Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 9 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, Cardiff 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 30 74 +58 3.46 69.09 3.67 92.93 3.05 72.76 71.25 99.94 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 70 +49 8.23 88.48 11.79 90.74 3.37 63.17 28.75 99.64 99.95 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 61 +25 2.17 60.64 -3.49 76.38 3.29 32.20 0.00 0.20 38.38 69.29 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 58 +20 2.88 64.32 -4.21 74.84 3.77 27.18 0.00 0.05 23.05 47.52 99.98 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 57 +22 4.30 71.50 0.22 73.93 3.98 29.19 0.00 0.04 18.59 40.48 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 28 56 +19 4.74 73.72 -1.07 74.51 3.99 26.39 0.00 0.13 20.02 42.72 99.97 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 43 +2 5.52 76.36 6.83 53.73 3.78 -0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 Watford 30 43 -2 6.90 81.69 8.03 53.82 3.59 -2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 39 -6 2.10 61.19 2.73 48.51 3.48 -8.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 30 38 -4 -1.87 41.01 -0.62 48.44 3.63 -5.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Everton 30 37 -1 -4.37 28.98 0.38 47.05 3.68 -2.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Bournemouth 30 37 -13 2.62 64.00 1.40 47.68 3.72 -13.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Newcastle 30 34 -9 -2.50 37.81 -1.18 43.50 3.61 -11.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 33 -5 -4.37 29.05 2.04 42.68 3.45 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00R 0.00 Brighton 29 33 -10 0.35 52.77 1.79 42.26 3.56 -15.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.67R 0.00 Southampton 30 30 -16 -3.90 30.67 -2.81 40.20 3.61 -17.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.22R 0.00 Burnley 29 30 -21 -1.99 40.20 -7.73 38.41 3.54 -28.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.75R 0.00 Cardiff 30 28 -30 1.35 58.84 -4.42 33.71 3.05 -40.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.92R 0.00 Fulham 30 17 -40 -7.55 13.95 -6.68 23.53 3.25 -48.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.93R 15.96 Huddersfield 30 14 -38 -8.21 9.46 -6.68 18.84 2.84 -48.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 84.04Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, Blackburn 0 1 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 36 72 +27 13.08 92.30 12.46 89.13 4.19 32.43 58.83 85.71 100.00 89.06P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 36 70 +22 13.20 92.92 10.82 86.08 4.29 25.44 23.29 59.13 99.96 68.13P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 36 68 +27 8.33 81.94 11.58 84.45 4.27 31.12 16.43 46.08 99.82 59.84P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 36 61 +20 -1.41 43.45 -0.00 78.62 4.25 26.06 1.10 6.62 94.78 33.13P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 35 58 +13 1.17 55.21 0.27 76.40 4.40 17.69 0.35 2.38 85.63 25.64P 0.00 0.00 Derby 36 55 +2 1.27 55.55 -4.39 70.44 4.18 4.59 0.00 0.03 34.55 7.25P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 35 54 +7 2.97 63.39 2.59 69.34 4.43 7.37 0.00 0.04 27.24 5.16P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 36 53 +10 3.16 63.93 9.45 67.63 4.24 11.37 0.00 0.00 16.59 2.84P 0.00 0.00 Preston 36 51 +6 -1.96 41.85 0.77 65.12 4.19 6.54 0.00 0.00 5.92 1.18P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 35 50 +8 5.30 73.23 13.13 64.39 4.46 6.89 0.00 0.00 5.56 0.81P 0.00 0.00 Hull 36 50 -1 0.08 50.71 -1.29 63.33 4.16 -1.83 0.00 0.00 2.27 0.39P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 35 49 +13 -5.85 25.99 2.69 66.18 4.53 16.10 0.00 0.00 12.54 3.02P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 36 49 -7 1.34 56.49 -4.46 62.19 4.17 -7.85 0.00 0.00 1.14 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 35 48 +8 -7.41 20.29 -3.16 65.62 4.53 11.79 0.00 0.00 9.83 2.37P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 35 47 +2 -5.30 27.83 -4.39 63.68 4.50 4.39 0.00 0.00 3.98 0.91P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 36 45 -5 -5.74 26.93 -7.11 59.00 4.22 -4.39 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.01R 0.00 Blackburn 36 44 -9 -1.70 43.25 -2.98 56.72 4.17 -10.75 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.04R 0.00 QPR 36 43 -13 1.14 56.03 -1.01 55.54 4.11 -15.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Reading 36 36 -13 -5.76 25.74 -0.98 46.10 4.01 -18.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.10R 0.08 Wigan 36 36 -16 -8.62 16.83 -9.24 48.51 4.15 -17.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.09R 0.02 Millwall 36 34 -16 -9.51 13.81 -7.23 45.08 4.07 -20.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.18R 0.23 Rotherham 36 33 -21 -3.31 35.92 0.30 41.91 3.90 -28.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.45R 1.82 Bolton 36 29 -32 -2.36 39.39 -4.88 37.90 3.77 -38.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.64R 16.59 Ipswich 36 22 -32 -14.79 3.24 -12.92 31.98 3.96 -37.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.36R 81.26League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 36 76 +40 10.03 86.66 14.94 94.86 4.19 47.69 65.28 91.29 100.00 94.36P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 36 73 +36 4.69 69.47 7.47 91.47 4.21 42.86 24.41 69.47 100.00 81.39P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 35 69 +29 4.46 68.52 3.97 88.77 4.48 36.04 10.10 36.36 99.98 59.74P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 36 65 +22 8.09 80.91 10.95 81.51 4.25 26.17 0.18 2.13 99.04 23.87P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 36 63 +17 5.97 74.47 5.82 79.72 4.29 21.49 0.04 0.74 97.77 23.33P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 35 55 +15 1.98 58.98 7.59 71.28 4.48 16.62 0.00 0.01 55.88 9.72P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 36 55 +6 1.57 56.89 0.21 69.84 4.31 7.62 0.00 0.00 34.03 5.48P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 36 52 +2 2.27 60.50 0.97 65.05 4.19 1.16 0.00 0.00 7.46 1.24P 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 36 50 -1 4.21 68.21 3.38 61.53 4.07 -4.06 0.00 0.00 1.49 0.16P 0.10R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 36 49 +7 -2.68 38.58 3.49 63.00 4.24 7.46 0.00 0.00 3.61 0.59P 0.04R 0.00 Burton_Albion 36 47 +2 -4.22 32.52 -0.95 59.25 4.19 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.08P 0.73R 0.00 Wycombe 36 44 -8 2.38 61.34 4.23 56.45 4.26 -9.85 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 6.40R 0.18 Gillingham 36 43 -11 -0.84 46.76 -2.11 55.60 4.22 -12.86 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 9.25R 0.35 Southend 36 42 -4 -5.86 26.11 -1.54 55.94 4.29 -3.76 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 7.30R 0.25 Plymouth 36 42 -11 -2.55 39.54 -3.31 53.93 4.20 -13.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.83R 0.59 Walsall 36 42 -16 -0.12 50.47 -5.03 52.85 4.08 -20.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 26.50R 1.33 Accrington_Stanley 35 41 -13 1.52 57.84 -0.65 53.56 4.34 -16.68 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 21.07R 1.40 Scunthorpe 36 41 -19 -5.02 28.98 -13.50 54.49 4.24 -19.41 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 16.13R 1.08 Bristol_Rovers 35 40 -1 -6.38 23.55 1.20 54.22 4.41 -2.11 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 14.30R 0.90 Shrewsbury 36 40 -8 -7.72 19.37 -5.98 53.69 4.21 -7.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.23R 0.72 Oxford_Utd 36 39 -11 -5.85 26.36 -3.86 52.26 4.24 -11.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.90R 2.73 Rochdale 36 37 -31 -1.26 45.25 -12.14 47.70 4.13 -36.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.69R 20.03 Bradford 36 36 -19 -6.86 22.47 -8.71 47.95 4.18 -21.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.63R 16.36 AFC_Wimbledon 36 33 -23 -4.60 30.08 -6.44 44.12 4.06 -26.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.91R 54.07League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, Cambridge_Utd 1 1 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 36 72 +28 10.81 88.35 10.55 88.36 4.22 32.05 52.81 94.78 100.00 96.21P 0.00 0.00 Bury 37 70 +30 3.77 65.34 5.99 86.37 3.99 36.08 33.48 92.66 100.00 95.29P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 36 65 +24 0.82 52.97 1.86 82.69 4.21 29.83 9.89 67.18 99.78 78.80P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 36 64 +24 2.84 62.16 6.86 80.33 4.15 27.84 3.75 40.57 99.33 59.41P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 36 58 +9 7.17 78.20 6.79 70.61 4.21 7.37 0.01 0.88 49.79 9.49P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 36 57 +17 -0.54 47.49 4.84 71.70 4.23 18.39 0.03 1.79 65.94 18.43P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 36 56 +10 1.44 56.36 2.41 71.58 4.28 12.80 0.01 1.08 62.20 15.00P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 36 55 +10 -0.54 47.58 0.89 70.98 4.28 13.29 0.00 0.79 56.93 14.83P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 54 +13 4.51 69.23 12.98 67.89 4.23 13.34 0.00 0.21 30.56 5.40P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 35 50 -1 0.10 50.77 -3.85 66.64 4.45 1.18 0.00 0.05 17.41 3.51P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 36 49 -6 1.94 59.05 -2.56 62.29 4.21 -6.58 0.00 0.00 2.85 0.49P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 35 49 -10 6.37 76.84 -1.47 62.89 4.47 -11.79 0.00 0.00 4.41 0.53P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 36 48 +8 -9.32 15.62 -3.80 62.85 4.31 9.66 0.00 0.00 5.73 1.57P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 36 48 +0 -3.73 34.51 -3.40 63.09 4.22 1.96 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 36 47 -5 3.43 65.89 2.97 58.73 4.12 -7.75 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08P 0.00R 0.00 Crewe 36 46 -7 1.33 56.81 0.28 59.69 4.19 -6.99 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.10P 0.01R 0.00 Cheltenham 37 45 -9 -1.36 44.49 -1.74 55.71 4.00 -11.53 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.03R 0.00 Crawley_Town 36 42 -10 -1.64 43.45 -1.35 54.00 4.14 -12.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.47R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 36 40 -22 -1.56 43.93 -10.93 51.46 4.07 -25.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.45R 0.26 Morecambe 36 38 -16 -1.82 42.51 -1.72 50.11 4.11 -18.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.53R 0.70 Port_Vale 36 37 -13 -6.31 23.61 -5.19 48.82 3.98 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.61R 0.92 Yeovil 36 36 -13 -5.67 26.28 -1.66 47.88 4.08 -15.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.24R 1.83 Macclesfield 36 30 -26 -2.89 37.71 -0.09 39.90 3.95 -31.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.69R 44.38 Notts_County 36 29 -35 -10.35 11.34 -18.68 39.81 4.09 -39.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.95R 51.88National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 March 2019, Barrow 2 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 36 70 +32 6.90 77.92 11.85 87.46 4.17 37.60 56.97 97.80 69.67P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 37 69 +19 11.69 90.31 9.22 83.79 3.87 22.60 13.27 89.54 31.99P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 36 67 +26 11.65 89.88 17.10 82.92 4.23 29.46 13.51 85.02 29.12P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 37 66 +25 7.63 78.58 13.35 80.53 4.13 28.22 4.71 68.63 19.71P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 36 64 +29 1.49 56.26 9.13 81.25 4.20 34.19 8.50 76.12 29.35P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 36 63 +23 6.72 75.63 12.50 78.63 4.31 26.04 2.67 49.87 13.05P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 37 62 +14 4.94 70.56 4.42 75.15 4.01 15.22 0.20 17.34 4.20P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 36 61 +2 12.22 90.94 2.68 74.65 4.19 1.90 0.17 13.54 2.43P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 37 57 +3 4.69 69.71 0.42 70.46 3.93 4.92 0.00 1.59 0.34P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 36 52 +12 -1.61 42.91 5.40 67.71 4.23 14.96 0.00 0.55 0.13P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 37 49 -3 1.15 55.65 0.40 60.26 3.92 -4.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Hartlepool 37 48 -4 -1.37 44.48 -2.41 59.10 3.95 -5.68 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.09R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 47 +0 -6.35 24.98 -4.24 60.10 4.02 1.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Bromley 37 47 -5 -3.48 35.63 -4.62 59.23 4.01 -5.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Halifax 36 46 -1 1.36 56.86 4.09 57.41 3.98 -3.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.00 Maidenhead 37 44 -19 2.02 59.77 -5.84 53.93 3.86 -22.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.35R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 36 43 -8 -4.84 29.29 -6.75 55.69 4.16 -9.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.97R 0.00 Chesterfield 37 42 -5 -11.70 10.41 -9.86 55.80 4.07 -2.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.98R 0.00 Barnet 33 40 -11 -6.84 21.77 -13.92 58.61 4.96 -9.78 0.00 0.00 0.00P 1.18R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 37 39 -15 -9.86 13.99 -12.47 50.87 3.97 -15.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.98R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 37 35 -17 -4.41 32.13 1.71 44.41 3.95 -21.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.21R 0.20 Aldershot 36 32 -30 -8.84 15.16 -18.26 43.34 4.09 -33.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.54R 1.14 Maidstone_United 36 29 -32 -5.30 26.83 -9.49 38.60 3.87 -38.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.06R 11.43 Braintree_Town 37 25 -35 -6.33 22.84 -4.41 31.71 3.44 -43.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 87.23