Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 2 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2019, Bournemouth 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         29   71  +56       3.12    67.45     4.29    92.56     3.18    73.27    58.76    99.72    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   69  +49       8.77    90.77    11.61    91.88     3.59    64.56    41.21    99.41    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   61  +26       3.60    68.09    -2.47    78.47     3.57    34.26     0.03     0.75    58.12    83.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          29   58  +20       3.04    65.11    -3.94    74.80     3.79    27.10     0.00     0.05    16.40    44.16    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          29   57  +22       4.33    71.55     0.36    73.93     3.99    29.21     0.00     0.02    13.48    37.33    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          27   53  +18       3.84    69.86    -0.87    73.84     4.19    26.97     0.00     0.05    12.07    34.89    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +2       5.69    77.19     7.11    53.72     3.76    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   40   -1       6.14    79.61     7.58    52.34     3.96    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         29   39   -4       2.97    65.57     3.84    50.38     3.76    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          28   36   +0      -3.35    33.11     0.29    48.01     4.13    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   35   -5      -1.50    42.78    -0.56    48.79     4.10    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      29   34  -15       1.69    59.91     0.66    46.26     3.96   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   33   -4      -3.28    33.75     2.57    44.59     3.74    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Newcastle        29   31  -10      -3.78    30.96    -1.79    41.92     3.85   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Brighton         28   30  -11      -1.23    44.07     0.93    40.21     3.79   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.77R    0.00  
Burnley          29   30  -21      -2.07    39.79    -7.83    38.49     3.52   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.36R    0.00  
Southampton      29   27  -17      -5.48    22.90    -3.70    37.80     3.80   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.29R    0.00  
Cardiff          29   25  -32       0.17    52.66    -5.37    31.58     3.30   -43.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.49R    0.24  
Fulham           28   17  -37      -6.40    17.59    -6.64    24.86     3.65   -48.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.22R   17.62  
Huddersfield     29   14  -36      -7.65    11.18    -6.05    19.98     3.16   -46.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   82.14  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2019, Aston_Villa 4 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         35   69  +26      11.96    90.61    12.19    87.69     4.47    31.77    53.38    79.07    99.97    83.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    35   67  +21      12.04    91.21    10.56    84.18     4.54    24.04    18.76    46.04    99.54    57.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       34   64  +25       8.42    83.03    11.64    84.08     4.68    30.52    21.27    49.41    99.42    61.88P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   60  +20      -0.78    46.31     0.35    80.08     4.41    27.89     4.42    16.69    96.32    41.37P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   58  +14       2.34    60.64     1.03    78.30     4.62    19.42     2.14     8.29    91.10    32.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    34   54   +8       3.90    67.41     2.96    70.93     4.64     8.71     0.03     0.34    38.72     7.46P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           34   51   +1       0.68    53.06    -4.41    70.00     4.65     4.75     0.01     0.12    30.07     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   50   +8       5.41    73.37    13.33    64.40     4.47     6.87     0.00     0.00     4.91     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   35   50   +7       2.88    63.11     8.45    65.95     4.49     8.28     0.00     0.00     8.78     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            35   50   +2       0.26    51.27    -0.18    64.68     4.41     1.14     0.00     0.00     4.82     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   48   +8      -7.43    20.20    -3.14    65.68     4.55    11.87     0.00     0.00     8.98     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         35   48   +5      -3.40    35.61     0.17    63.43     4.48     5.43     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   47   +3      -4.71    30.10    -4.55    64.84     4.77     5.01     0.00     0.00     6.67     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       34   47   -7       1.87    58.85    -4.65    62.45     4.64    -8.59     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       34   46  +12      -7.20    20.98     2.25    63.98     4.75    14.24     0.00     0.01     5.19     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   44   -5      -5.33    28.00    -6.99    59.36     4.46    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   44   -8      -0.65    47.87    -2.33    58.30     4.46    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.03R    0.00  
QPR             35   42  -13       1.22    56.29    -1.18    56.02     4.37   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.20R    0.00  
Wigan           34   36  -14      -6.93    21.53    -8.87    50.85     4.60   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    3.79R    0.01  
Millwall        35   34  -15      -8.42    16.55    -6.66    46.66     4.33   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.86R    0.09  
Reading         35   33  -14      -7.07    20.72    -1.58    44.40     4.24   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.05R    0.27  
Rotherham       35   33  -19      -3.08    37.16     0.43    42.58     4.08   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.95R    0.76  
Bolton          35   26  -33      -3.55    33.25    -5.22    35.96     3.99   -40.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.68R   24.45  
Ipswich         35   21  -32     -14.81     3.01   -13.59    31.41     4.08   -39.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   74.43  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                35   75  +40      10.62    88.53    15.04    95.85     4.41    48.71    71.19    92.48   100.00    95.10P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             35   70  +34       3.99    66.85     6.89    90.51     4.40    41.86    15.85    56.62    99.99    73.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           34   68  +29       4.79    70.23     3.77    89.79     4.68    37.05    12.42    45.72    99.95    65.24P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           35   65  +23       8.79    83.52    10.91    82.90     4.49    27.22     0.49     4.71    98.56    26.31P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             35   60  +16       4.78    70.39     5.50    78.20     4.52    20.60     0.04     0.41    90.95    20.51P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            34   55  +17       2.89    62.70     8.88    73.25     4.70    19.51     0.00     0.06    60.55    11.15P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   55   +8       2.37    60.53     1.28    71.73     4.56    10.37     0.00     0.00    39.73     6.79P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             35   50   +0       5.42    73.24     4.15    62.87     4.31    -3.07     0.00     0.00     1.80     0.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       35   49   +9      -1.97    41.49     4.57    64.80     4.49    10.06     0.00     0.00     4.87     0.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            34   48   +1       1.60    57.53     0.78    63.82     4.61     0.26     0.00     0.00     3.30     0.54P    0.05R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   44   +1      -5.35    27.97    -1.18    57.42     4.42    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.98R    0.01  
Wycombe              35   43   -8       2.69    62.58     4.21    56.22     4.44   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    5.78R    0.07  
Southend             35   41   -4      -5.36    27.64    -1.38    56.07     4.53    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    5.68R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   33   41  -10       2.58    62.69    -0.22    55.72     4.74   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    8.73R    0.21  
Plymouth             35   41  -11      -2.49    39.58    -3.66    53.70     4.39   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   15.05R    0.24  
Scunthorpe           35   41  -18      -4.15    32.73   -13.12    56.27     4.52   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    7.04R    0.17  
Shrewsbury           35   40   -7      -6.63    22.67    -5.39    55.37     4.48    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.97R    0.11  
Gillingham           35   40  -12      -2.05    41.49    -2.35    54.00     4.46   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.27R    0.53  
Oxford_Utd           35   39  -10      -5.14    28.68    -3.77    53.77     4.49   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   14.98R    0.55  
Walsall              35   39  -18      -1.32    44.74    -6.41    50.74     4.32   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.76R    1.93  
Bristol_Rovers       34   37   -2      -7.51    19.48     1.03    52.38     4.65    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.12R    1.32  
Rochdale             35   34  -32      -2.41    40.00   -12.25    45.69     4.34   -37.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.22R   20.35  
Bradford             35   33  -21      -7.79    18.61    -9.64    45.85     4.38   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.09R   17.68  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   30  -25      -5.80    24.48    -7.65    41.86     4.29   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.25R   56.72  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2019, Bury 3 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     35   69  +27       9.82    86.56    10.50    87.50     4.41    32.18    47.25    91.82   100.00    94.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             35   66  +29       2.93    62.29     5.56    85.85     4.56    36.23    34.26    88.28    99.93    92.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        35   64  +25       4.08    67.58     7.75    82.14     4.40    29.44    10.04    59.92    99.63    72.53P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   62  +22       0.29    50.88     1.64    81.55     4.45    28.51     8.33    54.16    99.26    70.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           35   55  +11       0.39    51.86     1.32    72.36     4.49    14.29     0.04     2.26    67.09    18.99P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   55   +8       6.06    75.09     6.61    69.13     4.49     6.56     0.01     0.61    36.49     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   54  +16       4.78    70.59    14.34    69.73     4.47    17.02     0.01     0.76    46.45     9.35P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   54  +14      -1.01    45.66     3.63    70.32     4.48    15.77     0.04     1.12    51.34    13.38P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         35   53   +9      -0.02    49.92     1.65    70.15     4.54    12.07     0.02     0.78    47.98    11.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          34   50   +0       1.09    55.00    -3.42    67.81     4.66     1.87     0.00     0.24    25.73     5.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        35   49   -5       3.09    63.98    -1.88    63.36     4.40    -6.03     0.00     0.01     5.00     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   34   49   -7       6.44    77.57    -0.58    64.19     4.66    -8.96     0.00     0.02     7.99     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           35   47   +8      -8.82    16.78    -3.52    63.49     4.54    10.09     0.00     0.01     8.00     2.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          35   47   -4       4.42    70.06     3.44    60.05     4.40    -6.80     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe            35   46   -6       2.18    60.31     0.45    60.82     4.44    -6.33     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      35   45   -1      -4.87    29.81    -3.70    61.34     4.48     0.77     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       35   41  -12      -1.32    44.76    -2.83    54.03     4.45   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.81R    0.08  
Crawley_Town     35   39  -11      -2.88    37.65    -1.89    52.42     4.39   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.74R    0.24  
Cambridge_Utd    35   39  -22      -1.28    44.84   -10.98    51.55     4.27   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.98R    0.51  
Yeovil           35   36  -12      -4.80    29.46    -1.38    48.55     4.28   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.31R    2.16  
Morecambe        35   35  -19      -2.43    39.55    -3.19    48.04     4.36   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.62R    3.75  
Port_Vale        35   34  -14      -7.93    17.91    -6.08    46.75     4.22   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.57R    4.77  
Macclesfield     35   30  -24      -2.39    39.76     0.26    40.72     4.15   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.45R   44.48  
Notts_County     35   29  -32     -10.16    11.78   -17.68    41.15     4.35   -36.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.51R   44.01  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 March 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Maidenhead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            36   69  +20      12.45    91.91     9.47    84.95     4.08    23.35    26.58    95.85    43.64P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     35   67  +28      12.46    91.98    18.22    84.36     4.47    31.48    26.10    94.04    40.67P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      34   64  +30       4.62    70.20    11.36    84.44     4.65    35.84    30.78    93.58    50.18P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          35   63  +29       2.06    58.94     9.47    81.95     4.47    34.67    12.97    86.13    35.25P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       35   60  +21       6.29    74.79    12.28    77.16     4.65    24.06     1.90    48.35    12.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   59  +13       3.84    66.59     4.16    73.57     4.22    14.31     0.14    16.55     3.88P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          35   58   +1      11.19    89.28     2.53    72.53     4.42     0.23     0.09    10.79     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     34   57  +18       5.69    72.62    11.02    75.88     4.82    21.85     1.28    37.35     8.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      35   57   +6       6.32    76.18     1.81    73.47     4.43     8.27     0.15    15.85     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   52  +12      -1.65    43.22     5.37    67.74     4.23    15.04     0.00     1.21     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            35   47   -1      -2.30    40.10    -3.05    61.74     4.49    -1.59     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Barrow             35   46   -3       0.95    54.97     0.42    59.98     4.38    -4.27     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Hartlepool         36   45   -5      -2.50    39.63    -2.76    57.53     4.19    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          35   43   -3      -6.48    23.49    -5.52    58.93     4.53    -1.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Halifax            35   43   -4       0.62    53.85     2.27    55.20     4.15    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.16R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       35   42   -8      -4.68    29.92    -7.05    55.81     4.39    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.33R    0.00  
Barnet             31   40   -7      -5.61    25.25   -11.96    62.05     5.37    -4.70     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.46R    0.00  
Maidenhead         35   40  -20       0.91    55.18    -6.43    52.21     4.35   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.99R    0.00  
Chesterfield       35   39   -6     -11.20    10.48    -9.81    56.26     4.51    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.08R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     36   39  -14      -8.89    16.27   -12.22    52.17     4.19   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.63R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    36   35  -15      -3.91    34.03     2.23    46.04     4.24   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.13R    0.29  
Aldershot          35   32  -29      -7.92    17.52   -18.02    44.47     4.29   -32.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.58R    1.35  
Maidstone_United   35   26  -34      -6.41    21.64   -10.57    36.68     4.13   -40.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R   33.56  
Braintree_Town     35   25  -29      -6.17    23.58    -3.23    33.80     3.94   -38.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   64.81