Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 March 2019 at 22:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 March 2019, Everton 0 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         29   71  +56       2.97    66.50     3.92    92.60     3.17    73.38    69.33    99.75    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   70  +49       8.20    88.34    11.81    90.70     3.35    63.11    30.60    99.04    99.92    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   61  +26       3.50    67.48    -2.75    78.48     3.59    34.34     0.06     1.03    57.14    82.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   58  +20       2.98    65.06    -4.03    74.79     3.79    27.05     0.00     0.04    15.60    42.58    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   57  +22       4.27    71.33     0.28    73.94     3.97    29.21     0.00     0.02    13.07    36.00    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   56  +19       4.65    73.22    -1.18    74.58     3.99    26.48     0.01     0.11    14.29    38.63    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +2       5.79    77.76     7.17    53.71     3.78    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   43   +0       7.30    83.09     7.85    53.96     3.69    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   39   -4       2.90    65.25     3.75    50.30     3.77    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          29   37   +0      -3.34    33.27     0.77    48.41     3.95    -1.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        29   35   -6      -2.51    37.84    -0.98    47.44     3.88    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   34  -15       2.02    61.62     1.11    46.23     3.98   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -4      -3.03    35.18     2.87    44.49     3.74    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   31  -10      -3.80    30.72    -1.83    41.96     3.85   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.00  
Brighton         28   30  -11      -1.05    45.06     1.07    40.16     3.78   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.05R    0.00  
Burnley          29   30  -21      -2.06    39.98    -7.83    38.50     3.54   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.45R    0.00  
Southampton      29   27  -17      -5.63    22.45    -3.97    37.87     3.81   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.28R    0.00  
Cardiff          29   25  -32       0.11    52.06    -5.53    31.66     3.35   -42.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.72R    0.27  
Fulham           29   17  -38      -7.09    15.02    -6.42    24.28     3.48   -47.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.57R   19.97  
Huddersfield     29   14  -36      -7.73    10.65    -6.08    19.98     3.16   -46.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   79.76  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Derby 2 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         35   69  +26      11.99    90.89    12.24    87.69     4.46    31.73    54.52    79.92    99.95    84.48P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    35   67  +21      12.01    91.13    10.54    84.22     4.58    24.13    19.69    47.43    99.47    58.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   65  +25       8.00    81.67    11.58    83.62     4.42    30.39    18.72    45.95    99.43    59.27P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   60  +20      -0.75    46.48     0.41    80.03     4.43    27.82     4.68    17.13    95.82    41.42P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   58  +14       2.32    60.80     0.98    78.39     4.61    19.55     2.35     9.04    91.00    32.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    34   54   +8       4.19    68.52     3.38    70.82     4.63     8.55     0.03     0.35    36.09     7.01P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           35   54   +2       1.61    57.20    -4.49    71.30     4.43     5.30     0.01     0.16    38.38     8.12P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   50   +8       5.32    73.30    13.16    64.43     4.46     6.88     0.00     0.00     4.60     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   50   +7       2.82    62.62     8.40    65.94     4.48     8.28     0.00     0.00     7.89     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            35   50   +2       0.22    51.07    -0.18    64.69     4.42     1.15     0.00     0.00     4.47     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   48   +8      -7.09    21.65    -2.64    65.55     4.55    11.64     0.00     0.00     7.60     1.88P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   48   +5      -3.29    35.88     0.29    63.35     4.47     5.33     0.00     0.00     2.70     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       35   48   -7       1.59    57.67    -4.57    62.17     4.39    -8.44     0.00     0.00     1.27     0.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         34   47   +3      -4.79    29.66    -4.63    64.86     4.75     5.05     0.00     0.00     6.08     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   46  +12      -7.06    21.37     2.44    63.93     4.75    14.18     0.00     0.01     4.84     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   44   -5      -5.44    27.21    -7.23    59.36     4.45    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   44   -8      -0.74    47.23    -2.54    58.35     4.45    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.04R    0.00  
QPR             35   42  -13       1.36    57.07    -1.01    55.93     4.37   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.21R    0.00  
Wigan           35   36  -15      -7.77    19.39    -9.09    49.93     4.42   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.92R    0.01  
Millwall        35   34  -15      -8.53    16.17    -6.79    46.69     4.31   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.40R    0.10  
Reading         35   33  -14      -7.02    20.87    -1.48    44.43     4.23   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.64R    0.23  
Rotherham       35   33  -19      -3.05    36.98     0.48    42.56     4.06   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.07R    0.82  
Bolton          35   26  -33      -3.68    32.70    -5.50    36.01     4.01   -40.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.22R   24.49  
Ipswich         35   21  -32     -14.95     2.89   -13.75    31.46     4.09   -39.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   74.36  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Accrington_Stanley 1 2 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                35   75  +40      10.84    88.87    15.36    95.79     4.43    48.63    70.87    92.21   100.00    94.82P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             35   70  +34       4.02    66.72     6.96    90.52     4.42    41.88    15.92    56.77   100.00    73.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           34   68  +29       4.80    70.25     3.84    89.77     4.70    37.03    12.61    45.78    99.96    65.16P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   65  +23       8.88    83.86    11.02    82.91     4.49    27.20     0.58     4.76    98.63    26.37P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             35   60  +16       5.00    71.06     5.77    78.15     4.51    20.52     0.02     0.43    90.50    20.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   55  +17       2.70    61.92     8.62    73.29     4.72    19.59     0.00     0.05    60.44    11.42P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   55   +8       2.43    60.44     1.41    71.66     4.56    10.26     0.00     0.00    38.06     6.43P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   51   +2       2.84    62.84     1.24    65.53     4.40     1.34     0.00     0.00     5.55     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             35   50   +0       5.24    72.47     3.92    62.90     4.34    -3.01     0.00     0.00     1.78     0.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   49   +9      -2.04    41.16     4.48    64.77     4.47    10.06     0.00     0.00     4.80     0.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   44   +1      -5.40    27.84    -1.27    57.42     4.40    -1.32     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    1.96R    0.01  
Wycombe              35   43   -8       2.71    62.93     4.19    56.28     4.47   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    5.48R    0.07  
Southend             35   41   -4      -5.57    26.85    -1.65    56.13     4.52    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    5.20R    0.10  
Plymouth             35   41  -11      -2.37    40.10    -3.49    53.65     4.37   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.87R    0.29  
Accrington_Stanley   34   41  -11       1.89    59.61    -0.24    54.32     4.52   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.24R    0.35  
Scunthorpe           35   41  -18      -4.13    32.68   -13.15    56.25     4.51   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    6.84R    0.15  
Shrewsbury           35   40   -7      -6.55    22.93    -5.25    55.33     4.49    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.03R    0.10  
Gillingham           35   40  -12      -2.18    40.87    -2.57    54.05     4.47   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.69R    0.45  
Oxford_Utd           35   39  -10      -5.15    28.76    -3.78    53.80     4.48   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.22R    0.52  
Walsall              35   39  -18      -1.30    44.91    -6.27    50.70     4.26   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.59R    1.86  
Bristol_Rovers       34   37   -2      -7.76    18.60     0.64    52.43     4.66    -3.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.45R    1.14  
Rochdale             35   34  -32      -2.57    39.11   -12.59    45.76     4.38   -37.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.29R   20.13  
Bradford             35   33  -21      -7.79    18.67    -9.64    45.84     4.38   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.74R   17.80  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   30  -25      -5.72    25.07    -7.55    41.83     4.24   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.37R   57.02  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Cheltenham 1 1 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     35   69  +27       9.79    86.58    10.47    87.48     4.42    32.16    51.25    92.12    99.99    94.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             36   67  +29       2.53    60.17     5.50    85.00     4.29    35.46    28.52    86.14    99.95    90.85P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        35   64  +25       4.06    67.73     7.75    82.09     4.39    29.40    10.95    60.39    99.64    72.98P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   62  +22       0.41    51.37     1.80    81.53     4.45    28.50     9.16    55.15    99.24    70.72P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           35   55  +11       0.40    51.87     1.31    72.34     4.50    14.27     0.04     2.34    67.07    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   55   +8       6.06    74.95     6.59    69.17     4.49     6.63     0.01     0.56    36.90     7.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   54  +16       4.72    70.44    14.23    69.77     4.50    17.06     0.02     0.88    46.77     9.50P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   54  +14      -0.90    46.01     3.80    70.28     4.48    15.69     0.03     1.26    50.36    13.52P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         35   53   +9       0.09    50.45     1.85    70.12     4.51    12.05     0.02     0.82    47.90    11.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          34   50   +0       1.06    55.25    -3.42    67.77     4.69     1.84     0.00     0.25    25.63     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        35   49   -5       2.93    63.70    -2.11    63.41     4.41    -5.96     0.00     0.02     5.05     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   34   49   -7       6.50    77.65    -0.49    64.18     4.69    -8.98     0.00     0.03     8.29     1.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           35   47   +8      -8.66    17.13    -3.31    63.48     4.54    10.04     0.00     0.03     8.03     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   47   -4       4.32    69.95     3.29    60.09     4.36    -6.77     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe            35   46   -6       1.95    59.39     0.16    60.84     4.42    -6.31     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton      35   45   -1      -5.01    29.31    -3.93    61.43     4.49     0.89     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       36   42  -12      -1.60    43.62    -2.73    54.09     4.22   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.51R    0.06  
Crawley_Town     35   39  -11      -2.86    37.60    -1.83    52.42     4.34   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61R    0.25  
Cambridge_Utd    35   39  -22      -1.36    44.66   -11.13    51.58     4.29   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.11R    0.50  
Yeovil           35   36  -12      -4.86    29.14    -1.47    48.60     4.28   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.02R    1.94  
Morecambe        35   35  -19      -2.60    38.73    -3.38    48.04     4.35   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.37R    3.61  
Port_Vale        35   34  -14      -7.71    18.62    -5.84    46.71     4.20   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.58R    4.76  
Macclesfield     35   30  -24      -2.36    39.78     0.33    40.71     4.14   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.50R   44.45  
Notts_County     35   29  -32     -10.00    11.89   -17.44    41.11     4.31   -36.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.28R   44.43  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Barrow 2 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            36   69  +20      12.44    91.95     9.43    85.01     4.11    23.43    23.28    94.66    41.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      35   67  +31       5.66    73.61    11.38    85.92     4.42    36.69    38.77    96.29    56.36P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   67  +28      12.37    91.84    18.11    84.30     4.50    31.42    22.49    92.19    37.79P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          35   63  +29       2.11    59.16     9.54    81.93     4.43    34.64    11.07    83.72    33.02P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       36   63  +23       6.93    76.51    12.78    78.88     4.38    26.19     2.66    59.46    15.46P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     35   60  +19       7.08    77.36    11.60    77.28     4.55    22.47     1.55    43.72    10.09P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   59  +13       3.77    66.38     4.10    73.65     4.24    14.43     0.08    14.01     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          35   58   +1      11.11    89.19     2.40    72.59     4.42     0.33     0.07     8.91     1.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      36   57   +4       5.92    74.45     1.20    72.06     4.17     6.23     0.03     6.16     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   52  +12      -1.79    42.21     5.17    67.71     4.27    15.01     0.00     0.84     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            36   47   -2      -3.23    36.48    -3.36    60.53     4.27    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Halifax            36   46   -1       1.12    55.86     3.76    57.40     3.98    -3.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Barrow             36   46   -4       0.01    50.84     0.08    58.90     4.14    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Hartlepool         36   45   -5      -2.51    39.08    -2.75    57.50     4.17    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          36   44   -3      -6.75    22.70    -5.46    58.32     4.27    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Chesterfield       36   42   -4     -10.74    11.83    -9.41    57.62     4.27    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       35   42   -8      -4.73    29.81    -7.15    55.80     4.39    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.67R    0.00  
Maidenhead         36   41  -20       0.74    54.36    -6.24    52.04     4.12   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.43R    0.00  
Barnet             32   40  -10      -5.80    25.10   -13.40    59.94     5.16    -8.81     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.22R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     36   39  -14      -8.92    15.93   -12.23    52.14     4.18   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.24R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    36   35  -15      -3.85    34.62     2.36    46.06     4.25   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.20R    0.16  
Aldershot          35   32  -29      -7.97    17.50   -18.09    44.49     4.32   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.15R    0.88  
Maidstone_United   35   26  -34      -6.14    22.84   -10.14    36.64     4.12   -40.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.64R   27.83  
Braintree_Town     36   25  -31      -6.74    21.37    -3.69    32.87     3.72   -40.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   71.12