Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 1 March 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 February 2019, Arsenal 5 1 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 28 69 +49 8.94 91.02 11.94 91.81 3.62 64.39 44.34 98.81 99.94 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 68 +55 2.18 62.24 4.00 92.09 3.35 74.61 55.52 99.19 99.96 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 28 60 +26 4.23 71.34 -2.26 79.42 3.84 35.22 0.14 1.87 65.28 86.89 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 56 +22 4.50 72.57 0.04 73.86 4.23 28.43 0.00 0.03 13.23 37.73 99.96 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 28 55 +19 2.16 60.88 -3.69 74.13 3.97 27.55 0.00 0.03 11.07 39.31 99.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 27 53 +18 3.77 69.37 -0.98 73.91 4.19 27.03 0.00 0.06 10.51 36.07 99.95 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 28 40 +0 5.23 75.97 6.92 52.54 4.02 -2.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 Watford 28 40 -1 6.17 79.67 7.66 52.40 3.95 -4.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 Everton 28 36 +0 -3.35 33.00 0.28 47.98 4.14 -2.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 28 36 -6 1.78 59.84 2.64 48.78 4.05 -8.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 28 35 -5 -1.46 42.57 -0.45 48.78 4.12 -5.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Bournemouth 28 34 -14 2.33 63.27 0.29 46.62 4.12 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Newcastle 28 31 -8 -3.20 33.48 -0.90 43.32 4.10 -10.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 28 30 -6 -4.35 28.42 1.43 42.66 3.98 -8.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.17R 0.00 Burnley 28 30 -19 -1.24 44.04 -6.81 40.04 3.82 -25.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.86R 0.00 Brighton 27 27 -12 -2.20 38.64 0.96 39.03 3.99 -17.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.73R 0.00 Southampton 28 27 -16 -4.77 25.86 -3.95 38.30 3.97 -19.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.77R 0.00 Cardiff 28 25 -30 0.53 54.48 -4.96 32.50 3.55 -41.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.37R 0.34 Fulham 28 17 -37 -6.35 17.62 -6.47 24.82 3.65 -48.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.33R 23.67 Huddersfield 28 14 -35 -6.93 13.12 -5.69 20.84 3.37 -46.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.95R 75.99Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 March 2019, Leeds_United 4 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 35 67 +21 11.89 90.89 10.35 84.33 4.54 24.28 23.32 49.09 99.36 59.85P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 34 66 +24 11.25 89.88 11.65 86.13 4.73 29.77 41.09 67.57 99.75 74.79P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 34 64 +25 8.30 82.80 11.44 84.17 4.70 30.64 25.84 51.73 99.17 63.40P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 35 60 +20 -0.82 46.02 0.31 80.04 4.45 27.80 5.44 17.83 95.32 41.94P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 33 57 +14 2.68 62.46 0.98 79.02 4.84 19.95 4.15 12.73 90.98 35.51P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 33 53 +8 4.41 69.66 3.20 70.92 4.87 8.11 0.07 0.50 34.04 6.89P 0.00 0.00 Derby 33 51 +5 0.46 52.27 -2.81 71.66 4.89 9.17 0.08 0.49 41.20 9.79P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 34 50 +10 5.95 75.65 14.03 65.61 4.73 8.56 0.01 0.02 7.63 1.19P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 34 50 +9 3.26 65.03 8.96 67.38 4.70 10.39 0.01 0.02 13.17 2.48P 0.00 0.00 Preston 34 47 +5 -2.93 37.26 0.27 64.07 4.69 5.84 0.00 0.01 3.85 0.81P 0.00 0.00 Hull 34 47 +0 -0.74 47.04 -1.11 63.26 4.66 -0.54 0.00 0.00 2.57 0.41P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 34 47 -7 1.93 59.16 -4.54 62.34 4.66 -8.75 0.00 0.00 1.55 0.26P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 34 45 +4 -7.45 20.06 -4.66 63.73 4.77 7.34 0.00 0.00 4.04 0.94P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 33 44 +1 -5.21 27.86 -4.86 63.81 4.96 3.91 0.00 0.00 4.09 0.99P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 34 44 -7 0.33 52.07 -2.11 59.94 4.69 -8.04 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 33 43 +9 -7.39 19.89 1.54 62.58 4.94 11.62 0.00 0.00 2.65 0.61P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 34 42 -10 1.67 58.53 0.20 56.94 4.59 -12.70 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.09R 0.00 Stoke 34 41 -7 -6.07 24.83 -7.68 57.63 4.64 -6.56 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.03P 0.06R 0.00 Wigan 33 35 -14 -6.71 21.98 -8.92 50.96 4.81 -16.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.88R 0.01 Millwall 34 34 -13 -7.79 18.18 -5.88 48.12 4.57 -16.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.82R 0.07 Reading 34 30 -15 -8.45 15.87 -2.16 42.66 4.50 -20.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.40R 2.04 Rotherham 34 30 -20 -4.53 30.46 -0.59 40.79 4.31 -29.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.68R 4.37 Bolton 34 26 -31 -3.25 34.56 -4.88 36.66 4.16 -39.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.83R 27.36 Ipswich 34 21 -31 -13.50 4.19 -12.74 32.94 4.36 -38.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.23R 66.16League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Shrewsbury 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 34 72 +38 9.98 86.88 14.66 95.08 4.64 48.24 72.61 92.85 100.00 95.27P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 34 67 +31 3.80 66.39 6.18 88.93 4.69 38.93 13.56 52.06 99.96 70.09P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 33 65 +27 4.29 68.75 3.52 88.79 4.92 36.03 13.19 48.79 99.90 67.05P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 34 62 +19 8.92 84.34 9.52 81.33 4.73 23.28 0.50 4.73 96.93 25.01P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 34 59 +16 5.19 72.39 5.51 78.55 4.73 20.55 0.12 1.33 91.20 21.89P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 33 54 +17 3.17 63.94 8.72 73.70 4.94 19.68 0.01 0.23 65.59 12.64P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 34 52 +6 1.93 58.54 1.13 70.22 4.79 8.57 0.00 0.00 28.55 4.95P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 34 48 +9 -1.52 43.56 4.74 65.55 4.71 10.66 0.00 0.00 7.55 1.36P 0.02R 0.00 Blackpool 33 48 +5 1.33 56.50 2.47 65.73 4.87 5.08 0.00 0.00 8.15 1.44P 0.02R 0.00 Coventry 34 47 -1 3.82 67.40 3.27 61.27 4.55 -3.97 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.14P 0.23R 0.00 Burton_Albion 34 43 +1 -4.96 29.27 -1.08 58.18 4.68 -0.78 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.06P 1.94R 0.01 Wycombe 34 43 -6 2.98 63.86 4.28 57.43 4.70 -9.09 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 3.85R 0.04 Southend 34 41 -1 -5.20 27.94 -0.17 57.31 4.74 -1.24 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 3.62R 0.08 Plymouth 34 41 -9 -2.02 41.34 -3.19 54.51 4.57 -13.63 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 12.04R 0.20 Accrington_Stanley 32 41 -9 3.62 67.27 0.37 57.18 4.99 -13.40 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 5.50R 0.12 Scunthorpe 34 41 -17 -2.99 37.41 -12.56 57.55 4.77 -16.93 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 4.92R 0.11 Shrewsbury 34 39 -7 -5.97 24.76 -4.93 56.25 4.71 -5.81 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 6.41R 0.15 Gillingham 34 39 -12 -1.92 41.89 -2.75 54.01 4.68 -14.39 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.67R 0.72 Walsall 34 38 -18 -1.09 45.95 -6.40 50.72 4.54 -23.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.12R 2.72 Oxford_Utd 34 36 -11 -6.09 24.88 -3.86 52.00 4.74 -11.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.66R 1.86 Bristol_Rovers 33 34 -6 -7.69 18.09 -0.95 50.19 4.83 -8.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.32R 4.01 Rochdale 34 34 -30 -2.24 40.56 -12.40 46.39 4.55 -37.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.73R 17.73 Bradford 34 33 -17 -7.91 18.06 -8.23 47.11 4.62 -20.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.36R 12.54 AFC_Wimbledon 34 29 -25 -5.66 24.87 -7.85 41.78 4.46 -30.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.59R 59.70League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Lincoln_City 1 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 34 66 +26 8.51 83.35 9.98 85.81 4.66 31.08 41.20 86.91 99.87 90.60P 0.00 0.00 Bury 34 63 +26 2.91 62.21 5.16 85.11 4.73 34.75 37.45 86.26 99.79 90.52P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 34 61 +23 3.60 66.21 7.53 80.99 4.61 28.12 10.42 55.03 98.55 68.35P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 34 59 +21 -0.67 46.63 1.55 80.63 4.66 28.61 9.96 52.56 98.01 67.87P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 34 55 +12 1.64 57.58 2.07 74.29 4.75 16.12 0.47 8.13 75.77 25.48P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 34 54 +17 -0.50 47.70 5.35 71.95 4.70 19.14 0.22 4.26 60.53 18.04P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 34 54 +17 5.74 74.42 14.72 71.09 4.69 17.99 0.13 2.81 52.72 11.90P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 34 53 +11 0.87 53.98 2.92 71.88 4.77 14.64 0.14 3.39 58.45 15.98P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 34 52 +7 4.69 70.31 6.05 66.87 4.69 4.62 0.01 0.35 18.27 3.62P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 34 48 -5 3.12 64.30 -2.32 63.23 4.60 -6.79 0.00 0.02 4.35 0.70P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 34 47 -2 5.14 72.93 4.43 61.95 4.64 -4.06 0.00 0.02 2.62 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 33 47 -3 0.44 52.40 -4.95 65.86 4.91 -1.63 0.00 0.14 13.16 2.63P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 34 46 +8 -8.08 18.55 -3.02 64.42 4.78 10.87 0.00 0.09 9.86 2.63P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 34 46 -4 2.67 62.49 1.20 62.62 4.67 -3.70 0.00 0.00 3.49 0.58P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 33 46 -9 5.39 74.07 -1.61 62.27 4.92 -11.38 0.00 0.01 3.69 0.53P 0.00R 0.00 Northampton 34 42 -3 -5.79 26.35 -4.59 59.40 4.74 -1.73 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.19P 0.04R 0.01 Cheltenham 34 41 -10 -0.88 46.53 -2.41 54.92 4.63 -13.90 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.54R 0.07 Crawley_Town 34 39 -10 -2.16 40.62 -1.78 53.01 4.55 -13.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.60R 0.24 Cambridge_Utd 34 36 -24 -2.51 39.10 -12.35 49.40 4.46 -28.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.49R 2.48 Morecambe 34 35 -18 -1.77 42.27 -3.40 49.26 4.58 -21.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.06R 2.80 Yeovil 34 33 -13 -6.14 23.80 -2.12 47.12 4.49 -16.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.50R 5.43 Port_Vale 34 33 -14 -7.38 19.21 -5.71 46.91 4.45 -17.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.27R 6.30 Macclesfield 34 30 -21 -2.49 39.01 0.82 41.45 4.32 -28.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.45R 40.04 Notts_County 34 28 -32 -9.73 12.38 -17.49 41.61 4.59 -36.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.05R 42.62National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Barnet 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Wrexham 35 66 +19 11.15 90.04 8.90 83.38 4.35 22.43 23.59 91.61 40.83P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 34 64 +23 13.00 93.12 16.41 82.95 4.68 26.78 23.59 89.44 37.61P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 33 61 +29 3.59 66.22 11.28 83.37 4.88 35.68 31.73 90.55 50.14P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 34 60 +28 1.21 55.11 9.75 81.06 4.65 34.79 14.91 82.55 36.21P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 34 58 +2 12.13 91.27 2.84 74.38 4.67 1.90 0.71 23.45 4.27P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 34 57 +20 4.98 70.51 11.82 75.27 4.86 22.69 1.57 36.38 9.39P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 33 56 +18 6.27 75.20 11.28 76.48 5.07 22.15 3.19 45.90 12.26P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 35 56 +11 3.10 63.55 3.48 71.93 4.46 12.32 0.12 12.19 2.88P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 34 56 +6 7.03 79.03 2.32 74.05 4.64 8.56 0.57 22.62 5.10P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 35 52 +13 -0.69 46.82 5.81 69.49 4.48 16.54 0.02 4.83 1.22P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 34 47 +1 -1.34 44.19 -1.67 63.56 4.74 1.04 0.00 0.27 0.06P 0.02R 0.00 Barrow 34 46 -1 1.63 58.14 1.42 61.26 4.57 -2.31 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.16R 0.00 Hartlepool 35 44 -5 -2.27 40.38 -2.99 57.70 4.38 -6.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 34 42 -3 -6.17 24.21 -5.65 58.99 4.75 -2.23 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.93R 0.00 Halifax 34 40 -5 -0.73 47.37 1.66 53.23 4.39 -8.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.63R 0.00 Maidenhead 34 40 -19 1.72 58.67 -6.48 52.86 4.51 -24.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.63R 0.01 Chesterfield 34 39 -5 -10.44 11.91 -9.58 57.46 4.73 -1.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.13R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 34 39 -10 -5.59 25.90 -8.05 53.72 4.59 -12.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.96R 0.00 Barnet 30 37 -9 -6.44 21.72 -12.85 60.27 5.56 -6.88 0.00 0.14 0.03P 1.44R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 35 36 -17 -9.10 15.19 -13.09 50.88 4.45 -17.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.32R 0.09 Havant_&_Wville 35 35 -14 -3.26 36.70 2.08 46.91 4.48 -19.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.19R 0.61 Aldershot 34 32 -27 -7.25 19.43 -16.97 45.72 4.55 -30.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.78R 1.80 Maidstone_United 34 26 -29 -6.91 19.89 -8.80 37.75 4.35 -36.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.82R 34.10 Braintree_Town 34 25 -26 -6.53 21.90 -2.91 35.02 4.22 -36.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.72R 63.39