Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 18 February 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2019, Wolverhampton 1 1 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 27 65 +54 1.46 57.59 4.56 91.71 3.49 76.00 53.81 94.59 99.90 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 65 +44 9.54 92.99 10.42 91.50 4.10 60.90 43.83 92.13 99.83 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 60 +29 6.48 82.92 -0.15 83.40 4.28 40.36 2.37 13.12 89.66 97.78 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 51 +17 1.60 58.27 -4.52 73.22 4.50 25.97 0.00 0.09 4.13 42.05 99.72 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 50 +16 3.69 69.51 -1.35 72.06 4.61 24.92 0.00 0.02 3.53 30.96 99.37 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 26 50 +16 2.70 64.27 -1.89 72.00 4.47 24.56 0.00 0.03 2.95 29.21 99.38 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 26 39 +1 6.53 81.63 7.37 54.81 4.58 -0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.25 0.00 0.00 Watford 26 37 +0 5.45 77.77 7.38 51.12 4.33 -5.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.00R 0.00 Everton 27 33 -3 -3.82 30.32 -0.83 46.53 4.36 -5.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.21R 0.00 West_Ham 26 33 -7 1.99 61.51 1.84 47.69 4.32 -11.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.17R 0.00 Bournemouth 26 33 -10 2.72 65.44 1.52 47.92 4.52 -13.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.19R 0.00 Leicester 26 32 -3 -1.75 40.96 1.17 49.66 4.58 -1.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 27 -7 -4.55 26.46 0.45 41.29 4.40 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.10R 0.00 Brighton 26 27 -11 -1.32 43.38 1.18 39.91 4.26 -17.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.04R 0.01 Burnley 26 27 -18 -2.40 37.45 -7.12 38.62 4.23 -26.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.32R 0.01 Newcastle 26 25 -12 -4.60 25.43 -2.18 40.64 4.53 -13.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14R 0.00 Cardiff 26 25 -23 0.93 56.87 -2.53 35.54 4.17 -33.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.47R 0.13 Southampton 26 24 -16 -5.22 23.06 -4.29 37.79 4.39 -20.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.63R 0.04 Fulham 26 17 -33 -5.27 21.55 -5.58 26.61 4.15 -45.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.76R 11.69 Huddersfield 26 11 -34 -7.98 8.19 -5.44 19.53 3.80 -46.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.95R 88.12Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2019, Blackburn 0 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 33 63 +23 10.07 87.46 11.46 84.76 4.94 29.12 33.44 58.98 98.55 68.00P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 33 61 +24 6.92 78.70 10.77 82.02 4.94 28.84 16.93 36.58 95.70 50.93P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 32 61 +17 11.94 92.11 9.28 83.18 5.17 21.35 21.74 42.62 96.30 53.70P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 32 57 +24 -0.87 45.54 2.46 82.52 5.15 33.88 21.83 42.78 95.78 60.40P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 32 54 +12 2.01 59.66 0.31 77.87 5.03 18.60 3.59 10.80 80.21 31.39P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 31 53 +10 6.39 77.93 3.94 74.01 5.31 10.65 1.11 3.63 48.94 12.68P 0.00 0.00 Derby 31 51 +7 2.84 63.11 -1.31 75.19 5.29 12.36 1.35 4.51 59.75 17.48P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 47 +8 2.14 60.20 8.74 65.56 4.94 9.14 0.00 0.02 5.59 1.05P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 32 46 +9 4.90 72.49 13.30 64.00 5.13 7.09 0.01 0.02 3.56 0.58P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 33 44 +4 -6.89 21.50 -4.37 64.04 5.00 7.28 0.00 0.01 3.28 0.84P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 33 44 +3 -3.83 33.11 -0.60 62.23 4.89 3.51 0.00 0.00 1.27 0.26P 0.00R 0.00 Hull 32 44 +3 -1.81 42.13 0.42 63.41 5.13 3.04 0.00 0.01 2.54 0.51P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 32 44 +3 -4.64 29.71 -4.07 65.43 5.18 6.29 0.00 0.03 5.56 1.48P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 33 43 -7 0.74 54.09 -2.05 60.06 4.93 -8.38 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.06P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 32 41 -11 -0.05 50.31 -6.63 58.68 5.09 -13.37 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 0.04R 0.00 Brentford 31 40 +7 -6.78 21.07 0.88 62.35 5.40 9.66 0.00 0.01 2.12 0.53P 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 33 40 -7 -5.75 25.47 -7.83 58.18 4.92 -6.28 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.05P 0.05R 0.00 QPR 31 39 -8 1.42 57.52 0.16 57.03 5.20 -12.24 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.21R 0.00 Wigan 32 34 -14 -6.26 23.20 -8.80 51.95 5.06 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.38R 0.03 Millwall 31 31 -11 -7.82 16.84 -5.63 48.38 5.18 -15.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.32R 0.20 Reading 33 29 -15 -7.71 17.64 -1.67 43.32 4.73 -20.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.23R 2.03 Rotherham 33 29 -20 -3.99 32.27 -0.27 40.60 4.50 -30.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.87R 5.70 Bolton 33 26 -30 -2.60 38.02 -5.19 37.24 4.32 -39.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.48R 23.84 Ipswich 33 20 -31 -13.56 3.70 -13.30 32.82 4.53 -38.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.39R 68.20League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2019, Barnsley 2 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 33 71 +38 10.71 89.10 15.22 96.14 4.82 49.15 73.69 94.64 100.00 96.41P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 32 65 +31 4.88 71.14 6.38 90.75 5.15 40.66 19.90 67.91 99.94 79.23P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 32 60 +19 9.74 87.12 9.69 82.36 5.19 23.68 0.97 8.13 95.47 27.19P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 31 59 +23 2.94 62.98 2.70 86.34 5.34 33.19 5.27 27.33 98.96 52.28P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 33 56 +15 4.02 67.89 5.27 77.21 4.95 19.91 0.06 0.87 80.15 19.21P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 31 53 +19 4.35 69.33 9.90 76.07 5.41 22.61 0.12 1.05 72.68 15.96P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 33 52 +7 2.92 63.30 1.62 72.11 5.02 10.36 0.00 0.06 35.93 6.74P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 32 48 +6 2.57 62.28 3.36 67.52 5.12 6.61 0.00 0.01 11.41 2.03P 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 33 46 -1 4.08 68.37 3.11 60.93 4.75 -5.14 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.12P 0.40R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 33 45 +8 -2.78 37.59 4.36 63.87 4.93 9.55 0.00 0.00 3.34 0.61P 0.07R 0.00 Wycombe 33 43 -5 3.88 67.86 4.72 59.16 4.94 -7.58 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.05P 1.84R 0.02 Burton_Albion 32 42 +2 -3.71 33.70 -0.72 59.41 5.11 -0.64 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.10P 1.32R 0.02 Southend 33 40 -1 -4.99 28.35 -0.38 57.84 4.96 -1.02 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 2.94R 0.07 Scunthorpe 33 40 -17 -2.95 37.17 -12.93 57.82 5.00 -17.10 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 4.61R 0.13 Plymouth 33 38 -13 -2.17 40.83 -4.99 52.74 4.79 -17.85 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 22.08R 1.05 Accrington_Stanley 30 37 -11 3.20 66.12 -0.52 55.25 5.40 -16.36 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00P 12.39R 0.63 Gillingham 32 36 -11 -2.62 38.45 -2.52 52.84 5.09 -14.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 22.15R 1.49 Walsall 33 35 -19 -2.20 40.61 -6.67 48.96 4.75 -24.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.64R 6.01 Rochdale 32 34 -25 -0.99 46.40 -10.32 49.69 5.01 -30.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.00R 6.39 Bristol_Rovers 31 33 -4 -7.08 19.70 -0.54 51.24 5.26 -7.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 30.31R 2.95 Oxford_Utd 32 33 -10 -7.02 20.67 -3.81 51.58 5.16 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.62R 2.52 Shrewsbury 32 33 -10 -8.39 15.69 -6.69 52.10 5.13 -10.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 25.00R 1.91 Bradford 33 33 -16 -7.02 20.78 -7.93 48.56 4.85 -19.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.00R 7.55 AFC_Wimbledon 32 26 -25 -6.07 22.16 -8.31 40.67 4.84 -31.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.65R 69.26League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2019, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 32 62 +24 8.17 83.35 9.28 85.15 5.09 29.99 44.04 85.21 99.53 88.97P 0.00 0.00 Bury 33 60 +24 2.31 59.88 4.82 83.69 4.97 33.01 33.10 81.90 99.21 87.12P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 33 58 +22 2.39 60.70 7.10 79.74 4.85 27.70 10.52 51.35 95.96 65.01P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 33 56 +19 -1.13 44.42 1.31 79.49 4.89 27.42 9.80 49.93 95.37 64.65P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 33 54 +18 6.44 77.33 14.82 72.06 4.90 18.42 0.56 6.67 57.75 15.71P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 33 53 +17 -0.05 49.78 5.42 72.70 4.94 19.74 0.79 8.89 63.11 22.58P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 33 52 +11 1.11 55.05 2.67 71.99 5.00 14.23 0.41 5.56 55.71 17.12P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 32 51 +11 0.39 51.86 1.11 72.66 5.16 14.59 0.65 7.87 59.92 20.77P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 33 48 -4 4.11 68.83 -1.97 64.88 4.87 -5.39 0.01 0.21 8.79 1.58P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 32 46 +11 -6.60 22.13 -2.02 68.13 5.16 15.27 0.09 1.63 28.88 9.28P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 32 46 +5 2.16 60.10 5.17 63.81 5.10 2.93 0.01 0.16 7.63 1.57P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 33 46 -2 5.06 73.13 3.93 61.91 4.82 -4.67 0.00 0.01 2.90 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 33 46 -3 3.76 67.45 1.76 63.96 4.90 -2.73 0.00 0.08 6.44 1.16P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 32 46 -3 1.19 55.83 -4.44 66.52 5.11 -1.20 0.02 0.50 15.93 3.63P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 31 43 -10 5.27 74.21 -2.49 60.88 5.28 -14.17 0.00 0.03 2.48 0.34P 0.07R 0.01 Northampton 33 39 -4 -6.94 21.65 -4.91 57.41 4.95 -3.25 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.06P 0.30R 0.03 Crawley_Town 33 38 -10 -1.57 43.25 -1.44 53.96 4.77 -12.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 1.86R 0.37 Cambridge_Utd 32 36 -21 -1.10 45.44 -11.15 51.95 4.90 -25.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.71R 1.48 Cheltenham 32 35 -13 -3.03 36.31 -3.63 51.83 5.08 -16.74 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 5.54R 1.36 Port_Vale 32 33 -12 -5.45 25.41 -4.83 49.78 4.89 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.46R 3.11 Morecambe 32 32 -17 -2.80 36.94 -3.48 47.97 4.94 -21.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.41R 7.49 Yeovil 33 30 -14 -7.16 19.62 -2.10 45.55 4.75 -17.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.42R 13.53 Macclesfield 33 29 -21 -2.27 40.19 0.65 41.35 4.52 -29.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.94R 48.87 Notts_County 32 28 -28 -8.24 15.72 -15.56 44.45 5.04 -32.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.29R 23.74National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Solihull_Moors 34 64 +23 12.95 92.81 16.33 82.83 4.70 26.63 25.25 88.90 38.56P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 62 +17 10.88 89.97 8.34 81.90 4.78 20.21 18.22 82.88 34.18P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 33 61 +29 3.63 66.06 11.29 83.35 4.89 35.68 34.22 90.50 52.02P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 33 57 +24 1.36 55.95 8.59 79.82 4.87 31.47 11.46 73.71 30.54P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 33 57 +22 5.28 72.24 12.15 77.50 5.11 25.97 5.63 54.76 17.17P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 34 55 +11 3.35 65.03 3.33 72.38 4.67 12.45 0.32 15.56 3.89P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 32 55 +7 8.12 82.93 2.42 75.99 5.12 9.87 2.51 38.26 10.06P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 33 55 +0 11.06 89.93 1.69 72.20 4.86 -0.96 0.33 13.55 2.48P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 32 53 +17 5.28 72.04 11.39 74.40 5.35 20.44 1.92 31.23 8.34P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 33 50 +13 0.23 51.06 6.11 70.61 4.93 17.12 0.11 9.59 2.48P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 33 45 -1 1.86 59.18 1.29 61.61 4.83 -2.35 0.00 0.12 0.03P 0.20R 0.00 Bromley 33 44 +0 -2.80 37.80 -2.37 61.75 4.98 -0.21 0.00 0.13 0.03P 0.21R 0.00 Hartlepool 33 43 -4 -1.15 45.04 -2.75 59.20 4.86 -6.15 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.82R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 33 39 -4 -7.36 19.77 -5.95 57.32 4.99 -3.31 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.55R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 33 39 -8 -4.98 28.08 -7.02 55.17 4.82 -10.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.63R 0.00 Maidenhead 33 37 -20 0.37 52.50 -6.89 50.99 4.74 -26.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.14R 0.13 Chesterfield 32 36 -6 -10.24 11.57 -9.81 56.96 5.23 -3.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.68R 0.01 Halifax 32 36 -6 -1.72 42.19 1.36 52.20 4.87 -9.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.62R 0.04 Barnet 28 36 -7 -5.32 25.24 -11.66 62.49 6.01 -4.19 0.01 0.77 0.22P 0.85R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 34 36 -16 -8.14 17.47 -12.60 52.53 4.68 -15.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.74R 0.07 Havant_&_Wville 33 34 -10 -3.39 35.83 2.82 48.15 4.93 -15.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.65R 0.81 Aldershot 33 29 -28 -8.71 14.28 -17.58 44.02 4.75 -31.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.99R 7.52 Maidstone_United 33 26 -28 -5.85 23.76 -8.08 39.03 4.59 -35.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.96R 33.04 Braintree_Town 33 25 -25 -5.65 24.92 -2.40 36.45 4.52 -34.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.96R 58.36