Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, Cardiff 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         30   74  +58       3.46    69.09     3.67    92.93     3.05    72.76    71.25    99.94    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   70  +49       8.23    88.48    11.79    90.74     3.37    63.17    28.75    99.64    99.95    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        30   61  +25       2.17    60.64    -3.49    76.38     3.29    32.20     0.00     0.20    38.38    69.29   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   58  +20       2.88    64.32    -4.21    74.84     3.77    27.18     0.00     0.05    23.05    47.52    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   57  +22       4.30    71.50     0.22    73.93     3.98    29.19     0.00     0.04    18.59    40.48    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   56  +19       4.74    73.72    -1.07    74.51     3.99    26.39     0.00     0.13    20.02    42.72    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +2       5.52    76.36     6.83    53.73     3.78    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   43   -2       6.90    81.69     8.03    53.82     3.59    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         30   39   -6       2.10    61.19     2.73    48.51     3.48    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   38   -4      -1.87    41.01    -0.62    48.44     3.63    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          30   37   -1      -4.37    28.98     0.38    47.05     3.68    -2.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      30   37  -13       2.62    64.00     1.40    47.68     3.72   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        30   34   -9      -2.50    37.81    -1.18    43.50     3.61   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   33   -5      -4.37    29.05     2.04    42.68     3.45    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Brighton         29   33  -10       0.35    52.77     1.79    42.26     3.56   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Southampton      30   30  -16      -3.90    30.67    -2.81    40.20     3.61   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.22R    0.00  
Burnley          29   30  -21      -1.99    40.20    -7.73    38.41     3.54   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.75R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   28  -30       1.35    58.84    -4.42    33.71     3.05   -40.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.92R    0.00  
Fulham           30   17  -40      -7.55    13.95    -6.68    23.53     3.25   -48.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   15.96  
Huddersfield     30   14  -38      -8.21     9.46    -6.68    18.84     2.84   -48.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   84.04  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, Blackburn 0 1 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         36   72  +27      13.08    92.30    12.46    89.13     4.19    32.43    58.83    85.71   100.00    89.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    36   70  +22      13.20    92.92    10.82    86.08     4.29    25.44    23.29    59.13    99.96    68.13P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   68  +27       8.33    81.94    11.58    84.45     4.27    31.12    16.43    46.08    99.82    59.84P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       36   61  +20      -1.41    43.45    -0.00    78.62     4.25    26.06     1.10     6.62    94.78    33.13P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   58  +13       1.17    55.21     0.27    76.40     4.40    17.69     0.35     2.38    85.63    25.64P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           36   55   +2       1.27    55.55    -4.39    70.44     4.18     4.59     0.00     0.03    34.55     7.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    35   54   +7       2.97    63.39     2.59    69.34     4.43     7.37     0.00     0.04    27.24     5.16P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   36   53  +10       3.16    63.93     9.45    67.63     4.24    11.37     0.00     0.00    16.59     2.84P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         36   51   +6      -1.96    41.85     0.77    65.12     4.19     6.54     0.00     0.00     5.92     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   50   +8       5.30    73.23    13.13    64.39     4.46     6.89     0.00     0.00     5.56     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            36   50   -1       0.08    50.71    -1.29    63.33     4.16    -1.83     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   49  +13      -5.85    25.99     2.69    66.18     4.53    16.10     0.00     0.00    12.54     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   49   -7       1.34    56.49    -4.46    62.19     4.17    -7.85     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   48   +8      -7.41    20.29    -3.16    65.62     4.53    11.79     0.00     0.00     9.83     2.37P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   47   +2      -5.30    27.83    -4.39    63.68     4.50     4.39     0.00     0.00     3.98     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           36   45   -5      -5.74    26.93    -7.11    59.00     4.22    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       36   44   -9      -1.70    43.25    -2.98    56.72     4.17   -10.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
QPR             36   43  -13       1.14    56.03    -1.01    55.54     4.11   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Reading         36   36  -13      -5.76    25.74    -0.98    46.10     4.01   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.10R    0.08  
Wigan           36   36  -16      -8.62    16.83    -9.24    48.51     4.15   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.09R    0.02  
Millwall        36   34  -16      -9.51    13.81    -7.23    45.08     4.07   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.18R    0.23  
Rotherham       36   33  -21      -3.31    35.92     0.30    41.91     3.90   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.45R    1.82  
Bolton          36   29  -32      -2.36    39.39    -4.88    37.90     3.77   -38.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.64R   16.59  
Ipswich         36   22  -32     -14.79     3.24   -12.92    31.98     3.96   -37.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.36R   81.26  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                36   76  +40      10.03    86.66    14.94    94.86     4.19    47.69    65.28    91.29   100.00    94.36P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             36   73  +36       4.69    69.47     7.47    91.47     4.21    42.86    24.41    69.47   100.00    81.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           35   69  +29       4.46    68.52     3.97    88.77     4.48    36.04    10.10    36.36    99.98    59.74P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           36   65  +22       8.09    80.91    10.95    81.51     4.25    26.17     0.18     2.13    99.04    23.87P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             36   63  +17       5.97    74.47     5.82    79.72     4.29    21.49     0.04     0.74    97.77    23.33P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            35   55  +15       1.98    58.98     7.59    71.28     4.48    16.62     0.00     0.01    55.88     9.72P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         36   55   +6       1.57    56.89     0.21    69.84     4.31     7.62     0.00     0.00    34.03     5.48P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            36   52   +2       2.27    60.50     0.97    65.05     4.19     1.16     0.00     0.00     7.46     1.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             36   50   -1       4.21    68.21     3.38    61.53     4.07    -4.06     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.16P    0.10R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       36   49   +7      -2.68    38.58     3.49    63.00     4.24     7.46     0.00     0.00     3.61     0.59P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   47   +2      -4.22    32.52    -0.95    59.25     4.19    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.08P    0.73R    0.00  
Wycombe              36   44   -8       2.38    61.34     4.23    56.45     4.26    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    6.40R    0.18  
Gillingham           36   43  -11      -0.84    46.76    -2.11    55.60     4.22   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    9.25R    0.35  
Southend             36   42   -4      -5.86    26.11    -1.54    55.94     4.29    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    7.30R    0.25  
Plymouth             36   42  -11      -2.55    39.54    -3.31    53.93     4.20   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.83R    0.59  
Walsall              36   42  -16      -0.12    50.47    -5.03    52.85     4.08   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.50R    1.33  
Accrington_Stanley   35   41  -13       1.52    57.84    -0.65    53.56     4.34   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.07R    1.40  
Scunthorpe           36   41  -19      -5.02    28.98   -13.50    54.49     4.24   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.13R    1.08  
Bristol_Rovers       35   40   -1      -6.38    23.55     1.20    54.22     4.41    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.30R    0.90  
Shrewsbury           36   40   -8      -7.72    19.37    -5.98    53.69     4.21    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.23R    0.72  
Oxford_Utd           36   39  -11      -5.85    26.36    -3.86    52.26     4.24   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.90R    2.73  
Rochdale             36   37  -31      -1.26    45.25   -12.14    47.70     4.13   -36.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.69R   20.03  
Bradford             36   36  -19      -6.86    22.47    -8.71    47.95     4.18   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.63R   16.36  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   33  -23      -4.60    30.08    -6.44    44.12     4.06   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.91R   54.07  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, Cambridge_Utd 1 1 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     36   72  +28      10.81    88.35    10.55    88.36     4.22    32.05    52.81    94.78   100.00    96.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             37   70  +30       3.77    65.34     5.99    86.37     3.99    36.08    33.48    92.66   100.00    95.29P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          36   65  +24       0.82    52.97     1.86    82.69     4.21    29.83     9.89    67.18    99.78    78.80P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        36   64  +24       2.84    62.16     6.86    80.33     4.15    27.84     3.75    40.57    99.33    59.41P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         36   58   +9       7.17    78.20     6.79    70.61     4.21     7.37     0.01     0.88    49.79     9.49P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   57  +17      -0.54    47.49     4.84    71.70     4.23    18.39     0.03     1.79    65.94    18.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         36   56  +10       1.44    56.36     2.41    71.58     4.28    12.80     0.01     1.08    62.20    15.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           36   55  +10      -0.54    47.58     0.89    70.98     4.28    13.29     0.00     0.79    56.93    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   54  +13       4.51    69.23    12.98    67.89     4.23    13.34     0.00     0.21    30.56     5.40P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          35   50   -1       0.10    50.77    -3.85    66.64     4.45     1.18     0.00     0.05    17.41     3.51P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        36   49   -6       1.94    59.05    -2.56    62.29     4.21    -6.58     0.00     0.00     2.85     0.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   35   49  -10       6.37    76.84    -1.47    62.89     4.47   -11.79     0.00     0.00     4.41     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           36   48   +8      -9.32    15.62    -3.80    62.85     4.31     9.66     0.00     0.00     5.73     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   48   +0      -3.73    34.51    -3.40    63.09     4.22     1.96     0.00     0.00     4.00     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   47   -5       3.43    65.89     2.97    58.73     4.12    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            36   46   -7       1.33    56.81     0.28    59.69     4.19    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       37   45   -9      -1.36    44.49    -1.74    55.71     4.00   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     36   42  -10      -1.64    43.45    -1.35    54.00     4.14   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.47R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd    36   40  -22      -1.56    43.93   -10.93    51.46     4.07   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.45R    0.26  
Morecambe        36   38  -16      -1.82    42.51    -1.72    50.11     4.11   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.53R    0.70  
Port_Vale        36   37  -13      -6.31    23.61    -5.19    48.82     3.98   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.61R    0.92  
Yeovil           36   36  -13      -5.67    26.28    -1.66    47.88     4.08   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.24R    1.83  
Macclesfield     36   30  -26      -2.89    37.71    -0.09    39.90     3.95   -31.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.69R   44.38  
Notts_County     36   29  -35     -10.35    11.34   -18.68    39.81     4.09   -39.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.95R   51.88  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, Barrow 2 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      36   70  +32       6.90    77.92    11.85    87.46     4.17    37.60    56.97    97.80    69.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   69  +19      11.69    90.31     9.22    83.79     3.87    22.60    13.27    89.54    31.99P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     36   67  +26      11.65    89.88    17.10    82.92     4.23    29.46    13.51    85.02    29.12P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       37   66  +25       7.63    78.58    13.35    80.53     4.13    28.22     4.71    68.63    19.71P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          36   64  +29       1.49    56.26     9.13    81.25     4.20    34.19     8.50    76.12    29.35P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     36   63  +23       6.72    75.63    12.50    78.63     4.31    26.04     2.67    49.87    13.05P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          37   62  +14       4.94    70.56     4.42    75.15     4.01    15.22     0.20    17.34     4.20P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          36   61   +2      12.22    90.94     2.68    74.65     4.19     1.90     0.17    13.54     2.43P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      37   57   +3       4.69    69.71     0.42    70.46     3.93     4.92     0.00     1.59     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   52  +12      -1.61    42.91     5.40    67.71     4.23    14.96     0.00     0.55     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             37   49   -3       1.15    55.65     0.40    60.26     3.92    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Hartlepool         37   48   -4      -1.37    44.48    -2.41    59.10     3.95    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          37   47   +0      -6.35    24.98    -4.24    60.10     4.02     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Bromley            37   47   -5      -3.48    35.63    -4.62    59.23     4.01    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Halifax            36   46   -1       1.36    56.86     4.09    57.41     3.98    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Maidenhead         37   44  -19       2.02    59.77    -5.84    53.93     3.86   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.35R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       36   43   -8      -4.84    29.29    -6.75    55.69     4.16    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.97R    0.00  
Chesterfield       37   42   -5     -11.70    10.41    -9.86    55.80     4.07    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98R    0.00  
Barnet             33   40  -11      -6.84    21.77   -13.92    58.61     4.96    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.18R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     37   39  -15      -9.86    13.99   -12.47    50.87     3.97   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.98R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    37   35  -17      -4.41    32.13     1.71    44.41     3.95   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.21R    0.20  
Aldershot          36   32  -30      -8.84    15.16   -18.26    43.34     4.09   -33.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.54R    1.14  
Maidstone_United   36   29  -32      -5.30    26.83    -9.49    38.60     3.87   -38.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.06R   11.43  
Braintree_Town     37   25  -35      -6.33    22.84    -4.41    31.71     3.44   -43.98     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.23