Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 10 February 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 February 2019, Everton 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 26 62 +48 1.64 59.19 2.62 90.41 3.81 69.96 47.73 92.54 99.74 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 62 +41 9.14 92.53 9.75 90.94 4.26 59.97 49.26 92.31 99.60 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 57 +27 5.83 80.56 -0.53 82.54 4.48 39.53 2.99 14.70 85.27 96.18 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 50 +22 2.12 61.42 0.90 73.29 4.62 30.38 0.01 0.27 7.57 44.74 99.54 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 48 +14 1.41 57.42 -5.14 72.20 4.71 24.01 0.01 0.12 4.05 32.58 99.21 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 47 +15 3.01 66.45 -0.94 71.37 4.81 25.39 0.00 0.06 3.76 26.55 98.65 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 25 38 +1 7.20 84.43 7.66 55.35 4.82 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.16 0.00 0.00 Watford 25 34 -1 3.98 71.83 6.67 49.45 4.59 -6.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02R 0.00 Everton 26 33 -2 -2.66 35.76 -0.25 47.95 4.64 -4.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07R 0.00 Bournemouth 25 33 -7 2.90 66.56 2.00 48.35 4.64 -12.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.07R 0.00 Leicester 25 32 -1 -1.46 42.26 1.28 50.32 4.74 -1.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 25 32 -7 2.24 63.07 1.71 47.79 4.57 -11.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.08R 0.00 Brighton 25 27 -9 -0.28 49.53 2.40 41.74 4.50 -14.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.28R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 25 26 -7 -3.90 28.98 0.75 41.90 4.63 -10.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.28R 0.00 Newcastle 25 24 -12 -4.50 25.63 -2.61 40.65 4.73 -13.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.41R 0.01 Southampton 25 24 -15 -3.91 28.90 -3.70 39.83 4.63 -18.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.81R 0.02 Burnley 25 24 -20 -3.48 30.99 -8.40 36.50 4.43 -28.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.58R 0.10 Cardiff 25 22 -24 -0.50 48.38 -3.22 33.26 4.35 -35.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.86R 0.80 Fulham 25 17 -30 -5.18 21.93 -5.06 27.40 4.36 -43.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.66R 11.08 Huddersfield 25 11 -33 -7.36 9.79 -5.88 19.98 3.96 -47.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.87R 87.99Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2019, Birmingham 2 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 30 57 +18 10.42 89.39 9.93 83.61 5.61 25.16 35.22 58.59 96.66 66.96P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 30 57 +16 11.09 91.03 8.99 81.59 5.59 19.89 21.18 41.79 92.76 52.24P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 30 54 +19 6.03 76.62 8.89 79.24 5.55 23.95 12.36 28.37 87.06 42.22P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 29 50 +21 -2.40 37.84 1.42 80.18 5.85 31.70 18.36 37.10 89.59 54.84P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 29 50 +12 2.46 62.06 0.82 78.29 5.70 19.14 9.31 22.12 81.87 39.87P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 29 47 +8 4.04 69.18 3.38 70.87 5.79 8.77 0.87 2.88 32.69 9.05P 0.00 0.00 Derby 29 47 +5 2.28 60.99 -2.30 74.51 5.76 11.20 2.34 7.34 57.93 19.65P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 30 43 +9 5.01 73.45 13.69 64.19 5.49 7.79 0.02 0.11 5.88 1.01P 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 30 43 +7 -4.75 28.13 -2.95 67.66 5.66 10.99 0.15 0.78 17.23 5.04P 0.00 0.00 Hull 30 43 +5 -0.76 46.52 1.32 66.04 5.50 6.44 0.07 0.31 10.13 2.41P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 30 43 -4 3.34 65.88 -1.28 64.67 5.66 -4.60 0.04 0.16 5.96 1.17P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 30 42 +7 0.99 55.26 7.40 63.60 5.55 6.43 0.01 0.07 4.96 1.02P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 30 41 +3 -4.78 28.34 -3.84 65.52 5.59 6.74 0.06 0.25 8.80 2.54P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 29 39 -6 3.44 67.44 0.77 59.68 5.61 -10.29 0.00 0.01 1.01 0.16P 0.11R 0.00 Stoke 30 38 -6 -4.08 31.49 -7.26 60.35 5.62 -5.21 0.00 0.01 1.23 0.29P 0.08R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 29 38 -11 1.39 57.53 -5.97 60.15 5.75 -12.89 0.00 0.01 1.22 0.20P 0.13R 0.00 Brentford 29 37 +7 -7.09 19.38 0.81 62.28 5.88 9.88 0.02 0.07 3.86 1.05P 0.05R 0.00 Preston 30 37 +0 -5.23 26.55 -1.43 59.74 5.59 1.03 0.00 0.02 1.13 0.28P 0.08R 0.00 Wigan 30 32 -14 -5.37 25.69 -8.44 52.84 5.54 -15.56 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 2.93R 0.06 Millwall 29 30 -10 -6.58 20.24 -5.15 49.94 5.60 -15.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 6.52R 0.18 Rotherham 30 26 -20 -3.15 35.33 -0.84 40.55 5.12 -31.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.90R 9.17 Reading 30 25 -12 -9.11 12.21 -0.95 42.79 5.34 -18.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.26R 4.32 Bolton 30 23 -26 -3.52 32.24 -4.17 37.07 4.93 -37.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.54R 28.92 Ipswich 30 18 -28 -13.10 3.61 -12.83 33.93 5.16 -37.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.39R 57.35League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2019, Barnsley 2 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 31 65 +34 9.35 86.75 14.17 93.68 5.29 46.35 57.33 84.00 99.98 89.11P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 30 59 +27 3.54 66.05 5.43 88.42 5.56 38.02 16.61 45.60 99.66 65.16P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 30 58 +19 10.67 90.11 9.95 83.49 5.61 24.26 3.28 13.68 97.17 32.08P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 28 56 +23 4.79 72.43 3.70 89.53 5.95 36.29 22.26 53.44 99.64 69.33P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 31 54 +15 4.93 72.13 5.47 78.75 5.44 21.11 0.45 2.73 87.90 22.51P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 31 49 +8 2.32 60.84 1.99 71.96 5.48 11.47 0.01 0.13 43.94 8.32P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 29 47 +14 2.82 63.53 7.53 72.59 5.86 17.23 0.05 0.41 51.60 10.05P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 29 43 +4 2.09 60.61 2.04 65.81 5.68 3.46 0.00 0.01 10.50 1.83P 0.16R 0.00 Wycombe 31 43 -1 4.63 70.99 5.41 60.61 5.31 -5.73 0.00 0.00 1.43 0.17P 1.84R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 31 42 +8 -3.06 36.15 4.33 63.38 5.36 9.17 0.00 0.00 4.83 0.95P 0.42R 0.00 Coventry 31 40 -5 2.54 62.69 1.59 57.16 5.19 -9.85 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.04P 7.64R 0.16 Southend 30 38 +2 -4.27 30.49 0.52 59.52 5.55 1.35 0.00 0.00 1.40 0.21P 3.23R 0.07 Burton_Albion 30 38 +0 -4.15 31.34 -1.51 58.06 5.54 -2.80 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.11P 5.66R 0.14 Scunthorpe 31 37 -18 -2.60 38.51 -12.96 57.74 5.41 -17.89 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.05P 8.35R 0.32 Accrington_Stanley 28 36 -9 3.66 68.63 -0.48 56.27 5.76 -15.45 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.04P 13.40R 0.68 Plymouth 31 36 -13 -1.57 43.17 -5.03 53.04 5.22 -18.62 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 27.90R 1.60 Walsall 30 35 -13 -0.30 49.28 -3.98 53.64 5.42 -17.98 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 24.73R 1.63 Rochdale 31 34 -24 0.03 51.24 -9.78 51.14 5.27 -29.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.86R 4.65 Gillingham 30 33 -9 -4.01 31.74 -2.28 52.31 5.47 -13.35 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 31.67R 2.69 Bristol_Rovers 30 32 -4 -6.61 20.81 -0.39 51.72 5.47 -7.12 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 34.03R 2.89 Oxford_Utd 30 32 -9 -5.81 24.05 -3.57 52.80 5.57 -10.86 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 28.29R 2.32 Bradford 31 32 -15 -5.47 25.46 -7.12 50.51 5.29 -18.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 45.11R 4.92 Shrewsbury 30 31 -10 -7.70 16.99 -6.70 52.86 5.57 -10.07 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 27.85R 2.19 AFC_Wimbledon 30 23 -24 -7.16 17.19 -8.34 39.99 5.29 -31.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.85R 75.74League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2019, Cheltenham 1 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 30 60 +24 9.60 87.84 10.28 86.87 5.53 31.41 50.47 86.53 99.55 89.73P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 31 58 +24 4.79 71.95 8.44 83.61 5.28 31.37 25.40 72.58 98.70 80.25P 0.00 0.00 Bury 31 54 +22 0.10 50.14 4.38 80.70 5.41 31.44 11.55 53.43 95.37 66.07P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 30 51 +18 7.89 83.09 15.28 74.11 5.54 19.81 1.46 12.25 68.79 22.36P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 30 51 +13 3.43 66.05 3.50 75.80 5.63 17.28 2.41 18.20 76.81 31.84P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 30 50 +18 -2.33 38.52 1.35 78.59 5.59 27.74 6.77 36.87 90.06 54.62P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 30 50 +12 1.89 59.15 1.72 74.33 5.60 15.50 1.38 12.10 67.80 25.71P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 31 49 +14 0.15 50.78 4.59 72.21 5.38 17.89 0.50 6.57 55.82 18.68P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 31 47 -2 4.75 71.98 -1.61 66.14 5.25 -4.06 0.03 0.48 13.03 2.61P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 30 42 +3 1.91 59.38 4.81 62.44 5.57 0.68 0.00 0.11 5.37 1.01P 0.02R 0.00 Crewe 30 41 -4 2.97 64.90 0.82 62.46 5.53 -4.66 0.00 0.08 4.47 0.85P 0.03R 0.00 Grimsby 31 40 -5 2.95 65.08 2.61 58.30 5.25 -8.10 0.00 0.01 0.76 0.12P 0.21R 0.02 Swindon 30 40 -6 -1.44 43.54 -6.54 62.46 5.51 -5.41 0.00 0.08 4.67 0.99P 0.04R 0.00 Newport_County 29 40 -10 4.46 72.00 -3.15 59.95 5.67 -15.22 0.00 0.05 2.05 0.36P 0.18R 0.02 Oldham 29 39 +5 -6.59 21.15 -3.68 65.70 5.82 9.93 0.03 0.67 15.71 4.58P 0.00R 0.00 Northampton 31 37 -4 -6.42 22.78 -5.21 58.11 5.41 -3.37 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.15P 0.28R 0.02 Crawley_Town 31 37 -7 -0.92 46.12 -0.00 55.40 5.19 -10.27 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 1.08R 0.16 Cheltenham 30 35 -9 -1.97 40.97 -2.23 54.43 5.46 -12.96 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 1.94R 0.34 Port_Vale 30 33 -10 -3.50 33.51 -3.80 52.94 5.38 -12.79 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 3.50R 0.71 Cambridge_Utd 30 32 -22 -1.99 41.01 -11.36 50.78 5.38 -26.82 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 8.82R 2.10 Yeovil 30 30 -6 -6.03 22.52 1.15 49.81 5.35 -9.12 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 9.23R 2.26 Morecambe 30 29 -17 -3.33 33.87 -3.96 46.77 5.28 -23.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.72R 8.12 Macclesfield 31 27 -21 -1.87 41.99 -0.02 41.22 4.92 -30.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.27R 35.62 Notts_County 30 22 -30 -11.47 6.76 -17.34 39.94 5.41 -36.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.67R 50.62National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2019, Dover_Athletic 1 2 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 31 60 +30 5.62 75.05 12.55 86.61 5.22 39.03 49.12 96.41 64.35P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 31 57 +25 7.32 80.06 13.99 82.07 5.52 31.83 16.17 82.67 32.69P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 31 57 +19 11.58 91.71 14.49 79.40 5.30 21.86 6.21 66.73 17.83P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 31 56 +25 2.91 63.65 9.22 82.92 5.25 34.55 20.24 88.12 41.83P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 31 56 +15 8.64 85.53 7.65 78.92 5.17 18.67 4.58 62.34 18.42P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 30 52 +7 7.98 83.36 2.67 75.85 5.52 10.07 1.87 37.33 9.14P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 32 51 +9 2.83 63.13 2.45 71.50 5.16 11.04 0.15 13.74 3.26P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 30 50 +17 4.86 71.32 11.05 74.37 5.77 20.77 1.45 32.17 7.78P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 31 49 -3 9.23 86.48 0.86 69.03 5.22 -3.82 0.06 5.16 0.88P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 31 47 +13 -0.08 49.65 6.00 70.60 5.36 17.46 0.13 12.18 3.04P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 31 41 -2 0.75 54.60 0.73 59.93 5.21 -3.96 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.80R 0.00 Bromley 31 40 -2 -3.07 36.09 -2.88 60.66 5.39 -1.98 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.63R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 31 39 -1 -5.69 24.72 -4.49 60.38 5.40 0.24 0.00 0.20 0.05P 0.74R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 31 39 -3 -3.91 31.90 -4.28 59.03 5.28 -3.42 0.00 0.06 0.02P 1.28R 0.00 Hartlepool 31 39 -8 -1.36 43.90 -5.12 56.69 5.20 -11.93 0.00 0.01 0.00P 3.62R 0.00 Halifax 30 35 -5 -0.41 48.70 2.01 53.89 5.28 -8.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.62R 0.03 Barnet 26 35 -6 -3.97 30.31 -11.21 64.49 6.46 -2.85 0.03 2.63 0.67P 0.48R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 31 33 -9 -2.41 39.28 2.87 48.89 5.28 -16.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.04R 0.66 Dover_Athletic 32 33 -17 -8.28 16.20 -13.50 51.62 5.07 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.62R 0.17 Maidenhead 31 31 -22 -2.56 38.25 -8.07 46.30 5.01 -30.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.01R 2.18 Chesterfield 30 30 -8 -13.09 5.56 -11.19 53.44 5.59 -5.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.79R 0.16 Aldershot 30 28 -23 -7.68 16.43 -15.45 47.50 5.42 -26.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.70R 2.32 Maidstone_United 31 25 -26 -5.48 24.48 -7.95 39.84 4.95 -34.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.62R 23.18 Braintree_Town 31 22 -25 -6.16 22.20 -2.39 34.80 4.90 -37.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.04R 71.29