Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 15 February 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2019, Wolverhampton 1 1 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 27 65 +54 1.42 57.55 4.39 91.73 3.48 76.04 53.41 94.73 99.91 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 65 +44 9.48 93.03 10.33 91.56 4.07 61.00 44.13 92.36 99.82 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 60 +29 6.49 82.86 -0.16 83.45 4.26 40.44 2.46 12.80 90.16 97.84 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 51 +17 1.77 59.26 -4.23 73.11 4.52 25.80 0.00 0.06 3.97 41.63 99.67 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 50 +16 3.82 70.12 -1.18 72.00 4.64 24.82 0.00 0.03 3.26 31.39 99.28 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 26 50 +16 2.80 64.89 -1.76 71.90 4.49 24.42 0.00 0.02 2.87 29.12 99.42 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 26 39 +1 6.34 81.00 7.07 54.91 4.60 -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.25 0.00 0.00 Watford 26 37 +0 5.37 77.45 7.27 51.15 4.33 -5.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.00R 0.00 Everton 27 33 -3 -3.71 31.02 -0.66 46.50 4.37 -5.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.22R 0.00 West_Ham 26 33 -7 1.95 61.35 1.82 47.67 4.33 -11.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.15R 0.00 Bournemouth 26 33 -10 2.84 65.97 1.74 47.87 4.52 -13.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.17R 0.00 Leicester 26 32 -3 -1.88 40.17 1.02 49.68 4.60 -1.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.04R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 27 -7 -4.39 27.20 0.66 41.26 4.40 -10.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.13R 0.00 Brighton 26 27 -11 -1.25 43.80 1.30 39.91 4.24 -17.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.12R 0.01 Burnley 26 27 -18 -2.57 36.42 -7.40 38.73 4.20 -26.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.45R 0.00 Newcastle 26 25 -12 -4.64 25.27 -2.21 40.65 4.53 -13.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.15R 0.00 Cardiff 26 25 -23 0.95 57.02 -2.58 35.57 4.17 -33.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.87R 0.12 Southampton 26 24 -16 -5.21 23.11 -4.27 37.76 4.38 -20.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.92R 0.04 Fulham 26 17 -33 -5.31 21.36 -5.59 26.63 4.14 -45.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.80R 11.48 Huddersfield 26 11 -34 -8.04 8.44 -5.58 19.52 3.78 -46.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.96R 88.34Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 February 2019, Brentford 1 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 32 61 +17 11.98 92.00 9.35 83.09 5.23 21.21 28.71 51.20 96.48 60.62P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 32 60 +19 10.05 87.74 9.97 83.12 5.20 25.04 29.29 53.86 96.81 63.28P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 32 58 +20 7.04 79.34 9.49 80.70 5.08 25.27 16.38 34.68 93.05 48.41P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 31 54 +22 -1.82 40.94 1.51 80.58 5.37 31.41 18.23 37.15 91.97 55.39P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 31 53 +10 6.53 78.41 4.19 73.96 5.33 10.57 1.87 5.45 51.44 14.70P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 31 51 +11 0.89 54.44 0.04 76.17 5.30 17.58 3.37 10.29 71.25 28.45P 0.00 0.00 Derby 31 51 +7 2.71 62.71 -1.52 75.20 5.28 12.37 2.11 6.95 62.31 20.57P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 32 46 +9 4.89 72.42 13.21 64.00 5.10 7.05 0.00 0.06 4.10 0.70P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 32 46 +8 2.27 61.25 8.49 65.67 5.13 8.70 0.01 0.10 7.27 1.51P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 32 44 +6 -6.59 22.05 -4.01 65.78 5.23 9.85 0.02 0.12 8.37 2.32P 0.00 0.00 Hull 32 44 +3 -1.71 42.35 0.59 63.44 5.11 3.07 0.00 0.02 3.02 0.63P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 32 44 +3 -4.56 29.88 -3.88 65.44 5.17 6.32 0.01 0.07 6.62 1.79P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 32 43 +3 -3.28 35.22 -0.33 62.96 5.16 4.04 0.00 0.01 2.64 0.58P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 32 43 -6 1.74 58.47 -1.53 61.24 5.14 -7.64 0.00 0.01 1.08 0.20P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 31 40 +7 -6.59 21.82 1.17 62.33 5.43 9.60 0.00 0.03 2.70 0.65P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 40 -11 0.34 52.46 -6.62 59.16 5.33 -13.14 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.09P 0.12R 0.00 Stoke 32 39 -7 -5.43 26.62 -7.85 58.83 5.14 -5.88 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.07P 0.12R 0.00 QPR 31 39 -8 1.59 58.26 0.40 57.01 5.22 -12.27 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 0.37R 0.00 Wigan 32 34 -14 -6.19 23.44 -8.73 51.93 5.06 -15.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.39R 0.04 Millwall 31 31 -11 -7.97 16.33 -5.78 48.45 5.21 -15.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.08R 0.26 Reading 32 29 -11 -8.02 16.39 -0.41 44.57 4.94 -16.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.48R 1.63 Rotherham 32 28 -20 -3.77 32.88 -0.60 40.96 4.76 -30.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.68R 6.86 Bolton 32 26 -26 -2.80 36.42 -3.75 38.51 4.56 -35.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.11R 19.12 Ipswich 32 19 -31 -13.26 3.75 -13.39 32.95 4.76 -39.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.62R 72.09League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2019, Doncaster 3 0 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 32 68 +37 9.48 86.48 14.78 94.77 5.07 48.54 65.90 89.61 100.00 93.03P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 31 62 +30 3.83 67.36 6.25 89.91 5.29 40.88 20.78 59.50 99.85 74.16P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 31 59 +19 10.21 88.84 9.86 82.81 5.37 23.77 2.01 10.58 96.16 29.38P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 30 58 +23 3.63 66.38 3.17 87.64 5.55 34.60 11.01 37.60 99.36 59.05P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 32 55 +15 4.48 70.12 5.35 77.91 5.21 20.44 0.17 1.57 83.13 19.98P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 31 53 +19 4.30 69.23 9.85 76.06 5.35 22.58 0.13 1.10 74.29 15.77P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 32 49 +6 1.64 57.58 1.16 70.51 5.25 9.38 0.00 0.03 26.08 4.95P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 31 47 +6 2.60 62.66 3.02 67.61 5.28 6.23 0.00 0.01 12.76 2.22P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 32 45 +9 -1.82 41.79 4.73 65.09 5.14 10.32 0.00 0.00 5.75 1.09P 0.06R 0.00 Wycombe 32 43 -4 4.83 71.90 4.96 59.67 5.12 -7.98 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.06P 1.87R 0.02 Coventry 32 43 -4 3.70 67.51 1.86 58.95 4.94 -8.60 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.05P 2.23R 0.02 Burton_Albion 31 41 +2 -3.67 33.87 -1.17 59.82 5.29 -0.59 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.13P 1.55R 0.02 Scunthorpe 32 40 -16 -1.82 41.96 -12.30 59.35 5.22 -15.90 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.07P 3.27R 0.09 Southend 32 39 -1 -4.58 29.88 -0.40 58.01 5.15 -1.32 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.04P 3.43R 0.05 Plymouth 32 37 -13 -1.81 42.24 -4.86 52.91 4.98 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 23.32R 1.24 Accrington_Stanley 29 36 -11 3.25 66.86 -1.14 54.76 5.51 -17.65 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 15.68R 0.94 Walsall 32 35 -16 -1.90 41.83 -5.33 50.52 4.94 -21.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 40.50R 3.55 Rochdale 32 34 -25 -1.07 46.07 -10.44 49.78 5.04 -30.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.94R 6.60 Bristol_Rovers 31 33 -4 -7.08 19.73 -0.53 51.24 5.23 -7.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.81R 3.01 Oxford_Utd 31 33 -9 -5.98 23.63 -3.22 53.04 5.38 -9.98 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 21.96R 1.69 Gillingham 31 33 -12 -4.02 31.91 -3.03 51.08 5.31 -16.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 35.19R 3.78 Shrewsbury 31 32 -10 -8.11 16.31 -6.73 52.57 5.34 -9.98 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 24.37R 1.94 Bradford 32 32 -16 -6.46 22.35 -7.56 49.04 5.08 -19.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.71R 6.91 AFC_Wimbledon 32 26 -25 -6.05 22.27 -8.28 40.67 4.84 -31.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.11R 70.14League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2019, Crewe 2 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 31 61 +24 8.98 85.94 9.92 86.04 5.30 30.73 51.82 87.32 99.53 90.43P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 32 58 +23 3.66 66.72 7.85 81.69 5.04 29.55 18.63 65.90 97.59 75.09P 0.00 0.00 Bury 32 57 +23 1.14 54.70 4.45 81.72 5.20 31.54 19.30 67.62 97.17 76.30P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 32 53 +18 -2.46 38.43 0.79 77.79 5.10 26.23 5.81 35.29 89.39 52.84P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 32 52 +17 0.37 51.68 5.48 73.61 5.14 20.52 1.16 11.88 66.78 25.55P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 32 52 +12 2.17 60.02 3.24 73.53 5.21 15.47 1.07 10.50 64.13 22.32P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 32 51 +15 6.10 76.53 13.64 70.55 5.07 15.56 0.29 3.98 41.92 10.62P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 31 51 +12 1.61 57.65 1.83 74.17 5.42 15.84 1.71 13.40 67.82 26.88P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 32 47 -4 4.13 69.23 -2.47 64.64 5.04 -6.28 0.01 0.23 7.76 1.53P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 32 46 -3 0.97 54.81 -4.73 66.56 5.13 -1.14 0.01 0.47 14.75 3.25P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 31 45 +11 -5.99 24.00 -1.70 69.13 5.44 16.26 0.18 2.95 33.98 11.59P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 31 45 +5 2.59 62.37 5.35 64.16 5.41 2.80 0.00 0.30 8.85 1.83P 0.00R 0.00 Crewe 32 45 -3 3.74 67.47 1.22 63.77 5.10 -3.67 0.00 0.08 5.90 1.02P 0.00R 0.00 Grimsby 32 43 -3 4.04 69.38 3.79 60.35 5.06 -5.58 0.00 0.03 1.51 0.26P 0.04R 0.00 Newport_County 31 43 -10 5.20 74.16 -2.62 60.95 5.26 -14.04 0.00 0.04 2.15 0.34P 0.04R 0.00 Northampton 32 38 -4 -6.53 22.69 -4.78 58.28 5.19 -2.53 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.12P 0.20R 0.04 Crawley_Town 32 37 -10 -1.45 43.95 -1.67 53.98 4.99 -13.40 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 1.88R 0.37 Cheltenham 31 35 -12 -2.14 40.35 -3.21 53.14 5.27 -15.86 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 2.98R 0.63 Cambridge_Utd 31 35 -21 -0.91 46.35 -11.25 52.44 5.19 -25.72 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 4.56R 1.04 Port_Vale 31 33 -11 -4.31 29.96 -4.07 51.55 5.14 -13.81 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 5.45R 1.29 Yeovil 32 30 -11 -7.04 19.87 -0.98 46.86 4.93 -14.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.86R 6.96 Morecambe 31 29 -18 -4.12 30.68 -3.87 45.78 5.11 -23.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.57R 12.75 Macclesfield 32 28 -21 -2.24 39.87 0.21 41.23 4.73 -30.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.22R 42.47 Notts_County 31 25 -29 -9.92 10.57 -16.43 42.38 5.24 -34.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.20R 34.44National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2019, Aldershot 0 3 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Solihull_Moors 33 63 +23 13.42 94.01 16.43 83.35 4.87 26.79 19.78 87.40 33.53P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 32 61 +30 5.08 72.59 12.45 85.79 5.07 38.36 43.64 93.95 59.49P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 32 59 +16 9.67 88.00 7.87 80.45 4.95 19.51 7.52 68.62 22.46P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 32 57 +25 2.53 61.45 9.22 81.78 5.06 33.35 14.53 80.51 35.17P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 32 57 +24 6.16 76.03 13.39 79.75 5.32 29.34 8.22 65.66 22.47P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 31 55 +8 9.18 86.40 3.02 77.88 5.29 11.63 3.61 46.73 12.55P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 31 53 +18 6.13 75.56 11.50 76.10 5.55 21.94 2.46 37.60 9.91P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 33 52 +9 2.46 61.44 2.36 70.36 4.92 9.90 0.08 6.71 1.64P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 32 52 -1 10.18 88.31 1.85 71.04 5.04 -1.26 0.12 7.43 1.41P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 32 47 +12 -1.28 44.14 5.28 68.83 5.14 15.88 0.04 4.39 1.13P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 32 42 -2 0.43 52.57 0.75 59.55 5.01 -3.99 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.58R 0.00 Bromley 32 41 -2 -3.40 35.01 -2.82 60.43 5.17 -1.75 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.41R 0.00 Hartlepool 32 40 -8 -1.41 43.94 -4.76 56.76 4.98 -11.26 0.00 0.00 0.00P 2.47R 0.01 Dag_&_Red 32 39 -2 -6.62 21.99 -4.85 59.09 5.16 -0.72 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.93R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 32 39 -4 -5.02 27.45 -4.95 57.35 5.04 -4.84 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.80R 0.00 Halifax 31 35 -6 -1.07 45.25 1.87 52.73 5.06 -9.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.43R 0.10 Barnet 27 35 -7 -5.24 25.21 -12.08 62.81 6.23 -4.28 0.01 0.88 0.23P 0.64R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 32 34 -9 -2.47 39.69 3.05 49.15 5.10 -15.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.89R 0.84 Maidenhead 32 34 -21 -1.22 45.06 -7.65 48.26 4.85 -29.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.59R 1.32 Chesterfield 31 33 -7 -11.83 7.60 -10.74 54.71 5.38 -5.15 0.00 0.00 0.00P 7.34R 0.07 Dover_Athletic 33 33 -18 -9.13 13.98 -13.73 50.10 4.87 -18.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.16R 0.61 Aldershot 32 28 -28 -8.48 14.71 -17.51 44.19 4.99 -32.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.90R 9.81 Maidstone_United 32 26 -26 -5.66 24.19 -7.80 40.12 4.78 -33.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.22R 29.99 Braintree_Town 32 25 -24 -4.85 28.28 -2.16 37.30 4.72 -34.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.65R 57.25