Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 5 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 March 2019, Everton 0 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         29   71  +56       2.98    66.63     4.00    92.59     3.17    73.31    68.84    99.71    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   70  +49       8.14    88.12    11.57    90.76     3.34    63.25    31.12    99.07    99.94    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   61  +26       3.59    67.89    -2.53    78.52     3.56    34.35     0.04     1.00    57.04    82.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   58  +20       2.94    64.90    -4.08    74.80     3.79    27.08     0.00     0.07    15.87    42.69    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   57  +22       4.42    71.67     0.50    73.88     4.00    29.14     0.00     0.03    12.63    35.40    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   56  +19       4.57    72.77    -1.36    74.61     3.98    26.57     0.00     0.12    14.55    38.99    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +2       5.76    77.44     7.20    53.71     3.81    -0.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   43   +0       7.31    83.28     7.87    53.98     3.67    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   39   -4       2.93    65.25     3.83    50.34     3.76    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          29   37   +0      -3.21    33.93     1.03    48.35     3.94    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        29   35   -6      -2.52    37.38    -1.04    47.47     3.87    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   34  -15       1.70    59.77     0.59    46.27     3.97   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -4      -3.10    34.53     2.74    44.53     3.72    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   31  -10      -3.81    30.81    -1.87    41.88     3.82   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Brighton         28   30  -11      -1.04    45.44     1.13    40.16     3.79   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.98R    0.00  
Burnley          29   30  -21      -2.11    39.74    -7.91    38.52     3.54   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.25R    0.00  
Southampton      29   27  -17      -5.57    22.91    -3.84    37.80     3.79   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.30R    0.00  
Cardiff          29   25  -32       0.19    52.60    -5.38    31.61     3.31   -42.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.07R    0.27  
Fulham           29   17  -38      -7.14    14.85    -6.52    24.29     3.47   -47.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R   19.75  
Huddersfield     29   14  -36      -7.64    10.97    -5.94    19.97     3.16   -46.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   79.97  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Derby 2 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         35   69  +26      11.95    90.89    12.23    87.69     4.45    31.78    55.03    79.72    99.97    84.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    35   67  +21      11.86    90.86    10.28    84.24     4.53    24.13    19.31    47.48    99.51    58.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   65  +25       8.07    81.72    11.64    83.63     4.46    30.41    18.74    46.22    99.39    59.47P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   60  +20      -0.77    46.29     0.33    80.05     4.45    27.85     4.72    17.20    95.94    42.04P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   58  +14       2.18    60.03     0.81    78.38     4.59    19.54     2.15     8.79    91.04    32.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    34   54   +8       4.28    68.78     3.50    70.80     4.66     8.52     0.03     0.36    35.96     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           35   54   +2       1.56    57.04    -4.46    71.28     4.43     5.30     0.02     0.21    38.45     8.11P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   50   +8       5.29    73.14    13.06    64.41     4.46     6.86     0.00     0.00     4.71     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   50   +7       2.94    63.28     8.56    65.91     4.47     8.24     0.00     0.01     7.86     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            35   50   +2       0.26    51.48    -0.15    64.71     4.42     1.15     0.00     0.00     4.63     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   48   +8      -7.14    21.57    -2.70    65.54     4.52    11.66     0.00     0.00     7.76     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   48   +5      -3.47    35.15     0.03    63.44     4.43     5.45     0.00     0.00     2.66     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       35   48   -7       1.65    57.81    -4.47    62.18     4.39    -8.46     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         34   47   +3      -4.68    30.01    -4.51    64.79     4.72     4.97     0.00     0.00     5.85     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   46  +12      -7.23    20.86     2.15    63.98     4.71    14.27     0.00     0.00     4.61     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   44   -5      -5.27    28.02    -6.90    59.30     4.42    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   44   -8      -0.82    46.74    -2.66    58.36     4.45    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR             35   42  -13       1.42    57.26    -0.89    55.95     4.40   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.17R    0.00  
Wigan           35   36  -15      -7.73    18.97    -9.03    49.91     4.40   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.80R    0.01  
Millwall        35   34  -15      -8.59    16.10    -6.93    46.76     4.33   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.43R    0.07  
Reading         35   33  -14      -7.03    20.60    -1.48    44.46     4.22   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.47R    0.24  
Rotherham       35   33  -19      -3.02    37.11     0.51    42.59     4.05   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.19R    0.75  
Bolton          35   26  -33      -3.75    32.50    -5.45    35.98     3.99   -40.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.45R   24.04  
Ipswich         35   21  -32     -14.79     3.08   -13.47    31.38     4.09   -39.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   74.88  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Accrington_Stanley 1 2 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                35   75  +40      10.54    88.14    14.92    95.87     4.43    48.73    71.01    92.18   100.00    94.87P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             35   70  +34       3.87    66.15     6.69    90.58     4.41    41.97    15.97    57.45   100.00    74.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           34   68  +29       4.67    69.60     3.66    89.80     4.68    37.07    12.49    45.42    99.96    65.16P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   65  +23       9.05    84.47    11.30    82.86     4.46    27.13     0.51     4.47    98.67    25.83P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             35   60  +16       4.77    70.32     5.51    78.20     4.49    20.65     0.02     0.42    90.67    20.52P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   55  +17       2.74    62.11     8.64    73.27     4.69    19.55     0.00     0.06    60.32    11.10P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   55   +8       2.43    60.36     1.41    71.65     4.56    10.25     0.00     0.00    38.13     6.59P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            35   51   +2       2.67    62.07     1.03    65.54     4.39     1.36     0.00     0.00     5.52     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             35   50   +0       5.08    71.80     3.66    62.98     4.33    -2.91     0.00     0.00     1.82     0.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   49   +9      -1.81    42.15     4.83    64.71     4.48     9.96     0.00     0.00     4.68     0.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   44   +1      -5.48    27.56    -1.36    57.43     4.39    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.96R    0.01  
Wycombe              35   43   -8       2.46    61.66     3.83    56.31     4.43   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    5.07R    0.05  
Southend             35   41   -4      -5.61    27.00    -1.76    56.12     4.52    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    5.12R    0.09  
Plymouth             35   41  -11      -2.28    40.51    -3.41    53.66     4.38   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.99R    0.28  
Accrington_Stanley   34   41  -11       1.73    58.49    -0.41    54.32     4.50   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.02R    0.31  
Scunthorpe           35   41  -18      -3.94    33.48   -12.88    56.17     4.51   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    7.00R    0.16  
Shrewsbury           35   40   -7      -6.55    22.91    -5.25    55.36     4.47    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.73R    0.11  
Gillingham           35   40  -12      -2.19    40.87    -2.55    54.07     4.45   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.56R    0.46  
Oxford_Utd           35   39  -10      -5.11    28.83    -3.78    53.75     4.50   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.60R    0.62  
Walsall              35   39  -18      -1.03    45.97    -5.92    50.68     4.29   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.78R    1.88  
Bristol_Rovers       34   37   -2      -7.37    19.86     1.19    52.32     4.63    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.95R    1.20  
Rochdale             35   34  -32      -2.43    39.81   -12.26    45.72     4.36   -37.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.46R   20.32  
Bradford             35   33  -21      -7.61    19.03    -9.39    45.81     4.38   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.89R   17.87  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   30  -25      -5.82    24.48    -7.70    41.86     4.29   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.84R   56.64  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Cheltenham 1 1 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     35   69  +27       9.75    86.11    10.38    87.53     4.42    32.22    51.78    92.24    99.99    94.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             36   67  +29       2.64    60.76     5.77    84.99     4.29    35.45    27.98    86.22    99.93    90.75P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        35   64  +25       4.18    67.87     7.90    82.09     4.42    29.40    10.99    60.24    99.60    73.16P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   62  +22       0.22    50.53     1.54    81.54     4.48    28.53     9.12    55.43    99.25    71.15P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           35   55  +11       0.51    52.19     1.44    72.32     4.49    14.25     0.06     2.23    66.60    18.46P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   55   +8       6.12    75.31     6.71    69.14     4.46     6.57     0.01     0.60    36.94     6.92P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   54  +16       4.83    70.73    14.39    69.75     4.49    17.02     0.02     0.84    46.53     9.37P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   54  +14      -0.90    46.05     3.77    70.31     4.49    15.75     0.03     1.18    51.21    13.60P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         35   53   +9      -0.01    50.04     1.74    70.12     4.53    12.04     0.01     0.78    47.74    11.45P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          34   50   +0       1.08    55.12    -3.42    67.77     4.67     1.81     0.00     0.20    25.52     5.39P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        35   49   -5       3.03    63.87    -1.97    63.43     4.41    -5.93     0.00     0.02     5.29     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   34   49   -7       6.45    77.54    -0.55    64.17     4.67    -8.96     0.00     0.01     8.23     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           35   47   +8      -8.93    16.25    -3.74    63.49     4.53    10.07     0.00     0.01     8.15     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   47   -4       4.32    69.92     3.24    60.12     4.37    -6.73     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            35   46   -6       2.18    60.38     0.55    60.74     4.44    -6.42     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      35   45   -1      -4.88    29.67    -3.70    61.34     4.47     0.77     0.00     0.00     2.16     0.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       36   42  -12      -1.55    43.89    -2.70    54.09     4.22   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.48R    0.04  
Crawley_Town     35   39  -11      -2.88    37.40    -1.86    52.41     4.39   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.80R    0.25  
Cambridge_Utd    35   39  -22      -1.39    44.20   -11.23    51.60     4.27   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.01R    0.52  
Yeovil           35   36  -12      -5.03    28.66    -1.72    48.65     4.28   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.06R    2.09  
Morecambe        35   35  -19      -2.56    38.61    -3.39    48.03     4.35   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.51R    3.67  
Port_Vale        35   34  -14      -7.70    18.66    -5.77    46.71     4.23   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.90R    4.83  
Macclesfield     35   30  -24      -2.54    39.27     0.04    40.74     4.15   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.36R   44.37  
Notts_County     35   29  -32      -9.97    12.06   -17.43    41.12     4.34   -36.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.87R   44.23  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Barrow 2 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            36   69  +20      12.68    92.61     9.77    84.95     4.08    23.34    22.75    94.77    40.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      35   67  +31       5.66    73.85    11.38    85.89     4.43    36.64    39.02    96.15    56.52P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   67  +28      12.34    91.82    18.07    84.32     4.48    31.44    22.64    92.37    37.94P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          35   63  +29       2.13    58.89     9.54    81.91     4.46    34.63    11.03    83.44    33.27P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       36   63  +23       6.62    75.69    12.32    78.95     4.35    26.33     2.82    60.10    15.68P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     35   60  +19       6.97    76.94    11.46    77.33     4.56    22.54     1.59    43.62    10.30P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   59  +13       4.01    67.44     4.39    73.58     4.22    14.35     0.09    13.35     3.14P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          35   58   +1      11.07    89.12     2.30    72.65     4.42     0.37     0.06     8.87     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      36   57   +4       5.71    73.78     0.87    72.17     4.17     6.38     0.02     6.39     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   52  +12      -1.82    42.13     5.10    67.78     4.24    15.09     0.00     0.91     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            36   47   -2      -3.11    36.99    -3.18    60.51     4.26    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Halifax            36   46   -1       1.19    56.16     3.86    57.41     4.01    -3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Barrow             36   46   -4      -0.01    50.51     0.02    58.93     4.17    -4.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Hartlepool         36   45   -5      -2.63    39.07    -2.93    57.55     4.17    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          36   44   -3      -6.68    22.97    -5.34    58.33     4.23    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Chesterfield       36   42   -4     -10.65    12.04    -9.29    57.57     4.28    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       35   42   -8      -4.51    30.39    -6.83    55.73     4.40    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.64R    0.00  
Maidenhead         36   41  -20       0.59    53.62    -6.40    52.00     4.10   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.38R    0.00  
Barnet             32   40  -10      -5.84    24.81   -13.42    59.92     5.18    -8.81     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.21R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     36   39  -14      -8.91    15.83   -12.21    52.14     4.22   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.32R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    36   35  -15      -3.93    34.01     2.20    46.03     4.23   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.13R    0.20  
Aldershot          35   32  -29      -7.73    18.01   -17.75    44.44     4.30   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.38R    0.93  
Maidstone_United   35   26  -34      -6.36    22.18   -10.48    36.70     4.12   -40.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.63R   27.25  
Braintree_Town     36   25  -31      -6.65    21.91    -3.45    32.82     3.73   -40.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   71.62