Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 5 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 March 2019, Everton 0 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 29 71 +56 2.98 66.63 4.00 92.59 3.17 73.31 68.84 99.71 99.97 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 70 +49 8.14 88.12 11.57 90.76 3.34 63.25 31.12 99.07 99.94 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 61 +26 3.59 67.89 -2.53 78.52 3.56 34.35 0.04 1.00 57.04 82.93 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 58 +20 2.94 64.90 -4.08 74.80 3.79 27.08 0.00 0.07 15.87 42.69 99.98 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 57 +22 4.42 71.67 0.50 73.88 4.00 29.14 0.00 0.03 12.63 35.40 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 28 56 +19 4.57 72.77 -1.36 74.61 3.98 26.57 0.00 0.12 14.55 38.99 99.96 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 43 +2 5.76 77.44 7.20 53.71 3.81 -0.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 Watford 29 43 +0 7.31 83.28 7.87 53.98 3.67 -3.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 29 39 -4 2.93 65.25 3.83 50.34 3.76 -6.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 29 37 +0 -3.21 33.93 1.03 48.35 3.94 -1.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Leicester 29 35 -6 -2.52 37.38 -1.04 47.47 3.87 -6.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Bournemouth 29 34 -15 1.70 59.77 0.59 46.27 3.97 -15.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 33 -4 -3.10 34.53 2.74 44.53 3.72 -5.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11R 0.00 Newcastle 29 31 -10 -3.81 30.81 -1.87 41.88 3.82 -12.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.69R 0.00 Brighton 28 30 -11 -1.04 45.44 1.13 40.16 3.79 -17.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.98R 0.00 Burnley 29 30 -21 -2.11 39.74 -7.91 38.52 3.54 -27.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.25R 0.00 Southampton 29 27 -17 -5.57 22.91 -3.84 37.80 3.79 -19.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.30R 0.00 Cardiff 29 25 -32 0.19 52.60 -5.38 31.61 3.31 -42.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.07R 0.27 Fulham 29 17 -38 -7.14 14.85 -6.52 24.29 3.47 -47.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.58R 19.75 Huddersfield 29 14 -36 -7.64 10.97 -5.94 19.97 3.16 -46.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 79.97Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Derby 2 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 35 69 +26 11.95 90.89 12.23 87.69 4.45 31.78 55.03 79.72 99.97 84.35P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 35 67 +21 11.86 90.86 10.28 84.24 4.53 24.13 19.31 47.48 99.51 58.35P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 35 65 +25 8.07 81.72 11.64 83.63 4.46 30.41 18.74 46.22 99.39 59.47P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 35 60 +20 -0.77 46.29 0.33 80.05 4.45 27.85 4.72 17.20 95.94 42.04P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 34 58 +14 2.18 60.03 0.81 78.38 4.59 19.54 2.15 8.79 91.04 32.59P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 34 54 +8 4.28 68.78 3.50 70.80 4.66 8.52 0.03 0.36 35.96 7.09P 0.00 0.00 Derby 35 54 +2 1.56 57.04 -4.46 71.28 4.43 5.30 0.02 0.21 38.45 8.11P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 35 50 +8 5.29 73.14 13.06 64.41 4.46 6.86 0.00 0.00 4.71 0.65P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 35 50 +7 2.94 63.28 8.56 65.91 4.47 8.24 0.00 0.01 7.86 1.39P 0.00 0.00 Hull 35 50 +2 0.26 51.48 -0.15 64.71 4.42 1.15 0.00 0.00 4.63 0.81P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 35 48 +8 -7.14 21.57 -2.70 65.54 4.52 11.66 0.00 0.00 7.76 1.96P 0.00 0.00 Preston 35 48 +5 -3.47 35.15 0.03 63.44 4.43 5.45 0.00 0.00 2.66 0.48P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 35 48 -7 1.65 57.81 -4.47 62.18 4.39 -8.46 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.18P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 34 47 +3 -4.68 30.01 -4.51 64.79 4.72 4.97 0.00 0.00 5.85 1.39P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 34 46 +12 -7.23 20.86 2.15 63.98 4.71 14.27 0.00 0.00 4.61 1.07P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 35 44 -5 -5.27 28.02 -6.90 59.30 4.42 -4.47 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.05P 0.02R 0.00 Blackburn 35 44 -8 -0.82 46.74 -2.66 58.36 4.45 -9.42 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 0.02R 0.00 QPR 35 42 -13 1.42 57.26 -0.89 55.95 4.40 -15.08 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.17R 0.00 Wigan 35 36 -15 -7.73 18.97 -9.03 49.91 4.40 -16.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.80R 0.01 Millwall 35 34 -15 -8.59 16.10 -6.93 46.76 4.33 -18.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.43R 0.07 Reading 35 33 -14 -7.03 20.60 -1.48 44.46 4.22 -19.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.47R 0.24 Rotherham 35 33 -19 -3.02 37.11 0.51 42.59 4.05 -28.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.19R 0.75 Bolton 35 26 -33 -3.75 32.50 -5.45 35.98 3.99 -40.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.45R 24.04 Ipswich 35 21 -32 -14.79 3.08 -13.47 31.38 4.09 -39.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.45R 74.88League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Accrington_Stanley 1 2 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 35 75 +40 10.54 88.14 14.92 95.87 4.43 48.73 71.01 92.18 100.00 94.87P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 35 70 +34 3.87 66.15 6.69 90.58 4.41 41.97 15.97 57.45 100.00 74.02P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 34 68 +29 4.67 69.60 3.66 89.80 4.68 37.07 12.49 45.42 99.96 65.16P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 35 65 +23 9.05 84.47 11.30 82.86 4.46 27.13 0.51 4.47 98.67 25.83P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 35 60 +16 4.77 70.32 5.51 78.20 4.49 20.65 0.02 0.42 90.67 20.52P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 34 55 +17 2.74 62.11 8.64 73.27 4.69 19.55 0.00 0.06 60.32 11.10P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 55 +8 2.43 60.36 1.41 71.65 4.56 10.25 0.00 0.00 38.13 6.59P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 35 51 +2 2.67 62.07 1.03 65.54 4.39 1.36 0.00 0.00 5.52 0.80P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 35 50 +0 5.08 71.80 3.66 62.98 4.33 -2.91 0.00 0.00 1.82 0.25P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 35 49 +9 -1.81 42.15 4.83 64.71 4.48 9.96 0.00 0.00 4.68 0.81P 0.01R 0.00 Burton_Albion 35 44 +1 -5.48 27.56 -1.36 57.43 4.39 -1.29 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 1.96R 0.01 Wycombe 35 43 -8 2.46 61.66 3.83 56.31 4.43 -10.71 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 5.07R 0.05 Southend 35 41 -4 -5.61 27.00 -1.76 56.12 4.52 -3.98 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 5.12R 0.09 Plymouth 35 41 -11 -2.28 40.51 -3.41 53.66 4.38 -14.70 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 14.99R 0.28 Accrington_Stanley 34 41 -11 1.73 58.49 -0.41 54.32 4.50 -15.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 13.02R 0.31 Scunthorpe 35 41 -18 -3.94 33.48 -12.88 56.17 4.51 -17.92 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 7.00R 0.16 Shrewsbury 35 40 -7 -6.55 22.91 -5.25 55.36 4.47 -6.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 7.73R 0.11 Gillingham 35 40 -12 -2.19 40.87 -2.55 54.07 4.45 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.56R 0.46 Oxford_Utd 35 39 -10 -5.11 28.83 -3.78 53.75 4.50 -10.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.60R 0.62 Walsall 35 39 -18 -1.03 45.97 -5.92 50.68 4.29 -23.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.78R 1.88 Bristol_Rovers 34 37 -2 -7.37 19.86 1.19 52.32 4.63 -3.52 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 21.95R 1.20 Rochdale 35 34 -32 -2.43 39.81 -12.26 45.72 4.36 -37.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.46R 20.32 Bradford 35 33 -21 -7.61 19.03 -9.39 45.81 4.38 -24.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.89R 17.87 AFC_Wimbledon 35 30 -25 -5.82 24.48 -7.70 41.86 4.29 -29.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.84R 56.64League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Cheltenham 1 1 Bury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 35 69 +27 9.75 86.11 10.38 87.53 4.42 32.22 51.78 92.24 99.99 94.55P 0.00 0.00 Bury 36 67 +29 2.64 60.76 5.77 84.99 4.29 35.45 27.98 86.22 99.93 90.75P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 35 64 +25 4.18 67.87 7.90 82.09 4.42 29.40 10.99 60.24 99.60 73.16P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 35 62 +22 0.22 50.53 1.54 81.54 4.48 28.53 9.12 55.43 99.25 71.15P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 35 55 +11 0.51 52.19 1.44 72.32 4.49 14.25 0.06 2.23 66.60 18.46P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 35 55 +8 6.12 75.31 6.71 69.14 4.46 6.57 0.01 0.60 36.94 6.92P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 35 54 +16 4.83 70.73 14.39 69.75 4.49 17.02 0.02 0.84 46.53 9.37P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 35 54 +14 -0.90 46.05 3.77 70.31 4.49 15.75 0.03 1.18 51.21 13.60P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 35 53 +9 -0.01 50.04 1.74 70.12 4.53 12.04 0.01 0.78 47.74 11.45P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 34 50 +0 1.08 55.12 -3.42 67.77 4.67 1.81 0.00 0.20 25.52 5.39P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 35 49 -5 3.03 63.87 -1.97 63.43 4.41 -5.93 0.00 0.02 5.29 0.91P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 34 49 -7 6.45 77.54 -0.55 64.17 4.67 -8.96 0.00 0.01 8.23 1.21P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 35 47 +8 -8.93 16.25 -3.74 63.49 4.53 10.07 0.00 0.01 8.15 2.16P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 35 47 -4 4.32 69.92 3.24 60.12 4.37 -6.73 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.19P 0.00R 0.00 Crewe 35 46 -6 2.18 60.38 0.55 60.74 4.44 -6.42 0.00 0.00 1.63 0.26P 0.00R 0.00 Northampton 35 45 -1 -4.88 29.67 -3.70 61.34 4.47 0.77 0.00 0.00 2.16 0.46P 0.00R 0.00 Cheltenham 36 42 -12 -1.55 43.89 -2.70 54.09 4.22 -14.52 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.48R 0.04 Crawley_Town 35 39 -11 -2.88 37.40 -1.86 52.41 4.39 -13.36 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 1.80R 0.25 Cambridge_Utd 35 39 -22 -1.39 44.20 -11.23 51.60 4.27 -25.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.01R 0.52 Yeovil 35 36 -12 -5.03 28.66 -1.72 48.65 4.28 -15.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.06R 2.09 Morecambe 35 35 -19 -2.56 38.61 -3.39 48.03 4.35 -21.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.51R 3.67 Port_Vale 35 34 -14 -7.70 18.66 -5.77 46.71 4.23 -17.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.90R 4.83 Macclesfield 35 30 -24 -2.54 39.27 0.04 40.74 4.15 -30.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.36R 44.37 Notts_County 35 29 -32 -9.97 12.06 -17.43 41.12 4.34 -36.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.87R 44.23National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 March 2019, Barrow 2 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Wrexham 36 69 +20 12.68 92.61 9.77 84.95 4.08 23.34 22.75 94.77 40.29P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 35 67 +31 5.66 73.85 11.38 85.89 4.43 36.64 39.02 96.15 56.52P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 35 67 +28 12.34 91.82 18.07 84.32 4.48 31.44 22.64 92.37 37.94P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 35 63 +29 2.13 58.89 9.54 81.91 4.46 34.63 11.03 83.44 33.27P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 36 63 +23 6.62 75.69 12.32 78.95 4.35 26.33 2.82 60.10 15.68P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 35 60 +19 6.97 76.94 11.46 77.33 4.56 22.54 1.59 43.62 10.30P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 36 59 +13 4.01 67.44 4.39 73.58 4.22 14.35 0.09 13.35 3.14P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 35 58 +1 11.07 89.12 2.30 72.65 4.42 0.37 0.06 8.87 1.38P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 36 57 +4 5.71 73.78 0.87 72.17 4.17 6.38 0.02 6.39 1.25P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 36 52 +12 -1.82 42.13 5.10 67.78 4.24 15.09 0.00 0.91 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 36 47 -2 -3.11 36.99 -3.18 60.51 4.26 -2.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Halifax 36 46 -1 1.19 56.16 3.86 57.41 4.01 -3.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72R 0.00 Barrow 36 46 -4 -0.01 50.51 0.02 58.93 4.17 -4.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47R 0.00 Hartlepool 36 45 -5 -2.63 39.07 -2.93 57.55 4.17 -6.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 36 44 -3 -6.68 22.97 -5.34 58.33 4.23 -2.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67R 0.00 Chesterfield 36 42 -4 -10.65 12.04 -9.29 57.57 4.28 -1.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.35R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 35 42 -8 -4.51 30.39 -6.83 55.73 4.40 -9.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.64R 0.00 Maidenhead 36 41 -20 0.59 53.62 -6.40 52.00 4.10 -24.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.38R 0.00 Barnet 32 40 -10 -5.84 24.81 -13.42 59.92 5.18 -8.81 0.00 0.03 0.01P 1.21R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 36 39 -14 -8.91 15.83 -12.21 52.14 4.22 -14.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.32R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 36 35 -15 -3.93 34.01 2.20 46.03 4.23 -19.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.13R 0.20 Aldershot 35 32 -29 -7.73 18.01 -17.75 44.44 4.30 -32.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.38R 0.93 Maidstone_United 35 26 -34 -6.36 22.18 -10.48 36.70 4.12 -40.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.63R 27.25 Braintree_Town 36 25 -31 -6.65 21.91 -3.45 32.82 3.73 -40.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 71.62