Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 7 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 March 2019, Everton 0 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         29   71  +56       3.04    67.01     4.09    92.60     3.16    73.34    68.61    99.76    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   70  +49       8.07    88.18    11.61    90.76     3.36    63.22    31.36    99.02    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   61  +26       3.64    68.31    -2.54    78.47     3.57    34.24     0.03     1.05    57.07    82.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   58  +20       3.01    65.03    -3.99    74.80     3.79    27.08     0.00     0.04    15.71    42.50    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   57  +22       4.33    71.62     0.33    73.93     3.97    29.20     0.00     0.02    12.65    36.02    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   56  +19       4.73    73.34    -1.12    74.59     3.98    26.51     0.00     0.10    14.67    38.79    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +2       5.68    77.06     7.04    53.73     3.78    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   43   +0       7.26    83.00     7.78    54.00     3.68    -3.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   39   -4       2.86    65.21     3.62    50.37     3.77    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          29   37   +0      -3.32    33.43     0.81    48.34     3.92    -1.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   35   -6      -2.54    37.36    -1.05    47.44     3.83    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   34  -15       1.77    60.08     0.69    46.24     3.98   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -4      -3.21    34.18     2.61    44.57     3.74    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   31  -10      -3.90    30.57    -2.01    41.95     3.87   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Brighton         28   30  -11      -1.05    44.99     1.17    40.16     3.77   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.00  
Burnley          29   30  -21      -1.93    40.34    -7.60    38.46     3.50   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.35R    0.00  
Southampton      29   27  -17      -5.40    23.48    -3.53    37.78     3.80   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.33R    0.01  
Cardiff          29   25  -32       0.19    52.58    -5.51    31.61     3.32   -42.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.09R    0.25  
Fulham           29   17  -38      -7.11    15.23    -6.37    24.31     3.48   -47.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   19.92  
Huddersfield     29   14  -36      -7.67    11.24    -6.01    19.95     3.15   -46.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   79.83  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Derby 2 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         35   69  +26      12.02    90.75    12.28    87.69     4.46    31.75    54.79    79.85    99.96    84.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    35   67  +21      11.82    90.89    10.19    84.30     4.51    24.19    19.76    48.44    99.57    59.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   65  +25       7.87    80.88    11.39    83.62     4.45    30.41    18.57    45.86    99.40    59.26P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   60  +20      -0.61    46.95     0.60    80.00     4.43    27.76     4.63    16.74    95.85    40.79P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   58  +14       2.44    61.09     1.14    78.28     4.62    19.42     2.20     8.51    90.66    32.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    34   54   +8       4.11    68.02     3.27    70.85     4.66     8.60     0.04     0.39    36.27     7.03P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           35   54   +2       1.53    56.85    -4.54    71.32     4.42     5.32     0.01     0.18    38.37     8.35P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   50   +8       5.35    73.20    13.23    64.41     4.45     6.85     0.00     0.00     4.53     0.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   50   +7       2.88    63.18     8.45    65.95     4.47     8.28     0.00     0.01     8.23     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            35   50   +2       0.20    51.44    -0.24    64.73     4.40     1.22     0.00     0.00     4.49     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   48   +8      -7.29    20.75    -2.95    65.59     4.52    11.74     0.00     0.00     7.77     1.97P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   48   +5      -3.43    35.19     0.12    63.41     4.45     5.40     0.00     0.00     2.62     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       35   48   -7       1.56    57.36    -4.60    62.18     4.43    -8.44     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   47   +3      -4.65    30.13    -4.44    64.79     4.73     4.95     0.00     0.00     5.88     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   46  +12      -7.12    21.28     2.40    63.95     4.73    14.24     0.00     0.00     4.73     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   44   -5      -5.49    27.22    -7.23    59.37     4.44    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   44   -8      -0.63    47.76    -2.34    58.30     4.46    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             35   42  -13       1.35    56.73    -1.01    55.97     4.38   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.17R    0.00  
Wigan           35   36  -15      -7.71    19.40    -9.01    49.94     4.43   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.72R    0.01  
Millwall        35   34  -15      -8.56    16.19    -6.80    46.75     4.33   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.33R    0.06  
Reading         35   33  -14      -7.06    20.72    -1.56    44.44     4.24   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.52R    0.19  
Rotherham       35   33  -19      -3.09    36.94     0.32    42.56     4.05   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.21R    0.74  
Bolton          35   26  -33      -3.61    33.15    -5.29    35.98     3.99   -40.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.52R   23.98  
Ipswich         35   21  -32     -14.69     3.19   -13.37    31.37     4.07   -39.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   75.02  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Accrington_Stanley 1 2 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                35   75  +40      10.69    88.43    15.11    95.87     4.40    48.74    70.89    92.48   100.00    95.06P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             35   70  +34       3.84    66.25     6.72    90.61     4.43    42.00    16.12    57.59    99.99    74.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           34   68  +29       4.78    70.46     3.78    89.80     4.68    37.09    12.49    45.07    99.95    64.88P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   65  +23       8.95    83.86    11.12    82.83     4.50    27.14     0.49     4.41    98.64    25.72P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             35   60  +16       4.94    71.00     5.72    78.15     4.51    20.54     0.02     0.40    90.45    20.51P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   55  +17       2.75    61.95     8.68    73.28     4.72    19.58     0.00     0.05    60.52    11.25P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   55   +8       2.67    61.65     1.78    71.57     4.55    10.13     0.00     0.00    37.97     6.47P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   51   +2       2.60    62.16     0.88    65.55     4.40     1.39     0.00     0.00     5.57     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             35   50   +0       5.23    72.46     3.92    62.89     4.32    -3.02     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   49   +9      -2.03    40.92     4.55    64.78     4.48    10.05     0.00     0.00     4.80     0.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   44   +1      -5.42    27.82    -1.32    57.44     4.38    -1.28     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    1.91R    0.01  
Wycombe              35   43   -8       2.51    61.89     3.93    56.36     4.48   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.20R    0.08  
Southend             35   41   -4      -5.46    27.30    -1.57    56.15     4.51    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    5.13R    0.12  
Plymouth             35   41  -11      -2.45    39.81    -3.60    53.70     4.39   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.47R    0.27  
Accrington_Stanley   34   41  -11       1.97    59.85    -0.10    54.24     4.52   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   13.31R    0.36  
Scunthorpe           35   41  -18      -4.01    33.07   -12.95    56.22     4.52   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    6.85R    0.19  
Shrewsbury           35   40   -7      -6.59    22.87    -5.32    55.36     4.48    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.69R    0.12  
Gillingham           35   40  -12      -2.35    40.46    -2.84    54.10     4.47   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.58R    0.44  
Oxford_Utd           35   39  -10      -5.16    28.58    -3.79    53.79     4.50   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.50R    0.52  
Walsall              35   39  -18      -1.00    46.12    -5.85    50.63     4.30   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.30R    1.90  
Bristol_Rovers       34   37   -2      -7.59    19.37     0.93    52.34     4.64    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.72R    1.22  
Rochdale             35   34  -32      -2.53    39.27   -12.51    45.74     4.34   -37.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.64R   19.87  
Bradford             35   33  -21      -7.82    18.61    -9.72    45.85     4.40   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.61R   17.74  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   30  -25      -5.70    24.98    -7.56    41.83     4.27   -29.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.06R   57.16  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Cheltenham 1 1 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     35   69  +27       9.65    85.98    10.31    87.53     4.43    32.25    51.18    92.07    99.98    94.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             36   67  +29       2.41    59.64     5.34    85.07     4.27    35.58    28.73    86.42    99.95    90.99P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        35   64  +25       4.15    68.02     7.87    82.07     4.41    29.38    10.89    60.13    99.65    72.76P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   62  +22       0.35    51.14     1.74    81.55     4.48    28.55     9.08    55.20    99.24    70.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           35   55  +11       0.25    51.17     1.05    72.43     4.49    14.38     0.04     2.50    67.56    19.28P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   55   +8       6.08    75.04     6.64    69.17     4.47     6.63     0.01     0.64    36.55     7.13P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   54  +16       4.81    70.67    14.34    69.70     4.47    16.96     0.01     0.85    45.93     9.38P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   54  +14      -0.91    45.89     3.78    70.28     4.47    15.72     0.04     1.18    50.94    13.33P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         35   53   +9       0.20    50.92     2.01    70.08     4.54    11.93     0.01     0.73    47.60    11.36P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          34   50   +0       1.01    54.91    -3.51    67.87     4.67     1.94     0.00     0.24    26.24     5.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        35   49   -5       2.88    63.17    -2.15    63.43     4.43    -5.92     0.00     0.01     5.19     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   34   49   -7       6.38    77.37    -0.62    64.14     4.70    -9.01     0.00     0.03     8.08     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           35   47   +8      -8.67    17.20    -3.35    63.44     4.55     9.98     0.00     0.01     7.89     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   47   -4       4.26    69.50     3.23    60.11     4.38    -6.72     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            35   46   -6       1.96    59.34     0.17    60.89     4.44    -6.23     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton      35   45   -1      -4.91    29.53    -3.77    61.34     4.48     0.79     0.00     0.00     2.32     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       36   42  -12      -1.63    43.52    -2.77    54.10     4.20   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.46R    0.06  
Crawley_Town     35   39  -11      -2.78    37.95    -1.70    52.35     4.38   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.66R    0.24  
Cambridge_Utd    35   39  -22      -1.32    44.70   -11.09    51.59     4.33   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.25R    0.55  
Yeovil           35   36  -12      -4.77    29.58    -1.38    48.58     4.26   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.09R    1.97  
Morecambe        35   35  -19      -2.50    39.40    -3.35    48.02     4.35   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.49R    3.62  
Port_Vale        35   34  -14      -7.59    18.89    -5.64    46.67     4.20   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.69R    4.90  
Macclesfield     35   30  -24      -2.42    39.67     0.32    40.75     4.16   -30.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.23R   44.21  
Notts_County     35   29  -32      -9.99    12.02   -17.46    41.08     4.32   -36.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.12R   44.45  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Barrow 2 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            36   69  +20      12.54    92.17     9.60    84.97     4.10    23.38    22.93    94.81    40.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      35   67  +31       5.64    73.76    11.35    85.91     4.40    36.68    38.89    96.27    56.71P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   67  +28      12.42    91.63    18.14    84.32     4.48    31.44    22.54    92.34    37.47P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          35   63  +29       1.91    58.08     9.24    81.96     4.45    34.70    11.22    84.02    33.58P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       36   63  +23       7.05    77.00    12.96    78.82     4.37    26.12     2.65    58.94    15.10P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     35   60  +19       7.03    77.10    11.56    77.30     4.54    22.48     1.61    43.29    10.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   59  +13       3.65    65.72     3.91    73.68     4.25    14.48     0.09    14.22     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          35   58   +1      11.22    89.42     2.50    72.60     4.41     0.31     0.06     8.79     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      36   57   +4       5.84    74.29     1.06    72.09     4.18     6.27     0.02     6.39     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   52  +12      -1.89    42.12     4.96    67.79     4.22    15.09     0.00     0.89     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            36   47   -2      -3.18    36.64    -3.30    60.52     4.27    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Halifax            36   46   -1       1.23    56.15     3.85    57.37     3.97    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Barrow             36   46   -4       0.19    51.38     0.29    58.88     4.19    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Hartlepool         36   45   -5      -2.44    40.00    -2.66    57.49     4.20    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.11R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          36   44   -3      -6.86    22.43    -5.58    58.33     4.28    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Chesterfield       36   42   -4     -10.74    11.87    -9.40    57.59     4.29    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       35   42   -8      -4.64    29.88    -6.99    55.79     4.38    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.56R    0.00  
Maidenhead         36   41  -20       0.85    54.72    -6.01    51.97     4.12   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.90R    0.00  
Barnet             32   40  -10      -5.91    24.67   -13.53    60.01     5.15    -8.69     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.17R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     36   39  -14      -9.01    15.78   -12.32    52.18     4.21   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.12R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    36   35  -15      -4.03    33.88     2.12    46.09     4.22   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.86R    0.19  
Aldershot          35   32  -29      -7.91    17.71   -18.02    44.50     4.30   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.12R    0.90  
Maidstone_United   35   26  -34      -6.25    22.64   -10.30    36.68     4.12   -40.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.59R   27.35  
Braintree_Town     36   25  -31      -6.61    21.93    -3.44    32.81     3.73   -40.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   71.57