Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 5 February 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 February 2019, West_Ham 1 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        25   62  +41       9.13    92.56     9.63    90.94     4.29    60.01    54.04    92.54    99.60    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   59  +46       0.95    54.42     1.98    89.62     4.03    69.50    42.43    89.83    99.37    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   57  +27       5.92    80.73    -0.31    82.52     4.49    39.47     3.50    16.95    84.76    96.01   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          25   50  +22       2.12    61.27     0.87    73.32     4.64    30.45     0.02     0.38     8.02    44.67    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          25   48  +14       1.38    57.25    -5.23    72.22     4.72    24.07     0.01     0.19     4.33    32.77    99.16     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          25   47  +15       2.94    65.86    -1.07    71.37     4.83    25.41     0.00     0.10     3.92    26.62    98.63     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    25   38   +1       7.10    84.18     7.47    55.45     4.78    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.14     0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   34   -1       4.05    72.25     6.78    49.41     4.58    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02R    0.00  
Everton          25   33   +0      -2.34    37.11    -0.09    48.64     4.81    -4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth      25   33   -7       2.93    66.68     2.11    48.37     4.67   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.09R    0.00  
Leicester        25   32   -1      -1.37    42.83     1.43    50.26     4.77    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham         25   32   -7       2.24    62.92     1.74    47.76     4.55   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         25   27   -9      -0.40    48.66     2.25    41.75     4.50   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.15R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   26   -7      -3.96    28.91     0.69    41.93     4.67   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.08R    0.00  
Newcastle        25   24  -12      -4.45    25.92    -2.55    40.70     4.74   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.37R    0.01  
Southampton      25   24  -15      -3.74    29.70    -3.34    39.77     4.63   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.05R    0.02  
Burnley          25   24  -20      -3.58    30.63    -8.54    36.50     4.42   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.25R    0.08  
Cardiff          25   22  -24      -0.46    48.89    -3.10    33.18     4.35   -35.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.41R    0.78  
Fulham           25   17  -30      -5.20    21.74    -5.02    27.43     4.33   -43.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.53R   10.79  
Huddersfield     25   11  -33      -7.28     9.97    -5.72    19.93     3.96   -47.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   88.32  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2019, Birmingham 2 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         30   57  +18      10.63    90.06    10.28    83.47     5.58    24.97    34.69    57.88    96.50    66.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    30   57  +16      10.98    90.82     8.83    81.59     5.59    19.89    21.47    42.53    92.77    52.81P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       30   54  +19       6.07    76.71     8.94    79.18     5.57    23.86    12.77    28.40    86.70    42.27P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       29   50  +21      -2.24    38.59     1.71    80.10     5.84    31.60    18.11    36.80    89.34    54.48P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   50  +12       2.39    62.03     0.71    78.29     5.66    19.16     9.47    22.38    81.67    39.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    29   47   +8       4.10    69.48     3.38    70.91     5.76     8.83     0.80     2.73    32.78     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           29   47   +5       2.50    62.19    -1.96    74.48     5.74    11.10     2.29     7.40    58.03    19.65P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      30   43   +9       4.84    73.17    13.44    64.30     5.53     7.88     0.02     0.13     6.17     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   43   +7      -4.76    27.90    -2.96    67.69     5.71    11.09     0.20     0.84    17.48     5.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            30   43   +5      -0.66    47.42     1.53    66.03     5.56     6.42     0.08     0.33    10.15     2.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   43   -4       3.38    66.12    -1.22    64.61     5.68    -4.68     0.03     0.11     6.12     1.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   30   42   +7       1.28    56.54     7.76    63.53     5.53     6.25     0.01     0.08     4.73     0.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         30   41   +3      -4.89    28.14    -4.03    65.57     5.63     6.84     0.06     0.29     9.04     2.65P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             29   39   -6       3.57    67.66     0.99    59.65     5.64   -10.35     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.17P    0.11R    0.00  
Stoke           30   38   -6      -3.99    31.84    -7.14    60.37     5.60    -5.19     0.00     0.01     1.28     0.32P    0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       29   38  -11       1.32    57.41    -6.07    60.19     5.76   -12.84     0.00     0.01     1.23     0.22P    0.13R    0.00  
Brentford       29   37   +7      -7.08    19.11     0.78    62.33     5.87     9.92     0.01     0.07     3.88     1.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston         30   37   +0      -5.37    25.77    -1.64    59.78     5.56     1.08     0.00     0.01     1.07     0.25P    0.08R    0.00  
Wigan           30   32  -14      -5.60    25.02    -8.77    52.94     5.51   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.81R    0.06  
Millwall        29   30  -10      -6.71    19.80    -5.31    49.92     5.59   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    6.64R    0.19  
Rotherham       30   26  -20      -3.30    34.61    -1.06    40.65     5.13   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.06R    9.16  
Reading         30   25  -12      -9.14    12.26    -1.01    42.74     5.32   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.94R    4.57  
Bolton          30   23  -26      -3.55    31.73    -4.30    37.09     4.91   -37.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.69R   28.74  
Ipswich         30   18  -28     -13.13     3.67   -12.87    33.91     5.15   -37.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.43R   57.29  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2019, Barnsley 2 0 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                31   65  +34       9.49    86.87    14.37    93.55     5.33    46.17    56.54    83.35    99.99    88.67P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             30   59  +27       3.64    66.43     5.60    88.42     5.58    38.01    16.87    46.03    99.67    64.96P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           30   58  +19      10.77    90.42    10.11    83.43     5.57    24.15     3.40    13.56    97.29    31.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           28   56  +23       4.86    72.34     3.79    89.51     5.95    36.26    22.67    53.80    99.64    69.61P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             31   54  +15       4.97    72.19     5.47    78.75     5.40    21.12     0.46     2.70    88.17    22.67P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         31   49   +8       2.32    60.60     2.01    71.82     5.50    11.30     0.01     0.14    42.82     8.09P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            29   47  +14       2.96    64.05     7.74    72.54     5.86    17.13     0.05     0.42    51.54    10.34P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            29   43   +4       2.07    60.62     1.97    65.88     5.71     3.56     0.00     0.01    10.91     1.95P    0.17R    0.00  
Wycombe              31   43   -1       4.53    70.62     5.29    60.61     5.32    -5.71     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.20P    1.81R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       31   42   +8      -3.16    35.63     4.16    63.43     5.40     9.28     0.00     0.00     4.95     1.00P    0.43R    0.00  
Coventry             31   40   -5       2.54    62.54     1.59    57.18     5.22    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    7.86R    0.15  
Southend             30   38   +2      -4.26    30.62     0.47    59.56     5.56     1.41     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.26P    3.20R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        30   38   +0      -4.30    30.46    -1.72    58.10     5.54    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.15P    5.53R    0.12  
Scunthorpe           31   37  -18      -2.56    38.59   -12.89    57.72     5.40   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    8.57R    0.29  
Accrington_Stanley   28   36   -9       3.76    68.98    -0.36    56.18     5.78   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P   13.79R    0.72  
Plymouth             31   36  -13      -1.48    43.39    -4.90    52.96     5.23   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   28.66R    1.69  
Walsall              30   35  -13      -0.25    49.77    -3.89    53.60     5.42   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   25.24R    1.50  
Rochdale             31   34  -24       0.02    51.04    -9.84    51.15     5.24   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.56R    4.59  
Gillingham           30   33   -9      -4.01    31.72    -2.33    52.39     5.49   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   31.46R    2.65  
Bristol_Rovers       30   32   -4      -6.72    20.44    -0.53    51.80     5.47    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.45R    2.99  
Oxford_Utd           30   32   -9      -6.01    23.55    -3.83    53.00     5.63   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   27.37R    2.24  
Bradford             31   32  -15      -5.54    25.62    -7.13    50.51     5.32   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.33R    5.02  
Shrewsbury           30   31  -10      -7.78    16.81    -6.82    52.87     5.56   -10.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   27.73R    2.13  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   23  -24      -7.13    17.21    -8.31    40.01     5.28   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.84R   75.83  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2019, Bury 1 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     30   60  +24       9.45    87.70    10.06    86.95     5.49    31.49    51.38    87.00    99.61    90.28P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        31   58  +24       4.81    71.82     8.51    83.59     5.26    31.36    24.93    72.71    98.73    80.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             31   54  +22       0.05    49.53     4.30    80.70     5.39    31.43    11.46    53.77    95.40    66.53P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     30   51  +18       7.99    83.50    15.38    74.03     5.53    19.67     1.35    11.71    67.39    21.62P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   51  +13       3.70    67.50     3.94    75.65     5.64    17.04     2.33    17.67    75.37    30.66P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          30   50  +18      -2.33    38.67     1.35    78.55     5.53    27.70     6.58    36.52    90.00    54.53P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           30   50  +12       1.71    58.28     1.42    74.42     5.60    15.62     1.47    12.55    68.22    26.13P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   49  +14       0.19    51.10     4.67    72.25     5.36    17.91     0.44     6.45    55.42    18.74P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        31   47   -2       4.81    72.16    -1.46    66.13     5.24    -4.12     0.01     0.51    12.59     2.53P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         29   42   +4       2.86    64.03     5.12    64.22     5.83     2.31     0.01     0.36     9.98     2.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            30   41   -4       2.99    64.99     0.81    62.44     5.55    -4.69     0.00     0.07     4.39     0.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby          31   40   -5       2.96    65.02     2.63    58.30     5.23    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.12P    0.21R    0.02  
Swindon          30   40   -6      -1.27    44.38    -6.28    62.34     5.50    -5.54     0.00     0.05     4.39     0.84P    0.04R    0.00  
Newport_County   29   40  -10       4.60    72.52    -2.92    59.92     5.69   -15.28     0.00     0.04     1.98     0.28P    0.24R    0.04  
Oldham           29   39   +5      -6.39    21.75    -3.43    65.65     5.81     9.86     0.03     0.58    15.13     4.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     31   37   -7      -1.09    45.59    -0.25    55.44     5.22   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    1.04R    0.17  
Northampton      30   34   -5      -7.55    18.49    -5.48    56.05     5.63    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    1.03R    0.19  
Port_Vale        30   33  -10      -3.69    32.84    -4.10    53.02     5.36   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.27R    0.63  
Cheltenham       29   32  -10      -3.25    34.53    -2.63    52.98     5.66   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.85R    0.77  
Cambridge_Utd    30   32  -22      -2.09    40.38   -11.56    50.80     5.38   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     8.98R    2.23  
Yeovil           29   30   -5      -5.13    25.94     1.61    51.14     5.62    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    6.79R    1.59  
Morecambe        30   29  -17      -3.47    33.33    -4.07    46.80     5.30   -22.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.86R    8.17  
Macclesfield     31   27  -21      -1.90    41.63    -0.19    41.24     4.93   -30.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.02R   35.08  
Notts_County     30   22  -30     -11.53     6.63   -17.40    39.95     5.39   -36.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.64R   51.12  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2019, Dover_Athletic 1 2 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      31   60  +30       5.55    75.05    12.45    86.62     5.24    39.07    48.85    96.33    63.93P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       31   57  +25       7.15    79.70    13.78    82.18     5.51    31.99    16.41    82.94    33.17P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     31   57  +19      11.39    91.39    14.26    79.46     5.30    21.95     6.26    67.34    18.07P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          31   56  +25       3.06    64.02     9.42    82.86     5.24    34.47    20.04    87.80    41.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   56  +15       8.61    85.68     7.61    78.94     5.18    18.70     4.68    62.31    18.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      30   52   +7       7.85    83.08     2.49    75.92     5.52    10.17     1.95    37.96     9.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          32   51   +9       3.02    64.39     2.73    71.42     5.12    10.91     0.13    13.18     3.14P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     30   50  +17       4.92    71.31    11.17    74.35     5.75    20.73     1.46    31.99     7.80P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          31   49   -3       9.31    87.14     0.98    69.00     5.22    -3.94     0.06     5.07     0.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   47  +13      -0.08    49.65     6.01    70.56     5.39    17.42     0.13    11.93     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             31   41   -2       0.55    53.43     0.44    60.05     5.25    -3.81     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.72R    0.00  
Bromley            31   40   -2      -3.06    35.89    -2.84    60.62     5.39    -2.04     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.66R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          31   39   -1      -5.77    24.55    -4.53    60.44     5.41     0.29     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.73R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       31   39   -3      -3.94    31.65    -4.32    59.05     5.27    -3.41     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.27R    0.00  
Hartlepool         31   39   -8      -1.22    44.45    -4.96    56.65     5.19   -11.99     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.54R    0.01  
Halifax            30   35   -5      -0.38    48.74     2.05    53.82     5.25    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.62R    0.04  
Barnet             26   35   -6      -4.05    29.89   -11.34    64.52     6.43    -2.80     0.03     2.59     0.76P    0.39R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    31   33   -9      -2.44    39.47     2.83    48.93     5.27   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.49R    0.68  
Dover_Athletic     32   33  -17      -8.25    16.19   -13.51    51.64     5.09   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.65R    0.19  
Maidenhead         31   31  -22      -2.69    37.77    -8.28    46.28     5.04   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.71R    2.35  
Chesterfield       30   30   -8     -12.93     5.75   -10.96    53.40     5.62    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.13R    0.14  
Aldershot          30   28  -23      -7.44    17.08   -15.10    47.45     5.38   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.17R    2.23  
Maidstone_United   31   25  -26      -5.36    25.02    -7.75    39.77     4.91   -34.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.88R   23.68  
Braintree_Town     31   22  -25      -6.26    21.64    -2.64    34.83     4.89   -37.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.04R   70.70