Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 8 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 March 2019, Everton 0 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 29 71 +56 2.99 66.75 3.99 92.57 3.17 73.30 68.77 99.74 99.98 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 70 +49 8.29 88.47 11.91 90.75 3.36 63.18 31.21 99.03 99.94 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 61 +26 3.50 67.48 -2.69 78.47 3.58 34.29 0.03 1.00 57.03 82.79 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 58 +20 2.88 64.51 -4.23 74.82 3.77 27.13 0.00 0.07 15.81 42.92 99.98 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 57 +22 4.43 72.11 0.54 73.86 3.99 29.08 0.00 0.03 12.52 35.21 99.96 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 28 56 +19 4.60 72.87 -1.25 74.60 3.99 26.53 0.00 0.13 14.71 39.09 99.97 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 43 +2 5.67 76.87 7.05 53.76 3.79 -0.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 Watford 29 43 +0 7.37 83.28 7.95 53.95 3.68 -3.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 29 39 -4 2.92 65.55 3.72 50.32 3.76 -6.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 29 37 +0 -3.29 33.74 0.81 48.37 3.94 -1.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Leicester 29 35 -6 -2.54 37.53 -1.04 47.45 3.86 -6.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Bournemouth 29 34 -15 1.76 60.13 0.77 46.26 3.96 -15.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 33 -4 -3.32 33.67 2.41 44.58 3.73 -5.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Newcastle 29 31 -10 -3.74 31.07 -1.75 41.89 3.85 -12.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.71R 0.00 Brighton 28 30 -11 -1.11 44.71 1.04 40.16 3.76 -17.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.85R 0.00 Burnley 29 30 -21 -1.96 40.40 -7.67 38.46 3.53 -27.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.31R 0.00 Southampton 29 27 -17 -5.54 22.93 -3.81 37.82 3.83 -19.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.38R 0.00 Cardiff 29 25 -32 0.18 52.69 -5.44 31.63 3.32 -42.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.01R 0.23 Fulham 29 17 -38 -6.95 15.87 -6.20 24.30 3.48 -47.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.54R 20.09 Huddersfield 29 14 -36 -7.72 10.79 -6.11 20.01 3.16 -46.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 79.67Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 8 March 2019, Norwich 1 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 36 72 +27 13.24 92.84 12.71 88.95 4.23 32.19 63.78 86.60 99.99 89.69P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 35 67 +21 12.02 91.08 10.56 84.20 4.55 24.07 15.94 45.43 99.51 56.70P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 35 65 +25 7.95 81.06 11.55 83.60 4.45 30.35 14.85 44.15 99.39 57.79P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 35 60 +20 -0.69 46.57 0.50 80.01 4.43 27.79 3.67 15.55 96.04 40.51P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 34 58 +14 2.34 60.68 1.01 78.35 4.60 19.50 1.73 7.73 90.93 32.14P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 34 54 +8 4.01 67.44 3.13 70.88 4.65 8.63 0.02 0.32 37.09 7.29P 0.00 0.00 Derby 35 54 +2 1.74 57.87 -4.26 71.28 4.45 5.28 0.01 0.19 38.78 8.21P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 35 50 +8 5.27 72.91 13.08 64.40 4.48 6.86 0.00 0.00 4.63 0.63P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 35 50 +7 2.90 63.16 8.47 65.95 4.49 8.28 0.00 0.01 8.16 1.41P 0.00 0.00 Hull 35 50 +2 0.13 50.95 -0.40 64.80 4.41 1.32 0.00 0.00 4.72 0.86P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 35 48 +8 -7.36 20.41 -3.07 65.61 4.54 11.77 0.00 0.01 8.07 1.97P 0.00 0.00 Preston 35 48 +5 -3.36 35.57 0.17 63.38 4.45 5.38 0.00 0.00 2.71 0.52P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 35 48 -7 1.59 57.97 -4.53 62.17 4.38 -8.45 0.00 0.00 1.31 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 35 47 +2 -5.50 27.34 -4.66 63.68 4.50 4.37 0.00 0.00 3.26 0.82P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 34 46 +12 -7.10 21.51 2.34 63.96 4.74 14.25 0.00 0.00 4.98 1.20P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 35 44 -5 -5.65 26.81 -7.47 59.41 4.43 -4.33 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.06P 0.02R 0.00 Blackburn 35 44 -8 -0.65 47.46 -2.37 58.29 4.47 -9.50 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.04R 0.00 QPR 35 42 -13 1.47 57.51 -0.88 55.93 4.38 -15.06 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.20R 0.00 Wigan 35 36 -15 -7.84 18.57 -9.20 49.92 4.41 -16.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.72R 0.00 Millwall 35 34 -15 -8.24 17.16 -6.38 46.64 4.32 -18.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.75R 0.05 Reading 35 33 -14 -7.30 20.11 -1.84 44.49 4.23 -19.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.44R 0.23 Rotherham 35 33 -19 -3.08 36.90 0.32 42.62 4.07 -27.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.91R 0.75 Bolton 35 26 -33 -3.58 33.24 -5.30 36.00 3.98 -40.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.46R 23.97 Ipswich 35 21 -32 -14.75 3.07 -13.50 31.38 4.05 -39.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.44R 75.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 8 March 2019, Coventry 1 2 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 35 75 +40 10.51 88.29 14.88 95.89 4.43 48.77 71.05 92.36 100.00 94.99P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 35 70 +34 3.69 65.58 6.40 90.61 4.40 42.03 16.13 57.34 99.99 73.92P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 34 68 +29 4.76 69.94 3.74 89.78 4.69 37.06 12.33 45.40 99.96 65.04P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 65 +23 9.10 84.31 11.36 82.84 4.49 27.08 0.48 4.47 98.61 25.48P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 35 60 +16 4.74 70.15 5.42 78.21 4.50 20.62 0.01 0.37 90.81 20.82P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 34 55 +17 2.73 61.96 8.61 73.26 4.70 19.56 0.00 0.05 60.24 11.08P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 55 +8 2.49 61.00 1.46 71.69 4.57 10.31 0.00 0.00 38.86 6.76P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 51 +2 2.66 62.09 0.95 65.54 4.39 1.36 0.00 0.00 5.59 0.88P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 36 50 -1 4.43 69.27 3.66 61.44 4.07 -4.19 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.09P 0.04R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 49 +9 -2.11 41.04 4.45 64.78 4.49 10.04 0.00 0.00 4.82 0.87P 0.02R 0.00 Burton_Albion 36 47 +2 -4.19 32.70 -0.89 59.16 4.19 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.05P 0.45R 0.00 Wycombe 35 43 -8 2.56 62.00 3.96 56.30 4.44 -10.73 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 5.43R 0.09 Southend 35 41 -4 -5.56 26.95 -1.65 56.10 4.50 -4.01 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 5.35R 0.09 Plymouth 35 41 -11 -2.44 39.76 -3.57 53.66 4.40 -14.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.15R 0.27 Accrington_Stanley 34 41 -11 1.53 57.67 -0.68 54.33 4.52 -15.67 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 13.04R 0.34 Scunthorpe 35 41 -18 -3.91 33.64 -12.80 56.18 4.52 -17.93 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 7.04R 0.17 Shrewsbury 35 40 -7 -6.44 23.43 -5.09 55.42 4.46 -6.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 7.48R 0.13 Gillingham 35 40 -12 -1.97 41.63 -2.20 53.99 4.46 -13.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.08R 0.48 Oxford_Utd 35 39 -10 -4.94 29.50 -3.46 53.74 4.50 -10.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 14.81R 0.49 Walsall 35 39 -18 -1.14 45.31 -6.05 50.68 4.30 -23.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.05R 1.86 Bristol_Rovers 34 37 -2 -7.65 19.06 0.84 52.43 4.66 -3.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.51R 1.22 Rochdale 35 34 -32 -2.47 39.87 -12.39 45.72 4.37 -37.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.57R 20.17 Bradford 35 33 -21 -7.60 19.12 -9.30 45.81 4.39 -24.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.00R 18.16 AFC_Wimbledon 35 30 -25 -5.72 25.08 -7.63 41.87 4.27 -29.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.99R 56.53League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 8 March 2019, Lincoln_City 1 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 36 72 +28 10.75 88.38 10.54 88.41 4.20 32.12 57.66 94.69 100.00 96.16P 0.00 0.00 Bury 36 67 +29 2.55 60.30 5.57 84.96 4.28 35.43 24.56 85.60 99.94 90.36P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 35 64 +25 4.06 67.69 7.73 82.10 4.40 29.41 9.73 59.29 99.60 72.29P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 35 62 +22 0.20 50.27 1.51 81.55 4.44 28.51 7.94 54.09 99.22 70.35P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 36 58 +9 7.25 78.51 6.95 70.59 4.23 7.36 0.02 0.90 47.19 9.04P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 35 55 +11 0.32 51.39 1.15 72.38 4.51 14.35 0.05 2.27 65.73 18.75P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 35 54 +16 4.90 71.20 14.55 69.70 4.47 17.00 0.01 0.83 44.65 8.82P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 35 54 +14 -0.99 45.84 3.68 70.33 4.52 15.76 0.03 1.26 49.78 13.34P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 35 53 +9 0.25 50.98 2.07 70.05 4.53 11.94 0.01 0.74 45.81 10.87P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 34 50 +0 1.28 56.16 -3.16 67.75 4.69 1.78 0.00 0.26 24.50 5.35P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 35 49 -5 3.02 63.69 -1.94 63.41 4.41 -5.95 0.00 0.01 4.88 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 34 49 -7 6.47 77.65 -0.51 64.17 4.71 -8.98 0.00 0.04 7.72 1.13P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 35 47 +8 -8.78 16.76 -3.50 63.44 4.53 9.99 0.00 0.02 7.28 1.96P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 35 47 -4 4.28 69.43 3.26 60.12 4.36 -6.73 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.18P 0.00R 0.00 Crewe 36 46 -7 1.07 55.53 -0.23 59.70 4.21 -6.97 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.08P 0.01R 0.00 Northampton 35 45 -1 -5.02 29.46 -3.94 61.39 4.48 0.86 0.00 0.00 2.13 0.48P 0.00R 0.00 Cheltenham 36 42 -12 -1.57 43.78 -2.66 54.11 4.22 -14.51 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.51R 0.05 Crawley_Town 35 39 -11 -2.79 38.18 -1.70 52.40 4.39 -13.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 1.74R 0.24 Cambridge_Utd 35 39 -22 -1.43 44.45 -11.25 51.61 4.29 -25.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.95R 0.51 Yeovil 36 36 -13 -5.59 26.61 -1.66 47.91 4.10 -15.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.67R 2.43 Morecambe 35 35 -19 -2.41 39.65 -3.19 48.01 4.36 -21.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.49R 3.77 Port_Vale 35 34 -14 -7.77 18.02 -5.95 46.71 4.21 -17.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.42R 4.75 Macclesfield 35 30 -24 -2.40 39.84 0.28 40.72 4.16 -30.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.04R 44.22 Notts_County 35 29 -32 -10.09 12.02 -17.60 41.13 4.37 -36.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.16R 44.02National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Barrow 2 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Wrexham 36 69 +20 12.51 92.32 9.55 85.02 4.10 23.42 22.96 94.65 40.80P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 35 67 +31 5.68 74.04 11.43 85.91 4.41 36.67 38.73 96.22 56.36P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 35 67 +28 12.41 91.79 18.20 84.31 4.45 31.42 22.40 92.60 37.45P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 35 63 +29 1.82 57.85 9.08 82.00 4.46 34.75 11.50 83.98 33.93P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 36 63 +23 6.90 76.37 12.74 78.90 4.37 26.25 2.70 59.29 15.22P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 35 60 +19 6.93 76.78 11.45 77.30 4.55 22.48 1.51 43.33 10.05P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 36 59 +13 3.87 66.44 4.21 73.61 4.26 14.37 0.10 13.80 3.26P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 35 58 +1 11.14 89.52 2.43 72.63 4.40 0.39 0.07 8.75 1.39P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 36 57 +4 5.72 73.66 0.86 72.12 4.19 6.28 0.02 6.39 1.29P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 36 52 +12 -1.89 41.82 5.00 67.81 4.25 15.10 0.00 0.94 0.24P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 36 47 -2 -3.00 37.36 -2.98 60.51 4.24 -2.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Halifax 36 46 -1 1.59 57.88 4.32 57.27 3.99 -3.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.79R 0.00 Barrow 36 46 -4 -0.01 50.37 0.02 58.91 4.18 -4.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51R 0.00 Hartlepool 36 45 -5 -2.69 38.65 -3.00 57.55 4.17 -6.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.03R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 36 44 -3 -6.69 23.26 -5.31 58.27 4.25 -2.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80R 0.00 Chesterfield 36 42 -4 -10.80 11.68 -9.48 57.64 4.29 -1.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.35R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 35 42 -8 -4.67 29.71 -7.00 55.77 4.38 -9.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.44R 0.00 Maidenhead 36 41 -20 0.72 54.13 -6.25 52.01 4.11 -24.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.44R 0.00 Barnet 32 40 -10 -5.69 25.63 -13.23 59.89 5.19 -8.82 0.00 0.04 0.01P 1.28R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 36 39 -14 -8.83 16.11 -12.11 52.13 4.20 -14.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.26R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 36 35 -15 -3.91 34.06 2.28 46.04 4.22 -19.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.19R 0.18 Aldershot 35 32 -29 -7.92 17.55 -17.99 44.45 4.30 -32.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.20R 1.01 Maidstone_United 35 26 -34 -6.29 22.09 -10.40 36.71 4.13 -40.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.61R 27.28 Braintree_Town 36 25 -31 -6.83 21.33 -3.78 32.84 3.74 -40.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 71.52