.37     0.00     0.01     5.87     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   51   +1      -2.45    39.96    -2.97    64.27     3.97     2.30     0.00     0.01     6.65     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   50   -3      -0.61    47.76    -4.89    65.06     4.23    -1.13     0.00     0.01     9.87     2.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   36   49  -11       5.33    73.42    -2.02    62.00     4.27   -12.03     0.00     0.00     2.68     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   48   +6      -9.44    15.68    -3.96    61.70     4.05     8.00     0.00     0.00     3.21     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            37   47   -7       0.89    54.59     0.02    59.44     3.97    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          37   47   -8       3.07    64.16     1.62    57.58     3.91   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham       37   45   -9      -1.30    45.13    -1.69    55.64     3.97   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     37   43  -10      -1.74    43.08    -1.09    53.77     3.90   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.04  
Morecambe        37   41  -14      -1.09    46.15    -0.90    52.54     3.94   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.03R    0.21  
Cambridge_Utd    37   41  -22      -1.99    41.75   -11.11    51.02     3.79   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.87R    0.47  
Port_Vale        37   40  -10      -5.83    25.97    -3.77    50.44     3.74   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.67R    0.46  
Yeovil           37   36  -16      -5.82    25.87    -2.86    46.63     3.85   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.91R    5.10  
Notts_County     37   32  -33      -9.12    15.06   -17.18    42.34     3.92   -36.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.62R   32.65  
Macclesfield     36   30  -26      -3.06    36.86    -0.33    39.87     3.93   -31.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.02R   61.06  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 March 2019, AFC_Fylde 4 2 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      37   73  +33       7.82    80.36    11.81    88.70     3.98    38.01    64.89    99.08    75.54P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     37   70  +27      13.11    92.35    17.84    84.41     3.99    30.19    16.42    92.54    33.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   69  +17      11.03    88.72     8.10    81.88     3.65    19.84     3.42    78.24    21.07P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          37   67  +31       2.06    58.57     9.55    82.46     3.97    35.58     9.62    84.40    33.34P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       37   66  +25       7.48    78.09    13.14    80.62     4.12    28.39     3.53    68.44    18.93P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          37   64   +4      13.09    92.19     3.52    75.83     3.96     3.24     0.17    17.81     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     36   63  +23       6.37    74.57    11.97    78.70     4.30    26.13     1.95    49.58    12.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          38   62  +13       4.03    66.84     4.13    73.81     3.75    14.27     0.00     8.75     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      38   57   +0       4.43    68.83    -1.07    68.05     3.68     0.34     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   55  +15      -1.53    43.47     6.26    69.10     3.99    17.59     0.00     0.95     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             38   52   -1       2.34    60.47     1.85    62.55     3.75    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bromley            38   48   -5      -3.62    35.28    -4.16    58.72     3.75    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Hartlepool         38   48   -6      -1.96    42.05    -3.00    58.17     3.72    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Halifax            37   47   -1       1.11    55.60     4.23    57.38     3.79    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          38   47   -3      -6.73    23.39    -5.71    58.07     3.74    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       37   44   -8      -5.10    28.76    -6.60    55.41     3.94    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Maidenhead         38   44  -22       2.06    59.79    -6.54    52.77     3.62   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.55R    0.00  
Chesterfield       38   43   -5     -12.27     9.60   -10.04    55.58     3.78    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11R    0.00  
Barnet             34   41  -11      -7.40    20.35   -14.15    58.05     4.74   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     38   40  -15     -10.21    13.45   -12.45    50.39     3.72   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.48R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    38   38  -14      -4.08    33.95     2.56    46.62     3.71   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.97R    0.03  
Aldershot          37   32  -31      -9.76    13.10   -18.57    42.37     3.88   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.46R    3.30  
Maidstone_United   37   29  -34      -5.69    25.51    -9.86    37.61     3.66   -39.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.69R   28.31  
Braintree_Town     38   28  -32      -5.52    27.10    -2.81    34.37     3.29   -39.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   68.36