Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 February 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Cardiff 0 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        27   66  +44       9.05    91.41    10.38    91.03     3.83    60.69    40.11    96.28    99.89    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   65  +54       1.43    57.42     4.37    91.82     3.47    76.44    59.27    97.86    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   60  +28       5.01    75.64    -1.22    80.98     4.07    37.63     0.62     5.72    81.12    94.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          27   53  +18       4.43    72.78    -0.90    72.80     4.44    25.41     0.00     0.04     7.50    37.05    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   52  +17       1.26    56.32    -4.40    72.87     4.21    26.04     0.00     0.04     5.77    38.46    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          26   50  +16       2.73    64.10    -1.93    72.08     4.49    24.69     0.00     0.06     5.77    29.86    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   40   +4       5.42    76.95     8.83    53.18     4.12    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0       5.16    75.44     6.80    52.59     4.05    -2.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.00     0.00  
Everton          28   36   +0      -3.20    33.75     0.50    48.07     4.16    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham         27   36   -5       2.75    64.96     2.40    48.77     4.11   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        28   35   -5      -1.62    41.91    -0.84    48.80     4.13    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth      27   34  -10       2.47    63.74     1.68    47.33     4.29   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Newcastle        28   31   -8      -2.97    34.59    -0.62    43.32     4.11   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   30   -4      -3.65    31.37     2.24    43.70     4.22    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Burnley          28   30  -19      -1.22    44.21    -6.82    39.99     3.83   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.55R    0.00  
Brighton         27   27  -12      -2.18    38.74     0.92    39.03     4.03   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.72R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   25  -30       0.62    55.11    -4.90    32.56     3.57   -41.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.93R    0.47  
Southampton      27   24  -18      -5.64    21.49    -4.71    37.04     4.21   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.96R    0.06  
Fulham           27   17  -35      -5.91    19.08    -6.22    25.83     3.92   -47.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.52R   18.40  
Huddersfield     28   14  -35      -6.82    13.20    -5.58    20.83     3.39   -46.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   81.06  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Bristol_City 1 2 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         34   66  +24      11.14    89.83    11.47    86.15     4.74    29.82    42.44    68.26    99.73    75.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       34   64  +25       8.30    82.77    11.44    84.19     4.70    30.68    26.21    52.23    99.23    64.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    34   64  +17      11.86    91.21     8.87    82.12     4.78    19.38    12.62    30.97    97.41    44.22P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       34   60  +24      -0.95    45.17     2.02    81.94     4.67    32.62    14.14    34.35    97.62    55.51P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   57  +14       2.77    62.56     1.10    79.03     4.83    19.94     4.35    12.97    90.82    35.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    33   53   +8       4.26    69.00     3.00    70.97     4.86     8.21     0.13     0.57    34.63     7.29P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           33   51   +5       0.49    52.39    -2.71    71.57     4.86     9.06     0.11     0.57    40.04     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      34   50  +10       5.90    75.41    13.92    65.67     4.68     8.67     0.00     0.02     7.57     1.13P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   34   50   +9       3.42    65.79     9.26    67.28     4.70    10.26     0.00     0.03    13.06     2.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         34   47   +5      -2.95    37.16     0.21    64.02     4.70     5.76     0.00     0.01     4.03     0.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull            34   47   +0      -0.55    47.97    -0.93    63.20     4.65    -0.70     0.00     0.00     2.48     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       34   47   -7       1.86    59.00    -4.64    62.47     4.68    -8.55     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   45   +4      -7.31    20.25    -4.44    63.79     4.80     7.44     0.00     0.00     4.22     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         33   44   +1      -5.23    27.82    -4.95    63.80     4.96     3.88     0.00     0.00     4.07     1.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       34   44   -7       0.34    51.98    -2.06    59.91     4.75    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       33   43   +9      -7.53    19.59     1.30    62.60     4.96    11.67     0.00     0.00     2.76     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             34   42  -10       1.59    58.16     0.11    56.93     4.58   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Stoke           34   41   -7      -6.12    24.73    -7.82    57.68     4.70    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Wigan           33   35  -14      -6.81    21.59    -9.07    51.04     4.86   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.66R    0.02  
Millwall        34   34  -13      -7.87    17.76    -6.00    48.10     4.60   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.67R    0.08  
Reading         34   30  -15      -8.35    16.14    -2.04    42.62     4.48   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.12R    2.22  
Rotherham       34   30  -20      -4.23    31.43    -0.09    40.65     4.27   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.67R    4.61  
Bolton          34   26  -31      -3.28    34.75    -4.96    36.66     4.17   -39.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.61R   27.61  
Ipswich         34   21  -31     -13.64     4.12   -13.00    33.00     4.36   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.14R   65.47  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Shrewsbury 2 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                34   72  +38      10.07    87.30    14.82    95.07     4.63    48.19    72.66    92.75   100.00    95.25P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             34   67  +31       3.63    65.50     5.86    89.01     4.67    39.04    13.64    52.74    99.98    70.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           33   65  +27       4.25    68.25     3.48    88.80     4.89    36.08    13.02    48.42    99.89    66.77P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           34   62  +19       8.83    83.97     9.47    81.38     4.71    23.32     0.52     4.63    97.00    24.77P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             34   59  +16       5.28    72.54     5.67    78.51     4.75    20.50     0.13     1.20    91.13    21.79P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            33   54  +17       3.21    64.20     8.84    73.67     4.94    19.62     0.03     0.25    65.18    12.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         34   52   +6       1.85    58.39     0.97    70.21     4.79     8.57     0.00     0.02    28.84     5.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       34   48   +9      -1.49    43.47     4.74    65.58     4.72    10.67     0.00     0.00     7.92     1.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool            33   48   +5       1.42    57.15     2.60    65.72     4.83     5.06     0.00     0.00     8.05     1.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             34   47   -1       4.08    68.13     3.60    61.20     4.56    -4.09     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.13P    0.31R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   43   +1      -4.98    28.90    -1.19    58.19     4.62    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    1.80R    0.01  
Wycombe              34   43   -6       3.05    64.20     4.35    57.39     4.69    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    3.83R    0.04  
Southend             34   41   -1      -5.38    27.49    -0.45    57.35     4.73    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    3.58R    0.07  
Plymouth             34   41   -9      -1.95    42.13    -3.08    54.44     4.60   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    12.45R    0.29  
Accrington_Stanley   32   41   -9       3.75    67.97     0.54    57.21     4.99   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    5.58R    0.10  
Scunthorpe           34   41  -17      -3.24    35.96   -12.94    57.62     4.75   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    4.75R    0.13  
Shrewsbury           34   39   -7      -6.02    24.64    -4.99    56.25     4.71    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    6.52R    0.15  
Gillingham           34   39  -12      -1.92    41.95    -2.75    54.03     4.72   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.97R    0.75  
Walsall              34   38  -18      -0.97    46.44    -6.23    50.67     4.52   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.49R    2.56  
Oxford_Utd           34   36  -11      -6.24    24.13    -4.01    52.02     4.74   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.43R    1.94  
Bristol_Rovers       33   34   -6      -7.82    18.13    -1.18    50.25     4.83    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   38.67R    3.99  
Rochdale             34   34  -30      -2.05    41.56   -12.13    46.32     4.50   -37.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.54R   17.58  
Bradford             34   33  -17      -7.91    18.21    -8.16    47.15     4.62   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.69R   12.16  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   29  -25      -5.66    24.77    -7.83    41.75     4.49   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.36R   60.22  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Lincoln_City 1 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     34   66  +26       8.60    83.55    10.07    85.77     4.67    31.03    41.07    86.63    99.88    90.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             34   63  +26       2.91    62.29     5.17    85.09     4.71    34.72    37.32    86.21    99.82    90.36P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        34   61  +23       3.46    65.27     7.24    81.06     4.61    28.26    10.82    55.57    98.60    68.77P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          34   59  +21      -0.73    46.30     1.52    80.63     4.67    28.61     9.83    52.67    98.00    67.94P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           34   55  +12       1.71    57.73     2.17    74.23     4.71    16.05     0.40     7.70    75.29    24.72P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   54  +17      -0.74    46.68     5.00    72.05     4.72    19.28     0.23     4.45    61.46    18.96P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     34   54  +17       5.59    74.05    14.51    71.11     4.71    18.03     0.11     2.88    52.59    12.01P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         34   53  +11       0.95    54.22     3.01    71.92     4.79    14.67     0.20     3.31    58.43    15.82P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   52   +7       4.75    70.56     6.14    66.85     4.67     4.54     0.01     0.30    18.11     3.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        34   48   -5       3.07    63.91    -2.39    63.24     4.62    -6.80     0.00     0.02     4.43     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          34   47   -2       5.02    72.57     4.33    61.99     4.61    -3.99     0.00     0.00     2.85     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          33   47   -3       0.59    53.35    -4.72    65.85     4.95    -1.62     0.00     0.13    13.07     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           34   46   +8      -8.23    18.08    -3.26    64.43     4.77    10.90     0.00     0.09     9.78     2.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            34   46   -4       2.81    63.02     1.44    62.55     4.69    -3.81     0.00     0.02     3.28     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   33   46   -9       5.43    74.58    -1.58    62.28     4.89   -11.41     0.00     0.02     3.58     0.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      34   42   -3      -5.68    26.82    -4.44    59.33     4.74    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Cheltenham       34   41  -10      -0.85    46.64    -2.36    54.94     4.60   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.46R    0.05  
Crawley_Town     34   39  -10      -2.26    40.02    -1.95    53.07     4.53   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.45R    0.26  
Cambridge_Utd    34   36  -24      -2.56    38.83   -12.38    49.36     4.46   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.71R    2.57  
Morecambe        34   35  -18      -1.58    43.25    -3.07    49.25     4.57   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.08R    2.76  
Yeovil           34   33  -13      -6.00    23.89    -1.96    47.10     4.51   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.92R    5.53  
Port_Vale        34   33  -14      -7.50    18.77    -5.87    46.93     4.45   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.21R    6.43  
Macclesfield     34   30  -21      -2.44    39.56     0.71    41.46     4.31   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.24R   39.71  
Notts_County     34   28  -32      -9.62    12.53   -17.33    41.59     4.61   -36.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.89R   42.69  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2019, Barnet 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            35   66  +19      11.20    90.07     9.03    83.38     4.33    22.41    23.34    91.77    40.89P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     34   64  +23      12.91    92.97    16.24    83.02     4.71    26.89    24.39    89.45    37.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      33   61  +29       3.79    66.92    11.52    83.28     4.87    35.59    30.71    90.27    49.36P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          34   60  +28       1.06    54.55     9.55    81.16     4.67    34.98    15.34    82.80    36.79P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          34   58   +2      12.05    91.37     2.77    74.35     4.63     1.90     0.61    23.41     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       34   57  +20       4.98    70.65    11.80    75.23     4.87    22.64     1.56    36.00     9.34P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     33   56  +18       6.34    75.36    11.42    76.51     5.08    22.19     3.32    45.93    12.39P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          35   56  +11       2.94    62.91     3.20    71.97     4.47    12.36     0.14    12.35     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      34   56   +6       6.78    78.26     1.94    74.11     4.66     8.65     0.59    22.75     5.18P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   35   52  +13      -0.64    47.43     5.88    69.46     4.49    16.51     0.00     4.74     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bromley            34   47   +1      -1.28    44.60    -1.56    63.56     4.72     1.07     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Barrow             34   46   -1       1.58    57.81     1.31    61.30     4.62    -2.27     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.18R    0.00  
Hartlepool         35   44   -5      -2.43    39.52    -3.15    57.70     4.38    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          34   42   -3      -6.08    24.53    -5.49    59.00     4.75    -2.21     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.88R    0.00  
Halifax            34   40   -5      -0.63    47.70     1.85    53.21     4.39    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.89R    0.00  
Maidenhead         34   40  -19       1.72    58.68    -6.45    52.81     4.52   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.78R    0.01  
Chesterfield       34   39   -5     -10.51    11.83    -9.67    57.51     4.75    -1.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       34   39  -10      -5.77    25.26    -8.23    53.68     4.58   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.84R    0.00  
Barnet             30   37   -9      -6.21    22.69   -12.56    60.24     5.61    -6.95     0.00     0.18     0.05P    1.49R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     35   36  -17      -9.06    15.22   -13.01    50.86     4.43   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.52R    0.07  
Havant_&_Wville    35   35  -14      -3.13    37.37     2.32    46.85     4.43   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.52R    0.56  
Aldershot          34   32  -27      -7.44    18.99   -17.25    45.82     4.56   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.10R    1.68  
Maidstone_United   34   26  -29      -6.88    19.89    -8.76    37.75     4.33   -36.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.76R   33.63  
Braintree_Town     34   25  -26      -6.41    22.28    -2.70    34.95     4.23   -36.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.72R   64.05