Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 10 February 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 February 2019, Everton 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         26   62  +48       1.64    59.19     2.62    90.41     3.81    69.96    47.73    92.54    99.74    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        25   62  +41       9.14    92.53     9.75    90.94     4.26    59.97    49.26    92.31    99.60    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   57  +27       5.83    80.56    -0.53    82.54     4.48    39.53     2.99    14.70    85.27    96.18   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          25   50  +22       2.12    61.42     0.90    73.29     4.62    30.38     0.01     0.27     7.57    44.74    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          25   48  +14       1.41    57.42    -5.14    72.20     4.71    24.01     0.01     0.12     4.05    32.58    99.21     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          25   47  +15       3.01    66.45    -0.94    71.37     4.81    25.39     0.00     0.06     3.76    26.55    98.65     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    25   38   +1       7.20    84.43     7.66    55.35     4.82    -0.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.16     0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   34   -1       3.98    71.83     6.67    49.45     4.59    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          26   33   -2      -2.66    35.76    -0.25    47.95     4.64    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.07R    0.00  
Bournemouth      25   33   -7       2.90    66.56     2.00    48.35     4.64   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.07R    0.00  
Leicester        25   32   -1      -1.46    42.26     1.28    50.32     4.74    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         25   32   -7       2.24    63.07     1.71    47.79     4.57   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         25   27   -9      -0.28    49.53     2.40    41.74     4.50   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.28R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   26   -7      -3.90    28.98     0.75    41.90     4.63   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.28R    0.00  
Newcastle        25   24  -12      -4.50    25.63    -2.61    40.65     4.73   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.41R    0.01  
Southampton      25   24  -15      -3.91    28.90    -3.70    39.83     4.63   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.81R    0.02  
Burnley          25   24  -20      -3.48    30.99    -8.40    36.50     4.43   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.58R    0.10  
Cardiff          25   22  -24      -0.50    48.38    -3.22    33.26     4.35   -35.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.86R    0.80  
Fulham           25   17  -30      -5.18    21.93    -5.06    27.40     4.36   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.66R   11.08  
Huddersfield     25   11  -33      -7.36     9.79    -5.88    19.98     3.96   -47.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.87R   87.99  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2019, Birmingham 2 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         30   57  +18      10.42    89.39     9.93    83.61     5.61    25.16    35.22    58.59    96.66    66.96P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    30   57  +16      11.09    91.03     8.99    81.59     5.59    19.89    21.18    41.79    92.76    52.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       30   54  +19       6.03    76.62     8.89    79.24     5.55    23.95    12.36    28.37    87.06    42.22P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       29   50  +21      -2.40    37.84     1.42    80.18     5.85    31.70    18.36    37.10    89.59    54.84P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   50  +12       2.46    62.06     0.82    78.29     5.70    19.14     9.31    22.12    81.87    39.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    29   47   +8       4.04    69.18     3.38    70.87     5.79     8.77     0.87     2.88    32.69     9.05P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           29   47   +5       2.28    60.99    -2.30    74.51     5.76    11.20     2.34     7.34    57.93    19.65P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      30   43   +9       5.01    73.45    13.69    64.19     5.49     7.79     0.02     0.11     5.88     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   43   +7      -4.75    28.13    -2.95    67.66     5.66    10.99     0.15     0.78    17.23     5.04P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            30   43   +5      -0.76    46.52     1.32    66.04     5.50     6.44     0.07     0.31    10.13     2.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   43   -4       3.34    65.88    -1.28    64.67     5.66    -4.60     0.04     0.16     5.96     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   30   42   +7       0.99    55.26     7.40    63.60     5.55     6.43     0.01     0.07     4.96     1.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         30   41   +3      -4.78    28.34    -3.84    65.52     5.59     6.74     0.06     0.25     8.80     2.54P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             29   39   -6       3.44    67.44     0.77    59.68     5.61   -10.29     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.16P    0.11R    0.00  
Stoke           30   38   -6      -4.08    31.49    -7.26    60.35     5.62    -5.21     0.00     0.01     1.23     0.29P    0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       29   38  -11       1.39    57.53    -5.97    60.15     5.75   -12.89     0.00     0.01     1.22     0.20P    0.13R    0.00  
Brentford       29   37   +7      -7.09    19.38     0.81    62.28     5.88     9.88     0.02     0.07     3.86     1.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston         30   37   +0      -5.23    26.55    -1.43    59.74     5.59     1.03     0.00     0.02     1.13     0.28P    0.08R    0.00  
Wigan           30   32  -14      -5.37    25.69    -8.44    52.84     5.54   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    2.93R    0.06  
Millwall        29   30  -10      -6.58    20.24    -5.15    49.94     5.60   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.52R    0.18  
Rotherham       30   26  -20      -3.15    35.33    -0.84    40.55     5.12   -31.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.90R    9.17  
Reading         30   25  -12      -9.11    12.21    -0.95    42.79     5.34   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.26R    4.32  
Bolton          30   23  -26      -3.52    32.24    -4.17    37.07     4.93   -37.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.54R   28.92  
Ipswich         30   18  -28     -13.10     3.61   -12.83    33.93     5.16   -37.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.39R   57.35  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2019, Barnsley 2 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                31   65  +34       9.35    86.75    14.17    93.68     5.29    46.35    57.33    84.00    99.98    89.11P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             30   59  +27       3.54    66.05     5.43    88.42     5.56    38.02    16.61    45.60    99.66    65.16P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           30   58  +19      10.67    90.11     9.95    83.49     5.61    24.26     3.28    13.68    97.17    32.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           28   56  +23       4.79    72.43     3.70    89.53     5.95    36.29    22.26    53.44    99.64    69.33P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             31   54  +15       4.93    72.13     5.47    78.75     5.44    21.11     0.45     2.73    87.90    22.51P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         31   49   +8       2.32    60.84     1.99    71.96     5.48    11.47     0.01     0.13    43.94     8.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            29   47  +14       2.82    63.53     7.53    72.59     5.86    17.23     0.05     0.41    51.60    10.05P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            29   43   +4       2.09    60.61     2.04    65.81     5.68     3.46     0.00     0.01    10.50     1.83P    0.16R    0.00  
Wycombe              31   43   -1       4.63    70.99     5.41    60.61     5.31    -5.73     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.17P    1.84R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       31   42   +8      -3.06    36.15     4.33    63.38     5.36     9.17     0.00     0.00     4.83     0.95P    0.42R    0.00  
Coventry             31   40   -5       2.54    62.69     1.59    57.16     5.19    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    7.64R    0.16  
Southend             30   38   +2      -4.27    30.49     0.52    59.52     5.55     1.35     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.21P    3.23R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        30   38   +0      -4.15    31.34    -1.51    58.06     5.54    -2.80     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P    5.66R    0.14  
Scunthorpe           31   37  -18      -2.60    38.51   -12.96    57.74     5.41   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    8.35R    0.32  
Accrington_Stanley   28   36   -9       3.66    68.63    -0.48    56.27     5.76   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P   13.40R    0.68  
Plymouth             31   36  -13      -1.57    43.17    -5.03    53.04     5.22   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   27.90R    1.60  
Walsall              30   35  -13      -0.30    49.28    -3.98    53.64     5.42   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.73R    1.63  
Rochdale             31   34  -24       0.03    51.24    -9.78    51.14     5.27   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.86R    4.65  
Gillingham           30   33   -9      -4.01    31.74    -2.28    52.31     5.47   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   31.67R    2.69  
Bristol_Rovers       30   32   -4      -6.61    20.81    -0.39    51.72     5.47    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   34.03R    2.89  
Oxford_Utd           30   32   -9      -5.81    24.05    -3.57    52.80     5.57   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   28.29R    2.32  
Bradford             31   32  -15      -5.47    25.46    -7.12    50.51     5.29   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.11R    4.92  
Shrewsbury           30   31  -10      -7.70    16.99    -6.70    52.86     5.57   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   27.85R    2.19  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   23  -24      -7.16    17.19    -8.34    39.99     5.29   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.85R   75.74  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2019, Cheltenham 1 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     30   60  +24       9.60    87.84    10.28    86.87     5.53    31.41    50.47    86.53    99.55    89.73P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        31   58  +24       4.79    71.95     8.44    83.61     5.28    31.37    25.40    72.58    98.70    80.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             31   54  +22       0.10    50.14     4.38    80.70     5.41    31.44    11.55    53.43    95.37    66.07P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     30   51  +18       7.89    83.09    15.28    74.11     5.54    19.81     1.46    12.25    68.79    22.36P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   51  +13       3.43    66.05     3.50    75.80     5.63    17.28     2.41    18.20    76.81    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          30   50  +18      -2.33    38.52     1.35    78.59     5.59    27.74     6.77    36.87    90.06    54.62P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           30   50  +12       1.89    59.15     1.72    74.33     5.60    15.50     1.38    12.10    67.80    25.71P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   49  +14       0.15    50.78     4.59    72.21     5.38    17.89     0.50     6.57    55.82    18.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        31   47   -2       4.75    71.98    -1.61    66.14     5.25    -4.06     0.03     0.48    13.03     2.61P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   42   +3       1.91    59.38     4.81    62.44     5.57     0.68     0.00     0.11     5.37     1.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Crewe            30   41   -4       2.97    64.90     0.82    62.46     5.53    -4.66     0.00     0.08     4.47     0.85P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby          31   40   -5       2.95    65.08     2.61    58.30     5.25    -8.10     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.12P    0.21R    0.02  
Swindon          30   40   -6      -1.44    43.54    -6.54    62.46     5.51    -5.41     0.00     0.08     4.67     0.99P    0.04R    0.00  
Newport_County   29   40  -10       4.46    72.00    -3.15    59.95     5.67   -15.22     0.00     0.05     2.05     0.36P    0.18R    0.02  
Oldham           29   39   +5      -6.59    21.15    -3.68    65.70     5.82     9.93     0.03     0.67    15.71     4.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      31   37   -4      -6.42    22.78    -5.21    58.11     5.41    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.15P    0.28R    0.02  
Crawley_Town     31   37   -7      -0.92    46.12    -0.00    55.40     5.19   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    1.08R    0.16  
Cheltenham       30   35   -9      -1.97    40.97    -2.23    54.43     5.46   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    1.94R    0.34  
Port_Vale        30   33  -10      -3.50    33.51    -3.80    52.94     5.38   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    3.50R    0.71  
Cambridge_Utd    30   32  -22      -1.99    41.01   -11.36    50.78     5.38   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.82R    2.10  
Yeovil           30   30   -6      -6.03    22.52     1.15    49.81     5.35    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.23R    2.26  
Morecambe        30   29  -17      -3.33    33.87    -3.96    46.77     5.28   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.72R    8.12  
Macclesfield     31   27  -21      -1.87    41.99    -0.02    41.22     4.92   -30.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.27R   35.62  
Notts_County     30   22  -30     -11.47     6.76   -17.34    39.94     5.41   -36.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.67R   50.62  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2019, Dover_Athletic 1 2 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      31   60  +30       5.62    75.05    12.55    86.61     5.22    39.03    49.12    96.41    64.35P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       31   57  +25       7.32    80.06    13.99    82.07     5.52    31.83    16.17    82.67    32.69P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     31   57  +19      11.58    91.71    14.49    79.40     5.30    21.86     6.21    66.73    17.83P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          31   56  +25       2.91    63.65     9.22    82.92     5.25    34.55    20.24    88.12    41.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   56  +15       8.64    85.53     7.65    78.92     5.17    18.67     4.58    62.34    18.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      30   52   +7       7.98    83.36     2.67    75.85     5.52    10.07     1.87    37.33     9.14P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          32   51   +9       2.83    63.13     2.45    71.50     5.16    11.04     0.15    13.74     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     30   50  +17       4.86    71.32    11.05    74.37     5.77    20.77     1.45    32.17     7.78P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          31   49   -3       9.23    86.48     0.86    69.03     5.22    -3.82     0.06     5.16     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   47  +13      -0.08    49.65     6.00    70.60     5.36    17.46     0.13    12.18     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             31   41   -2       0.75    54.60     0.73    59.93     5.21    -3.96     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.80R    0.00  
Bromley            31   40   -2      -3.07    36.09    -2.88    60.66     5.39    -1.98     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.63R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          31   39   -1      -5.69    24.72    -4.49    60.38     5.40     0.24     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.74R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       31   39   -3      -3.91    31.90    -4.28    59.03     5.28    -3.42     0.00     0.06     0.02P    1.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool         31   39   -8      -1.36    43.90    -5.12    56.69     5.20   -11.93     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.62R    0.00  
Halifax            30   35   -5      -0.41    48.70     2.01    53.89     5.28    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.62R    0.03  
Barnet             26   35   -6      -3.97    30.31   -11.21    64.49     6.46    -2.85     0.03     2.63     0.67P    0.48R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    31   33   -9      -2.41    39.28     2.87    48.89     5.28   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.04R    0.66  
Dover_Athletic     32   33  -17      -8.28    16.20   -13.50    51.62     5.07   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.62R    0.17  
Maidenhead         31   31  -22      -2.56    38.25    -8.07    46.30     5.01   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.01R    2.18  
Chesterfield       30   30   -8     -13.09     5.56   -11.19    53.44     5.59    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.79R    0.16  
Aldershot          30   28  -23      -7.68    16.43   -15.45    47.50     5.42   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.70R    2.32  
Maidstone_United   31   25  -26      -5.48    24.48    -7.95    39.84     4.95   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.62R   23.18  
Braintree_Town     31   22  -25      -6.16    22.20    -2.39    34.80     4.90   -37.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.04R   71.29