Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 28 February 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 February 2019, Arsenal 5 1 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 28 69 +49 8.88 90.83 11.85 91.84 3.59 64.42 44.45 98.86 99.94 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 68 +55 2.26 62.87 4.14 92.08 3.37 74.53 55.43 99.19 99.97 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 28 60 +26 4.21 71.35 -2.26 79.40 3.83 35.22 0.12 1.79 65.31 86.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 56 +22 4.47 72.60 -0.01 73.82 4.21 28.38 0.00 0.04 12.93 37.26 99.96 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 28 55 +19 2.04 60.51 -3.89 74.16 3.98 27.60 0.00 0.05 11.36 39.87 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 27 53 +18 3.82 69.61 -0.90 73.87 4.19 27.01 0.00 0.07 10.50 35.89 99.94 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 28 40 +0 5.02 74.86 6.58 52.62 4.02 -2.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 Watford 28 40 -1 6.03 79.54 7.48 52.36 3.97 -4.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 Everton 28 36 +0 -3.21 33.75 0.51 48.02 4.12 -2.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 28 36 -6 1.95 60.92 2.89 48.77 4.01 -8.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 28 35 -5 -1.60 41.96 -0.71 48.80 4.10 -5.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 28 34 -14 2.36 63.37 0.35 46.61 4.12 -16.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Newcastle 28 31 -8 -3.10 34.03 -0.79 43.29 4.10 -10.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.70R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 28 30 -6 -4.17 28.88 1.62 42.63 3.99 -8.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.22R 0.00 Burnley 28 30 -19 -1.31 43.52 -6.97 40.08 3.84 -25.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.76R 0.00 Brighton 27 27 -12 -2.19 38.69 0.93 39.07 4.00 -17.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.60R 0.00 Southampton 28 27 -16 -4.87 25.56 -4.05 38.33 3.98 -19.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.84R 0.00 Cardiff 28 25 -30 0.63 54.96 -4.81 32.48 3.55 -41.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.49R 0.36 Fulham 28 17 -37 -6.36 17.67 -6.44 24.79 3.66 -48.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.33R 23.36 Huddersfield 28 14 -35 -6.86 13.14 -5.53 20.82 3.39 -46.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.96R 76.28Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Bristol_City 1 2 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 34 66 +24 11.19 89.33 11.61 86.13 4.75 29.77 42.27 67.84 99.75 75.36P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 34 64 +25 8.34 82.66 11.46 84.20 4.68 30.68 26.39 52.66 99.24 64.42P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 34 64 +17 11.92 91.37 8.96 82.14 4.77 19.38 12.73 30.97 97.45 44.08P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 34 60 +24 -1.12 44.46 1.78 81.94 4.67 32.63 14.16 34.56 97.68 55.57P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 33 57 +14 2.72 62.45 1.05 79.00 4.84 19.94 4.28 12.80 91.03 36.10P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 33 53 +8 4.52 70.24 3.33 70.89 4.86 8.09 0.08 0.53 34.18 6.86P 0.00 0.00 Derby 33 51 +5 0.48 52.10 -2.72 71.56 4.88 9.05 0.09 0.56 40.65 9.86P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 34 50 +10 5.99 75.68 14.06 65.59 4.69 8.54 0.00 0.02 7.53 1.16P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 34 50 +9 3.31 65.05 9.13 67.30 4.71 10.28 0.00 0.03 12.92 2.34P 0.00 0.00 Preston 34 47 +5 -3.06 36.78 0.06 64.08 4.69 5.85 0.00 0.01 4.05 0.86P 0.00 0.00 Hull 34 47 +0 -0.70 47.28 -1.13 63.20 4.65 -0.69 0.00 0.01 2.43 0.42P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 34 47 -7 1.89 58.84 -4.61 62.44 4.66 -8.57 0.00 0.00 1.66 0.26P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 34 45 +4 -7.33 20.41 -4.45 63.84 4.78 7.49 0.00 0.01 4.28 1.03P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 33 44 +1 -5.09 28.32 -4.75 63.76 4.91 3.80 0.00 0.00 3.79 0.94P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 34 44 -7 0.45 52.81 -1.88 59.87 4.71 -8.12 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 33 43 +9 -7.43 19.97 1.45 62.61 4.94 11.63 0.00 0.00 2.71 0.61P 0.00 0.00 QPR 34 42 -10 1.47 57.56 -0.12 57.00 4.60 -12.59 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.07R 0.00 Stoke 34 41 -7 -6.16 24.66 -7.86 57.67 4.67 -6.48 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.04P 0.05R 0.00 Wigan 33 35 -14 -6.91 21.22 -9.16 51.14 4.86 -16.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.52R 0.03 Millwall 34 34 -13 -7.75 18.30 -5.81 48.08 4.60 -16.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.86R 0.08 Reading 34 30 -15 -8.32 16.15 -2.04 42.55 4.47 -21.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.53R 2.12 Rotherham 34 30 -20 -4.21 31.59 -0.08 40.67 4.28 -29.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.14R 4.74 Bolton 34 26 -31 -3.22 34.53 -4.87 36.63 4.16 -39.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.72R 28.29 Ipswich 34 21 -31 -13.87 3.76 -13.41 33.08 4.34 -37.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.07R 64.74League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Shrewsbury 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 34 72 +38 9.98 87.13 14.68 95.11 4.62 48.25 73.07 92.96 100.00 95.26P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 34 67 +31 3.83 66.45 6.13 88.93 4.68 38.93 13.26 52.31 99.96 70.09P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 33 65 +27 4.37 68.64 3.63 88.76 4.92 36.01 13.04 48.60 99.88 66.57P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 34 62 +19 9.08 84.75 9.78 81.33 4.68 23.27 0.52 4.50 96.84 24.59P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 34 59 +16 5.17 72.05 5.48 78.51 4.75 20.55 0.10 1.35 91.07 22.25P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 33 54 +17 3.03 63.40 8.50 73.75 4.96 19.74 0.02 0.27 65.62 12.87P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 34 52 +6 1.88 58.19 1.10 70.26 4.79 8.63 0.00 0.01 28.66 5.20P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 34 48 +9 -1.52 43.33 4.70 65.57 4.71 10.69 0.00 0.00 7.66 1.43P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 33 48 +5 1.38 56.78 2.52 65.73 4.87 5.05 0.00 0.00 8.21 1.43P 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 34 47 -1 4.25 68.92 3.85 61.12 4.56 -4.19 0.00 0.00 1.06 0.14P 0.31R 0.00 Burton_Albion 34 43 +1 -4.71 30.23 -0.79 58.18 4.67 -0.78 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.06P 1.94R 0.01 Wycombe 34 43 -6 2.97 63.87 4.22 57.40 4.69 -9.12 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 3.85R 0.05 Southend 34 41 -1 -5.31 27.59 -0.36 57.34 4.73 -1.20 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 3.56R 0.07 Plymouth 34 41 -9 -2.04 41.34 -3.22 54.48 4.55 -13.69 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 11.88R 0.26 Accrington_Stanley 32 41 -9 3.74 67.58 0.57 57.13 5.02 -13.47 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03P 5.84R 0.12 Scunthorpe 34 41 -17 -3.11 36.79 -12.71 57.60 4.76 -16.85 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.01P 4.92R 0.11 Shrewsbury 34 39 -7 -6.32 23.51 -5.40 56.31 4.72 -5.72 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 6.26R 0.17 Gillingham 34 39 -12 -1.91 41.94 -2.67 53.97 4.68 -14.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.06R 0.77 Walsall 34 38 -18 -1.04 45.89 -6.34 50.77 4.53 -23.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.83R 2.36 Oxford_Utd 34 36 -11 -6.31 23.74 -4.12 52.04 4.75 -11.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.76R 1.89 Bristol_Rovers 33 34 -6 -7.88 17.81 -1.29 50.23 4.86 -8.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.99R 4.09 Rochdale 34 34 -30 -2.01 41.88 -12.04 46.30 4.52 -37.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.53R 18.27 Bradford 34 33 -17 -7.96 17.85 -8.23 47.17 4.61 -20.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.71R 12.09 AFC_Wimbledon 34 29 -25 -5.77 24.83 -7.99 41.76 4.45 -30.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.54R 59.74League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Lincoln_City 1 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 34 66 +26 8.63 83.93 10.15 85.76 4.68 30.99 40.86 86.75 99.89 90.31P 0.00 0.00 Bury 34 63 +26 3.11 63.25 5.51 85.09 4.72 34.71 37.87 86.31 99.81 90.44P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 34 61 +23 3.59 65.89 7.48 80.99 4.61 28.12 10.45 54.86 98.58 68.01P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 34 59 +21 -0.57 47.17 1.70 80.62 4.66 28.60 9.79 52.96 98.02 68.17P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 34 55 +12 1.55 56.97 1.92 74.28 4.73 16.11 0.47 7.87 75.58 25.27P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 34 54 +17 -0.55 47.32 5.29 71.97 4.74 19.19 0.25 4.42 61.05 18.45P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 34 54 +17 5.75 74.52 14.74 71.06 4.72 17.95 0.13 2.77 52.63 11.99P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 34 53 +11 0.88 54.09 2.98 71.89 4.80 14.64 0.17 3.48 58.19 16.02P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 34 52 +7 4.81 70.67 6.23 66.84 4.66 4.57 0.01 0.32 18.21 3.44P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 34 48 -5 2.99 63.69 -2.55 63.27 4.62 -6.73 0.00 0.04 4.55 0.83P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 34 47 -2 5.02 72.69 4.36 61.97 4.64 -4.03 0.00 0.00 2.87 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 33 47 -3 0.66 53.36 -4.63 65.81 4.87 -1.71 0.00 0.13 12.68 2.58P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 34 46 +8 -8.26 18.20 -3.34 64.46 4.80 10.93 0.00 0.07 10.04 2.70P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 34 46 -4 2.83 63.38 1.44 62.59 4.68 -3.75 0.00 0.01 3.46 0.61P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 33 46 -9 5.29 73.65 -1.76 62.31 4.94 -11.36 0.00 0.01 3.65 0.56P 0.00R 0.00 Northampton 34 42 -3 -5.71 26.58 -4.54 59.35 4.73 -1.76 0.00 0.01 0.76 0.17P 0.03R 0.01 Cheltenham 34 41 -10 -1.06 45.98 -2.74 55.01 4.62 -13.78 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.49R 0.05 Crawley_Town 34 39 -10 -2.31 40.23 -1.99 53.08 4.52 -13.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.52R 0.21 Cambridge_Utd 34 36 -24 -2.51 38.97 -12.31 49.37 4.47 -28.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.60R 2.43 Morecambe 34 35 -18 -1.70 42.76 -3.30 49.26 4.59 -21.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.27R 2.90 Yeovil 34 33 -13 -6.15 23.83 -2.13 47.17 4.55 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.73R 5.59 Port_Vale 34 33 -14 -7.43 19.00 -5.84 46.89 4.43 -17.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.19R 6.45 Macclesfield 34 30 -21 -2.46 39.49 0.85 41.42 4.32 -28.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.23R 39.87 Notts_County 34 28 -32 -9.77 12.47 -17.53 41.61 4.59 -36.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.93R 42.49National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Barnet 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Wrexham 35 66 +19 11.28 90.37 9.11 83.34 4.35 22.39 23.22 91.24 40.19P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 34 64 +23 13.09 93.28 16.45 82.99 4.69 26.82 24.18 89.39 37.83P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 33 61 +29 3.58 66.20 11.29 83.31 4.86 35.62 30.92 90.35 49.62P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 34 60 +28 1.11 54.65 9.62 81.15 4.66 34.95 15.43 82.93 36.68P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 34 58 +2 12.13 91.55 2.88 74.37 4.66 1.91 0.72 23.39 4.31P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 34 57 +20 4.86 69.99 11.59 75.29 4.86 22.71 1.62 35.93 9.48P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 33 56 +18 6.28 75.21 11.36 76.51 5.07 22.21 3.12 45.81 12.20P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 35 56 +11 2.99 63.32 3.30 71.94 4.47 12.31 0.15 12.36 2.91P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 34 56 +6 6.84 78.38 2.02 74.13 4.65 8.65 0.62 23.11 5.48P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 35 52 +13 -0.89 46.15 5.52 69.52 4.50 16.63 0.01 4.91 1.17P 0.00 0.00 Bromley 34 47 +1 -1.43 43.88 -1.78 63.58 4.76 1.10 0.00 0.31 0.06P 0.04R 0.00 Barrow 34 46 -1 1.45 57.32 1.19 61.37 4.59 -2.18 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.16R 0.00 Hartlepool 35 44 -5 -2.32 40.23 -3.07 57.67 4.38 -6.85 0.00 0.00 0.00P 1.17R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 34 42 -3 -5.89 25.15 -5.23 58.91 4.75 -2.35 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.99R 0.00 Halifax 34 40 -5 -0.72 47.26 1.72 53.18 4.36 -8.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.78R 0.00 Maidenhead 34 40 -19 1.69 58.71 -6.46 52.81 4.51 -24.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.92R 0.00 Chesterfield 34 39 -5 -10.57 11.73 -9.75 57.53 4.75 -1.87 0.00 0.00 0.00P 2.07R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 34 39 -10 -5.53 26.46 -7.93 53.65 4.63 -12.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.18R 0.01 Barnet 30 37 -9 -6.53 21.38 -13.00 60.39 5.60 -6.71 0.00 0.20 0.05P 1.37R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 35 36 -17 -9.22 14.75 -13.26 50.92 4.42 -17.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.84R 0.07 Havant_&_Wville 35 35 -14 -3.22 36.83 2.13 46.88 4.45 -19.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.32R 0.55 Aldershot 34 32 -27 -7.25 19.37 -16.94 45.71 4.53 -30.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.56R 1.67 Maidstone_United 34 26 -29 -6.69 20.62 -8.46 37.67 4.32 -36.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.88R 33.60 Braintree_Town 34 25 -26 -6.18 23.02 -2.30 34.88 4.21 -36.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.73R 64.10