Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 3 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 March 2019, Everton 0 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         29   71  +56       3.03    67.20     4.12    92.55     3.18    73.30    68.20    99.75    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        29   70  +49       8.18    88.21    11.73    90.75     3.37    63.18    31.76    99.02    99.90    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   61  +26       3.56    67.90    -2.63    78.52     3.56    34.34     0.04     1.05    57.74    83.02   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   58  +20       2.96    64.95    -4.00    74.76     3.80    27.01     0.00     0.06    15.65    42.29    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   57  +22       4.41    71.87     0.50    73.89     3.97    29.15     0.00     0.02    12.44    35.75    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          28   56  +19       4.69    73.41    -1.13    74.53     4.00    26.44     0.00     0.11    14.29    38.96    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +2       5.63    76.94     6.95    53.74     3.78    -0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   43   +0       7.30    83.03     7.83    54.02     3.70    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   39   -4       2.86    65.06     3.65    50.37     3.76    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          29   37   +0      -3.32    33.42     0.81    48.37     3.92    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   35   -6      -2.44    38.13    -0.88    47.44     3.87    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   34  -15       1.77    60.25     0.72    46.25     3.97   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -4      -3.18    34.28     2.72    44.54     3.74    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   31  -10      -3.81    30.80    -1.89    41.93     3.84   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Brighton         28   30  -11      -1.20    44.29     0.87    40.20     3.78   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.80R    0.00  
Burnley          29   30  -21      -2.14    39.47    -7.92    38.51     3.55   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.19R    0.00  
Southampton      29   27  -17      -5.55    22.70    -3.82    37.81     3.81   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.51R    0.00  
Cardiff          29   25  -32       0.12    52.14    -5.54    31.65     3.32   -42.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.07R    0.22  
Fulham           29   17  -38      -6.97    15.52    -6.27    24.25     3.47   -47.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.56R   20.01  
Huddersfield     29   14  -36      -7.51    11.29    -5.82    19.92     3.13   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   79.77  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2019, Aston_Villa 4 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         35   69  +26      12.00    90.93    12.24    87.71     4.47    31.79    53.10    79.10    99.96    83.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    35   67  +21      12.18    91.40    10.75    84.20     4.51    24.05    18.43    45.83    99.63    57.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       34   64  +25       8.15    82.29    11.21    84.19     4.68    30.72    21.68    50.06    99.46    62.20P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   60  +20      -0.69    46.51     0.52    80.03     4.44    27.78     4.57    16.26    96.40    41.28P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   58  +14       2.34    60.60     1.01    78.33     4.62    19.49     2.15     8.30    91.23    32.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    34   54   +8       3.97    67.63     3.09    70.85     4.65     8.61     0.05     0.33    38.50     7.46P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           34   51   +1       0.58    52.92    -4.59    70.03     4.67     4.79     0.02     0.10    30.52     6.35P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   50   +8       5.32    72.97    13.15    64.39     4.47     6.85     0.00     0.00     5.10     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   50   +7       2.86    63.04     8.40    65.95     4.48     8.29     0.00     0.00     8.86     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            35   50   +2       0.34    51.87    -0.00    64.71     4.40     1.16     0.00     0.01     4.98     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   48   +8      -7.18    21.40    -2.75    65.57     4.54    11.70     0.00     0.00     8.63     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   48   +5      -3.52    35.14    -0.10    63.47     4.46     5.50     0.00     0.00     3.05     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   47   +3      -4.38    31.46    -4.03    64.68     4.74     4.80     0.00     0.00     6.11     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       34   47   -7       1.71    58.08    -4.85    62.46     4.64    -8.60     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   46  +12      -6.93    22.07     2.65    63.86     4.70    14.11     0.00     0.01     5.10     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   44   -5      -5.57    26.99    -7.28    59.38     4.42    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   44   -8      -0.90    46.56    -2.76    58.38     4.44    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR             35   42  -13       1.60    57.73    -0.72    55.94     4.39   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.26R    0.00  
Wigan           34   36  -14      -7.16    20.77    -9.16    50.96     4.63   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.61R    0.01  
Millwall        35   34  -15      -8.44    16.38    -6.67    46.69     4.33   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.82R    0.08  
Reading         35   33  -14      -7.06    20.93    -1.52    44.41     4.23   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.92R    0.22  
Rotherham       35   33  -19      -3.14    36.65     0.25    42.58     4.07   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.32R    0.73  
Bolton          35   26  -33      -3.62    32.95    -5.37    35.98     4.00   -40.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.55R   24.52  
Ipswich         35   21  -32     -14.77     3.14   -13.47    31.44     4.08   -39.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   74.44  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                35   75  +40      10.80    88.51    15.28    95.80     4.43    48.64    70.56    92.04   100.00    94.70P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             35   70  +34       3.98    66.86     6.91    90.55     4.40    41.93    15.95    57.25    99.99    73.69P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           34   68  +29       4.79    69.99     3.75    89.80     4.72    37.04    12.92    45.61    99.95    65.19P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   65  +23       8.83    83.46    10.96    82.88     4.49    27.16     0.53     4.63    98.57    26.43P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             35   60  +16       4.83    70.57     5.55    78.20     4.52    20.59     0.04     0.42    90.91    20.31P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   55  +17       2.72    61.92     8.59    73.30     4.67    19.61     0.00     0.05    61.39    11.31P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   55   +8       2.42    60.54     1.33    71.65     4.58    10.27     0.00     0.01    38.80     6.74P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             35   50   +0       5.28    72.35     3.97    62.91     4.31    -3.01     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   49   +9      -2.08    41.18     4.44    64.78     4.46    10.06     0.00     0.00     4.82     0.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool            34   48   +1       1.51    57.35     0.64    63.93     4.61     0.38     0.00     0.00     3.39     0.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   44   +1      -5.51    27.55    -1.41    57.45     4.41    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    2.10R    0.00  
Wycombe              35   43   -8       2.53    61.95     3.91    56.31     4.45   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    5.53R    0.06  
Southend             35   41   -4      -5.23    28.07    -1.17    56.01     4.51    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    5.82R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley   33   41  -10       3.00    64.33     0.37    55.57     4.76   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    9.23R    0.23  
Plymouth             35   41  -11      -2.37    40.03    -3.50    53.69     4.39   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.22R    0.28  
Scunthorpe           35   41  -18      -4.16    32.36   -13.18    56.26     4.52   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    6.93R    0.16  
Shrewsbury           35   40   -7      -6.60    22.73    -5.30    55.35     4.45    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.85R    0.13  
Gillingham           35   40  -12      -2.16    41.09    -2.54    54.01     4.45   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.17R    0.43  
Oxford_Utd           35   39  -10      -5.06    28.74    -3.67    53.76     4.51   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.01R    0.57  
Walsall              35   39  -18      -1.21    45.16    -6.18    50.72     4.26   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.79R    1.90  
Bristol_Rovers       34   37   -2      -7.56    19.30     0.95    52.35     4.63    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   22.11R    1.34  
Rochdale             35   34  -32      -2.65    38.80   -12.60    45.78     4.35   -37.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.81R   19.97  
Bradford             35   33  -21      -7.65    19.02    -9.38    45.81     4.38   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.25R   17.95  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   30  -25      -5.81    24.56    -7.71    41.89     4.27   -29.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.13R   56.88  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2019, Bury 3 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     35   69  +27       9.84    86.52    10.51    87.51     4.42    32.20    47.44    91.80    99.99    94.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             35   66  +29       2.99    62.62     5.64    85.88     4.53    36.27    34.38    88.56    99.94    92.42P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        35   64  +25       4.26    68.33     7.99    82.05     4.42    29.36     9.90    58.96    99.59    72.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   62  +22       0.18    50.48     1.52    81.59     4.44    28.58     8.17    54.89    99.25    70.50P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           35   55  +11       0.43    52.03     1.33    72.33     4.50    14.30     0.05     2.32    66.78    18.91P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   55   +8       6.05    74.77     6.62    69.15     4.46     6.59     0.01     0.50    36.59     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   54  +16       4.62    69.76    14.14    69.76     4.48    17.08     0.00     0.83    46.50     9.38P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   54  +14      -0.93    45.95     3.78    70.30     4.43    15.72     0.03     1.09    51.05    13.20P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         35   53   +9       0.07    50.36     1.80    70.08     4.55    11.98     0.01     0.78    47.61    11.56P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          34   50   +0       1.04    54.98    -3.51    67.82     4.69     1.88     0.00     0.21    26.20     5.70P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        35   49   -5       2.90    63.38    -2.12    63.43     4.45    -5.92     0.00     0.01     5.40     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   34   49   -7       6.45    77.28    -0.54    64.21     4.70    -8.95     0.00     0.03     8.19     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           35   47   +8      -8.49    17.84    -3.10    63.42     4.54     9.94     0.00     0.02     7.79     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   47   -4       4.39    70.02     3.39    60.04     4.34    -6.80     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            35   46   -6       1.97    59.48     0.20    60.87     4.44    -6.24     0.00     0.00     1.73     0.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      35   45   -1      -4.86    30.05    -3.66    61.35     4.51     0.79     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       35   41  -12      -1.57    43.66    -3.27    54.10     4.45   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.66R    0.06  
Crawley_Town     35   39  -11      -2.88    37.84    -1.88    52.44     4.39   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.75R    0.23  
Cambridge_Utd    35   39  -22      -1.34    44.70   -11.00    51.53     4.30   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.21R    0.51  
Yeovil           35   36  -12      -4.83    29.32    -1.44    48.60     4.27   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.01R    2.01  
Morecambe        35   35  -19      -2.60    38.95    -3.41    48.04     4.34   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.59R    3.64  
Port_Vale        35   34  -14      -7.59    18.90    -5.66    46.67     4.21   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.90R    5.01  
Macclesfield     35   30  -24      -2.41    39.90     0.27    40.73     4.17   -30.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.19R   44.65  
Notts_County     35   29  -32     -10.09    11.81   -17.59    41.14     4.34   -36.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.69R   43.88  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Maidenhead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            36   69  +20      12.58    92.19     9.67    84.91     4.10    23.28    26.05    95.43    42.96P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   67  +28      12.24    91.41    17.93    84.38     4.50    31.51    26.53    94.03    41.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      34   64  +30       4.53    69.96    11.17    84.50     4.65    35.94    31.07    93.68    50.43P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          35   63  +29       2.11    58.90     9.53    81.93     4.44    34.62    12.77    85.98    35.38P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       35   60  +21       6.08    74.51    11.89    77.26     4.62    24.22     1.95    49.53    12.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   59  +13       3.69    66.00     3.99    73.59     4.25    14.35     0.15    16.58     3.74P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          35   58   +1      11.05    89.03     2.28    72.60     4.41     0.36     0.09    10.86     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     34   57  +18       5.90    73.46    11.33    75.89     4.82    21.85     1.23    36.93     8.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      35   57   +6       6.35    76.31     1.83    73.45     4.43     8.25     0.16    15.44     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   52  +12      -1.68    42.72     5.31    67.78     4.27    15.06     0.00     1.26     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            35   47   -1      -2.07    41.21    -2.69    61.72     4.51    -1.62     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Barrow             35   46   -3       1.00    55.15     0.43    59.99     4.39    -4.24     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.31R    0.00  
Hartlepool         36   45   -5      -2.43    39.68    -2.62    57.45     4.17    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          35   43   -3      -6.21    24.70    -5.17    58.86     4.51    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Halifax            35   43   -4       0.60    53.37     2.20    55.25     4.18    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.13R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       35   42   -8      -4.41    30.78    -6.66    55.71     4.37    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.37R    0.00  
Barnet             31   40   -7      -5.63    25.45   -12.00    62.03     5.40    -4.73     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.52R    0.00  
Maidenhead         35   40  -20       0.91    55.11    -6.48    52.19     4.37   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.12R    0.00  
Chesterfield       35   39   -6     -11.13    10.71    -9.76    56.22     4.50    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.16R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     36   39  -14      -9.06    15.67   -12.47    52.25     4.22   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.48R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    36   35  -15      -4.16    33.22     1.88    46.08     4.24   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.97R    0.30  
Aldershot          35   32  -29      -7.94    17.51   -18.05    44.47     4.31   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.54R    1.37  
Maidstone_United   35   26  -34      -6.27    22.36   -10.29    36.63     4.12   -40.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.60R   33.60  
Braintree_Town     35   25  -29      -6.24    23.17    -3.24    33.82     3.94   -38.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   64.73