Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 10 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2019, Arsenal 2 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         30   74  +58       3.50    69.37     3.78    92.92     3.02    72.73    68.73    99.96   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        30   73  +51       8.58    89.20    11.22    91.18     3.20    63.19    31.27    99.85    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.11    59.90    -3.62    76.42     3.29    32.23     0.00     0.13    42.12    72.28   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          30   60  +24       5.23    75.16     1.14    75.55     3.71    31.22     0.00     0.04    32.96    61.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          30   58  +18       2.29    61.20    -4.82    73.41     3.54    25.03     0.00     0.00    12.05    33.00    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          29   57  +19       3.85    69.10    -1.74    73.37     3.77    25.23     0.00     0.01    12.89    32.87    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   44   +2       5.76    76.77     7.77    54.07     3.59     0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       6.89    81.56     8.06    53.81     3.61    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   39   -6       2.19    61.62     2.86    48.52     3.47    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   38   -4      -1.91    41.05    -0.64    48.41     3.63    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          30   37   -1      -4.26    29.23     0.55    47.05     3.65    -2.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      30   37  -13       2.74    64.62     1.63    47.66     3.71   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        30   34   -9      -2.61    37.18    -1.40    43.55     3.60   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.60    28.05     1.65    42.73     3.47    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.46    53.30     1.95    42.21     3.57   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.74    31.57    -2.56    40.15     3.62   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.22R    0.00  
Burnley          30   30  -23      -2.39    38.06    -7.58    38.10     3.43   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.74R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.32    58.45    -4.47    33.68     3.07   -40.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.13R    0.00  
Fulham           30   17  -40      -7.74    13.48    -7.05    23.58     3.28   -48.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   15.73  
Huddersfield     30   14  -38      -8.21     9.74    -6.73    18.87     2.85   -48.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   84.27  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 March 2019, Birmingham 0 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         36   72  +27      13.15    92.58    12.54    89.07     4.20    32.38    59.05    85.65    99.99    88.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    36   70  +22      13.40    93.12    11.16    86.06     4.29    25.41    23.16    59.07    99.94    67.96P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   68  +27       8.53    82.77    11.85    84.41     4.23    31.06    16.24    45.94    99.82    59.53P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       36   61  +20      -1.54    42.89    -0.26    78.65     4.29    26.15     1.20     6.95    94.35    33.27P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   58  +13       1.06    54.95     0.12    76.43     4.38    17.74     0.35     2.32    85.32    25.60P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           36   55   +2       1.08    54.59    -4.68    70.49     4.19     4.69     0.00     0.02    34.42     7.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    35   54   +7       3.22    64.17     3.01    69.24     4.40     7.26     0.00     0.03    26.37     4.85P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   36   53  +10       3.24    64.26     9.53    67.61     4.25    11.35     0.00     0.00    16.44     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   51   +9      -6.04    25.41    -2.54    67.23     4.29    12.77     0.00     0.01    15.70     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         36   51   +6      -2.15    40.73     0.55    65.16     4.20     6.60     0.00     0.00     5.95     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      36   50   +7       4.49    69.43    12.95    62.94     4.20     5.75     0.00     0.00     2.22     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            36   50   -1      -0.10    49.97    -1.52    63.40     4.16    -1.75     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   49  +13      -5.91    25.65     2.58    66.18     4.56    16.08     0.00     0.01    12.22     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   49   -7       1.44    56.91    -4.32    62.18     4.18    -7.88     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   47   +2      -5.47    27.30    -4.59    63.67     4.48     4.36     0.00     0.00     3.83     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           36   45   -5      -5.82    26.29    -7.24    59.01     4.19    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       36   44   -9      -1.73    43.33    -2.98    56.75     4.21   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
QPR             36   43  -13       1.00    55.18    -1.21    55.58     4.13   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Reading         36   36  -13      -5.73    26.02    -0.93    46.08     4.01   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.42R    0.06  
Wigan           36   36  -16      -8.67    16.66    -9.26    48.56     4.19   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.87R    0.03  
Millwall        36   34  -16      -9.49    13.93    -7.19    45.11     4.07   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.07R    0.18  
Rotherham       36   33  -21      -3.30    36.11     0.17    41.95     3.89   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.23R    1.60  
Bolton          36   29  -32      -2.27    40.01    -4.83    37.86     3.77   -38.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.76R   16.84  
Ipswich         36   22  -32     -14.80     3.31   -12.93    31.97     3.94   -37.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   81.30  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                36   76  +40       9.95    86.44    14.82    94.86     4.20    47.68    65.08    91.26   100.00    94.30P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             36   73  +36       4.56    68.91     7.29    91.49     4.19    42.91    24.50    69.54   100.00    81.53P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           35   69  +29       4.33    68.19     3.71    88.77     4.48    36.04    10.17    36.15    99.98    59.58P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           36   65  +22       7.95    80.76    10.71    81.60     4.26    26.30     0.19     2.26    99.07    23.93P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             36   63  +17       5.92    74.37     5.83    79.72     4.28    21.48     0.05     0.78    97.86    23.36P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            35   55  +15       1.92    58.59     7.50    71.23     4.45    16.58     0.00     0.01    55.53     9.78P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         36   55   +6       1.72    57.45     0.50    69.77     4.33     7.50     0.00     0.00    34.27     5.44P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            36   52   +2       2.32    60.87     1.03    65.05     4.16     1.17     0.00     0.00     7.46     1.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             36   50   -1       4.39    68.96     3.62    61.55     4.06    -4.07     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.19P    0.10R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       36   49   +7      -2.67    38.54     3.56    63.01     4.21     7.47     0.00     0.00     3.49     0.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   47   +2      -4.34    32.32    -1.10    59.29     4.21    -0.02     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.09P    0.69R    0.00  
Wycombe              36   44   -8       2.25    60.64     4.08    56.55     4.27    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    6.07R    0.15  
Gillingham           36   43  -11      -0.94    46.54    -2.29    55.61     4.20   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    9.17R    0.36  
Southend             36   42   -4      -5.75    26.53    -1.39    55.93     4.29    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    7.04R    0.27  
Plymouth             36   42  -11      -2.39    40.21    -3.08    53.91     4.17   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.94R    0.61  
Walsall              36   42  -16      -0.08    50.30    -4.99    52.84     4.07   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.49R    1.26  
Accrington_Stanley   35   41  -13       1.50    57.67    -0.63    53.52     4.37   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.39R    1.54  
Scunthorpe           36   41  -19      -5.14    28.64   -13.66    54.52     4.28   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.11R    1.12  
Bristol_Rovers       35   40   -1      -6.31    23.90     1.29    54.20     4.40    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.27R    0.91  
Shrewsbury           36   40   -8      -7.55    20.10    -5.73    53.64     4.24    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.65R    0.84  
Oxford_Utd           36   39  -11      -6.11    25.02    -4.26    52.30     4.23   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.33R    2.56  
Rochdale             36   37  -31      -1.12    45.88   -11.88    47.68     4.11   -36.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.09R   19.63  
Bradford             36   36  -19      -6.69    22.96    -8.38    47.89     4.19   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.81R   16.65  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   33  -23      -4.66    29.59    -6.54    44.09     4.08   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.82R   54.11  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, Cambridge_Utd 1 1 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     36   72  +28      10.82    88.52    10.60    88.40     4.20    32.10    52.91    94.87   100.00    96.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             37   70  +30       3.61    64.64     5.76    86.43     3.98    36.16    33.59    93.11    99.99    95.47P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          36   65  +24       0.81    53.23     1.83    82.70     4.25    29.84     9.90    67.48    99.75    78.89P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        36   64  +24       3.05    63.18     7.21    80.26     4.16    27.72     3.55    39.83    99.28    58.88P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         36   58   +9       7.31    78.74     7.02    70.56     4.22     7.29     0.01     0.73    49.42     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   57  +17      -0.53    47.54     4.89    71.69     4.26    18.37     0.03     1.83    65.60    18.10P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         36   56  +10       1.20    55.41     2.04    71.62     4.28    12.84     0.00     1.18    62.83    15.13P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           36   55  +10      -0.50    47.73     0.91    70.92     4.28    13.22     0.00     0.72    56.53    14.60P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   54  +13       4.44    69.03    12.85    67.93     4.22    13.37     0.00     0.19    30.85     5.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          35   50   -1       0.19    51.38    -3.72    66.59     4.42     1.09     0.00     0.05    17.17     3.67P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        36   49   -6       2.16    60.06    -2.25    62.25     4.18    -6.62     0.00     0.00     2.72     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   35   49  -10       6.29    76.64    -1.60    62.99     4.49   -11.69     0.00     0.00     4.55     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           36   48   +8      -9.22    15.96    -3.63    62.87     4.31     9.68     0.00     0.01     5.97     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   48   +0      -3.62    35.02    -3.24    63.04     4.24     1.87     0.00     0.00     4.12     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   47   -5       3.33    65.34     2.87    58.77     4.13    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            36   46   -7       1.04    55.30    -0.21    59.76     4.22    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       37   45   -9      -1.25    45.20    -1.52    55.64     3.98   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     36   42  -10      -1.57    43.49    -1.29    53.99     4.14   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.49R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd    36   40  -22      -1.74    42.83   -11.17    51.49     4.04   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.32R    0.22  
Morecambe        36   38  -16      -1.88    42.26    -1.85    50.13     4.14   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.59R    0.73  
Port_Vale        36   37  -13      -6.34    23.40    -5.22    48.82     4.01   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.65R    1.02  
Yeovil           36   36  -13      -5.68    26.42    -1.67    47.84     4.08   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.19R    1.78  
Macclesfield     36   30  -26      -2.84    37.91    -0.00    39.89     3.93   -31.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.68R   44.43  
Notts_County     36   29  -35     -10.33    11.32   -18.59    39.80     4.08   -39.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.02R   51.79  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, Barrow 2 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      36   70  +32       6.84    77.58    11.70    87.55     4.19    37.67    57.72    97.98    70.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   69  +19      11.88    90.82     9.48    83.74     3.87    22.52    13.17    89.04    31.94P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     36   67  +26      11.90    90.52    17.45    82.89     4.23    29.38    13.29    84.98    28.47P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       37   66  +25       7.37    77.87    12.94    80.55     4.12    28.27     4.54    68.56    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          36   64  +29       1.57    56.61     9.27    81.24     4.23    34.21     8.29    75.79    29.31P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     36   63  +23       6.61    75.36    12.32    78.64     4.30    26.06     2.65    50.18    13.15P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          37   62  +14       4.90    70.34     4.35    75.22     4.00    15.32     0.15    17.68     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          36   61   +2      12.33    91.18     2.78    74.65     4.20     1.87     0.18    13.68     2.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      37   57   +3       4.77    69.94     0.52    70.45     3.91     4.90     0.00     1.53     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   52  +12      -1.78    42.36     5.16    67.73     4.25    15.01     0.00     0.59     0.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             37   49   -3       1.13    55.62     0.35    60.27     3.96    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Hartlepool         37   48   -4      -1.41    44.20    -2.42    59.09     3.94    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          37   47   +0      -6.48    24.13    -4.38    60.11     4.01     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Bromley            37   47   -5      -3.27    36.41    -4.32    59.14     3.99    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Halifax            36   46   -1       1.20    56.00     3.85    57.44     4.01    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Maidenhead         37   44  -19       2.14    60.52    -5.63    53.91     3.85   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.35R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       36   43   -8      -5.01    28.93    -6.97    55.68     4.18    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.00  
Chesterfield       37   42   -5     -11.92     9.80   -10.13    55.88     4.05    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.00  
Barnet             33   40  -11      -6.74    22.10   -13.83    58.63     4.99    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.29R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     37   39  -15      -9.77    14.35   -12.41    50.85     3.96   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.78R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    37   35  -17      -4.32    32.83     1.90    44.38     3.94   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.11R    0.22  
Aldershot          36   32  -30      -8.71    15.58   -18.09    43.28     4.09   -33.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.79R    1.16  
Maidstone_United   36   29  -32      -5.23    27.00    -9.33    38.59     3.87   -38.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.08R   11.34  
Braintree_Town     37   25  -35      -6.41    22.80    -4.56    31.75     3.45   -43.95     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.28